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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23403

    #1
    saturday
    going to go with affirmed in the virtual derby.. most starts and fastest time (besides big red) in the post secretariat era.. citation and before running a lot was common so it means less to me.. still got to be a little lucky with how they select the winner


    oaklawn

    R1 #1 timely tradition (3-1)

    last fig crushes these and that race, like today's, was off a 49 day layoff


    R2 #6 scolding (7-2)

    cost an extraordinary amount relative to the pedigree specs which is one of my favorite angles... dam sire a strict speed influence and a lot of class.. the kind of debut horse you run on the undercard of a big day.. the other real big pedigree firster #8 take charge glenda (5-1) by a low % 1st out trainer and has a distance pedigree


    R3 #4 tempt fate (4-1)

    R4 #8 j z my man (5-1)

    bet to favoritism in santa anita debut on the turf and think that experience will serve him well.. expensive 2yo purchase makes 2nd start (first under joe sharp, baffert's in debut) and see him improving big time here..numerous very fast works.. puts on blinkers and trainer tremendous with this move


    R6 #10 f f rocket (12-1)

    expensive 2yo purchase should finally get a fast track in his 3rd career start.. always like to try and catch these types before they run solid races and become obvious


    R7 #11 queen bridget (15-1)
    R8 #1 benintendi (8-1)



    R9 #3 fearless (3-1) lower
    R10 #7 candy tycoon (3-1)

    R11 #8 anneau d'or (6-1)
    R12 #9 tacitus (9-2)

    truly think he's a much better horse than these


    R13 #3 storm the court (6-1)

    the most interesting case I can make to beat nadal.. his win in the juvenile last year, first time blinkers, big final and pace figures.. then a real blah effort in the san vicente behind nadal but he was coming off a 3+ month layoff and nadal was coming back in 3 weeks from his debut.. at 7f its possible that a win here wasn't there focus.. then another similar poor effort in the san felipe last out harder to forgive.. so i'm going on the idea he's capable at his best of beating nadal and eurton thinks it's worth his while to ship out and give it a go.. reunites with his regular rider pratt



    ..



    gulfstream

    R1 #7 east lex (6-1)
    R2 #1 london werewolf (8-1)
    R3 #1 ajhar (9-2)

    R4 #1 teenage kicks (7-2)
    R5 #8 phish fan (6-1)
    R9 #3 mimina's team (6-1)



    tampa

    R1 #7 ox trot (5-1)
    R2 #1 publicist (5-2)
    R3 #10 tiz noise (off turf and 4 horse field)
    R5 #1 finest jewel (off turf also.. later race on the turf)

    R6 #4 field letters (4-1)

    R7 #1 english laughter (12-1) know on turf

    seems to have found new life after being dropped down to 5k beaten claimers last 2..probably needed 3 back off an 8 month break.. back numbers at monmouth fit very well here and trainer has excellent numbers moving up in class and dirt to turf.. placed reasonably vs bottom turf claimers.. don't see this one going off above ml


    R8 #7 Indian buzz (10-1)
    R9 #8 sayyida al hurah (5-1) know on turf





    ..
    Last edited by JBEX; 05-02-20, 02:52 PM.
  • Pigpen
    SBR MVP
    • 05-09-08
    • 2750

    #2
    The card at Oaklawn today is fantastic. I see full fields in most races and the Oaklawn Handicap is going to be a dandy. I am going to place a small win bet on Improbable and use him in the 2 and 3 holes in a tri. I think he gives his all and will be there this afternoon.

    I am going with Citation in the virtual Derby. Good luck all today. I am going to miss Oaklawn until next year.
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23403

      #3
      Originally posted by Pigpen
      The card at Oaklawn today is fantastic. I see full fields in most races and the Oaklawn Handicap is going to be a dandy. I am going to place a small win bet on Improbable and use him in the 2 and 3 holes in a tri. I think he gives his all and will be there this afternoon.

      I am going with Citation in the virtual Derby. Good luck all today. I am going to miss Oaklawn until next year.

      great card and still have to look at the 2nd half of it.. yes they have a great product and sometimes I think I'd like it toned down a bit lol.. I find their run of the mill, everyday races very tough to handicap as the fields are so deep and competitive.. but that's just my experience and really can't knock them for that.. the virtual derby should be interesting.. good luck today
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23403

        #4
        did gulfstream through 9
        Comment
        • littlekona
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-19-15
          • 5242

          #5
          I might bet a buck or two on Affirmed also he is my pick and I actually love the rail draw!!!


          found it at looselines best price +900

          AFFIRMED (1978) +900 | 5.00 45.00
          Last edited by littlekona; 05-02-20, 09:41 AM.
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23403

            #6
            tampa through 5
            Comment
            • JBEX
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 23403

              #7
              Originally posted by littlekona
              I might bet a buck or two on Affirmed also he is my pick and I actually love the rail draw!!!

              yeah I saw in the other thread.. little warm spot in my heart for him.. 15 years old in the belmont had $10 win on him.. that $8 felt great.. definitely earned it lol. seriously though guess it all depends on the criteria they use to rate then luck of the draw..Itry to pick one that's weighted a little higher I guess is the idea.. I like the combo with affirmed best
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23403

                #8
                finished tampa
                Comment
                • JayTris07
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-10-14
                  • 3010

                  #9
                  Good Luck JBEX,
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23403

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JayTris07
                    Good Luck JBEX,
                    thanks jay
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23403

                      #11
                      added oaklawn 7 8
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23403

                        #12
                        finished oaklawn
                        Comment
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