Hart/Jbex/Rider Contest 1/7-4/28

[Easy-Rider 66]

did well with those thoro-graph form ratings yesterday..gonna use them for gulfstream in other thread and use aqueduct brisnet's for the contest

Yeah I noticed that you did well with the form ratings. AQ has some big fields today. GL.

[JBEX]

Jbex: 28 Plays: $109,80
Hart: 23 Plays: $72.70
Rider: 30 Plays: $52.00

an easy quick way to do this vs doing roi's is dividing
return by number of plays..since it's based on a 2 WP bet
that means $4/race..so multiply plays ×4 and that's breakeven point..divide return by plays would give you a quick meaningful number ($$ returned/play)where play = WP bet of $4 total

me 109.8/28=3.92
hart 72.7/23=3.16
rider 52/30=1.73

4.0 = breakeven..every tenth of a point = 2.5% return..for example 4.33 =8.25% return (3.3 tenths ×2.5)

[Easy-Rider 66]

OK. I will let you do the ROI at your convenience. I need to step up my game. You and Hart are doing well.

[JBEX]

OK. I will let you do the ROI at your convenience. I need to step up my game. You and Hart are doing well.

I'm not gonna bother with roi. .I'll score things like I said whereas 4.0 is breakeven and each tenth plus or minus =2.5% roi...this way to see what you're doing all you have to do is divide return by plays

let's say you're at 3.65 (losing 35 cents for every $4)
3.5 tenths x 2.5 = -8.75% roi

here's where we stand on this method ..

jbex 109.8/28=3.92
hart 72.7/23=3.16
rider 52/30=1.73

it'll make sense as time goes on..

[Easy-Rider 66]

OK. Really do not care what method we use. It probably all works out the same.

[JBEX]

aqueduct

R2 #7 no hayne no gayne (7-2) 2 units
R3 #4 waves of blue (3-1)
R4 #8 robbins (10-1) full..#4 seethisquick (20-1) half
R5 #6 doyouknowsomething (7-2)

ignore always half,full,2 units. .just want to leave thing as they are in my thread

plays 29-33

[harthebar]

Easy Way Out is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 2 at Aqueduc

:Loon River is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 9 at Tampa Bay Downs.

Over Promised is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 4 at Aqueduct


:Majority is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 7 at Aqueduct 27

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 31: AQ R1: 6 Grey By You. Feel he is an overlay here at 16/1. Like the improvement he showed last race. On par with what is needed to win. Should be up close. 3rd off the layoff.

[harthebar]

rider or har..not saying I would have but at 107-1 you get a horse who ran 3 out of 4 excellent races for md clm 10k at gpw ..last was subpar at this level which of course is why he was those odds. .these horses who have good form at gpw for slightly less money are huge overlays here imo. .wouldn't play automatically because of this but something to look for

i'm a little behind here...what happenend with this 107-1 shot what race..........what horse

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 31: AQ R1: 6 Grey By You. Feel he is an overlay here at 16/1. Like the improvement he showed last race. On par with what is needed to win. Should be up close. 3rd off the layoff.

Out of $$

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 32: TB R1: 3 Elitch

[Easy-Rider 66]

i'm a little behind here...what happenend with this 107-1 shot what race..........what horse

Check out post #263/#265

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 32: TB R1: 3 Elitch

Winner. Pays $7.20. Now at $59.20

[harthebar]

1	1	Tero	$45.20	$23.60	$14.40
2	4	Hope Is Rising	-	$87.00	$28.00
3	5	Vino Blanco	-	-	$5.40

$1.00 EXACTA 1-4 $1,376.70
$0.50 TRIFECTA 1-4-5 $5,216.60
$0.10 SUPERFECTA 1-4-5-2 $2,623.86
$2.00 DAILY DOUBLE 9/1 $167.40
$1.00 PICK 3 3 of 3 7/9/1 $652.80
$0.50 PICK 4 4 of 4 8/7/9,10/1 $1,990.30
$1.00 PICK 5 5 of 5 10/8/7/9,10/1 $17,631.60
$1.00 PICK 5 4 of 5 10/8/7/9,10/1 $126.00

[harthebar]

Easy Way Out is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 2 at Aqueduc

:Loon River is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 9 at Tampa Bay Downs.

Over Promised is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 4 at Aqueduct


:Majority is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 7 at Aqueduct 27

is there a rule on taking a horse off.....i dont want easy way out 1/5 hmmmmm if im stuck with it....ill take it....10 minutes to post.....any objections

[Easy-Rider 66]

is there a rule on taking a horse off.....i dont want easy way out 1/5 hmmmmm if im stuck with it....ill take it....10 minutes to post.....any objections

That's fine. Easy way out is a no play. Next pick is play 27

[harthebar]

That's fine. Easy way out is a no play. Next pick is play 27

thanks it was a follow but at 1/5

[harthebar]

semi bridge jumper here at aqueduct

[JBEX]

R7 #6 chomsky (3-1)
R8 #2 roll tide roll (7-2)
R9 #12 groton st scout (20-1) full..#7 wish upon (7-2)half

plays 34-37
always ignore half,full,2 units as I said other post

[Easy-Rider 66]

aqueduct

R2 #7 no hayne no gayne (7-2) 2 units
R3 #4 waves of blue (3-1)
R4 #8 robbins (10-1) full..#4 seethisquick (20-1) half
R5 #6 doyouknowsomething (7-2)

ignore always half,full,2 units. .just want to leave thing as they are in my thread

plays 29-33

4th

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 33: GP R3: 8 Defy

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 33: GP R3: 8 Defy

4th

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 34: AQ R3: 1 Banty's Girl

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 34: AQ R3: 1 Banty's Girl

3rd

[Easy-Rider 66]

aqueduct

R2 #7 no hayne no gayne (7-2) 2 units
R3 #4 waves of blue (3-1)
R4 #8 robbins (10-1) full..#4 seethisquick (20-1) half
R5 #6 doyouknowsomething (7-2)

ignore always half,full,2 units. .just want to leave thing as they are in my thread

plays 29-33

Out of $$

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 35: TB R4: 3 MillionDollarHiway

[Easy-Rider 66]

Easy Way Out is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 2 at Aqueduc

:Loon River is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 9 at Tampa Bay Downs.

Over Promised is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 4 at Aqueduct


:Majority is scheduled to run on 1/14/2017 in Race 7 at Aqueduct 27

Over promised Out of money

[Easy-Rider 66]

aqueduct

R2 #7 no hayne no gayne (7-2) 2 units
R3 #4 waves of blue (3-1)
R4 #8 robbins (10-1) full..#4 seethisquick (20-1) half
R5 #6 doyouknowsomething (7-2)

ignore always half,full,2 units. .just want to leave thing as they are in my thread

plays 29-33

3rd/Out of $$

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 35: TB R4: 3 MillionDollarHiway

4th

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 36: TB R5: 7 Dizzy Gillespie

[Easy-Rider 66]

aqueduct

R2 #7 no hayne no gayne (7-2) 2 units
R3 #4 waves of blue (3-1)
R4 #8 robbins (10-1) full..#4 seethisquick (20-1) half
R5 #6 doyouknowsomething (7-2)

ignore always half,full,2 units. .just want to leave thing as they are in my thread

plays 29-33

3rd

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 36: TB R5: 7 Dizzy Gillespie

Winner. Pays $16.20. Now $75.40

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 37: TB R6: 7 BrewMistress

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 37: TB R6: 7 BrewMistress

4th

[harthebar]

Jay Gatsby race 10 gulfstreram 27 pick