did pacific classic
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del mar
R8 del mar mile
#3 true valour (20-1)
3 races in 5 weeks over in Ireland including a G3 win in his last race there.. shipped to del mar 4 weeks later (last race) and that really wasn't a bad race at all considering the journey.. he'll offer value in here and could see him moving forward off that race. he's run better races off efforts like his last twice overseasComment -
indiana grande
R6 #9 marquee prince (4-1)Comment -
saratoga
R1 #4 no wunder (5-1)
i think the suffolk 12f on the flats just a little exercise for this...if you exclude the long layoff very consistent performer including running well at this track
going with an early mil/tor parlay..I know big favs but I use sdql to cap baseball and the systems justify the odds..would put them up but in a hurry..probably it for today and back tomorrow..weather good through saturday so should be some nice betting opportunitiesLast edited by JBEX; 08-22-18, 10:55 AM.Comment -
I agree, used in my Vertical
Going w/ the #7 as top selectionComment -
scratched nowComment -
Just missed by a head, Nice call thoComment -
saratoga thursday
R1 hurdles grade 1 @ 2⅜ miles
euro trainer named gordon elliot has 2 horses going
#5 game changer (good name)
9 year old 2nd time starter (geez) whose debut was in march of this year.. ran 2nd by 2.5 lengths at 1½ m on synthetic surface in ireland so no jump races
#9 clarcam (2-1)
8 year old 2nd time starter and he hasn't raced in 5 years..his first race was in france where he came in 4th by a little over a length in a 13 horse field at a 1m 9/16 turf.. so no jumps either for this one
obviously at 2-1 ml the oddsmaker figures people will find out who he is...
Last edited by JBEX; 08-22-18, 06:32 PM.Comment -
saratoga pick 6
R5.. 3 8
R6..8
R7..1 4 6
R 8..5 6 8
R9.. 9
R10..5 7 8
$108Comment -
Get it!Comment -
saratoga.. funny cide stakes nyb 2yo
R5 #5 bankit (2-1)
no great value here.. did run the best figure of this bunch.. main reason though is this is one of those extremely expensive relative to the pedigree specs horses
R9 fleet indian stakes 3yo nyb fillies 1⅛ dirt
#7 rachel's blue moon (8-1)
another chester broman nyb whose bred like from KY.. I still think this is valuable even this far down the road running as a 3yo..wide post on the turf probably cost her 3 back and comment 2 back "wedged early, 3 wide turn" surely wasn't the best trip... easy 2 length wire to wire win @ mile at belmont last out and even though on the front end alone the pace was about 6 lengths fast and comment was "in hand 2-3 wide, held well" .. think she's set up nice for initial try around 2 turns
monmouth 2yo msw
R4 #5 quality step (5-2)
do I think the value will be here for this one.. no.. homebred (kg stable, george hall same outfit) .
love the works, speed oriented pedigree.. servis has the ml favorite #2 uncle benny (2-1) whose also a debuter but with declaration of war the sire think more oriented to distance down the road.. #2 uncle benny also cost a bunch relative to pedigree and jt combo an unreal 34 starts/44% winners.. glad he's in there though as need someone else to be take money.. if he wins so be it
cubs..
home..
day game...
total >= 10.5
2 game win streak..
