harthebar tracking thread... monmouth, keeneland and saratoga

**JBEX** · 07-17-20, 09:02 AM

~~Prioritize is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course~~

Apex Predator is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course

{7/11} @ 28-1

Mission Wrapitup is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

{4/8} @ (5-2)

~~Shared Success is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course~~

Dialed in Gold is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Monmouth Park *****

{7/9} @ 7-1

Our Man Luke is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park

{2/12} @ 4-1 $3.80

Pianzi is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park.

{1/12} @ $3.00/2.40

unexciting as a $9.20 exacta is it's about an 80% overlay with the odds

1-2 = 66% pool (close)
4-1 = 20% (close)

100 - 66 =34

34÷20 =1.7

3.00 (win price) × 1.7 = $5.10 median exacta price those odds

adjusted overlay from 50% to 80%

didn't even think of it at the time but the win and place money on both coincidentally adds up to the exacta payoff

.

**JBEX** · 07-17-20, 07:24 PM

7/17

risk 20 /return 9.20

overall

risk 144 / return 112.70 [- 21.8%]

**JBEX** · 07-18-20, 09:29 AM

Scatnap is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park.
{3/7} @ 5-2

Varenka is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Monmouth Park.
{5/7} @ 5-1

Nay Lady Nay (Ire) is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Monmouth Park.
{1/7} $6.40/3.80

Aquaphopia is scheduled to run today in Race 11 at Monmouth Park. {1/9} $23.40/9.20

Standard Deviation is scheduled to run today in Race 11 at Monmouth Park.
{7/9} @ 5-1

Authentic is scheduled to run today in Race 12 at Monmouth Park.{1/7} $3.20/2.60

Dr Post is scheduled to run today in Race 12 at Monmouth Park. {3/7} @ 9-5

~~Lonhtwist is scheduled to run today in Race 13 at Monmouth Park~~.

We Awesome Jenny is scheduled to run today in Race 14 at Monmouth Park.{9/10} @ 50-1

risk 32/return 48.60

~~Money moves is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course~~

Catman is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course {10/10} @ 5-1

Cucina is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Saratoga Race Course {4/7} @ 9-1

Monarchs Glen is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Saratoga Race Course {2/7} @ 25-1..$13.00

~~Altaf is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.~~

risk 12 /return 13

.

**JBEX** · 07-18-20, 09:31 AM

good luck hart and thanks for putting them in order

**BOA12** · 07-18-20, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by JBEX

good luck hart and thanks for putting them in order

2nd that

.

**harthebar** · 07-18-20, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by JBEX

7/17

risk 20 /return 9.20

overall

risk 144 / return 112.70 [- 21.8%]

Well I'm hanging in there j not to bad

**harthebar** · 07-18-20, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by JBEX

good luck hart and thanks for putting them in order

Trying to make it e z

**JBEX** · 07-18-20, 08:31 PM

Originally posted by harthebar

Well I'm hanging in there j not to bad

not at all.. it's a grind and I'm sure good things will happen over time.. we're looking at the whole meet to do well and it's not a straight path up

possible I may wait till monday to grade the weekend

**JBEX** · 07-18-20, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by harthebar

Trying to make it e z

it helps and I'm learning to be more efficient grading so it's going well

**JBEX** · 07-18-20, 08:55 PM

with nothing on monday or tuesday and only saratoga on weds and thursday this is no big deal at all.. hey maybe we could add 1 monday and tuesday track..i'd seriously consider it but just for those two days.. other stuff later in the week no good.. one of the better products like parx, delaware or indiana.. up to you but I'd be ok to try it

**JBEX** · 07-18-20, 09:30 PM

could be something like parx or indiana (both run monday and tuesday).. I'd start a separate thread.. monmouth ends sunday 9/27 so I'd bring this one to end on tuesday 9/29 (even though those meets go further.. need to have an end date) no big deal if you decide not to do it.. you can play whenever you feel like it on those days

**harthebar** · 07-18-20, 11:16 PM

Well I'd try parx. It seems I get follows there

**JBEX** · 07-19-20, 05:58 AM

ok so i'll start a parx monday and tuesday through 9/29 thread..that will fill the gap a bit while not being too much to do over the next couple of months..if this goes well (mean keeping score) maybe we'll do something different in october..hong kong I believe starts early september and we'll definitely do that as long as you're willing..have to decide if you want to play the follows you've accumulated off the layoff or just start finding new ones..my guess would be the break wouldn't matter to you

