I entered a handicapping tournament on Saturday 3/16 and need advice

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  • DDT
    SBR MVP
    • 03-22-09
    • 3757

    #1
    I entered a handicapping tournament on Saturday 3/16 and need advice
    I must make a total of thirty $2 bets (15 win, 15 show) on a single horse in 15 different races. There are 8 mandatory races and 7 optional races of my choice from Aqueduct, Fair Grounds, Gulfstream Park, Oaklawn Park and Santa Anita Park. The required races are:

    – Oaklawn Park: Race 3 Claiming (6 Furlongs)
    – Gulfstream Park: Race 6 Claiming (5 Furlongs - Turf)
    – Aqueduct: Race 7 Maiden Special Weight (6 Furlongs)
    – Fair Grounds: Race 6 Colonel Power Stakes (About 5 ½ Furlongs - Turf)
    – Santa Anita Park: Race 4 Maiden Claiming (About 6 ½ Furlongs - Turf)
    – Gulfstream Park: Race 10 Grade 2, Honey Fox Stakes (1 Mile - Turf)
    – Oaklawn Park: Race 10 Grade 2, Rebel Stakes (1 1/16 Miles)
    – Santa Anita Park: Race 8 Grade 2, San Luis Rey S. (1 ½ Miles - Turf)

    Please help me out if you can. Any advice would be greatly appreciated.
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36108

    #2
    GL. Check Booth's info on this site and maybe some others can give you some picks. If one of these required races is Thoro-graph's race of the week I will report back.
    Comment
    • BGboothA
      SBR MVP
      • 08-07-08
      • 4202

      #3
      Good luck DDT, I will put in my 0.02 after I run tomorrows numbers later this evening.
      Comment
      • Easy-Rider 66
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-14-12
        • 36108

        #4
        Race of the week is the Rebel Stakes. In their opinion Delhomme at 7/2 morning line is the most likely winner, and Carve at 15/1 morning line may be worth a shot to come in the money at a price.
        Comment
        • DDT
          SBR MVP
          • 03-22-09
          • 3757

          #5
          Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
          Race of the week is the Rebel Stakes. In their opinion Delhomme at 7/2 morning line is the most likely winner, and Carve at 15/1 morning line may be worth a shot to come in the money at a price.
          Thank you for the insight....Super ninety nine looks really tough as well
          Comment
          • Easy-Rider 66
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-14-12
            • 36108

            #6
            Originally posted by DDT
            Thank you for the insight....Super ninety nine looks really tough as well
            Yeah, but 3rd race in 44 days(Candidate to bounce) and at 3/2 morning line might be an underlay.
            Comment
            • BGboothA
              SBR MVP
              • 08-07-08
              • 4202

              #7
              – Oaklawn Park: Race 3 Claiming (6 Furlongs)
              Love the #8 DENALI SILVER here in this one. Should wire this 6f race. Has the fastest early speed and has the ability to finish strong. The 2 will press the pace a little at first and may push the 8 wide. But I think the 8 wins this one coming just off the pace.

              – Gulfstream Park: Race 6 Claiming (5 Furlongs - Turf)
              #8 DAFREAKINHEAT besides a badass name this guy should be able to explode late and take down this field. He should be able to break well and stay out of the mess. Allow a few others to press the pace, but even in this short race, the 8 should come from the middle of the pack and score here.

              – Aqueduct: Race 7 Maiden Special Weight (6 Furlongs)
              Aqueuducts Inner Dirt, with 6 first time starters....shit this is a race I would have never played. At this point I like the 10 DO I AMUSE, but at this point, I think this is a race to take a shot on. Maybe the 2 WATERWAY, coming off decent numbers, and a nice 34 day layoff, may have a race here. But man, I don't know.

              – Fair Grounds: Race 6 Colonel Power Stakes (About 5 ½ Furlongs - Turf)

              Love the 2 SUM OF PARTS, its the ML favorite and could go off near even money, but I don't see how he loses.

              – Santa Anita Park: Race 4 Maiden Claiming (About 6 ½ Furlongs - Turf)
              Another huge field, going down the hill at Santa Anita. This track calls for some strange capping. Will probably have some scratches in this race but I like the 9 JOEANDBETTY.... Should be able to be in position to score.

              – Gulfstream Park: Race 10 Grade 2, Honey Fox Stakes (1 Mile - Turf)
              Alot of horses coming off long layoffs, mean a tough field for me to cap. But I like the 4 CHANNEL LADY, again I think this one comes from just off the pace and the 4 should be in a position to score.

