BGboothA's False Favorites

**BGboothA** · 05-04-15, 04:34 PM

Nothing statistically profound.

According to my stats Churchill favorites win just under 30%, (29.8ish) overall that climbs up a bit closer to 35% in Stakes races at Churchill, but thats obviously a much much smaller data set.

If we just look at CD Kentucky Derby undercard, favorites are winning right at that 35%, now I didn't take into account Big Favorites, I just filtered by post time favorite.

It could be something to the idea of an even money favorite or better

**StackinGreen** · 05-04-15, 08:16 PM

Thanks.

**BGboothA** · 05-07-15, 12:20 AM

**BGboothA** · 05-10-15, 12:57 PM

Looks like I forgot to take out some of the really small tracks before I ran the numbers. Ignore the blank lines.

**Heppy10** · 05-10-15, 03:35 PM

Race 5 at belmont the winner paid $136

**BGboothA** · 05-10-15, 10:06 PM

Originally posted by Heppy10

Race 5 at belmont the winner paid $136

Wish I could say I had that one, but none the less I didn't. I didn't play the race and bet against teh favorite though...LOL

**StackinGreen** · 05-14-15, 02:58 PM

Got any reports for Pimlico tomorrow and Saturday yet? Thanks

**BGboothA** · 05-14-15, 05:32 PM

Yup, running them right now...will have them both ready to go late PST this evening.

**BGboothA** · 05-14-15, 11:17 PM

**StackinGreen** · 05-16-15, 10:15 AM

Got todays? Anyone at Pimlico?

**BGboothA** · 07-07-15, 11:12 PM

Here we go again just in time for the summer months.

Here are the false favorites for 07/07

**BGboothA** · 07-08-15, 09:58 PM

**BGboothA** · 07-09-15, 11:10 PM

**BGboothA** · 07-10-15, 11:45 PM

**BGboothA** · 07-12-15, 12:30 AM