Santa Anita Friday

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  • BGboothA
    SBR MVP
    • 08-07-08
    • 4202

    #1
    Santa Anita Friday
    Race 1 (DH Turf)

    #3 BLINGISMYTHING - Will be moving late and has a nice HBD Late pace advantage (30+), plus talamo has done well on the downhill. A little worried about the drop in distance but Talamo will have her ready to go I think.

    #4 JADE WITH ENVY - Has finished 2nd every time she has ran the Downhill, speed figures close to average winner, Will likely cash.

    #11 INTOXICTIN MOVE - Has had great success on downhill course, last two speed figures close to average winner, outside post is actually inside post on downhill course, 8/1 ML is a gift

    #14 / #8 - will both likely be near the front, if the pace holds which doens't happen often on this downhill they could be in it.

    Key #3

    WPS Ladders #3 $20

    $0.50 Trifecta = 3 / 4,8,11,14 / ALL = $26
    $0.50 Trifecta = 4,11 / 3 / ALL = $13
  • BGboothA
    SBR MVP
    • 08-07-08
    • 4202

    #2
    BOOM! Don't bet against Talamo on the downhill!!!

    Just missed the Trifecta, but a nice $73.20 return on the Ladder Bet!

    With the scratches in the last race the Tri's didn't cost me as much as I thought before I put them in. Either way we are up about $40 on the first race. I will take it.
    Comment
    • JJJ
      SBR MVP
      • 05-03-11
      • 2610

      #3
      Originally posted by BGboothA
      Race 1 (DH Turf)

      #3 BLINGISMYTHING - Will be moving late and has a nice HBD Late pace advantage (30+), plus talamo has done well on the downhill. A little worried about the drop in distance but Talamo will have her ready to go I think.

      #4 JADE WITH ENVY - Has finished 2nd every time she has ran the Downhill, speed figures close to average winner, Will likely cash.

      #11 INTOXICTIN MOVE - Has had great success on downhill course, last two speed figures close to average winner, outside post is actually inside post on downhill course, 8/1 ML is a gift

      #14 / #8 - will both likely be near the front, if the pace holds which doens't happen often on this downhill they could be in it.

      Key #3

      WPS Ladders #3 $20

      $0.50 Trifecta = 3 / 4,8,11,14 / ALL = $26
      $0.50 Trifecta = 4,11 / 3 / ALL = $13

      nice call on the3
      Comment
      • BGboothA
        SBR MVP
        • 08-07-08
        • 4202

        #4
        Went and grabbed some lunch, hit the DD to start the day. skipped the third race.

        Lets see what we want to do in the 4th.
        Comment
        • BGboothA
          SBR MVP
          • 08-07-08
          • 4202

          #5
          Race #4

          #11 RING WEEKEND - obviously the class of the race and should be a heavy favorite, but I can't bet him in a 12 horse field at less than 2-1.

          #2 TALCO - Ran well in his first shot since coming from overseas and keeps Nakatani on board. Ran well overseas on softer turf and will get a shot on some firmer ground here. He can absolutely FLY late and I would love to get the 5-1 that we are getting on him now. HBD turf pedigree rating of (+9) gives me more confidence that he will like the SA Turf as well.

          #10 LONG ON VALUE - Stretching out for the first time to 1 1/8 having only gone 1 1/16 in the past. He should be ok at the distance and put up a huge race last time out at Canterbury. Another horse that could take to the Santa Anita track coming from the east coast. at 14-1 its worth a look here as well, and will likley be closer to the front at the turn than TALCO.

          #12 YARD LINE - THe only horse that has really shown early speed on the turf. I don't think they will let him get out there especially from the outside, but its possible he can hang on to something from the lead.

          #2 TALCO - WPS Ladder ($20)

          $0.50 trifecta - 2 / 10,12,13 / ALL = $16.50
          $0.50 trifecta - 10,13 / 2 / ALL = $11

          Lets hit something
          Comment
          • BGboothA
            SBR MVP
            • 08-07-08
            • 4202

            #6
            Originally posted by BGboothA

            #10 LONG ON VALUE - Stretching out for the first time to 1 1/8 having only gone 1 1/16 in the past. He should be ok at the distance and put up a huge race last time out at Canterbury. Another horse that could take to the Santa Anita track coming from the east coast. at 14-1 its worth a look here as well, and will likley be closer to the front at the turn than TALCO.
            .
            Had the right horses, made the wrong bet! Nice race by Rosie
            Comment
            • Heppy10
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 05-15-09
              • 654

