Oaks day! Hopefully, my momemtum carries into today. I'll only be playing CD today and Belmont (I think the card today is really good even though the best jockeys normally there will be in Kentucky).
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BEL
R1 #5 Charlotte Webley
R2 #10 Big Mountain
R3 #1 Burning Bright
R6 #3 Cali Fitz (triple amount. J.Abreu has great first time numbers and McCarthy been riding great lately)
R7 #4 Creed
R9 #10 Caravel
CD (OAKS DAY) - Will add my thoughts for each race since I have time today, day off!
R1- Pass
R2 #2 Front Street
-A lot of speed signed on here. #6 is obvious. #5 could benefit with the pace as well. #3 dangerous with Irad.
R3 #2 Rookery
-Just broke maiden, so winners for first time, but I think light bulb stays on and improves again third time cycle. Of course, #4 is obvious, Brown's #5 just not a fan, #8 is a wildcard, was awful on sloppy track last time, big Wilkes fan.
R4 #4 Take Charge Lorin
-Liked maiden win two back with 2nd/3rd place finishers coming back to win next out, drops for this one as G3 last time against some really good ones and didn't disgrace herself as all three are in the Oaks today, Ava's grace scratched, Coach who was 50-1 now at 19-1 and Paulines Princess 20-1 now at 11-1. #3 concerns me most, then #10.
R5 #10 Spooky Channel- screw it.
R6 Pass
R7 Pass
R8 #5 Paris Lights
- Mott has been hot, gets Tyler, and he didn't have put him here, so he must be confident. Should improve second off. #3 has won off layoffs before, and #2 will probably be odds on.
R9 #6 Slumber Party and #9 Li'l Tootsie ExBox
- Challenging race. But, I told myself at start of day that I will play exacta box these two, so I'm sticking with my plan. I think Tootsie and Amoss w/Prat get back to what they do best and will be closing strong. Slumber Party had a bad ride last time as Rosario got him into a lot of trouble early, after finally getting running space, closed well. I think these two will be fighting until the end.
R10 #5 Just Might
-Didn't like last race, putting a line through it. Fits with these. Doesn't seem to ever win, but you never know as he's always close.
R11 Kentucky Oaks #3 Clairiere and #4 Crazy Beautiful, and exbox them #3 and #4
All bets double so $20 per play, $10 exbox
R12 #6 Abby Hatcher
R13 #8 PortillaLast edited by Jellymancan; 04-30-21, 05:55 PM.Comment -
Add CD R2
Most plays will be 5-10 minutes before post at CD today.Comment -
Added CD R3Comment -
Added CD R4Comment -
GL Jellyman!! Who do you like for the Oaks?Comment -
I put some of my thoughts in JBEXs thread. Between three right now. Leaning #3 or 4.
Clairiere ML 5-1, right now 7-1
Crazy Beautiful ML 15-1, right now 7-1
Pass the Champagne 15-1, right now 9/2
Long shot- Coach ML 50-1, 20-1 right now
Who do you like?Comment -
Added CD R5- changed my mind.Comment -
Saez is riding out of his mind down there this week. 17-6-3-1 this week so far. Keep an eye on his mounts going forward, if you haven't already!Comment -
Added CD R8Comment -
Updated amount on R6 at BELComment -
Wow, that was bad. Sorry guys. Didn't like seeing some minor issues getting in the gate, and Trevor trying to calm, but woah, no good.Comment -
Added CD R9Comment -
Tough day so far, but enough time to turn it around or get worse. Lol. All in all, I'm happy fans are back! Really want to get back up to Saratoga this summer.Comment -
Lovely, just put the TV NBC sports, and the damn announcer Olczyk has the same play as me. Kiss of death!Comment -
(138) 1229/ 1430 [.85]
Quick update. 1 pending play as of now. Will be more.Comment -
Added CD R10Comment -
Added CD R11, doubling bets ,FYI usually do $10 wins and $5 exbox.Comment -
(143) 1229/1500 [.81]Comment -
Added CD R12Comment -
Added CD R12Comment -
(145) 1391/1520 [.91]Comment -
BEL 5/1
R2 #10 Dubai Bobby
R3 #1 Wicked Trick
R5 #3 Tribhuvan
R7 #7 Our Troubadour
R8 #5 Closertotheheart (double $)
R11 #5 Lemon Taffy
Looking at the derby card now. Will make a separate post tomorrow in this thread. Even though it's one of the biggest days of the year horse racing wise, I'm still going to keep in in this thread. Figured I'd share these belmont plays early.Last edited by Jellymancan; 05-01-21, 05:22 PM.Comment -
OK Jelly thx for posting your Belmont leans. going to tail Hart and you in a Belmont lockdown on Derby Wars today. Races 1-7Comment -
FYI: SBR pool picks aren't my picks for the day. I will be posting plays like yesterday about 5-10 minutes before each day. Good luck today everyone!Comment -
CD- Kentucky Derby Day
R1 Pass
R2 #11 Anthropology
R3 #10 Centrifuge
R4 #2 Bizzie Channel, #6 Hay Dakota and exbox #2 and #6
R5 #4 Southern Passage
R6 # She's Got You
R7 Pass
R8 #7 Whiskey Double, #8 Dream Shake, exbox #7 and 8
R9 #1 Excellent Timing, #13 Scarlett Sky, exbox #1 and #13
R10 #5 Tap It to Win (triple $)
R11 #4 Ivar, #1 Masterofoxhounds
R12 #1 Known Agenda, #5 Rock Your World, #8 Medina Spirit #3 Brooklyn Strong, #14 Essential Quality
#1 Known Agenda $50 W
#8 Medina Spirit $20 W
#3 Brooklyn Strong $20 W
#5 Rock Your World $50 W
.50 tri #1,#3,#5,#8,#14 ($30)
R13 #8 Wora, exbox #4 and #8Last edited by Jellymancan; 05-01-21, 06:44 PM.Comment -
CD R3 addedComment -
Added CD R4.Comment -
God Luck Jelly,
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GL JellymanComment