through sunday

**JBEX** · 05-21-20, 06:56 AM

thursday contest picks (it's 2 races up to 2 horses each )

posts 226/~~227~~

**JBEX** · 05-21-20, 07:01 AM

discussion pick (race counts as 1 pick)

churchill R7

only ones of the non a/e's that I wouldn't play are

3-dalika (5-2) don't want short price on a horse who hasn't recently been sprinting

9-more (12-1) never run on the turf

think all others are reasonable but I'll pick 3 of them

#1 vj's bet (15-1)

5 starts in turf sprints (under 5.5f) and 4 of those 5 showing here.. the kentucky downs at 6.5f not one of them..

like that she just missed first time she tried it here and followed up with another good effort right after where she was very wide on the turn.. lost by a half length and and a full length respectively... the fact that it happened on this course is meaningful to me

following effort at arlington disappointing no way around it

then next start just missed by a head at kentucky downs in a 12 horse field.. handling that course to me shows versatility even though it was an extended length turf sprint

skip the dirt race and then a n2x alw at keeneland which wound up on the brisnets to be a very fast figure race.. finished 6th of 12 in after showing early lick to the stretch call.. final figure not terrible

last off the turf race means nothing and if anything might have given her a little exercise

like this resume at a price

#4 mentality (4-1)

toss the last in a listed stakes on a yielding track..
everything else pretty self explanatory.. runs everytime including a win off a similar layoff last year.. want to try and beat her at what'll in my guess be around 5-2

#6 devant (4-1)

competitive vs grade 3 and handicap horses in france.. longer turf sprints then this but like the class factor as racing over there generally considered superior to here.. if turf comes up good or worse that's even better

**Jellymancan** · 05-21-20, 08:14 AM

All Gulfstream races off turf Thursday.

**JBEX** · 05-21-20, 08:33 AM

OK jelly thanks.. that'll take me off R1

**JBEX** · 05-21-20, 09:43 AM

2 best bets @ churchill

R5 #5 jersey agenda (8-1)

thinking this is a private purchase with owner trainer being the same..that being said I'm OK with the drop.. 1/1 at this track and that win 9 back was off a very similar layoff with a surface switch

R8 #1 addison (9-2)

broke his maiden vs 30k claimers here breaking from the rail at this distance.. enough said

**JBEX** · 05-21-20, 01:28 PM

all these baseball names

#6 junior gilliam (50's dodgers 2nd base)
#8 ernie banks

and seen cleon jones (69 mets)

**JBEX** · 05-21-20, 01:29 PM

and seen brooks robinson recently

**JBEX** · 05-21-20, 04:51 PM

charlestown (if sloppy go lighter)

R2 #4 tivano (9-2) 7:34pm
R8 #5 dear john letter (7-2) guessing 3-2

**JBEX** · 05-21-20, 05:54 PM

didn't care for the card.. just added the last race

**JBEX** · 05-22-20, 09:57 AM

breaking the rules a little lol.. I'll at least go with a theme.. would take every horse jose ortiz is on R2-6 ( didn't look beyond that).. he's not riding R5 and his choice of mounts R4 is very interesting.. $10k maiden, horse didn't do much first out, avg trainer but is a first time gelding.. you'd think he wouldn't hop on any horse in a cheap race like this especially with no proven performance

also playing a maiden in the contest thread

**KnuckleHeadz** · 05-22-20, 10:56 AM

Originally posted by JBEX

breaking the rules a little lol.. I'll at least go with a theme.. would take every horse jose ortiz is on R2-6 ( didn't look beyond that).. he's not riding R5 and his choice of mounts R4 is very interesting.. $10k maiden, horse didn't do much first out, avg trainer but is a first time gelding.. you'd think he wouldn't hop on any horse in a cheap race like this especially with no proven performance

also playing a maiden in the contest thread

GL JBEX

Racing ticket #10150526
May-22 GUL R4 10.00 USD EXA 12/7

**JBEX** · 05-22-20, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz

GL JBEX

Racing ticket #10150526
May-22 GUL R4 10.00 USD EXA 12/7

ok.. you too

**harthebar** · 05-22-20, 12:09 PM

J your p.m. is all filled up.

