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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23396

    #1
    saturday
    belmont

    R1 #11 mitzrayim (10-1)


    R2 #5 plutonian (10-1)

    lokks like they were intending to run him at keeneland.. interesting they would go through all this trouble to ship a horse from europe.. as bad as his last 5 races look (from last year) you had a 26 horse field (finished 5th). 2 other races with much better company than today.. 2 poly track races.. could wake up at this level.. 2018 version much better than this field.. first time lasix and wesley has hit with two euro shippers and at least one (possibly both) was a huge price.. maybe feel he'll like firmer ground


    R3 #2 back channel (3-1)

    linda rice with another mega expensive firster (relative applies here). I always like to take a shot with these even though that doesn't necessarily mean first out's going to be a masterpiece.. chad brown just inside of her with a 2-5 ml .. still don't understand how mathematically you can have a 2-5 and 3-1 in the same race but maybe someday I will


    just pick rest as I want to look at churchill


    R4 #4 fluent in sarcasm (7-2)
    R5 #4 sea foam (7-2)
    R6 #4 celebration (9-2)
    R7 #8 empire lady (15-1)
    R8 #10 good credence (9-2)
    R9 #4 blamed (10-1) don't agree ml
    R10 #5 hurricane breeze (4-1)


    churchill

    R1 #3 chicks for free (7-5) odds on
    R2 #3 urban cat (8-1)
    R4 #8 my destiny (20-1)

    homebred debuter win early,turf and extremely productive dam..working well for capable below the radar trainer

    R5 #4 art collector (3-1)


    R6 #8 pyron (5-2)
    R7 #4 popular kid (5-1)
    R9 #6 shanghai's dream (6-1)



    R10 #8 recoded (15-1)
    R10 #11 shadilee (15-1)

    2 horses half each


    R11#5 arklow (8-5)

    think the even run in the pegasus world cup is a perfect launching point to stretch out and drop..in the breeders cup turf he ran evenly behind an absolutely tortoise-like pace..may not look it on paper but I'm going by figs ...the race before that in the turf classic was monstrous including the pace..not a big price but sitting on a big race imo









    ..
    Last edited by JBEX; 06-13-20, 03:00 PM.
  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23396

    #2
    finished belmont
    Comment
    • Chi_archie
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-22-08
      • 63167

      #3
      have yourself a day!
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23396

        #4
        Originally posted by Chi_archie
        have yourself a day!
        thanks chi _ you also !
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23396

          #5
          through 5 churchill
          Comment
          • homerbush
            SBR MVP
            • 11-17-08
            • 2317

            #6
            This is my only betS today
            Belmont 5
            $5 double for $30

            Race 5: 2,8
            Race 6: 3,7,8

            $5 double for $20
            Race 5: 2,8
            Race 6: 3,8

            $20 double

            Race 5: 8
            Race 6: 8
            Comment
            • homerbush
              SBR MVP
              • 11-17-08
              • 2317

              #7
              I say only bet but if I lose the first half of the double I’m definitely rebetting the 3 if he is near double digit odds
              Comment
              • homerbush
                SBR MVP
                • 11-17-08
                • 2317

                #8
                This is the one i wish i posted yesterday. This was a hedge against the pick 5 i was going to hit if the 7 won Race 9..... I had it other ways too so that only one of the 2's had to come in but it worked out pretty well. Still missed barely missed that pick 5 on a couple tickets.
                ughhhh i can never post images basically it was race 8 pick 3 Belmont $5 total bet $45
                2
                All
                2

                paid almost $1300......
                Last edited by homerbush; 06-13-20, 11:50 AM. Reason: image not posted
                Comment
                • homerbush
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-17-08
                  • 2317

                  #9
                  i dont understand how that 2 in Race 10 went off at 9-2 i thought he should be 6-5.
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23396

                    #10
                    Originally posted by homerbush
                    i dont understand how that 2 in Race 10 went off at 9-2 i thought he should be 6-5.

                    I don't see he how you could say that.. he exited a slow ny bred race last out..don't care that he finished 2nd.. they went 1 1/4 and he never ran beyond 1 1/16.. others prior were very good.. I think 9-2 about right but never under 5-2 imo
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23396

                      #11
                      Originally posted by JBEX
                      I don't see he how you could say that.. he exited a slow ny bred race last out..don't care that he finished 2nd.. they went 1 1/4 and he never ran beyond 1 1/16.. others prior were very good.. I think 9-2 about right but never under 5-2 imo

                      Florida breds my mistake.. ny breds these days are better than Florida breds
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23396

                        #12
                        had wrong number cd R4.. it's 8 and had 9..sorry corrected it
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23396

                          #13
                          through 9 churchill.. still have last 2 to look at
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23396

                            #14
                            finished churchill
                            Comment
                            • Jellymancan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-09-20
                              • 3695

                              #15
                              Like that R10 CD Shadilee pick, was going to put him in contest, but left out. Watch him do well now lol
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23396

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Jellymancan
                                Like that R10 CD Shadilee pick, was going to put him in contest, but left out. Watch him do well now lol

                                yeah I think last wasn't a bad effort at all considering the long layoff..then still have to factor in she broke her maiden first out at saratoga..understand it wasn't against msw but still on brisnet a solid figure..probably value to be had because she finished behind the 10 who was coming off a much shorter layoff..I know things go that way a lot ..don't do it they win..think i'm done with best bets for today so I won't be on it
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23396

                                  #17
                                  with all the multi - hundred thousand and occasionally million dollar horses chad brown runs I find it very interesting when he wins first out at a short price with a 5 figure horse.. I mean can't he just lose with a horse like that lol.. I bet if there was some way to check his record with these types under 3-1 that they might be profitable.. got to be a reason they're betting those types
                                  Comment
                                  • JBEX
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-02-12
                                    • 23396

                                    #18
                                    was totally wrong about everything in the ogden phipps.. didn't see the final but was around the ml at post.. I'm often critical of them so when I'm wrong I should bring it up.. with ollies candy just outside of her there was no way she was getting a favorable trip.. much faster pace figs with oc.. really bad call
                                    Comment
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