Hart/Jbex/Rider Contest 1/7-4/28

[harthebar]

Hey Hart: Have you changed your strategy this contest? I have noticed that you are playing more Chalk than in the past. And you are scoring with them.

no not really, its just working out that way...i noticed a lot of my plays have ben bet down..........im not playng chaulk on purpose, and a lot are follows. ....i didnt thing that winner in the first at s.a. would be that chaulk...........ie

[harthebar]

Not yet. Give it a spin Hart?

not today.....think i only have a few left...but i should of done it on the last two winners...lol

[harthebar]

All No play. Jbex cancelled

whats that mean oaklawn cancelled... or jbex cancelled ???

[harthebar]

hey guys

gonna take rest of my plays off from R4 -9..don't want to be on a muddy track

ok i should of read further before asking ....im lazy

[Easy-Rider 66]

whats that mean oaklawn cancelled... or jbex cancelled ???

NO Jbex called off his plays because he does not like picking horses on a muddy track. Check out post #728

[harthebar]

yep i get it


rHART: 59 Plays: $213.90

JBEX: 79 Plays: $238.60

RIDER: 85 Plays: $145.10

[harthebar]

Hard Arch has the big scratch


so im at play 68 again am i correct

[harthebar]

Dream Man gulfstream race 9 68

he had a lot of horse last out with the same group...they are playing him too

[JBEX]

tam R10 #3 sara the great

82

[Easy-Rider 66]

Hard Arch has the big scratch

so im at play 68 again am i correct

Correct. Play 68 is the next one.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Dream Man gulfstream race 9 68

he had a lot of horse last out with the same group...they are playing him too

Out of $$. You have 1 play left for today.

[Easy-Rider 66]

tam R10 #3 sara the great

82

Out of $$.

[harthebar]

Stone Heart g.p race 10 68

[Easy-Rider 66]

Stone Heart g.p race 10 68

2nd Pays $2.60. At $252.10

[Easy-Rider 66]

HART:69 Plays: $252.10

JBEX: 82 Plays: $238.60

RIDER: 95 Plays: $200.60

[Buckandadime]

You guys are kickin that ass!!!

[harthebar]

Stone Heart g.p race 10 68

follow up on him...will be chaulk next out but will win....

[Easy-Rider 66]

You guys are kickin that ass!!!

Especially Hart. He is on point. I had my best day today. Need to step it up though to contend.

[harthebar]

You guys are kickin that ass!!!

whatever we are doing..its fun...and i hope some of you other guys are .............getting some winners.........these guys are some great cappers......

[JBEX]

hart 91 (69)
jbex 73 (82)
easy 53 (95)

going to leave out the decimal from now on.. 100 breakeven.. hart only one who's doing well to this point.. losing 9 cents on the dollar very solid.. still a ways to go and have enjoyed participating.. any calculus wiz's..

250 sample
10-1 average odds (estimate)
how many samples of this size for a 25% confidence level that performance reflects
our actual ability.. can this be calculated? they lost me after trigonometry

guessing it would be a very large number

[harthebar]

hart 91 (69)
jbex 73 (82)
easy 53 (95)

going to leave out the decimal from now on.. 100 breakeven.. hart only one who's doing well to this point.. losing 9 cents on the dollar very solid.. still a ways to go and have enjoyed participating.. any calculus wiz's..

250 sample
10-1 average odds (estimate)
how many samples of this size for a 25% confidence level that performance reflects
our actual ability.. can this be calculated? they lost me after trigonometry

guessing it would be a very large number

Nice work thznks5

[JBEX]

Nice work thznks5

np hart.. I think this is a better model than daily contests

[harthebar]

r:Vagabond is scheduled to run on 1/21/2017 in Race 10 at Tampa Bay Downs. 70
Lirica is scheduled to run on 1/21/2017 in Race 9 at Tampa Bay Downs. 71
Top Fortitude is scheduled to run on 1/21/2017 in Race 8 at Santa Anita. 72

[JBEX]

tampa bay

R2 #7 voodoo storm (6-1)
R3 #7 chance of luck (7-2)
R4 #1 el oh el (15-1) my old buddy lol
R5 #7 awesome challenge (6-1)

83-86

[harthebar]

Jbex. And ez. I'm going to play some pick 4. Today. Ibwant to use some of your plays ..........do you guys have any. Plays you like more than others. ........ones that you posted. . If not I'll use them anyway ......I have a good feeling today. .about you guys.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Jbex. And ez. I'm going to play some pick 4. Today. Ibwant to use some of your plays ..........do you guys have any. Plays you like more than others. ........ones that you posted. . If not I'll use them anyway ......I have a good feeling today. .about you guys.

Ok. Will be going race to race as usual. So I will not know that far in advance. Playing a majority of AQ/GP today.

[harthebar]

Ok. .thanks. . I now jbex. Likes Tampa. I already have 2 in the late races

[harthebar]

Jbex. The bull cut a 30. Deficit to 2 points late in the 4th

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 96: GP R1: 2 LADY COVENTRY

[JBEX]

Jbex. The bull cut a 30. Deficit to 2 points late in the 4th

wow wasn't aware of that ..saw they were crushed in the 1st quarter but returned the favor in the 4th..not enough though..may have 1 or 2 cbb during the day (not systems ) that I'll post..tough to separate the best amongst my
early ones..feel pretty good about them in general

[harthebar]

r:Vagabond is scheduled to run on 1/21/2017 in Race 10 at Tampa Bay Downs. 70
Lirica is scheduled to run on 1/21/2017 in Race 9 at Tampa Bay Downs. 71
Top Fortitude is scheduled to run on 1/21/2017 in Race 8 at Santa Anita. 72

Vagabond. Is a. S. BACK TO 71

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 96: GP R1: 2 LADY COVENTRY

Out of $$

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 97: AQ R1: 6 ROMANOLOGIST

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 97: AQ R1: 6 ROMANOLOGIST

Out of $$

[Easy-Rider 66]

Play 98: GP R2: 7 ANNA HER HIGHNESS