**JBEX** · 07-19-20, 06:24 AM

my thoughts (without either of us committing yet) would be something like this..

september

spa ends first week..
hong kong circuit starts ( 2 days )
monmouth till end of september (3 days)
parx through end of the month (2 days)
stay away from bel and churchill as a break (derby 9/4)

october

kee fall meet 2-3 weeks.. (5 days )
start back with nyra bel into aqueduct (4 days)
but when kee ends just do nyra through the winter (and hong kong still going)
probably no gulfstream or switch over to it and stop aqueduct

see how things go..I think that's doable but maybe i'll feel differently come september..hong kng a definite as long as your willing

**JBEX** · 07-19-20, 06:51 AM

I see one change I would make on that schedule (was doing it on the fly lol )..skip belmont fall meet (rest) and start up nyra again at the beginning of aqueduct on 11/6 or just wait till gulfstream on 11/29..both more than I'd want to do

again just tossing around some ideas..maybe by end of september when these current tracks are done won't want to do it anymore ..see what happens

**harthebar** · 07-19-20, 07:50 AM

I like it all. But would want Belmont in. I like ny racing to much ..and follow it. I keep putting new follows in. And drop them out all the time.. I keep them in as long as they are racing sharp....but they can o lt do that for a few times....but I like Belmont more than any other track

**JBEX** · 07-19-20, 08:41 AM

OK that'll definitely be a go.. I'll commit to it now but we'll start a different thread for that.. maybe take a break after that and skip gulfstream december and restart new year.. see how it goes but belmont we'll definitely do

**harthebar** · 07-19-20, 12:25 PM

First race Monmouth 50 winner

**JBEX** · 07-19-20, 12:43 PM

you know I was going to transfer them over and forgot

counts just the same

nice job

**harthebar** · 07-19-20, 01:44 PM

Originally posted by JBEX

you know I was going to transfer them over and forgot

counts just the same

nice job

I figured as much.

**JBEX** · 07-20-20, 07:11 AM

I recorded saturday's results without tallying above (post 38)doing this little by little and will complete by day's end or tomorrow

sunday

Vicar's Legend is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course.
{2/7} @ 5-1 $4.80
Vineyard Sound is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course.
{5/7} @ 7-1

.

Banana Thief is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course. {4/7} @ 10-1
Drowse Beach is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course. {7/7} @ 9-5
Dovima is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course. {2/5} @ 3-5 .. $2.20
~~Candy Cornell is scheduled to run today in Race 4 at Saratoga Race Course.~~
Kroy is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course. {4/8} @ 9-5
Willing To Speed is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race {5/8} @ 21-1
Cats pajamas's. is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Saratoga Race Course.{5/8} @ 2-1
Mills is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.{3/7} @ 6-1

risk 36 /return 7

Ms. Amethyst is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Monmouth Park.

{1/7} $50.60/16.20
Athwagg is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Monmouth Park.

{3/8} @ 6-1
Flat Out Beautiful is scheduled to run today in Race 8 at Monmouth Park.

{4/6} @ 1-1

Bramble Bay is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Monmouth Park.

{1/8} $4.20/2.60

Sammy's Mineshaft is scheduled to run today in Race 13 at Monmouth Park.

{1/9} $8.60/4.20

~~Trapped N my mind is scheduled to run today in Race 14 at Monmouth Park.~~

risk 10 / return 85.40

.

**JBEX** · 07-20-20, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by JBEX

Scatnap is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park.
{3/7} @ 5-2

Varenka is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Monmouth Park.
{5/7} @ 5-1

Nay Lady Nay (Ire) is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Monmouth Park.
{1/7} $6.40/3.80

Aquaphopia is scheduled to run today in Race 11 at Monmouth Park. {1/9} $23.40/9.20

Standard Deviation is scheduled to run today in Race 11 at Monmouth Park.
{7/9} @ 5-1

Authentic is scheduled to run today in Race 12 at Monmouth Park.{1/7} $3.20/2.60

Dr Post is scheduled to run today in Race 12 at Monmouth Park. {3/7} @ 9-5

~~Lonhtwist is scheduled to run today in Race 13 at Monmouth Park~~.