              – Oaklawn Park: Race 10 Grade 2, Rebel Stakes (1 1/16 Miles)
              In a contest I don't see how taking Super99 is worth while, may go off at even money or worse. I would rather take a shot with #6 DEN'S LEGACY here.

              – Santa Anita Park: Race 8 Grade 2, San Luis Rey S. (1 ½ Miles - Turf)
              Long race on the SA turf. This is one that I would want to wait on and see how the turf is holding up for speed. I like the #1 SLIM SHADEY as the lone speed, but if speed isn't holding which is usually doesn't on the turf at SA. Then I may lean toward the 2 INTERACTION.
              Comment
              • BGboothA
                SBR MVP
                • 08-07-08
                • 4202

                #8
                Good luck DDT, let us know how it goes.
                Comment
                • cbiscuit
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 03-14-07
                  • 633

                  #9
                  Center Court looks real good in Honey Fox at GP
                  Comment
                  • Easy-Rider 66
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-14-12
                    • 36108

                    #10
                    In looking at Trackmaster PPs Delhomme has the best speed figure at 114(10 points better than nearest rival). That was in November so he is well rested but may need one before he fires his best. Carve jumped up 17 points his last race and he is eligible to improve.
                    Comment
                    • harthebar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-09-11
                      • 15710

                      #11
                      notice the shovel in jockeys oxbow and the horse court went to ...who looks ok..if you toss out the last in the mud from hell track.......why is smith here ...did court have to take lukas horse
                      Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                      In looking at Trackmaster PPs Delhomme has the best speed figure at 114(10 points better than nearest rival). That was in November so he is well rested but may need one before he fires his best. Carve jumped up 17 points his last race and he is eligible to improve.
                      Comment
                      • harthebar
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-09-11
                        • 15710

                        #12
                        booth the man the myth the legend....been busy rebuilding my home....got killed in hurricane sandy ...havent been with it the last couple of weeks......are these your picks ...or are the system...........i didnt see a point system here....anyway how have you been......i posted my few plays so far on ther site, where mikemca posted have you won a derby war yet
                        Originally posted by BGboothA
                        – Oaklawn Park: Race 3 Claiming (6 Furlongs)
                        Love the #8 DENALI SILVER here in this one. Should wire this 6f race. Has the fastest early speed and has the ability to finish strong. The 2 will press the pace a little at first and may push the 8 wide. But I think the 8 wins this one coming just off the pace.

                        – Gulfstream Park: Race 6 Claiming (5 Furlongs - Turf)
                        #8 DAFREAKINHEAT besides a badass name this guy should be able to explode late and take down this field. He should be able to break well and stay out of the mess. Allow a few others to press the pace, but even in this short race, the 8 should come from the middle of the pack and score here.

                        – Aqueduct: Race 7 Maiden Special Weight (6 Furlongs)
                        Aqueuducts Inner Dirt, with 6 first time starters....shit this is a race I would have never played. At this point I like the 10 DO I AMUSE, but at this point, I think this is a race to take a shot on. Maybe the 2 WATERWAY, coming off decent numbers, and a nice 34 day layoff, may have a race here. But man, I don't know.

                        – Fair Grounds: Race 6 Colonel Power Stakes (About 5 ½ Furlongs - Turf)

                        Love the 2 SUM OF PARTS, its the ML favorite and could go off near even money, but I don't see how he loses.

                        – Santa Anita Park: Race 4 Maiden Claiming (About 6 ½ Furlongs - Turf)
                        Another huge field, going down the hill at Santa Anita. This track calls for some strange capping. Will probably have some scratches in this race but I like the 9 JOEANDBETTY.... Should be able to be in position to score.

                        – Gulfstream Park: Race 10 Grade 2, Honey Fox Stakes (1 Mile - Turf)
                        Alot of horses coming off long layoffs, mean a tough field for me to cap. But I like the 4 CHANNEL LADY, again I think this one comes from just off the pace and the 4 should be in a position to score.

                        – Oaklawn Park: Race 10 Grade 2, Rebel Stakes (1 1/16 Miles)
                        In a contest I don't see how taking Super99 is worth while, may go off at even money or worse. I would rather take a shot with #6 DEN'S LEGACY here.

                        – Santa Anita Park: Race 8 Grade 2, San Luis Rey S. (1 ½ Miles - Turf)
                        Long race on the SA turf. This is one that I would want to wait on and see how the turf is holding up for speed. I like the #1 SLIM SHADEY as the lone speed, but if speed isn't holding which is usually doesn't on the turf at SA. Then I may lean toward the 2 INTERACTION.
                        Comment
                        • BGboothA
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-07-08
                          • 4202

                          #13
                          Hart, I have been doing really well in the h2h at derby wars, winning about 3/4 on a regular basis. Haven't really played many of the large tourneys there yet.