              #7
              ya ran a good race i think the #4 divine oath would of won if he didn't get stuck on the stretch
              Comment
              • NoFear
                SBR Rookie
                • 02-27-12
                • 25

                #8
                tailing you BGboothA for todays card. Keep up the goodwork. Enjoyed your early thoughts.
                Last edited by NoFear; 10-31-14, 03:29 PM.
                Comment
                • Heppy10
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-15-09
                  • 654

                  #9
                  I think im the only one on the #12 Unbridled's Note
                  Comment
                  • BGboothA
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-07-08
                    • 4202

                    #10
                    Race #5

                    Not a big fan of the favorite here in #2 MIDNIGHT HAWK, and I relaly don't like the 2nd choice #3 CHITU coming off long layoff.

                    #11 BAHAMIAN SQUALL - Big class rating here compared to field last time out, may be the best in this field and you are getting 10-1...really? Can't pass this horse up here at this price. Ran a huge Brisnet number in similar conditions last time out, the move to Bejarano may be helpful as well. Only ran once at Santa Anita, but has done well at Gulfstream Parks similar hard surface.

                    #9 BROADWAY EMPIRE - Another horse that I am estatic to be seeing 14-1 on, Drop in distance could push him back into sprint form where he has ran well at Turfway Park and Churchill downs a few back. He has the ability to win this and the price is just too nice to ignore.

                    #11 WPS Ladder = $20
                    #9 WPS Ladder = $20

                    $2 Exacta 9 / 7,10 ($4)
                    $2 Exacta 11 / 7,10 ($4)
                    $5 Exacta Box 9/11 ($10)
                    Comment
                    • BGboothA
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-07-08
                      • 4202

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Heppy10
                      I think im the only one on the #12 Unbridled's Note
                      if this race was on the turf, or the downhill I would agree. But I just don't trust Unbridled here in this situation. Wouldn't be surprised if they hit the board here though.
                      Comment
                      • pick4player
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-04-12
                        • 491

                        #12
                        chitu easy winner all in
                        Comment
                        • Heppy10
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 05-15-09
                          • 654

                          #13
                          ya have no idea why #9 Broadway Empire is 10-1. Going to bet across on him and 9-12 box
                          Comment
                          • BGboothA
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-07-08
                            • 4202

                            #14
                            Originally posted by pick4player
                            chitu easy winner all in
                            Nice call....just didn't trust him after a half a year off!
                            Comment
                            • Heppy10
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 05-15-09
                              • 654

                              #15
                              nice call, 12 was no match
                              Comment
                              • Heppy10
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 05-15-09
                                • 654

                                #16
                                between the three of us we had the tri
                                Comment
                                • BGboothA
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-07-08
                                  • 4202

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by BGboothA

                                  #11 WPS Ladder = $20
                                  #9 WPS Ladder = $20

                                  $2 Exacta 9 / 7,10 ($4)
                                  $2 Exacta 11 / 7,10 ($4)
                                  $5 Exacta Box 9/11 ($10)
                                  Won $31 on the Ladder bet, but lost $38 on the other bets, down $7 that race...
                                  Comment
                                  • BGboothA
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-07-08
                                    • 4202

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Heppy10
                                    between the three of us we had the tri
                                    Yeah, of course none of us bet it....lol

                                    $264 tri would have been nice
                                    Comment
                                    • BGboothA
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-07-08
                                      • 4202

                                      #19
                                      Pick 4 Tickets

                                      $1 = 3,4,5,11 / 1,9 / 1,2,4 / 10 = $24
                                      $1 = 3,4,5,11 / 1,9 / 3,5 / 10 = $16
                                      $0.50 = 3,4,5,11 / 8,10 / 1,2,14 / 10 = $12
                                      $0.50 = 3,4,5,11 / 1,9 / 4 / 10 = $4
                                      $0.50 = 3,4,5,11 / 1,9 / 1,2,14 / 3,4,11 = $36

                                      Total = $92
                                      Comment
                                      • BGboothA
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-07-08
                                        • 4202

                                        #20
                                        Race #6 JUV TURF

                                        #5 HOOTENANNY - Will be the speed, simple as that. If they let her get away, she will win this easily. Not sure she will get that trip, but you can't ignore the nearly 90 point HBD Early Pace advantage here. And if I can get close to that 7-1 that she is at right now....please and thank you.

                                        #11 IMPERIA - Last out win at Belmont was impressive. +2 HBD Turf pedigree rating. Can't ignore here.

                                        #4 COMMEMORATIVE - Nice impressive win at Newmarket. Replay looked like she was better than the win on paper even shows. And the 6-1 is a nice price here as well.