We Awesome Jenny is scheduled to run today in Race 14 at Monmouth Park.{9/10} @ 50-1

risk 32/return 48.60

~~Money moves is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course~~

Catman is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course {10/10} @ 5-1

Cucina is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Saratoga Race Course {4/7} @ 9-1

Monarchs Glen is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Saratoga Race Course {2/7} @ 25-1..$13.00

~~Altaf is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.~~

risk 12 /return 13

.

Originally posted by JBEX

I recorded saturday's results without tallying above (post 38)doing this little by little and will complete by day's end or tomorrow

sunday

Vicar's Legend is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course.
{2/7} @ 5-1 $4.80
Vineyard Sound is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course.
{5/7} @ 7-1

.

Banana Thief is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course. {4/7} @ 10-1
Drowse Beach is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course. {7/7} @ 9-5
Dovima is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course. {2/5} @ 3-5 .. $2.20
~~Candy Cornell is scheduled to run today in Race 4 at Saratoga Race Course.~~
Kroy is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course. {4/8} @ 9-5
Willing To Speed is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race {5/8} @ 21-1
Cats pajamas's. is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Saratoga Race Course.{5/8} @ 2-1
Mills is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.{3/7} @ 6-1

risk 36 /return 7

Ms. Amethyst is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Monmouth Park.

{1/7} $50.60/16.20
Athwagg is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Monmouth Park.

{3/8} @ 6-1
Flat Out Beautiful is scheduled to run today in Race 8 at Monmouth Park.

{4/6} @ 1-1

Bramble Bay is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Monmouth Park.

{1/8} $4.20/2.60

Sammy's Mineshaft is scheduled to run today in Race 13 at Monmouth Park.

{1/9} $8.60/4.20

~~Trapped N my mind is scheduled to run today in Race 14 at Monmouth Park.~~

risk 10 / return 85.40

.

7/18 and 7/19

risk 90/ return 154

previous balance post 37

overall

risk $234/ return $266.70 [+13.7%]

**JBEX** · 07-23-20, 10:18 AM

Fresco is scheduled to run today in Race 4 at Saratoga Race Course.

Bareeqa is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

~~Jc's Shooting Star is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Saratoga Race~~ Course

**JBEX** · 07-23-20, 11:06 PM

Originally posted by JBEX

Fresco is scheduled to run today in Race 4 at Saratoga Race Course.

Bareeqa is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

~~Jc's Shooting Star is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Saratoga Race~~ Course

{1/6} $3.00/2.10

{7/7} @ 5-2

risk 242 /return 271.80 [1.12]

breakeven [1.00]

**JBEX** · 07-24-20, 12:52 PM

~~Hurricane Andrew is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Monmouth Park~~

OFF TURF NO PLAY

~~Painted Image is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Monmouth Park~~

Party In The Sand is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course.

{3/7} @ 36-1

Peaceful is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course

{1/7} $4.60/2.90

Sparkling Sky is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course

{2/7} @ 5-1 $5.50

$22 exacta for $2

Overjoyed is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

{4/8} @ 7-1

..

**JBEX** · 07-25-20, 07:33 AM

Originally posted by JBEX

~~Hurricane Andrew is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Monmouth Park~~

OFF TURF NO PLAY

~~Painted Image is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Monmouth Park~~

Party In The Sand is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course.

{3/7} @ 36-1

Peaceful is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course

{1/7} $4.60/2.90

Sparkling Sky is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course

{2/7} @ 5-1 $5.50

$22 exacta for $2

Overjoyed is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

{4/8} @ 7-1

..

risk 258 /return 284.80 [1.10]

break-even [1.00]

**JBEX** · 07-25-20, 07:41 AM

going 2 WP each on races where there are 2 horses selected.. this isn't how I'd do it but for record keeping purposes and factoring in some of these might be big prices think it's the best and easiest thing to do.. 3 horses on occasion would be just win bets but that doesn't happen much.. think that's why above risk number is not divisible by 4

**JBEX** · 07-25-20, 12:22 PM

~~Quarky is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Monmouth Park.~~
Here Comes Bubbles is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Monmouth Park

{4/7} @ 11-1

Vicar's Legend is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park this is his day

{5/5} @ 7-1

By The Sea is scheduled to run today in Race 13 at Monmouth Park.
If Not Now is scheduled to run today in Race 13 at Monmouth Park

1,13 off turf

--------------

Jc's Shooting Star is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course. scratched the few days ago

{4/6} @ 6-1

Seethisquick is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

{6/8} @ 40-1

Volatile is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course

{1/4} $2.80/2.10

Firenze Fire is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course

{4/4} @ 5-1

.