even or favorite
10-0 o/u (4.90) big margin
small play for me though because the exact 2 game streak a little bothersome parameterLast edited by JBEX; 08-24-18, 12:14 PM.Comment -
added R9Comment -
added mth R4Comment -
Tailed #5 Bankit in R5 Saratoga. Let’s cash this!Comment -
remington park R8.. listed stakes $100k
#5 pacific typhoon (6-1)
7-4-0-1 at this track and 13-8-0-2 on the turf.. won 6 of his last 7 turf races and the loss was by a half length. he has won at 1 1/16 miles but never 1 1/8..no question the favorite (#7) a much better horse but maybe we catch him on a bad day and we can rate the field into submission which looks like a possibility hereComment -
canterbury
R8 #3 marley be good (2-1)
looking at his running lines stretch and the drop should helpComment -
saratoga saturday
R6.. h allen jerkens gI @7f
#6 gidu (10-1)
don't associate horses by frankel doing well on dirt as he was arguably one of the best turf horses of the last half century.. this guy has contested mega fast paces on the front end in turf routes 3 times including his last.. has had multiple quick works at belmont on the dirt ..with dirt influence on the bottom (unbridled song) thinking he may take to it just fine.. 2 back finished 6th by a little over 2 lengths in a 22 horse grade I race at ascot.. can't have any tougher competition than that
R9.. forego G1 @ 7f
#4 heartwood (30-1)
ships in from mountaineer to try the big boys.. when this guy gets out and runs his race he's tough as nails.. very gritty and doesn't fold when pressured... many of the bad races can be excused.. bad trips, starts and once on the poly at turfway.. as good as the top 2 of course not but think he'll offer value in here.. big bias towards posts 4+ at this distance which works in his favor also
R10 sword dancer G1 @ 1½ miles turf
#4 hi happy (6-1)
understand he was beat by #1 and gave it up pretty bad.. I still feel back on firm ground and with his consistency with marathon routes in his 3 races prior you'll get a better effort.. marathon turf routes heavily favor speed at this track also helps..finally his bottom running line is beating a 20 horse field at 1½ miles on the turf in argentina.. $348000 huge money down there so guessing that's there biggest race
R11 travers GI 1¼ miles
R1 #1 trigger warning (30-1)
the ohio derby race 2 back to me numbers-wise (factoring pace) lines up with almost any one in here and was at 1⅛ miles to boot.. came back in 3 weeks to try the indiana derby and just missed by a head.. thinking the 3 week turnaround might've been tough.. now well rested (6 weeks) maybe he could produce something similar to the ohio derby.. and of course because it's the hio derby and a low profile midwest trainer he'll be balloons
#7 king zachary (15-1) half unit
well bred, expensive and distance pedigree top bottom.. has shown some decent ability and take a flyer he can improve further.. working big at saratoga and roman's 88/30% off a loss as a beaten favoriteLast edited by JBEX; 08-25-18, 01:56 PM.Comment -
added R9Comment -
added R10Comment -
added traversComment -
remington
R4 #10 oklahoma line (6-1) never be 6-1Comment -
carrothers picked my horse at dmr ( last)
keller mine at rem (far back)
horrible dayComment -
dmr R9 torey pine stakes
#11 true royalty (10-1)Comment -
added dmr 9Comment -
phil johnson stakes 2yo fillies
R9 #1 dog tag (6-1)
by top 3-5 sire in the world "war front".. initial race scheduled for the turf but run at 7f on the dirt.. not a bad race at all and probably have her more prepared then if she tried turf in her first start.. chad brown/castellanoComment -
saratoga
R10 the spinaway stakes 2yo fillies.. grade I
#7 chasing yesterday (5-2)
won impressively in debut at dmr.. be no value and just rooting for pharaoh's little half sister by #1 sire tapit
R11 the woodward 3 up ...grade I
#9 gunnevera (4-1)
ran similar race at GP last year prior to coming up here and running a solid 2nd in the travers with a tough trip.. layed an egg in dubai before that but I'll give him a break on that.. feel he's had some excuses, chased much better horses late summer last year into winter this year.. my other would be #4 TAPWRIT (6-1)..id go $20 win #9 and $5 ex box 49 if I were playingComment -
very impressive winning a grade I @saratoga in your first start on the dirt..
bill mott
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saratoga R10 prioress 6f for 3yo grade II
#10 purfect miss (30-1)
there's lots of reasons to like her if she runs her best race including breaking her maiden here last year as a 2yo.. she's run 3 bad races in her 6 race career and imo all forgivable .. once running up close to a lighting fast pace in the frizzete (a mile race) last year at belmont...catching a sloppy track at pimlico in her 3yo debut (bad sloppy track pedigree).. taking on older nw 2x ot allowance
horses last out and these are still better than 3yo stakes horses at this point according to pars.. race 2 back won on the front end vs n1x ot allowance horses.. think shot at a big priceComment -
dmr
R6 #6 seeking refuge (20-1)Comment
..I wouldn't have bothered with a winner but i'll take atl (-1.5) -115..all my stuff based on sdql
