Need 1 winner this weekend regardless of odds

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  • Madison
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-16-11
    • 6368

    #1
    Need 1 winner this weekend regardless of odds
    Give me one. Who's your best pick. Guilty here of lovin the youngins.
  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23011

    #2
    saw one I really liked at the fairgrounds (12-1) but looks like the weather's going to be bad and don't want to play an off track ..going to look more tomorrow..default will be the pegasus world cup
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23011

      #3
      Originally posted by JBEX
      saw one I really liked at the fairgrounds (12-1) but looks like the weather's going to be bad and don't want to play an off track ..going to look more tomorrow..default will be the pegasus world cup
      guess if your more concerned with winning a 12-1 ml isn't the way to go
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23011

        #4
        Originally posted by JBEX
        saw one I really liked at the fairgrounds (12-1) but looks like the weather's going to be bad and don't want to play an off track ..going to look more tomorrow..default will be the pegasus world cup
        going to stick with this one rain or shine

        fairgrounds saturday

        R2 #5 devilsgotacause (12-1) 4:28

        3yo 1st time starter

        card starts late


        .
        Comment
        • Pigpen
          SBR MVP
          • 05-09-08
          • 2736

          #5
          Hey Madison, I think the Pegasus WC is wide open. I looked long and hard and I am going to step out on a wager that is not very attractive at first look but will play if the circumstances fall just right.

          1/27 Gulfstream Park: Race 13:

          #12 Skippylongstocking ML 8-1
          The post is almost the kiss of death but I am hoping the gate position will increase the ML odds. I will void any single race wager on him if he does not float up to over 10-1, that is a must IMO. This guy has a lot going for him other than the post.

          Likes the track: 9 (3-1-1).
          Likes distance: 7 (3-1-1).
          His figures on paper put him right there at the end.
          Last race encouraging: BC Dirt Mile (G1) where he ran a great 3rd.
          Trainer: Saphie Joseph running on his home track.

          His running style may deter some as National Treasure is in this event and may go favored. His race in the BC Dirt Mile really sticks out and if he repeats that I think he wins but his odds will be too low for me. I am going to go ahead and play some horizontals and if Skippy's odds drift up will play him in the race itself.
          Last edited by Pigpen; 01-26-24, 11:36 AM. Reason: Wording
          Comment
          • Madison
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-16-11
            • 6368

            #6
            Originally posted by JBEX
            saw one I really liked at the fairgrounds (12-1) but looks like the weather's going to be bad and don't want to play an off track ..going to look more tomorrow..default will be the pegasus world cup
            Same here. I'm challenged enough with good conditions.

            I had 5 come out of my stable. Just spent 2 hours and didn't come to a solid feel for anyone. I did think OP R4 #9 Lemon Muffin looked real solid. It looked like there were some interesting others but I guess you need to beat the #8 Blue Squall to get value.

            2 others were TP R9 Asmodeous and OP R6 Hit Scene but both coming off LONG layoffs circa 9 MO's. I never know what to do with these.

            Chat later.
            Last edited by Madison; 01-26-24, 11:11 AM.
            Comment
            • Madison
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-16-11
              • 6368

              #7
              Originally posted by JBEX
              saw one I really liked at the fairgrounds (12-1) but looks like the weather's going to be bad and don't want to play an off track ..going to look more tomorrow..default will be the pegasus world cup
              GP R12 ... How good do you think Integration is?
              Comment
              • Madison
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-16-11
                • 6368

                #8
                Originally posted by Pigpen
                Hey Madison, I think the Pegasus WC is wide open. I looked long and hard and I am going to step out on a wager that is not very attractive at first look but will play if the circumstances fall just right.

                1/27 Gulfstream Park: Race 13:

                #12 Skippylongstocking ML 8-1
                The post is almost the kiss of death but I am hoping the gate position will increase the ML odds. I will void any single race wager on him if he does not float up to over 10-1, that is a must IMO. This guy has a lot going for him other than the post.

                Likes the track: 9 (3-1-1).
                Likes distance: 7 (3-1-1).
                His figures on paper put him right there at the end.
                Last race encouraging: BC Dirt Mile (G1) where he ran a great 3rd.
                Trainer: Saphie Joseph running on his home track.

                His running style may deter some as National Treasure is in this event and may go favored. His race in the BC Dirt Mile really sticks out and if he repeats that I think he wins but his odds will be unbeatable to me. I am going to go ahead and play some horizontals and if Skippy's odds drift up will play him in the race itself.
                Hey Pigpen. Thanks for taking the time for the write-up. Certainly a lot to like. I had Fast Mission come out of my stable but I think he's pretty stale. Wish there was a notes option. I may have to keep a parallel document so I can look back at what I was thinking at the moment.

