Belmont Park ~ 2009 Spring Meet

[Dexter]

Some of you horse guys have probably heard me talk about Saratoga being the one meet that I actually do bet on each day. That meet doesnt begin until 7/29, but I've decided to get a head start and prep for that with Belmont the next 2 months. Each night I will post my full card for the following day's Belmont races. Many of these Belmont runners will be making their way upstate to Saratoga, as will the jockeys and trainers. Last year I did this more around late June, but I can easily cap the card each night starting now. I'll keep a running net total each day. Here are some notes:

• all races will be $20 Win/$20 Place bets
• any races that i bold in blue with an ** next to the selection will be considered stronger plays that I will bet $40 Win/$40 Place
• I will not be playing any exotics
• I will not list any backups (except for some turf races that could get switched to dirt) - so scrathes will just result in no action for that race.

Thursday May 28th will be the next day of racing from Belmont.

My selection process is nothing too crazy - i do like to look at Beyer Speed Figures. I also like looking at workouts - the horses results at that track/ distance. There are also several jockeys/trainers I like to follow in certain scenarios (ie, castellano on the grass, linda rice in turf sprints etc). I also do focus on post positions for various distances or surfaces (ie, inner turf etc). My selections are never really deep longshots, but more or less horses around 3/1 on average. I try to always beat the ML favorite in turf races. Those who watch turf races know that many times 4-5 horses are right there at the wire. I'll have no problem backing a 4/5 ML favorite, if i cant find a horse who i think can beat him/her. I'm betting the full card, so not ripping up tickets is key (along with finding value horses in some spots).

*I am not looking for a following, as again (like with sports) am looking to simply light a fire under myself by posting my selections in a highly visible/popular public forum. If you do tail me, please dont bet over your head as I'm not claiming to be a professional who wins each day. As with sports, Ive had good seasons and bad seasons with this - but do feel that my approach/knowledge/money mgmt techniques gives me a good chance at making a few bucks - more importantly, having fun with this as a hobby. I have a day job, so I am not here trying to tout plays etc....Basically, dont blast me if we are having a bad day.

Net Meet Results: +$86

[Dexter]

Thur 5/28 (all races $20 W/P except for race 8 $40 W/P)

Race 1: #7 GroomedforVictory (3/1) - MTO #10 Stopbluffing

Race 2: #6 Moose Man (2/1)

Race 3: #6 Slam the Cat (2/1)

Race 4: #2 Last Noble (8/5)

Race 5: #7 Carolina Fuego (6/5)

Race 6: #8 Yankee Chief (5/1)

Race 7: #2 Mask and Wig (7/2) - MTO #12 Buddha Power

Race 8: #5 Karakorum Fugitive (7/5) **

Race 9: #5 Super Child (6/1)

[Dexter]

Monday 5/28 net results by race-

1) -40
2) +8
3) +33
4) -13
5) scratched
6) -40
7) +75
8) +58 **
9) scratched

Net for Day: +$81
Net for Meet: +$167

Best Bets for Meet 5-0-4 (Win/Place/Lost)

[jellobiafra]

Damn fine job Dex.

[Dexter]

Damn fine job Dex.

i should be around sat or sun afternoon - be here - we'll live bet.

[Dexter]

Fri 5/29 (all races $20 W/P except for race 8 $40 W/P)

Race 1: #3 May Day Now (8/5) **

Race2: #2 Persian Honey (7/2)

Race 3: #1 Zee Zee (6/5)

Race 4: #2 Love for a Price (2/1) - MTO #11 Flip the Coin (5/1)

Race 5: #10 The Zipster (4/1)

Race 6: #4 Eager Emma (7/2)

Race 7: #5 Dressed to Win (5/2) - MTO #10 Loquacious Lil

Race 8: #2 Turn Away (7/5) **

Race 9: #1/1a Linda Rice entry (3/1)

**Note - if a race is moved to the main track, my MTO selection is the top selection even if my turf selection stays in. If I have no main track only selection and the race is moved to dirt, my turf selection remains a play if he/she wasnt scratched.

[Saab]

race #2 winner

[Saab]

race 4 winner winner!

race 5 is scratched. im gonna put a small amount on in the spotlight and saumun fume to win

[Saab]

race 6 winner. lookin like a good day so far

[Dexter]

ooohh - i like to see these posts saab. have no idea how i did today. lets tally up the results.

[Dexter]

Fri 5/29 net results by race-

1) +120**
2) +61
3) -13
4) +62
5) scratched
6) +58
7) +81
8) +48 **
9) scratched

Net for Day: +417
Net for Meet: +$584

Best Bets for Meet 7-0-4 (Win/Place/Lost)

[Dexter]

picks for saturday will be up within the hour.....for the 1 or 2 of you horse fans out there!

[jellobiafra]

Holy shit!!

