Kona's Stake Play of the Day @ Hot Springs Ark!!!

[littlekona]

After a bizarre trip we ended up finishing 3rd yesterday and our 2 day win streak ended. Today we look to start up a new streak and will look @ Hot Springs Ark Oaklawn Park which has an excellent card. We will focus our attention to the Oaklawn Mile race 9 which is 2 turns.

Our Play is Improbable #14 shipping out of So. Cal for Baffert. We all remember him as one of the hot 3 year olds last year who ran 2nd two times when shipped to Hot Springs the last when he ran a huge 2nd into the buzz saw named Omaha Beach. He has always been a "bad gate horse" and drawing #14 with short run to first turn you might think as a disadvantage. I think its very beneficial as he will be one of last to load and he seems to have more tactical speed then most here and being a "fresh" horse he should show even more life out of gate to secure a prime spot to get the jump on his main rivals on the inside. Baffert has him ready and Drayden knows him well plus I believe the mile distance may be his best. I am looking for him to fire a big shot today and with the #2 and #3 getting lots of play plus full field maybe get close to great value or ML 7/2 or bit higher.

Kona's Play of the Day #14 Improbable!!!!

[harthebar]

Great write up

[Louisvillekid1]

Get em kona

thanks fir sharing

[str]

Good luck Kona.

Sounds good to me.

[JayTris07]

GL to you Kona,

[Louisvillekid1]

Can I ask a dumb question about playing horses off shore

If they aren't in the parimutal pool, they clearly have limits correct?

Its like me playing with my bookie

Where do you recommend playing , seem like you got a grasp on it

[littlekona]

Can I ask a dumb question about playing horses off shore

If they aren't in the parimutal pool, they clearly have limits correct?

Its like me playing with my bookie

Where do you recommend playing , seem like you got a grasp on it

BOL is the best HUGE limits and they offer all the multi race wagers pic 4 /5 w the 50 cent base.....

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[littlekona]

BOL at tracks like gulfstream and oaklawn have a 20K max bet too so huge limits and they also have a daily 7% rebate they add to your account next day win or lose

[Louisvillekid1]

But what is the limit on multi race bets

[littlekona]

25K at Gulfsteam 15K at Oaklawn.....

[Louisvillekid1]

So I would leave nj betting to get rebate basically

[littlekona]

So I would leave nj betting to get rebate basically

I have 5 ADW accounts and rarely use but for the free programs, replays, live video and promos. Not only is it for rebates but say you hit a pick 4 with a pool of $15000( just as an example)at Turf Paradise your money does not go into the tote so if you bet in the tote 4 people split the 15000 but since you bet offshore only 3 hit it as it does not count you so you get paid 5000$ vs 3750$ if your bet was in pool. There are many benefits to offshore.

[littlekona]

Well he Fired and got the trip I thought he's get BUT ran into a monster much the 2nd best today

[Louisvillekid1]

Ran huge

[littlekona]

Ran huge

and just like that Rosario is back

[Louisvillekid1]

lol, you win with a better draw

Just imagine if no scratches

[Louisvillekid1]

Anyway getting closer to Basin!

Need a price horse here

[littlekona]

tom's d'etat ran a 123 timeform speed fig yesterday. 11 points better then Mr. Big news. Improbable ran into another monster!

[Jellymancan]

Yup, Improbable ran well, especially from that post. You made a good call on this one, just dealt with a beast winner.