                BOL!!
                Comment
                • mrginandtonic
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-11-09
                  • 7729

                  #9
                  My best bet regardless of odd will be:


                  GP Race 6

                  1- Romagna Mia (ML 8-5)



                  Two long shots that I really like:


                  GP Race 5

                  3- Headline News (ML 15-1)


                  GP Race 11

                  12- Signator (ML 15-1)

                  Looks like a really good card at GP Saturday, do you see anything interesting?
                  Comment
                  • Madison
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-16-11
                    • 6368

                    #10
                    FWIW

                    One surprise: Yu is completely fading Skippylongstocking, even though he's one of the top favorites at 8-1! "A well beaten seventh in this race last year, Skippylongstocking rebounded with some smaller stakes scores and finished the year a credible third in the Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile. Both 2023 scores were in frontrunning fashion on off tracks, and I don't think he's getting on the lead here even if it's a little wet. Hard to endorse," Yu told SportsLine.
                    Comment
                    • Madison
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-16-11
                      • 6368

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                      My best bet regardless of odd will be:


                      GP Race 6

                      1- Romagna Mia (ML 8-5)



                      Two long shots that I really like:


                      GP Race 5

                      3- Headline News (ML 15-1)


                      GP Race 11

                      12- Signator (ML 15-1)

                      Looks like a really good card at GP Saturday, do you see anything interesting?
                      Thanks Bud. Maybe we can collaborate here for the GP card??
                      Comment
                      • Madison
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-16-11
                        • 6368

                        #12
                        OP R10 Notary looks tough here no?? Given the scratches. Should be on or near the pace with little issue with the distance???
                        Comment
                        • Madison
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-16-11
                          • 6368

                          #13
                          Boy, OP R4 i liked 9/8. The 9 tooled the 8 last out. I had no confidence in the 4 getting all the $ off 9 mo layoff. Bet the 9 10wps and the 8 comes back and beats him. Don't get it.
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23011

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Madison
                            GP R12 ... How good do you think Integration is?
                            as a general rule don't care to bet undefeated horses making their 4th or greater start because it's too obvious

                            my knock would be he's making his first start vs older horses in a grade one..no feel for the race
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23011

                              #15
                              Originally posted by JBEX
                              as a general rule don't care to bet undefeated horses making their 4th or greater start because it's too obvious

                              my knock would be he's making his first start vs older horses in a grade one..no feel for the race
                              5 webslinger looks like a better horse to me and he's 15-1..besides being undefeated lot of it (3-1) has to do with ny based trainer and jockey but nothing wrong with casse and zayas
                              Last edited by JBEX; 01-26-24, 03:38 PM.
                              Comment
                              • Madison
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-16-11
                                • 6368

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JBEX
                                5 webslinger looks like a better horse to me and he's 15-1..besides being undefeated lot of it (3-1) has to do with ny based trainer and jockey but nothing wrong with casse and zayas
                                Yeah, I had him as well?

                                2 Winners and a 2nd and I'm up maybe $20.
                                Comment
                                • Madison
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-16-11
                                  • 6368

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Madison
                                  OP R10 Notary looks tough here no?? Given the scratches. Should be on or near the pace with little issue with the distance???
                                  Crushed this one!! Had the race 1/35. WPS prices a gift here.
                                  Comment
                                  • Madison
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-16-11
                                    • 6368

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Madison
                                    Boy, OP R4 i liked 9/8. The 9 tooled the 8 last out. I had no confidence in the 4 getting all the $ off 9 mo layoff. Bet the 9 10wps and the 8 comes back and beats him. Don't get it.
                                    Apparently I refuse to learn my lesson with 2 yo's. LOL

                                    Probably should have just bet wps and boxed the ex.
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23011

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Madison
                                      Crushed this one!! Had the race 1/35. WPS prices a gift here.
                                      won easy..nice call !
                                      Comment
                                      • Madison
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-16-11
                                        • 6368

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                        won easy..nice call !
                                        Thanks Bud! as you are well aware these streaks can or will be fleeting. Just enjoying being on a nice run. BOL Today!!
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23011

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Madison
                                          Thanks Bud! as you are well aware these streaks can or will be fleeting. Just enjoying being on a nice run. BOL Today!!
                                          very true..you also
                                          Comment
                                          • Madison
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-16-11
                                            • 6368