[Dexter]

Sat 5/30 (all races $20 W/P except for best bets **)

Race 1: #4 Bad Action (7/2)

Race2: #6 Ballythunder (4/5)

Race 3: #3 Arcata (7/2)

Race 4: #1/1A Dutrow entry (5/2)

Race 5: #3 Quiet on the Tee (4/1) ** - MTO - #10 Senegal (7/2) - only $20/20 if off turf

Race 6: #5 Millers Mint (5/2)

Race 7: #2 Tudor King (10/1)

Race 8: #2 La Hernanda (7/2)

Race 9: #4 Gozzip Girl (9/5)

Race 10: #3 Evolutionist (3/1)


**Note - if a race is moved to the main track, my MTO selection is the top selection even if my turf selection stays in. If I have no main track only selection and the race is moved to dirt, my turf selection remains a play if he/she wasnt scratched.

[jellobiafra]

Locked and loaded Dex. Played GMS's Hollywood last night just the DD and p3's and turned $50 into $125. He missed 1 in the 6th I believe where the horse got caught by a nod at the wire. If that horse would have hled on he would have hit a pick3 that paid about 40-1 and with his winner in the next 2 would have hit another pick 3 that paid about 125-1. Could have been a huge night, but I'll take the 2.5x.

Gonna run you and joey through the card today, you know my drill. Also probably going to box yours and his top 2. If GMS puts out a Belmont card I'll incorporate that somehow as well.

EDIT:

It looks like joey didn't list his plays in order, just what he's boxing. So I might just run yours through the gauntlet and play his boxes. Either way, should be fun.

[Dexter]

scratches- so no plays for me in races 1, 4

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

[Dexter]

Sat 5/30 net results by race-

1) scratched
2) +14
3) -40
4) scratched
5) -40
6) +51
7) -40
8) -40
9) +44
10) -40

Net for Day: -91
Net for Meet: +$493

Best Bets for Meet 7-0-4 (Win/Place/Lost)

[Dexter]

Sun 5/31 (all races $20 W/P except for best bets **)

Race 1: #1A Hurricane Heat (3/1)

Race 2: #2 Chernobyl Princess (3/1)

Race 3: #3 Charging Hero (5/2)

Race 4: #4 Izanagi (3/1) **

Race 5: #10 Love Nest (9/2)

Race 6: #6 Seeking Eldorado (10/1)

Race 7: #8 Ten Carrot Niki (4/1)

Race 8: #11 Mother Russia (5/2) **

Race 9: #2 Nergal (5/1)

Race 10: #1/1A Klesaris entry turf or dirt

**Note - if a race is moved to the main track, my MTO selection is the top selection even if my turf selection stays in. If I have no main track only selection and the race is moved to dirt, my turf selection remains a play if he/she wasnt scratched.

[jellobiafra]

Tough day at the races. Nobody was hitting worth a shit. My account is empty again. I don't think I'm going to re-load it until at least next weekend.

Horses, while fun, have been nothing but a money pit for me.

[Dexter]

Sun 5/31 net results by race-

1) -40
2) -3
3) +52
4) -80 **
5) -40
6) -40
7) scratched
8) +70 **
9) -40
10) +38

Net for Day: -83
Net for Meet: +$410

Best Bets for Meet 8-0-5 (Win/Place/Lost)

[Dexter]

Wed 6/3 (all races $20 W/P except for best bets $40 W/P **)

Race 1: #5 Muffy (4/1)

Race 2: #3 Sextant (3/1)

Race 3: #2 West Court (2/1)- MTO #9 Pardon (4/1)

Race 4: #3 Fairway Drive (4/1) - MTO #11 Bebob (7/2) **

Race 5: #6 Thoroughly Holy (8/1) - MTO #10 Glacken Queen (6/1)

Race 6: #3 Client Eight (8/5)

Race 7: #7 Crazy Thing (5/2)

Race 8: #2 Forest Trail (3/1) - MTO #9 Malibu Prayer (5/2)

Race 9: #11 Here I Go Again (2/1) **

**Note - if a race is moved to the main track, my MTO selection is the top selection even if my turf selection stays in. If I have no main track only selection and the race is moved to dirt, my turf selection remains a play if he/she wasnt scratched.

[joeyp1222]

wed 6/3 (all races $20 w/p except for best bets $40 w/p **)

race 1: #5 muffy (4/1)

race 2: #3 sextant (3/1)

race 3: #2 west court (2/1)- mto #9 pardon (4/1)

race 4: #3 fairway drive (4/1) - mto #11 bebob (7/2) **

race 5: #6 thoroughly holy (8/1) - mto #10 glacken queen (6/1)

race 6: #3 client eight (8/5)

race 7: #7 crazy thing (5/2)

race 8: #2 forest trail (3/1) - mto #9 malibu prayer (5/2)

race 9: #11 here i go again (2/1) **

**note - if a race is moved to the main track, my mto selection is the top selection even if my turf selection stays in. If i have no main track only selection and the race is moved to dirt, my turf selection remains a play if he/she wasnt scratched.