**JBEX** · 07-26-20, 12:16 PM

will do the book work tomorrow hart

Take charge Again is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Monmouth Park

Groovey Tale is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park

Ocean Map is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Monmouth Park

Chunnell scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Monmouth Park

Silver Token is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course

Fotis is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course. Like him in super. Big odds can get in

Hilliard is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course

Ginger Kitty is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

Eye Of A Soldier is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course.

Halladay is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Saratoga Race Course

.

**JBEX** · 07-27-20, 09:47 AM

Silver Token is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course

{2/8} @ 4-1 $4.50

Fotis is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course. Like him in super. Big odds can get in

{7/12} @ 142-1

Hilliard is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course

{8/8} @ 37-1

Ginger Kitty is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

{2/8} 5-1 $6.60

Eye Of A Soldier is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course.

{8/8} @ 50-1

Halladay is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Saratoga Race Course

{4/6} @ 2-1

Take charge Again is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Monmouth Park

{2/7} @ 3-5 $2.40

Groovey Tale is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park

{2/6} @ 5-2 $4.00

Ocean Map is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Monmouth Park

{6/8} @ 36-1

Chunnell scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Monmouth Park

SCR

risk 36/ return 17.50

258/284.80

Quarky is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Monmouth Park.
Here Comes Bubbles is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Monmouth Park

{4/7} @ 11-1

Vicar's Legend is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park this is his day

{5/5} @ 7-1

By The Sea is scheduled to run today in Race 13 at Monmouth Park.
If Not Now is scheduled to run today in Race 13 at Monmouth Park

1,13 off turf

--------------

Jc's Shooting Star is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Saratoga Race Course. scratched the few days ago

{4/6} @ 6-1

Seethisquick is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course

{6/8} @ 40-1

Volatile is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course

{1/4} $2.80/2.10

Firenze Fire is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course

{4/4} @ 5-1

_____________________

saturday/sunday

258/284.80

risk 60/ return 39.90

risk 318/ return 324.70 [1.02]

[1.00] break-even

**JBEX** · 07-29-20, 10:43 AM

Miss Ross is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course

{7/9} @ 34-1

Tradeable is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course.
{2/9} @ 26-1} $19.60

Classic Lady is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Cours

{1/6} $4.10

Wegetsdamunnys is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course

{3/6} @ 6-1

War Canoe is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course.

{2/6} @ 2-1 $3.00

top 3 in this race including classic lady..not a good result though

Six Percent is scheduled to run today in Race 8 at Saratoga Race Course.

{3/7} @ 10-1
Dancers For Token is scheduled to run today in Race 8 at Saratoga Race Course.
{6/7} @ 13-1
j the 2 in red

24/ 22.60

risk 342/ return 347.30

**JBEX** · 07-29-20, 06:53 PM

risk 342/ return 347.30

**JBEX** · 07-30-20, 02:58 PM

Lord Camden is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course

{3/9} @ 10-1...missed 2nd by a neck to 32-1

Vip Nation is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course.
{6/7} @ 3-1

Nutzforboltz is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course.

{6/9} @ 30-1

Barrel Of Destiny is scheduled to run today in Race 8 at Saratoga Race Course. very sharp now

{7/9} @ 5-1

Freaky Styley is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Saratoga Race Course.

Disciplanarian is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course

{7/12} @ 9-1

Brickyard is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.

{3/12} @ 9-2

**JBEX** · 07-30-20, 06:32 PM

risk 366/ return 347.30 [0.94]

break-even [1.00]

**JBEX** · 07-31-20, 09:51 AM

~~Malthael~~ is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park.
~~Traffic Pattern~~ is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Monmouth Park

off turf

Zonic is scheduled to run today in Race 2 at Saratoga Race Course.

{3/7} @ 6-1

Prairie Wings is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Saratoga Race Course

{2/7} @ 5-2 ..$3.80..head

[B]~~Wall Eye[~~/B] is scheduled to run today in Race 5 at Saratoga Race Course

Zealous is scheduled to run today in Race 6 at Saratoga Race Course.

{1/8} 11.40/5.40

Strike Magic is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Saratoga Race Course.

{6/10} @ 44-1