**JBEX** · 05-22-20, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by harthebar

J your p.m. is all filled up.

ok..cleaned it up

**JBEX** · 05-22-20, 05:36 PM

charlestown

R5 #2 working on a miracle (3-1) probably half that

think well meant drop based on modest bloodlines and trainer.. off to a fast start at the newly reopened meet

**JBEX** · 05-23-20, 10:43 AM

churchill

R8 #8 jezebel's kitten (15-1) half unit

buzzsaw of a race as contention runs very deep.. I like that this one was able to win at a mile at kentucky downs in august.. thats a tough track and to be able to get it done that early vs a big field as a 2yo is impressive.. the next race in a grade 2 at keeneland wasn't bad and again she's facing big time competition early on..bottomline the last 2 races going to get you a bit of a price on her and I like going back to the kd race as an indicator of what her ability might be

note:#3 walk in marrakesh (10-1) has classy euro pedigree and missed by a nose in a grade 1 at woodbine last year on a yielding track.. if turf winds up soft or yielding worth extra consideration

R9 #3 global campaign (9-2)

when you can win at 1 1/8 miles going around one turn (belmont only place you can do that) and win an extended sprint at 7f, like last out, you are really suited to go a mile here.. if it's raining one of the best off track pedigrees you can have (curlin/a p indy mare)

**JBEX** · 05-23-20, 10:48 AM

added a note to R8

**JBEX** · 05-23-20, 03:05 PM

santa anita

R9 #2 vodka twist (5-1)

usually I think ml's are conservative but this one the opposite.. I think the even debut run vs msw's even with it being on the turf would translate well to this spot.. finished last his next two but was eased once and took off the blinkers in his last start.. now back with the blinkers and on the dirt going long.. the two favorites (9,12) are on the outside which is another positive

**JBEX** · 05-24-20, 09:51 AM

fukk it

churchill

R1 #7 molly's game (4-1)

R2 #5 supreme Irene (30-1)

this may be the first wisconsin bred I've ever seen lol.. homebred by a cheap son of phone trick out of a five star day mare who has been a producer ( speed on speed pedigree).. a little put off by the $10k tag but sire is $2k so not ridiculous .. trainer I've never heard of and has 1 start this year.. but over the last 3 she has produced at least 2 bombs in maiden claiming races

R3 #4 big beautiful wall (12-1)

R4 #5 complete surprise (9-2)

R5 #2 bold esther (5-2)

with the purses at churchill good spot to drop and win.. thinking even money but much better than these.. even finishing 2nd and claimed not a horrible financial result

**JBEX** · 05-24-20, 10:18 AM

through 5 churchill

**JayTris07** · 05-24-20, 10:47 AM

GL Bud,

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 10:55 AM

I love the 9 in race one... and the 6 in race 2. I singled those in pick 5 but went way wider in the double in both races. i hope that 7 doesn't burn me in race 1... she wasnt even in my top 5 which is unfortunate because i use to like this horse a lot. I think the 11 in race two is a live longshot.

**JBEX** · 05-24-20, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by homerbush

I love the 9 in race one... and the 6 in race 2. I singled those in pick 5 but went way wider in the double in both races. i hope that 7 doesn't burn me in race 1... she wasnt even in my top 5 which is unfortunate because i use to like this horse a lot. I think the 11 in race two is a live longshot.

can see both of yours even the 11 factoring in the price.. we disagree on the 7.. good luck

**JBEX** · 05-24-20, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by JayTris07

GL Bud,

thanks Jay

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 12:41 PM

Well nailed that 11. Got double, exacta twice and a large show bet. Missed tri because 6 couldn’t take 2nd or third.

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 12:42 PM

I knew when he got bet down to 8 from 20
He was probably Golden. Stupid 6 hahaha.

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 12:43 PM

Wish I rebet one of my losing pick 5’s where I had the 11 in the pick 4

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 12:45 PM

I also like the 11 in race 4

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 12:50 PM

Churchill Race 3 double $10
7,9
11

$20

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 12:59 PM

Adding double $1
7,9
All

$22

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 01:05 PM

One more $10 double
11
11

**pimike** · 05-24-20, 02:30 PM

Had to take a break!

Best wishes bud.

Happy Memorial Holiday bro!

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 03:16 PM

If the 1 wins race 8 I hit the pick 6. Have double all to end. Will need a price in the last two.

**homerbush** · 05-24-20, 04:19 PM

Got pissed did all:all double as I still believed in long shots those last two races 70-1
Baby hahaha sometimes doing dumb stuff works