Talking Horses

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  • daoilman
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-02-07
    • 930

    #106
    Sorry about the mix-up, I get multi tasking and it screws me up sometimes.
    Comment
    • daoilman
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-02-07
      • 930

      #107
      How about in the 7th at Calder we try a line up ticket, 3-2 or 2-3 right around the track.

      A very tough race to cap, I won't be getting heavily involved here.
      Comment
      • tblues2005
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-30-06
        • 9235

        #108
        Joey, my friend is doing better but he has a long ways to go though. Your friend here sounds like a good person. I hope he comes next year to the bash. Maybe we will hit some big races so we will have fun at the bash next year also. My buddy downstairs from me is wanting to go next year also. I will let him know when it will be so he can be ready for it. I sure would like for sbr to have a horse racing contest next year.
        Comment
        • daoilman
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 09-02-07
          • 930

          #109
          What's up Blue? I haven't seen or heard from Joe today, I'm guessing he's busy with medical or he's slaving over the stove, although normally when he cooks he still pops in here, I'm guessing medical.
          Comment
          • tblues2005
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-30-06
            • 9235

            #110
            I hope he is alright but I am sure he is at the doctor today. Just post in here and let us know if you hear from him.
            Comment
            • daoilman
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-02-07
              • 930

              #111
              The finale from Calder, I'll try the #7 Omi's Vindication trained by Dave Fawkes, he is lightly raced and returning from a long layoff with a string of plow horse workouts, but he showed speed in both of the earlier starts, trust Fawkes to have this one ready.

              Piloted today by a high % rider.

              Good luck
              Comment
              • daoilman
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-02-07
                • 930

                #112
                Omi came up a little bit short, the tussle early with the #2 was just enough to keep him from getting his picture taken.

                That's it for today, time now for some poker, see you all in a day or two.

                Good luck.
                Comment
                • daoilman
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-02-07
                  • 930

                  #113
                  I don't have enough time to cap the 4th at philly, I'll be back with the 5th in a little bit.
                  Comment
                  • daoilman
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-02-07
                    • 930

                    #114
                    The 5th at philly on Tuesday, look for one of these horses to try and steal it on the front, probably the #5 Lemony Fresh, she looks like the speed of the speed, of course if challenged she may wilt going 7 furlongs, although she has raced with better and that bodes well for her.

                    Also look for the #6 Fortescue dropping from straight special weights to be involved.

                    And the #7 Major Dixie could be ready now, second start off the layoff.

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • daoilman
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-02-07
                      • 930

                      #115
                      That made sense, but terribly chalky results, the #7 never threatened and didn't hit the board, lets go to the 6th.
                      Comment
                      • daoilman
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-02-07
                        • 930

                        #116
                        In the 6th I like three horses that are shortening up, the #6, #7 and #10, I'll side with the #10 in an effort to get a big price.
                        Comment
                        • daoilman
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-02-07
                          • 930

                          #117
                          In the 7th at philly I'm going for the bomb shot, I'll take a flyer on the #10 Bert's Too Kinky, this horse has never been long with horses this cheap, worth a look at long odds.
                          Comment
                          • joeyp1222
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-01-09
                            • 5186

                            #118
                            Originally posted by daoilman
                            In the 7th at philly I'm going for the bomb shot, I'll take a flyer on the #10 Bert's Too Kinky, this horse has never been long with horses this cheap, worth a look at long odds.
                            good luck here im going with exactas 7 with 4 8 12 and im throwing in a 7-10
                            Comment
                            • joeyp1222
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-01-09
                              • 5186

                              #119
                              nice call on the 10 oily had the 12 in my start of pick 3
                              Comment
                              • daoilman
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-02-07
                                • 930

                                #120
                                Got a couple coming back on short rest, sometimes this angle will produce a pricey winner, look closely at the #5 and #9.

                                Good luck
                                Comment
                                • daoilman
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-02-07
                                  • 930

                                  #121
                                  I won't go against Joe and the #2 in the 9th from philly, so that being said, lets see if the #2 can stalk the #4 and #6 into the stretch and run them down at the wire.

                                  Good luck

                                  The #6 is a scratch, lets look for a #2-#4 exacta.
                                  Comment
                                  • daoilman
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-02-07
                                    • 930

                                    #122
                                    In the tenth from philly I'll give the #9 Emotional a chance to win, although it should be noted that with a record of 23 starts, 1 win, 7 seconds and 6 thirds this horse is a better candidate for filling out the exacta or triple.

