2yo maiden special weights @ large tracks through keeneland spring '22

[JBEX]

added churchill 5

[JBEX]

and swear I'm not lying; about 20 mins before seeing these pp's my brother showed me a picture of sketch drawings of the 86 mets (although that name more refers to the 69 edition)






churchill

R5 #4 lady mila (8-1)


did this in str's thread

churchill has a night card so plenty of time..this horse is expensive,speed pedigree (top,bottom)and was bet very well first out..asmussen great with these types
roi wise especially factoring how well known he is..my thought was didn't do much at all first out and really hasn't asked for much from her in the morning..makes me think she didn't need it and was just conditioned for the race..got her experience and may show a lot more here..debut will get you a little more of a price ..might be sloppy later on but that wouldn't be a negative to me if she goes

moved forward

[JBEX]

still owe above one


belmont


R3 #4 amazing dream (5-2) 5W

4-6 are well bred expensive horses..mine is the cheapest but "relative to the specs" like her the best..these are the types of races (depth) you'll see more of at saratoga






.

forward also

[JBEX]

belmont

R1 #7 magical knight (12-1) 2WP

from 6/5

out @ 27-1

(24) 184.20/151(1.21)

[JBEX]

today


bel

out at 3-1


cd

WINNER $6.00/4.40


(26) 199.80/161 [1.24]




gave myself default amount (3WP)as I forgot to write bet size @ cd






.

[JBEX]

churchill

R4 #10 suburban court (10-1) 2WP

[JBEX]

churchill

R4 #10 suburban court (10-1) 2WP

rarely whine after a result in these type of races but it was a toss up between mine and the winner ($36 firster and realize you would have to trust me on that)..specs very solid on the winner..trainer having a great meet,best first out sire there is with a large sample of horses and solid steady works..homebred which (since he wasn't auctioned)I always like as I know he wasn't sold cheap privately..obviously liked mine also but really feel I'll take something away from this as far as to how I weigh things



(27) 199.80/165 [1.20]

[JBEX]

churchill

R3 #9 cailin diana (10-1) 3WP


same trainer I missed with last time..like what he has here at a price

[JBEX]

belmont


R2 #3 pammy's ready (7-2) 3WP

sure you'll be seeing quite a few of these up at the spa and I would say at least 2 future stakes winners in here..go with wesley ward who's tearing them up at this meet and excels at 2nd starts and off a layoff..like the even effort at kee first out as a primer and major bloodlines being by more than ready out of a war front mare..she is a homebred and bred to handle either surface



churchill


R2 #3 speedometer (3-1) 6W

big pedigree homebred for one of asmussen's biggest clients winchell thoroughbreds..she will probably be around 6-5 in here but feel this is a very weak field (unlike the bel race)..another thing regarding the pedigree is the dam sire is all speed and has been very productive from a limited amount of starters..gotta love a horse with this name first out..have a hunch she'll be running in one of the 2yo stakes up at saratoga



R3 #4 embrace (5-1)





.gulfstream

R3 #6 sassy charlee (20-1)2WP
R5 #7 risk vs reward (10-1) 3WP




really starting to pick up with these type of races..they had a race at gp going 2 turns on the turf..the shortest route there can be but still they're starting to go longer

[JBEX]

added cd 2

[JBEX]

added cd 3

[JBEX]

added gulf 3 5

[JBEX]

belmont


R3 #6 powerful force (6-1) 3WP




churchill



R3 #5 almuahed (5-1) 3WP





.

[JBEX]

added CD 3

[JBEX]

churchill

R3 #9 cailin diana (10-1) 3WP


same trainer I missed with last time..like what he has here at a price

belmont


R2 #3 pammy's ready (7-2) 3WP

sure you'll be seeing quite a few of these up at the spa and I would say at least 2 future stakes winners in here..go with wesley ward who's tearing them up at this meet and excels at 2nd starts and off a layoff..like the even effort at kee first out as a primer and major bloodlines being by more than ready out of a war front mare..she is a homebred and bred to handle either surface



churchill


R2 #3 speedometer (3-1) 6W

big pedigree homebred for one of asmussen's biggest clients winchell thoroughbreds..she will probably be around 6-5 in here but feel this is a very weak field (unlike the bel race)..another thing regarding the pedigree is the dam sire is all speed and has been very productive from a limited amount of starters..gotta love a horse with this name first out..have a hunch she'll be running in one of the 2yo stakes up at saratoga



R3 #4 embrace (5-1)





.gulfstream

R3 #6 sassy charlee (20-1)2WP
R5 #7 risk vs reward (10-1) 3WP




really starting to pick up with these type of races..they had a race at gp going 2 turns on the turf..the shortest route there can be but still they're starting to go longer

out @ 6-1



R2 scratched


R2 ..3rd @ 3-1
R3 ..scratched


R3 out @ 20-1
R5 out @ 10-1


(31) 199.80/187 [1.06]

