added horseshoe 7
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Comment -
keeneland 2 (1:32)
4 automatic press (8-1)
out [8-1]
nailed it ml maker
interestingly enough the 12-1 winner was 4-1 ml and ridden by prat .. 2yo first time starter
kind of surprised at ml .. too high imo
keeneland 7 (4:12)
4 etawa (6-1)
2nd/10 [8-5] < $3.28 >
.Comment -
added kee 7Comment -
keeneland 4 (2:36)
3 nine ball (9-2)
2nd [9-2] < $4.18 >
if you .. $2 ex w/ 4-5 fav $14.10
keeneland 5 (3:08)
1 inordinary (4-1)
scratched
keeneland 9 (5:16)
1 island town (8-1)
2nd [7-2] < $6.36 >Comment -
added keeneland 9Comment -
churchill 2 (1:20)
1 sgt bilko (7-2)
by army mule 2yo debuter
WON $4.02
churchill 6 (4:12)
7 cocoa nimbus (9-2)
out [7-2]
churchill 8 (5:15)
7 army wildcatter (6-1)
yep .. by him
scratchedComment -
added cd 8Comment -
army mule R8 scratchedComment -
hong kong (boldface to distinguish)
sha tin .. sunday
ex: 6 [7] #6 post 7
top 3 split place
<< $2 US prices >> will be given on ITM horses
[final market price] = odds +1
R1 (12:30 am)
2 [3] a time for us
out [28]
R2 (1:00)
8 [5] amazing award
5th/14 [19]
R4 (2:00)
7 [11] warriors dream
out [25]
R5 group 1 race
1 [3] ka ying rising.. world's #1 ranked sprinter going for 20 wins in a row .. obviously they'll be no value betting him
he won easy @ 1-20
R6 (3:10)
6 [2] lifeline express
out [11]
R7 (3:45) another group 1 race
4 [4] lucky sweynesse
out [5.8]
R8 (4:20)
7 [10] the red hare
out [6.2]
R9 (4:55)
a 3rd group 1 with a purse close to $4M US.. other two (R5 and R7) purses are both the same at about $3.1M .. distances of the 3 in order are 1200 , 1600 and this race is 2000 meters .. superstar 2 [5] romantic warrior will probably be odds on
he won by a length at 1-5 ($2.60)
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added sha tin 6 7Comment -
added sha tin 8 9Comment -
churchill 3 (1:43)
10 state charmer (3-1)
WON $6.24
churchill 8 (4:24)
8 direct strike (9-2)
2nd [3-1] < $4.42 > half length
10f for msw on dirt went in 2:01 + .. that's good time for the derby let alone maidensComment -
Originally posted by JBEX
In boa-world,
that's a great day at Louisville J.
Nice work.Comment -
thanks boa .. hopefully be a nice derby week and day for both of usOriginally posted by BOA12
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churchill 4 (2:14)
6 wisconsin gal (7-2)
army mule with a decent shot
out [9-2]
churchill 5 (2:47)
9 harbe (5-1)
WON $6.26
churchill 6 (3:20)
7 gene jude (3-1)
WON $5.20
churchill 9 (4:56)
ex 48
4 baccio (9-5) is batts horse through "my racehorse" and I like the 8 jet sweep joe (30-1) for 2nd .. straight exacta.. think the further outside post will benefit him and best efforts aren't too far off .. lots of scratches helps
4 won by a bunch at 1-5 and 8 was out @ 38-1
parx 7 (3:22)
4 pam pam (9-5) .. army mule war horse .. 5yo mare who gives it a go every race .. value won't be there but I'll abandon that here
here
2nd/6 [1-1] < $2.40 >
.Comment -
added churchill 9Comment -
I'm on all your plays and batt-2.Originally posted by JBEX
Go J Go
A three4ALL.
****batt's dad too, hoping all is well.
Comment -
OK gl boa .. same sentiments about batt's dad alsoOriginally posted by BOA12
I added another .. churchill 6Comment -
As luck wood have it,Originally posted by JBEX
on him 2.
Design & default and my desire.
Out in Sun , making margarita #1.
Happy derby week, celebrate if you can.Comment -
added parx 7 .. an army mule we've discussed here many times beforeComment -
enjoyOriginally posted by BOA12
Comment -
5:38 CST Happy Valley
R1.-#7-W $2
BOL2ALLComment -
Sorry J, didn't mean to post this here, 1/2 asleep.Comment -
no problemOriginally posted by BOA12Comment -
going to suggest a roll-forward on friday at churchill ending with the derby on saturday.. tomorrow's 2 are the only grade 1's on the card
R11 #9 fully subscribed (7-2) la troienne st
2nd/10 [2-1]
R13 #1 explora (6-1) kentucky oaks
4th/13 [7-1]
#1 renegade (4-1) derby
fully subscribed is a horse str and I have followed since she won her debut as a 2yo
my suggestion is win on R11 and split on the last 2 races (oaks and derby) ... at the morning lines and factoring the effect of splitting WP in the last 2 legs
a sweep would pay about 100-1 with nice consolations if the horses run 2nd
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churchill 4 (2:00)
3 battis grove (10-1)
2nd/11 [4-1] < $5.40 > headComment -
just rooting for renegade on the future bet @ 37-1
2nd/19 [9-2] < $7.14 > neck
churchill 1 (11:00)
7 time to strike (20-1)
out [26-1]
churchill 2 (11:32)
2 sovereign law (8-1)
2nd/11 [20-1] < $19.20 > half length
churchill 3 (12:05)
4 comport (15-1) jose
out [13-1]
5 john hancock (6-1) irad
out [9-2]
win only
got both ortiz brothers here who I believe won about 8 races combined yesterday
churchill 5 (1:12)
2 bear river (30-1)
out [27-1]
4 full disclosure (30-1)
out [42-1]
win only and maybe make it .75u factoring odds and it's a single race
churchill 6 (1:53)
9 scotland (20-1)
out [21-1]
churchill 8 (3:23) pat day mile
5 stop the car (20-1)
3rd [13-1]
if you .. 3-2 and 8-5 ran 1-2 .. 50 cent triple $18.91
not reaching for longies but seem to be lots of angles I look for with them today
churchill 10
2 let's be frank (30-1)
out [23-1]
not often you see a maiden running in a grade 1 race especially for a horse older than 2 .. can see it with this one off what he's done on the grass and it's certainly a vote of confidence from the trainer
.Comment -
added churchill 3Comment -
GL JOriginally posted by JBEX
have a big day.Comment -
thanks boa.. same to youOriginally posted by BOA12
about to add R5Comment -
added churchill 6 8Comment -
added churchill 10Comment -
" paige turner (army mule) finished 2nd [6-5] in allowance at churchill yesterday. .$127k oaks undercard so you know that's a tough race
active day for horses by him at major tracks including R14 at churchill 9 big jake (8-1)..oaklawn races 10 and 11 .. 10 razorback army (20-1) and 10 master mule (5-2)
5 deterministic (6-5) makes his 5 yo debut in the fort marcy stakes (grade 3) @ aqueduct R4 (2:28) "
put this in str's thread but figured I'd put it here also .. can always play army mules but deterministic will likely be an underlayComment -
the last horse to win from the rail was ferdinand (shoemaker .. 55yo or close ) in 1986 which I believe was my last derby winner lol .. believe he was last early in the race .. think he was over 20-1 without lookingComment -
I apologize .. funny cide also in 2003Originally posted by JBEX
here's ferdinand in 1986 .. look how far outside he was coming into the stretch and wound up coming through on the rail
Comment
