Breaking Down the Kentucky Derby

[balls2wall]

nice call on animal kingdom

hope you made good $$ today


my horse was out of the money in the big race

[MysteryMung]

thanks for your calls, i had 16 and 13 in my trifecta box, as well as 19 and 3 - appreciate it

[jollyoscars]

u r a champion!!

[AbeFroman]

My Oaks Derby/Kentucky Derby Double for those interest. $1=$50 dollar play. $50.00 Double 1,4,6,9,12,WT,2,3,7,8,11,13,14,15,16,19 May regret leaving Summer Soiree off there, but it is what it is. BOL to all!

Congrats to any and all winners today!

[chiliv5]

that is fantastic that you nailed it. great job

[vividjohn45]

very nice.

[vegasreaper]

Thanks alot for breakdown of race and picks, appreciate it and am looking forward to your breaking down the Preakness as well...

[str]

Congrats to any and all winners today!

Well done Abe!

How are things going for you?

[AbeFroman]

Well done Abe!

How are things going for you?

Hi Str,

Things are going well, thanks! Let me shoot you a PM here in a little bit give ya an update.

[zuk]

Alright after digesting all this information the last day I have made some conclusions from my main contenders.

3. Twice the Appeal, C. Borel, 30-1 *5*
6. Comma To The Top, P. Valenzuela, 30-1 *5*
7. Pants On Fire, R. Napravnik, 30-1 *6*
13. Mucho Macho Man, R. Maragh, 12-1 *4*
16. Animal Kingdom, R. Albarado, 20-1 *5*


The trainer of Mucho Macho Man, Kathy Ritvo, has really thrown me off this horse. She has no derby experience and she isn't a good trainer to begin with. In 2011 her steeds are 2 for 50; 4% win clip. I'll have to let this one beat me because proper preparation is key. My next throw out is CommaTotheTop. Looking at this horses last 3 running lines is speed and fade in all of them. Now this horse has to go 1.25 miles against stiffer competition and in a race which looks like there will be a good amount of early speed with Decisive Moment, Pants on Fire, Shackelford, Mucho Macho Man, and Uncle Mo. Expect much of the same here.

That leaves me with Twice Appeal, Pants on Fire, and Animal Kingdom to be me keys to weather I profit this derby.

Will be back in AM with an Oaks/Derby double pick. Got to get some coffee and start capping the Oaks. Good luck to all with your selections.

thanks for your breakdown, as you made some money for me...

[FrizB]

Nice! Thanks for the insight!

[zuk]

Will you be breaking down the Preakness

just as you did for the Kentucky Derby?

[dugbug15]

excellent job,moneyline.i had the winner,animal kingdom,but,screwed it up in such a way that i did'nt cash one single ticket.not smart enough to bet a win tix,and be happy with it.
good luck in the preakness