tuesday

[JBEX]

lone star

R2 #2 alexandros (5-1)
R4 #3 american dream (4-1)
R5 #9 shesmybroker (10-1)
R6 #1 heavenly rhythm (15-1)

win may be a tall order.. favorites (#7@ 8-5 and #6 @ 2-1)..like the former better of those two


R7 #4 lemon drop kitty (20-1)

dont get ml.. to me they're not factoring in level of competition he's been running against

[homerbush]

Yep that 9 is awesome just posted about it in another thread. Will be 7-2 at post time so play it in pick 3,4, and second half double as people betting lone star tend to pay too much attention to the ML in the horizontal bets.

[homerbush]

PS I also like that 3.... I haven’t capped beyond race 5 yet so can’t offer anything about race 6 yet.

[homerbush]

PS I also like that 3.... I haven’t capped beyond race 5 yet so can’t offer anything about race 6 yet.

Actually I tossed the 3 in that race hahaha. It was race 2 liked the 3 I played 7-8-11-12 in Race 4 and really like that 11

[JBEX]

Actually I tossed the 3 in that race hahaha. It was race 2 liked the 3 I played 7-8-11-12 in Race 4 and really like that 11

9 will be lower more than likely.. why don't you like the 3?

[JBEX]

added 7.. don't like 8 9

[homerbush]

9 will be lower more than likely.. why don't you like the 3?

The tools I use to evaluate first times starters tells me he should be 50-1 hahaha which I think it a little outrageous but I wouldn’t touch him at less than 10-1 and will be probably go off 2-1.

[BOA12]

The tools I use to evaluate first times starters tells me he should be 50-1 hahaha which I think it a little outrageous but I wouldn’t touch him at less than 10-1 and will be probably go off 2-1.

Off to OTB. Bol homer and all others today.

[homerbush]

U2!!!

[JBEX]

he's has an elite pedigree that would stick out in a nyra msw race let alone down there..you automatically dismiss them which I can understand but this type you'll see very infrequently at this type of track..the biggest case you can make against is he's there in the first place but this owner/breeder been around for a long time. .he doesn't care about winner''s share being about $15k less i'm sure

[JBEX]

also asmussen not good first out on the turf

[homerbush]

Typically, my tools for first time starters If they are legit will comeback at even money or 7-5 or too far the other way. When I see 50-1 it raises alarms. I’m sure I’m overvaluing his 8% first time on turf win rate. That said he probably wins by 15 lengths which happens to me a lot with these first time starters. Usually I just toss them in a ticket but this time I’m taking a stand.

[homerbush]

*debut on turf that should have read.

[JBEX]

just don't get how they could rate a horse with that pedigree 50-1..I think he'll be around 9-5 and I'd say 3-1 or higher is not a good sign ..>5-1 little chance

[homerbush]

Oh I think he’ll go off 9-5 or 2-1 but I see no value at those odds or even 4-1

[JBEX]

it's not a great opportunity.. these things are obvious (ped trainer) to many and value is gone.. can understand going elsewhere.. I agree with the 11..those route races at monmouth weren't bad

[BOA12]

U2!!!

Joined you at Lone Star R5 P3 3 9/ 1 6 7/ 2 4 5 7 11 & R4 P3 7 8 11 12/ 3 9/ 1 6 7. & R4 P3 11/ 1 3 4 5 9 10/ 1 6 7. R5 # 9- 10 30 X. Played JBEX's R7 # 4- 5 5 5. Bol and thanks for your picks.

[homerbush]

I went a lot skinnier on my race 2 pick 4 than my doubles. 50 cent for $24 also did another one with 9 as a single

1,3,5,6
4,9
7,11
7,9,10

[homerbush]

*9 as a single in race 5

[BOA12]

*9 as a single in race 5

Like him WP too.

[homerbush]

Nice pick on the 2 jbex. All my horizontal bets took a beating that race the only thing I got was a $15 show bet on the 6.

[homerbush]

Nice pick on the 2 jbex. All my horizontal bets took a beating that race the only thing I got was a $15 show bet on the 6.

Which will pay crap with all the money that has to go back to the 1.

[homerbush]

Which will pay crap with all the money that has to go back to the 1.

Wow actually covered most of my losers.

[homerbush]

Race 3 pick 3 50 cents for $30 wagered

1,4,5,7,9
7,8,11,12
7,9,10

[homerbush]

Race 3 pick 3 50 cents for $30 wagered

1,4,5,7,9
7,8,11,12
7,9,10

Also did a bunch of larger dollar doubles in race 3 and race 4

[BOA12]

Also did a bunch of larger dollar doubles in race 3 and race 4

Good luck homer. Did play JBEX's R2 #2 3W 3P and hit 2 1 exacta too.

[KnuckleHeadz]

Lone Star.
Race 4 #11, #6
Race 5 #9, #1
Race 6 #7, #2
Race 7 #5, #4, #1
Race 8 #10, #12

GL today Fellas!!

[BOA12]

lone star

R2 #2 alexandros (5-1)
R4 #3 american dream (4-1)
R5 #9 shesmybroker (10-1)
R6 #1 heavenly rhythm (15-1)

win may be a tall order.. favorites (#7@ 8-5 and #6 @ 2-1)..like the former better of those two


R7 #4 lemon drop kitty (20-1)

dont get ml.. to me they're not factoring in level of competition he's been running against

Played R2 #2 giving me a great start. Thanks JBEX you are Star at LS.

[BOA12]

Lone Star.
Race 4 #11, #6
Race 5 #9, #1
Race 6 #7, #2
Race 7 #5, #4, #1
Race 8 #10, #12

GL today Fellas!!

You too Bro. R4 played #11 WP and EXX 11/7 8 12. Let's get 'em today!

[homerbush]

Good luck homer. Did play JBEX's R2 #2 3W 3P and hit 2 1 exacta too.

Nice hit.

[homerbush]

Beside my larger pick 3 above I narrowed some to a single of the 9 in race 5. And threw down a $15 show on the 7 in race 3.

[BOA12]

Nice hit.

Thanks bro. Played JBEX's R7 #4 $2 WPS and in R5 P3 last leg. Exciting.

[BOA12]

Beside my larger pick 3 above I narrowed some to a single of the 9 in race 5. And threw down a $15 show on the 7 in race 3.

#7 will be 50 to 1. $20 to $30 to show! Rooting for you homer. Only an observer this race.

[homerbush]

Another race I should have boxed my pick 3 horses in an exacta hahaha

[homerbush]

Well at least my smaller pick 3s and doubles are alive and I got that show.