Big Brown

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  • hawk 5
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-06
    • 3982

    #1
    Big Brown
    If Big Brown is such a clear cut can't lose horse, whats stopping me from laying the +136 and raking in some easy money. I don't know crap about horse racing or betting but I know how to read. Just thinking about this right now, no bets yet. Let me have it.
  • hawk 5
    SBR MVP
    • 09-12-06
    • 3982

    #2
    I'm talking about the Preakness of course.
    Comment
    • thezbar
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-29-06
      • 6422

      #3
      Horse has never raced over this surface. Thats a risk. Off track is another issue, if its anything other than fast its a caution flag. There's always racing luck which is always a factor. Remember Barbaro?
      Overall on paper its his race to lose. He figures to win. Its not free money but he should win tommorrow.
      Comment
      • hawk 5
        SBR MVP
        • 09-12-06
        • 3982

        #4
        Originally posted by thezbar
        Horse has never raced over this surface. Thats a risk. Off track is another issue, if its anything other than fast its a caution flag. There's always racing luck which is always a factor. Remember Barbaro?
        Overall on paper its his race to lose. He figures to win. Its not free money but he should win tommorrow.
        Thanks thezbar, but is it a really stupid bet? doesn't seem to be.
        Comment
        • JRS21386
          Restricted User
          • 04-13-08
          • 2213

          #5
          Another thing thats hard to distinguish is whether or not the Derby took so much out of him that he is just a disappointment... The last horse to win both the Derby and Preakness was Smarty Jones... And his jockey lost the Belmont for him... Remember we havent had a Triple Crown winner in 30 years... I dont think we will this year either..
          Comment
          • hawk 5
            SBR MVP
            • 09-12-06
            • 3982

            #6
            Originally posted by JRS21386
            Another thing thats hard to distinguish is whether or not the Derby took so much out of him that he is just a disappointment... The last horse to win both the Derby and Preakness was Smarty Jones... And his jockey lost the Belmont for him... Remember we havent had a Triple Crown winner in 30 years... I dont think we will this year either..
            yeh, good points but having a horse, boxer or what ever this good seems like only comes around ever so often. Just feels like a good spot to gamble big.
            Comment
            • JRS21386
              Restricted User
              • 04-13-08
              • 2213

              #7
              Yeah... Up to you.. If it helps any theres only 2 other horses in the field who have EVER won a graded stakes race.. They say its one of the weakest fields they have seen in years.. So i would definately say big brown should win... but theres always those outside factors ya know... but go big brown, definately..
              Comment
              • thezbar
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-29-06
                • 6422

                #8
                I agree it is a weak field.
                Comment
                • hawk 5
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-12-06
                  • 3982

                  #9
                  Originally posted by JRS21386
                  Yeah... Up to you.. If it helps any theres only 2 other horses in the field who have EVER won a graded stakes race.. They say its one of the weakest fields they have seen in years.. So i would definately say big brown should win... but theres always those outside factors ya know... but go big brown, definately..
                  Yes that did help, thanks, I'm ****ing doing it. I'm all for money management but sometimes you have to go outside your comfort zone. I'll be the one climbing the wall.
                  Comment
                  • JRS21386
                    Restricted User
                    • 04-13-08
                    • 2213

                    #10
                    Originally posted by hawk 5
                    Yes that did help, thanks, I'm ****ing doing it. I'm all for money management but sometimes you have to go outside your comfort zone. I'll be the one climbing the wall.
                    GL Buddy! I'll be rootin for Big Brown as well... What time is post?
                    Comment
                    • hawk 5
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-12-06
                      • 3982

                      #11
                      I think 4:30 central
                      Comment
                      • thezbar
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-29-06
                        • 6422

                        #12
                        The +136 Doesn't make sense to me! The morning line is 1/2 which is -200 in sport betting lingo.
                        Comment
                        • hawk 5
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-12-06
                          • 3982

                          #13
                          Originally posted by thezbar
                          The +136 Doesn't make sense to me! The morning line is 1/2 which is -200 in sport betting lingo.
                          Got the line from bookmaker ya'll have to take it up with them.
                          Comment
                          • JRS21386
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-13-08
                            • 2213

                            #14
                            awesome thanks... yeah no kidding where did you find a +136 line?
                            Comment
                            • JRS21386
                              Restricted User
                              • 04-13-08
                              • 2213

                              #15
                              thats cool... you got a steal then! GL
                              Comment
                              • hawk 5
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-12-06
                                • 3982

                                #16
                                It's around 1/3
                                Comment
                                • Louisvillekid1
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 10-17-07
                                  • 52143

                                  #17
                                  Big Brown should smoke them tommorrow. As you guys already stated, the field is extremely weak because trainers/owners know they can't beat this horse. Gayego is the only legit threat, but he didn't show up in the Derby. I was hoping Bob Black Jack would enter this race, because I thought he would have a chance to steal it. I can't play a horse at 1-9 so I probaly won't have any action on in. Maybe a big exacta wit some bombs underneath BB, if the pools are right.