good luck today looks like a decent card

[Dexter]

wed 6/3 net results by race-

1) +165
2) -40
3) -18
4) +70
5) -40
6) -14
7) +6
8) +12
9) -80 **


Net for Day: +61
Net for Meet: +$471

Best Bets for Meet 8-0-6 (Win/Place/Lost)

[Dexter]

Thur 6/4 (all races $20 W/P except for best bets $40 W/P **)

Race 1: #5 Papa Bear (2/1)

Race 2: #8 Concorde's Dance (7/2)

Race 3: #3 Zip of Fools (3/1)

Race 4: #1/1A James Bond entry - turf or dirt (3/1)

Race 5: #3 Brassy Event (4/1)

Race 6: #10 Donna's Sandee (5/2)

Race 7: #5 Noah's Arc (12/1) - MTO #11 To Tell the Truth (2/1)**

Race 8: #3 Keep Laughing (3/1)

Race 9: #2/2B Hennig entry - turf or dirt (7/2)

**Note - if a race is moved to the main track, my MTO selection is the top selection even if my turf selection stays in. If I have no main track only selection and the race is moved to dirt, my turf selection remains a play if he/she wasnt scratched.

[Dexter]

thur 6/4 net results by race-

1) -40
2) even
3) +34
4) scratched
5) -40
6) -9
7) -30**
8) +85
9) -40


Net for Day: -40
Net for Meet: +$431

Best Bets for Meet 8-1-6 (Win/Place/Lost)

[Dexter]

Fri 6/5 (all races $20 W/P except for best bets $40 W/P **)

Race 1: #2 Inter Galatic (2/1)

Race 2: #7 Cap the Thunder (2/1) **

Race 3: #4 Tide Runner (3/1)

Race 4: #1/1a/1x (Klesaris entry)

Race 5: #1 Baronshill (5/1) - MTO - Big Stack (7/2)

Race 6: #2 El Tamberito (3/1)

Race 7: #4 My Violin (5/2)

Race 8: #2 Life Lesson (5/1) - MTO - #13 Matchless Orinda (5/1)

Race 9: #5 Lime Rickey (6/1) - MTO - #10 Dubinsky (5/1)

Race 10: #9 Rising Moon (5/1)

**Note - if a race is moved to the main track, my MTO selection is the top selection even if my turf selection stays in. If I have no main track only selection and the race is moved to dirt, my turf selection remains a play if he/she wasnt scratched.

[TodaysAction]

Good luck with the card.

[Dexter]

fri 6/5 net results by race-

1) scratched
2) -80**
3) -40
4) +52
5) -40
6) +103
7) -40
8) -40
9) -40
10) -40


Net for Day: -165
Net for Meet: +$266

Best Bets for Meet 8-1-7 (Win/Place/Lost)

[TodaysAction]

Lot of h-2-h prop bets for the third leg of the
Triple Crown tomorrow.

[Dexter]

Sat 6/6 (all races $20 W/P except for best bets $40 W/P **)

Race 1: #1 DixieLand Star (2/1)

Race 2: #6 Much the Best (8/5) **

Race 3: #11 Wanted Alive (5/1)

Race 4: #1 Spurred (9/2) - MTO - #11 Even Raise (3/1)

Race 5: #2 Rock in Bage (5/1) - MTO - #14 Joe Corrigan (6/1)

Race 6: #6 Fabulous Strike (2/1)

Race 7: #5 Forever Together (6/5) **

Race 8: #1/1A entry (2/1)

Race 9: #8 Justwhistledixie (8/5) **

Race 10: #5 Gio Ponti (7/2)

Race 11: #6 Chartiable Man (3/1) **

Race 12: #5 Brave Soul (6/1) - MTO - #14 African Night (3/1)

Race 13: #7 City Sneakers (6/1) - MTO - #16 Lincoln Road (3/1)

[Dexter]

Lot of h-2-h prop bets for the third leg of the
Triple Crown tomorrow.

who do you like? i went with charitable man who has the perfect pedegree for this race (lemon drop kid) - garcia is money in grade 1's as well.

[TodaysAction]

who do you like? i went with charitable man who has the perfect pedegree for this race (lemon drop kid) - garcia is money in grade 1's as well.

I like to see the track changes first. The weather map showed rain clouds over the area - grant it it was a "detailed" type one but it's still a concern.

Far as Lemon Drop Kid goes, he paid $60+ and change for winning the Belmont Stakes that day. If memory is right he paid between $25 and $30 to place. Vision and Verse placed and the people's horse, Charasmatic, showed. The triple was over $3,100 but sorry I do not recall the exacta other than it was $300 to $400ish. It seemed like LDK "only won" in the New York circuit. Somehow I ended up with a signed plate from that race - guy owed me money - so I took the plate instead. I always felt he did not get the credit for his on the track accomplishments.

[jellobiafra]

Locked and loaded Dex. Let's get some winners today.

[JayLiang]

do i put these bets down as W or P or S?

[repski]

Dex,
going with 3 Speight of Hand in the 2nd race.....