[JBEX]

belmont


R3 #6 powerful force (6-1) 3WP




churchill



R3 #5 almuahed (5-1) 3WP





.

out @ 4-1


out @ 7-1


the 4-1 ml debuter that I thought would be 2-1 won and paid $29..if I were playing this race live would've never played this horse at that price.. horses that are completely dead on the board do win on occassion



(33) 199.80/199 [1.00]

[JBEX]

churchill

R4 #1 cousin rose (10-1) 3WP


gulfstream

R1 #8 hard to capture (7-2) 6W



.

[JBEX]

added gp 1..only 2yo msw there today

[JBEX]

churchill

R4 #1 cousin rose (10-1) 3WP


gulfstream

R1 #8 hard to capture (7-2) 6W



.

out @ 19-1

off track.. no play

(34) 199.80/205 [0.97]

[JBEX]

belmont

R2 #3 life is great (15-1) 3WP



churchill

R1 #5 absolute chaos (12-1)
R2 #2 rattle n roll (10-1) 3WP





.

[JBEX]

added CD 2

[JBEX]

belmont

R2 #3 life is great (15-1) 3WP



churchill

R1 #5 absolute chaos (12-1)
R2 #2 rattle n roll (10-1) 3WP





.

three 3rds @ 19 -1 bel and 11-1 and 16-1 churchill..
crappy luck with these for a while now

belmont half length from winner

churcill 11-1 neck from 2nd

churchill 16-1 checked sharply after the start


(37) 199.80/223 [0.89]

[JBEX]

gulfstream

R1 #4 catching magic (20-1) 2WP

[trytrytry]

gulfstream

R1 #4 catching magic (20-1) 2WP

2 min to post this one might go off 60-1 or so. lets see. thanks for sharing..

[JBEX]

2 min to post this one might go off 60-1 or so. lets see. thanks for sharing..

np ttt..1 or 2 shockers over the course of the year all you can hope for..qualify shocker as > 30-1..but a 2yo making its 2nd career start as good a spot as any to catch one

[JBEX]

np ttt..1 or 2 shockers over the course of the year all you can hope for..qualify shocker as > 30-1..but a 2yo making its 2nd career start as good a spot as any to catch one

another good strategy is playing them underneath (3rd,4th)
in tris and supers..you had the other monster odds horse finish 4th and mine was a length further back from him..$49 for a dime is an outrageous overlay for those odds (1/5 first and 7/2 second )

[JBEX]

gulfstream

R6 #7 miss central (10-1) 3WP



ellis

(going to switch to big tracks as the purses are big and high quality fields in these races..so all kentucky except turfway are considered large tracks)


R4 #4 gorgeous carina (4-1) 5W 2P



.

[JBEX]

added elp 4

[JBEX]

gulfstream

R1 #4 catching magic (20-1) 2WP

gulfstream

R6 #7 miss central (10-1) 3WP



ellis

(going to switch to big tracks as the purses are big and high quality fields in these races..so all kentucky except turfway are considered large tracks)


R4 #4 gorgeous carina (4-1) 5W 2P



.

out @ 50-1



out @ 16-1

out @ 4-1





(40) 199.80/240 [0.83]

[JBEX]

belmont

R1 #9 starting up (12-1) 3WP

fts trying the turf.the thing I like least about him is turf pedigree but bill mott is calling shots so trust his judgement..doesn't mean he's going for it first out but like that he cost a good amount for the spec... mott very capable 1st out if he's got one with talent

[dts677]

Off turf now, last to load.

[JBEX]

belmont

R1 #9 starting up (12-1) 3WP

fts trying the turf.the thing I like least about him is turf pedigree but bill mott is calling shots so trust his judgement..doesn't mean he's going for it first out but like that he cost a good amount for the spec... mott very capable 1st out if he's got one with talent

off turf

[JBEX]

saratoga


R2 #3 prima della (12-1) 3WP



combined with others next page

[BOA12]

saratoga


R2 #3 prima della (12-1) 3WP

Will be back tomorrow for Saratoga and make a feeble attempt to compete, or lite a fire under you J. Another 1st ballot in the Horse Player Hall Of Fame Currently in my garage, free admission. Of course J, NO Rain.

[BOA12]

OUT. (3) 24/0. KEE R1 #2 A Lot To Like 3-1 $2Win $6Place. R3. #4 8-1 Why Behave $2Win $6Place.

These both scratched on 4-22. Also, on 5-22 at SA R2 #7 $2Win $6Place. Out. // (4)32/0. My zero point Thursday.