                                  BB's performance in the Derby was unreal and has improved each race out. If he can save ground like he did in that 20 horse field then he should have no problem in this shorter field.

                                  GL, maybe we can make some money on the undercard. . .
                                  Comment
                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-17-07
                                    • 52143

                                    #18
                                    +136? you sure that isnt to win the Triple Crown?

                                    There is no way your going to get plus money on this horse to win this race, you misreading that.
                                    Comment
                                    • hawk 5
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-12-06
                                      • 3982

                                      #19
                                      It's how they posted it, it still comes out to winning around 1 for my 3.
                                      Comment
                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-17-07
                                        • 52143

                                        #20
                                        Im not sure how that works because +136 to me means, bet 100 win 136. . .

                                        Good luck to you either way
                                        Comment
                                        • hawk 5
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-12-06
                                          • 3982

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                          Im not sure how that works because +136 to me means, bet 100 win 136. . .

                                          Good luck to you either way
                                          Your right, it's just how they posted it, thanks.
                                          Comment
                                          • hawk 5
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-12-06
                                            • 3982

                                            #22
                                            It was at +1.36 now at +1.33.
                                            Comment
                                            • thezbar
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-29-06
                                              • 6422

                                              #23
                                              I logged on to my bookmaker account and Big Brown was -305 vs the field in the horse racing props, Which is about what the track odds figure to be.
                                              Comment
                                              • JRS21386
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-13-08
                                                • 2213

                                                #24
                                                sounds right..
                                                Comment
                                                • dodif
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-24-06
                                                  • 2037

                                                  #25
                                                  my analysis says big brown may not be the best horse tomorrow
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JRS21386
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 04-13-08
                                                    • 2213

                                                    #26
                                                    gayego has only shot of beating him
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hawk 5
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-12-06
                                                      • 3982

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by thezbar
                                                      I logged on to my bookmaker account and Big Brown was -305 vs the field in the horse racing props, Which is about what the track odds figure to be.
                                                      Just went there and it is +1.33? still comes out the same. Didn't have the . in earlier my bad. I'm still laying 1/3
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hawk 5
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-12-06
                                                        • 3982

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by dodif
                                                        my analysis says big brown may not be the best horse tomorrow
                                                        Who you got dodif, your scaring me?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dodif
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-24-06
                                                          • 2037

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by hawk 5
                                                          Who you got dodif, your scaring me?
                                                          need to see the track but in either case I have another horse rated higher than big brown. However, since i will have big brown covered in my wager type hopefully it wont matter. mad dodif love to you.

                                                          Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • hawk 5
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-12-06
                                                            • 3982

                                                            #30
                                                            LOL! you never used to be such a lover dodif, What happened?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • blackbox
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-28-08
                                                              • 1415

                                                              #31
                                                              WHAT THE POSTER IS TRYING TO SAY-SHE BET 1.00/AND WILL GET BACK 1.33 I ASSUME--
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dodif
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-24-06
                                                                • 2037

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by hawk 5
                                                                LOL! you never used to be such a lover dodif, What happened?
                                                                I signed the Dodification Proclamation and the dodif love hasnt stopped.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hawk 5
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-12-06
                                                                  • 3982

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by blackbox
                                                                  WHAT THE POSTER IS TRYING TO SAY-SHE BET 1.00/AND WILL GET BACK 1.33 I ASSUME--
                                                                  No, I bet 3 to get 1, They still post it at 1.33? thezbar I'm not disagreeing with you it's just what they put down?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thezbar
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-29-06
                                                                    • 6422

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I had to go to the older Bookmaker web site to pull up those odds. The newer site had lots of problems with the layout coming up on my computer sceen. That could have something to do with it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hawk 5
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-12-06
                                                                      • 3982

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Coooooooooollllll!!!!!!
                                                                      Comment
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