saratoga .. two races a day max

[JBEX]

R1 out @ 13-1 (4)

R7 W $6.70/4.40 (22.20/8)

R12 out @ 16-1 (2)

22.20/14

268.45/154

R 290.65
B 168


plays 29 (8 "others")

[JBEX]

R2 W $9.60/5.20 (29.60/8)
R10 4th @ 7-2 (8)

R7 ..2nd by half @ 7-1 $7.10
(3.55/2)


33.15/18

R 268.45
B 154


plays 26 (7 "others")


roi +3.48 <<<<
+2.00 break even





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in my attempt to show roi a different way I actually got it wrong ..the correct number would be +1.48...meaning $1.48 profit for every $2 invested..breakeven is 0.00 ..decided not going to do an roi each day as I feel it's unnecessary




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[JBEX]

R1 #2 my shot (3-1)
4WP @ 1:10


R6 #9 coral sea (6-1)
4WP @ 4:02

[JBEX]

added R1

[JBEX]

out @ 9-5
out @ 7-1


R 290.65
B 184


plays 31 ( 8 "others" )





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[JBEX]

aware it's off the turf..the situation I don't want is to be on an off-the-turf race that I played to be on it


R6 #13 melle mel
4W (no place) @ 4pm



R9 #7 stately order (12-1)
2WP @ 5:42





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[JBEX]

added R9

[JBEX]

4th @ 4-5 (4)
out @ 10-1 (4)



R 290.65
B 192

plays 33 ( 8 "others" )

[JBEX]

must go on the turf


R6 #2 caddiemaster (10-1)
2WP @ 4:02









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[JBEX]

R6 taken off turf

[JBEX]

#7 pamplona red (8-1 ml ..6-1 @ 7 mtp)
2WP


aware off turf

[JBEX]

out @ 8-1

R 290.65
B 196


plays 34 (8 "others")

[JBEX]

R10 #1 evaluation (4-1)
4W (no place) @ 6:19

[JBEX]

W $9.60

R 309.85
B 200


plays 35 (8 "others" )

[JBEX]

aware it's sloppy


R2 #8 friend ofthe devil (10-1)
2WP @ 12:37

first time starter for all you dead-heads



R5 #2 shot in the dark (20-1)
2WP @ 2:14



other

R6 #4 praetor (5-2)
2W
can only do 2 total so just going win



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[JBEX]

added "other" play

[JBEX]

whitney


R11 #10 skippylongstocking (8-1)
@ 5:42

not thread pick..just opinion on a big race

[hawkwind]

GP R-10 5

Sar R-6 6
R-11 7

GL JBEX

[Pigpen]

Hey Guru, I am going to watch the board before the Whitney but I think we are going to see someone from off the pace win. Watching the card the track is playing fair or maybe closing horses have a tad bit of an advantage. National Treasure should have company up front. I was going to take a shot with #4 Warrior Johny but seeing Rosario opting for Disarm I believe he has a legit shot. His last race will enhance his odds. He has run well at the Spa and the price should be square.


That being said I like you selection of Skippy. IMO he will be forgotten in the wagering and he has the ability IMO to score @ a great price. Good luck. Hope you win if I do not.

[JBEX]

Hey Guru, I am going to watch the board before the Whitney but I think we are going to see someone from off the pace win. Watching the card the track is playing fair or maybe closing horses have a tad bit of an advantage. National Treasure should have company up front. I was going to take a shot with #4 Warrior Johny but seeing Rosario opting for Disarm I believe he has a legit shot. His last race will enhance his odds. He has run well at the Spa and the price should be square.


That being said I like you selection of Skippy. IMO he will be forgotten in the wagering and he has the ability IMO to score @ a great price. Good luck. Hope you win if I do not.

please no more guru lol ..kind of asomething I just accepted lightheartedly from b o a but always kind of cringed inside
..realize you've called me it before but would rather just bury it ..no big deal

I actually think disarm is not a bad play in this race ..looking at it again because you mentioned it..his off the layoff race win was a joke (pace) and he just did what he had to
..didn't get much out of that more than likely and may have needed more conditioning like he got last race being it was 2nd off a 9 month layoff..now the good part he gets back to saratoga and on an off track which he ran well on twice here last year..it's no surprise he likes the off with his sire/ dam sire combo ..I think very interesting at a price

[Pigpen]

Fair enough. You know it is a term of endearment. That is a race horse. He has a full sister that banked 71K.

[JBEX]

Fair enough. You know it is a term of endearment. That is a race horse. He has a full sister that banked 71K.

I know pigpen yes she is nothing special but big bro is a runner ..AR not even in the ballpark of nat treasures pace numbers so really surprised he got the lead like that..unless NT got out bad ..wasn't focused on it..also by tapit so figured to like the surface..might get another shot in the woodward @ saratoga 4 weeks from now and kingsbarns would be a likely opponent
..hopefully there's some other good speed entered to set it up for him lol..look forward to seeing both of their next races wherever they happen to be

[JBEX]

out @ 6-1 (4)
out @ 13-1 (4)
3rd nose (2nd) @ 7-2 (2)


R 309.85
B 210

plays 38 (9 "others")





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[JBEX]

R1 #3 first class lady (5-2)
4WP @ 1:10


R6 #4 twirling lulu (7-2)
4WP @ 4:02



other

R4 #5 bad boy butch (10-1)
1WP

I don't see what attracts irad to ride this debuter.. distance a real puzzler (turf route) based on sire / dam sire combo


posted about half hour before race and opened @ 5-1




.

[JBEX]

added R4

[JBEX]

2nd @ 3-2 $3.20 (6.40/8)
out @ 2-1 (8)
out @ 7-1 (2)

6.40/18


R 316.25
B 228


plays 41 (10 "others")




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[JBEX]

R6 #6 brooklyn dantz (15-1)
2WP @ 4pm


R7 #7 aaraj (9-2)
2WP @ 4:34

realize at these odds usually go higher but just lukewarm about this one






.
.

[JBEX]

added 7

[JBEX]

out @ 36-1 (4)
2nd @ 7-1 (7.40/4)

7.40/8



R 323.65
B 236



plays 43 ( 10 "others")

[JBEX]

***

[JBEX]

other

R9 #6 riverwalk .. 9/5 @ 7 mtp
2W only

know it's off turf

[JBEX]

W $4.90


R 328.55
B 238


plays 44 (11 "others")





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[JBEX]

R6 #8 and one more time (6-1)
4WP @ 4:02



R7 #8 the taco lady (6-1)
4WP @ 4:35



two #8's @ 6-1 ml



other

R10 #8 ninja abarrio
2W no place* (other)
@ 6:19

* can only go 2 total

know it's off turf

[JBEX]

added R10

[JBEX]

from tomorrow forward

any race on an off track will be

2WP if (originally 4WP)
0WP if (originally 2WP)
no change ("other bet")

unless designated "off ok" in which case amount remains the same


off turf is always no bet unless I acknowledge "know it's off turf" ..usually this will only happen with a late bet







.