                                    Good luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • daoilman
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-02-07
                                      • 930

                                      #123
                                      Happy Thanksgiving to everyone, I'll be here tomorrow around noon time with full card Churchill on my mind.
                                      Comment
                                      • daoilman
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-02-07
                                        • 930

                                        #124
                                        It looks like all the tracks are starting early today, I would like to throw out a possible spot play at the Fairgrounds, in the 4th race Dr.Alex, I have this horse noted from his starts at Keenland.

                                        Perhaps the move south and the change from an all weather track to a dirt track will be enough to get him a win today, worth a closer look.
                                        Comment
                                        • daoilman
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 09-02-07
                                          • 930

                                          #125
                                          The 1st from Churchill today is a bad spot to get heavily involved, I'll use several and look to get alive in a double or pick three.

                                          I'll use #4, #6, #7 and #10 in the 1st race based somewhat on class and trainers and riders.

                                          In the 2nd race I'll use #3 and #9 based on current form and workouts.

                                          In the 3rd race I'll use the #3 who showed good speed in the return race after a layoff, I'll also use the #7 a horse who is in the claiming ranks for the first time.
                                          I'll also use the #9 a horse who shortens in distance while dropping in class.

                                          The pick3 ticket will read, 4,6,7,10 with 3,9 with 3,7,9.

                                          The site I use allows me to play .50 cent tickets, the above bet cost me 12.00$ total.

                                          Good luck.
                                          Comment
                                          • daoilman
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 09-02-07
                                            • 930

                                            #126
                                            In the 4th I'll try the #5 Alpha Tammy, this one showed a lot of guts dueling on the front end while winning off a brief freshening, dangerous right back off 11 days rest.
                                            Comment
                                            • daoilman
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-02-07
                                              • 930

                                              #127
                                              I'm going for a bomb in the 6th, I'm gonna flat bet the #12 Overbid, I hopeful that the class drop helps to make him competitive in this spot, also, he should get a clean trip from the outside post.

                                              Note the latest workout over a muddy strip.
                                              Comment
                                              • daoilman
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 09-02-07
                                                • 930

                                                #128
                                                UNCLE, I give up, football and poker for me for the rest of today, good luck to those who play on.
                                                Comment
                                                • joeyp1222
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-01-09
                                                  • 5186

                                                  #129
                                                  Wheres the oilman today? Passed out in front of the tv by a warm fire? Or out there in the cold freezing your ass off. Anyways you aint missing anything so far except my nice exacta in the first 2-4th went south hoping to score one more good one today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • daoilman
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-02-07
                                                    • 930

                                                    #130
                                                    Originally posted by joeyp1222
                                                    Wheres the oilman today? Passed out in front of the tv by a warm fire? Or out there in the cold freezing your ass off. Anyways you aint missing anything so far except my nice exacta in the first 2-4th went south hoping to score one more good one today.
                                                    I see you hit good in the 1st.

                                                    As for me, I'm around, thinking I might try a little Fairgrounds action tomorrow.

                                                    Good luck today Joe, and good luck to those who tail.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • daoilman
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-02-07
                                                      • 930

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by daoilman
                                                      It looks like all the tracks are starting early today, I would like to throw out a possible spot play at the Fairgrounds, in the 4th race Dr.Alex, I have this horse noted from his starts at Keenland.

                                                      Perhaps the move south and the change from an all weather track to a dirt track will be enough to get him a win today, worth a closer look.
                                                      Anyone get down on this winner?

                                                      Comment
                                                      • joeyp1222
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-01-09
                                                        • 5186

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by daoilman
                                                        no did you? Nice call
                                                        Comment
                                                        • daoilman
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-02-07
                                                          • 930

                                                          #133
                                                          Comment
                                                          • daoilman
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 09-02-07
                                                            • 930

                                                            #134
                                                            Good morning, today a spot play in the 9th at the Fairgrounds.

                                                            Lets take a closer look at #4 Finest Cat, the first item of note should be that the "Cat" is a 5 year old who today will be facing a field of horses that are all 2 years his younger (3 year olds).

                                                            Next note that the Cat is one race back from a layoff, in the first start back the Cat earned an 87 speed rating while racing forwardly at a distance of 7 furlongs, note today the turnback to 6 furlongs. Normally when horses shorten up a furlong under similar circumstances their speed ratings will increase 5-10 points, if this holds true here it can be expected that the Cat will run a number in the mid to high 90's, a number easily good enough to beat his rivals.

                                                            Also note the comment from the Cats last race, "2w; in tight; taken up".