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                                            My best bet regardless of odd will be:


                                            GP Race 6

                                            1- Romagna Mia (ML 8-5)



                                            Two long shots that I really like:


                                            GP Race 5

                                            3- Headline News (ML 15-1)


                                            GP Race 11

                                            12- Signator (ML 15-1)

                                            Looks like a really good card at GP Saturday, do you see anything interesting?
                                            Ouch.
                                            Comment
                                            • mrginandtonic
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-11-09
                                              • 7729

                                              #23
                                              Yeah, Romagna Mia sure was a disappointment; bet down to 3-5; no show


                                              And Headline News was bet down to 6-1; third by 1/2 length...



                                              Not a good start...
                                              Comment
                                              • mrginandtonic
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-11-09
                                                • 7729

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                                                Yeah, Romagna Mia sure was a disappointment; bet down to 3-5; no show


                                                And Headline News was bet down to 6-1; third by 1/2 length...



                                                Not a good start...
                                                Irad won 4 out of the 8 races; does anyone else know how to ride?? Fading him on all Pick 4 and Pick 5's!! WTF
                                                Comment
                                                • Madison
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-16-11
                                                  • 6368

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                                                  Yeah, Romagna Mia sure was a disappointment; bet down to 3-5; no show


                                                  And Headline News was bet down to 6-1; third by 1/2 length...



                                                  Not a good start...
                                                  Hurt me, but nothing a comp'd cocktail wont cure.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mrginandtonic
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-11-09
                                                    • 7729

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                                                    Irad won 4 out of the 8 races; does anyone else know how to ride?? Fading him on all Pick 4 and Pick 5's!! WTF
                                                    LMFAO; Irad again.... fading him the rest of the way WTF
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mrginandtonic
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-11-09
                                                      • 7729

                                                      #27
                                                      DRF Race of the Day GP Race 13- Pegasus World Cup 1 1/8 Dirt

                                                      $2WP 11- Crupi (ML 20-1)

                                                      think his running style will get him a good trip. Just lay money on these favorites. Not sure if the 7 will the lead, maybe 4,7 and 12 will all gun to the front. Can't find any trustworthy closer. Don't know why Gaffalione is not riding the 2- O'Connor which I like a lot too. Paco is having a great meet. He has hit triple digit Beyers before, 2nd off layoff, like GP and the distance. I pick the 11 because he has a similar running style as the 2, he is only 4 years old and can certainly improve. Gonna Ex box the 2 and 11, and mix in with the 4,7,8,12 underneath the tri.

                                                      What is everyone playing in this race??
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BOA12
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-19-12
                                                        • 20622

                                                        #28
                                                        11:38 CST

                                                        GP R2 #4 Do Gooder 6-1 Lightning fast 1st starter M. WP of course.

                                                        2nd at 5/2* X-$4.00 *Favorite.
                                                        Last edited by BOA12; 01-28-24, 12:51 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Easy-Rider 66
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 02-14-12
                                                          • 36077

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by BOA12
                                                          11:38 CST

                                                          GP R2 #4 Do Gooder 6-1 Lightning fast 1st starter M. WP of course.
                                                          BOA12 back from hibernation. welcome back
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BOA12
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 02-19-12
                                                            • 20622

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                            BOA12 back from hibernation. welcome back
                                                            Selecting after a long lay off should be approached carefully. Castellano been hurting me this meet, get even time.

                                                            My good deed 4today we're both due.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Easy-Rider 66
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-14-12
                                                              • 36077

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by BOA12
                                                              Selecting after a long lay off should be approached carefully. Castellano been hurting me this meet, get even time.

                                                              My good deed 4today we're both due.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23011

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by BOA12
                                                                11:38 CST

                                                                GP R2 #4 Do Gooder 6-1 Lightning fast 1st starter M. WP of course.
                                                                good to see you back b o a ..dangerous off the layoff




                                                                .
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BOA12
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-19-12
                                                                  • 20622

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                  good to see you back b o a ..dangerous off the layoff




                                                                  .
                                                                  Good 2B back Guru.

                                                                  My lost interest has been found.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BOA12
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-19-12
                                                                    • 20622

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                    good to see you back b o a ..dangerous off the layoff




                                                                    .
                                                                    2nd as 5/2 favorite X-$4.00
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23011

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by BOA12
                                                                      2nd as 5/2 favorite X-$4.00
                                                                      ran a huge race and bet well in a field with so much pedigree talent..tough go at 7f first out
                                                                      Comment
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