                                        #3 LUCK OF THE KITTEN - Likes Santa Anita, probably not the best here, but can win if the Europeans don't take to the course. +6 HBD Turf Pedigree Rating and prior win on this course will be nice. Another one I just cant toss.

                                        WPS Ladder #5 $20

                                        0.50 Trifecta Box = 3,4,5,11 = $12
                                        Comment
                                        • Heppy10
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 05-15-09
                                          • 654

                                          #21
                                          Across on #10 Startup Nation, 10/2, 2/10, 6/8/11
                                          Comment
                                          • pacocn
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-05-10
                                            • 12934

                                            #22
                                            Exacta box 1,4,11 Race 6 Santa Anita
                                            Comment
                                            • BGboothA
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-07-08
                                              • 4202

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Heppy10
                                              Across on #10 Startup Nation, 10/2, 2/10, 6/8/11
                                              Good luck on this one, if I went one more deeper this would have been it. -8 Turf Pedigree rating turned me off here, but I think you toss her last out she looks great.
                                              Comment
                                              • Heppy10
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-15-09
                                                • 654

                                                #24
                                                dettori still the king
                                                Comment
                                                • pacocn
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-05-10
                                                  • 12934

                                                  #25
                                                  Spot on!!!!! nice call
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Heppy10
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 05-15-09
                                                    • 654

                                                    #26
                                                    both speed horses take it
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Heppy10
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 05-15-09
                                                      • 654

                                                      #27
                                                      damn should of bet the #2 across, nice picks BG
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BGboothA
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-07-08
                                                        • 4202

                                                        #28
                                                        I should stop playing the trifectas

                                                        $51 profit on the ladder, and missed a nice exacta had I just stuck with it instead of shooting for the tri.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jeffie
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-06-12
                                                          • 3428

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by BGboothA
                                                          Pick 4 Tickets

                                                          $1 = 3,4,5,11 / 1,9 / 1,2,4 / 10 = $24
                                                          $1 = 3,4,5,11 / 1,9 / 3,5 / 10 = $16
                                                          $0.50 = 3,4,5,11 / 8,10 / 1,2,14 / 10 = $12
                                                          $0.50 = 3,4,5,11 / 1,9 / 4 / 10 = $4
                                                          $0.50 = 3,4,5,11 / 1,9 / 1,2,14 / 3,4,11 = $36

                                                          Total = $92
                                                          Looks really solid imo best of luck!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BGboothA
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-07-08
                                                            • 4202

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Jeffie
                                                            Looks really solid imo best of luck!
                                                            Made it through the first leg...can't complain. Three more to go. So hard to hit these on BC day...so many quality possibilities
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Heppy10
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 05-15-09
                                                              • 654

                                                              #31
                                                              Really like the #4 Pants on Fire going to key him. 4, 1/9/7, 1/9/7.

                                                              Then across on #7 Bronzo LS bet
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Heppy10
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 05-15-09
                                                                • 654

                                                                #32
                                                                Didn't put my #2 in there
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Heppy10
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 05-15-09
                                                                  • 654

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I should stop playing the trifectas

                                                                  $51 profit on the ladder, and missed a nice exacta had I just stuck with it instead of shooting for the tri.

                                                                  Originally posted by Heppy10
                                                                  Didn't put my #2 in there
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BGboothA
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-07-08
                                                                    • 4202

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Race #7

                                                                    #1 GOLDENCENTS - Likely the best, duh. But less than even money in a BC event is insane! Obviously include but can't be bet at that price.

                                                                    #9 TAPTURE - Needs help with the pace, and might get it from the inside. Tap could be looking at a perfect trip as the only horse on his outside is a very late running Big Bane Theory. Would love to get 5-1, but more likely will see closer to 4-1. Love him here though.

                                                                    #8 FED BIZ - Last out was amazing 2nd place to some horse named SHARED BELIEF and showed amazing 'moxy' in that second place finish. Tough to throw out and will likely be close at the end.

                                                                    #10 BIG BANE THEORY - I don't think this horse can win, but I think he can be there at the end.

                                                                    WPS Ladder #9 ($20) (Conditional 9/2 or better)

                                                                    $1.00 Trifectas
                                                                    8 / 1,9,10 / 1,7,9,10= $9
                                                                    1,9 / 8 / 1,7,9,10 = $6
                                                                    1,9 / 1,7,9,10 / 8 = $6
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Heppy10
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 05-15-09
                                                                      • 654

                                                                      #35
                                                                      #1 goldencents sweating bad
                                                                      Comment
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