                                                            All added together the Cat looks like a good bet today, fair odds should be around 3-1, I wouldn't accept less than 2-1 unless I was trying to hit some kind of gimmick.

                                                            If the race unfolds as expected, that is to say that if one of the others don't throw up some freaky number, and if the Cat runs his race, he should be tough to beat.

                                                            The link to the past performances is below.


                                                            Good luck.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • joeyp1222
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-01-09
                                                              • 5186

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by daoilman
                                                              good morning, today a spot play in the 9th at the fairgrounds.

                                                              Lets take a closer look at #4 finest cat, the first item of note should be that the "cat" is a 5 year old who today will be facing a field of horses that are all 2 years his younger (3 year olds).

                                                              Next note that the cat is one race back from a layoff, in the first start back the cat earned an 87 speed rating while racing forwardly at a distance of 7 furlongs, note today the turnback to 6 furlongs. Normally when horses shorten up a furlong under similar circumstances their speed ratings will increase 5-10 points, if this holds true here it can be expected that the cat will run a number in the mid to high 90's, a number easily good enough to beat his rivals.

                                                              Also note the comment from the cats last race, "2w; in tight; taken up".

                                                              All added together the cat looks like a good bet today, fair odds should be around 3-1, i wouldn't accept less than 2-1 unless i was trying to hit some kind of gimmick.

                                                              If the race unfolds as expected, that is to say that if one of the others don't throw up some freaky number, and if the cat runs his race, he should be tough to beat.

                                                              The link to the past performances is below.


                                                              good luck.



                                                              good morning oily,i looked at the race and i like the turn back angle here too. After further looking at the charts i kinda like the #8 jedediah and throwing out his last at lousiana downs. I think he and the cat will be up front with the #1 perilous crossing coming late and i think it could end up either 8-1-4 or 8-4-1 just my thoughts, could be wrong maybe the 4 gets loose and never looks back maybe a good play is to box the 1-4-8?
                                                              If theres a 10 cent super, maybe box the 1-2-4-8

                                                              good luck to you and hope these numbers hit today
                                                              Comment
                                                              • daoilman
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 09-02-07
                                                                • 930

                                                                #136
                                                                4-ALL-ALL for the triple in the SBR sportsbook. 42 points total.

                                                                Next I'm thinking I'll go to the restaurant for a little bit and then to Tioga Park.
                                                                Attached Files
                                                                Comment
                                                                • joeyp1222
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-01-09
                                                                  • 5186

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Nice holdem tourney in waverly tonight think its $40-50 buy in usually get about 60 players plus 3 tables of cash games
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • joeyp1222
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-01-09
                                                                    • 5186

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by joeyp1222
                                                                    good morning oily,i looked at the race and i like the turn back angle here too. After further looking at the charts i kinda like the #8 jedediah and throwing out his last at lousiana downs. I think he and the cat will be up front with the #1 perilous crossing coming late and i think it could end up either 8-1-4 or 8-4-1 just my thoughts, could be wrong maybe the 4 gets loose and never looks back maybe a good play is to box the 1-4-8?
                                                                    If theres a 10 cent super, maybe box the 1-2-4-8

                                                                    good luck to you and hope these numbers hit today
                                                                    Race 9 6F Dirt
                                                                    Purse: $39000.00
                                                                    # Name Jockey/Driver Win Place Show
                                                                    8 Jedediah Miguel Mena 14.60 8.60 6.60
                                                                    5 Butter Brown Jamie Theriot 13.60 7.60
                                                                    3 Macho Regent Kerwin D. Clark 6.60
                                                                    Bet Type Runners Pay Out
                                                                    Exacta 8/5 235.20
                                                                    Trifecta 8/5/3 1767.00
                                                                    Superfecta 8/5/3/4 10915.00
                                                                    Pick 3 3/3/8 1506.80
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • daoilman
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 09-02-07
                                                                      • 930

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Today (2/10/11) in the first at Laurel, a maiden claimer, look for class drops and competent trainers and riders, the three outside horses seem to be contenders(4,5,6), the #6 takes the biggest drop and should be the play, demand odds of 4-1 or greater to help offset variance.

                                                                      Good luck.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • daoilman
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 09-02-07
                                                                        • 930

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Today, 2/10/11 @ the Fairgrounds, in the 6th race, the #2 Tap N Away drops from MSW's into a claimer, not a best bet because of anticipated short odds, but a good starting point for those who play gimmicks.

                                                                        Good luck

                                                                        I see they scratched out, I just don't have the time it takes to double check everything and still post, sorry.
                                                                        Comment
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