                          THese are my picks, based on my system. Some are top picks of my system some are picks against my system but horsees I like.
                          Comment
                          • mrginandtonic
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-11-09
                            • 7734

                            #14
                            I think I'm crazy, but I like the 12- Foxy Aunt Ethel in race 4 SA and the 7- Bright Thought in Race 8 SA. ( I only have the Santa Anita form). GL.
                            Comment
                            • DDT
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-22-09
                              • 3757

                              #15
                              Thanks BG, easy rider and Mr gin
                              Comment
                              • mikemca
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-10-10
                                • 10047

                                #16
                                Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                                I think I'm crazy, but I like the 12- Foxy Aunt Ethel in race 4 SA
                                Not crazy with a better start but not a whole lot of pace.I was between the 12 and 6-Cravin' The Heat(12-1) as long shots.
                                Comment
                                • DDT
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-22-09
                                  • 3757

                                  #17
                                  Nice win by 8 at Oaklawn race 3
                                  Comment
                                  • BGboothA
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-07-08
                                    • 4202

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by DDT
                                    Nice win by 8 at Oaklawn race 3
                                    YEah he barely hung on! But I got a nice WPS ladder off that one. Nice $34 profit for me. Lets keep this thing going.

                                    Who did you take in the contest?
                                    Comment
                                    • mrginandtonic
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-11-09
                                      • 7734

                                      #19
                                      Look at the odds, looks like there is no chance for the 12
                                      Comment
                                      • mrginandtonic
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-11-09
                                        • 7734

                                        #20
                                        Good call on the 6, Mike!! You da man!!

                                        $16 to place
                                        Comment
                                        • mikemca
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-10-10
                                          • 10047

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by mrginandtonic
                                          Good call on the 6, Mike!! You da man!!

                                          $16 to place
                                          Thx had it in both my contests today but sadly that and the short price Magical Weekend are about the only things I got right so far.
                                          Comment
                                          • PAULYPOKER
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-06-08
                                            • 36581

                                            #22
                                            Whoa,You guys are cool to each other in this forum,never thought it was possible on SBR..............

                                            Nice to see.....
                                            Comment
                                            • mikemca
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-10-10
                                              • 10047

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by harthebar
                                              notice the shovel in jockeys oxbow and the horse court went to ...who looks ok..if you toss out the last in the mud from hell track.......why is smith here ...did court have to take lukas horse

                                              Great call Hart
                                              Comment
                                              • DDT
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-22-09
                                                • 3757

                                                #24
                                                I appreciate everyone's help today....I didn't do too bad.

                                                Results:

                                                With my $60 W/P bets....I ended up with $72.60 (6 Wins, 1 Place)

                                                **Highlighted by wins in the 3rd race at Oaklawn and 4th and 8th races at Santa Anita**

                                                1st place today wins $600 and the top 50 out of the 350 players move on to the Championship on August 10th. There will be a total of 150 players in the Championship tournament, with the top six finishers representing Lone Star Park at the National Handicapping Championship in Vegas. I was very surprised how organized LSP was with this tournament and it was a lot of fun!
                                                Comment
                                                • BGboothA
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-07-08
                                                  • 4202

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                                                  Whoa,You guys are cool to each other in this forum,never thought it was possible on SBR..............

                                                  Nice to see.....
                                                  Lets not spread the word...lol. This subforum is great. Some great guys here that really seem to look at this as a team sport. Much different than some of the other places around SBR. Lets not start telling people, we might get infected with some of those other guys.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DDT
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-22-09
                                                    • 3757

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by BGboothA
                                                    Lets not spread the word...lol. This subforum is great. Some great guys here that really seem to look at this as a team sport. Much different than some of the other places around SBR. Lets not start telling people, we might get infected with some of those other guys.
                                                    Horse Racing and NASCAR have the two best sections in SBR...let's not turn it into the "Boys Club" that Players Talk has become.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • harthebar
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-09-11
                                                      • 15710

                                                      #27
                                                      thanks mikemca....
                                                      Originally posted by mikemca
                                                      Great call Hart
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DDT
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-22-09
                                                        • 3757

                                                        #28
                                                        I finished 38th!! Championship here I come!! Thanks for the help guys
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BGboothA
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-07-08
                                                          • 4202

                                                          #29
                                                          Nice work!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PAULYPOKER
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-06-08
                                                            • 36581

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by BGboothA

                                                            Lets not spread the word...lol. This subforum is great. Some great guys here that really seem to look at this as a team sport. Much different than some of the other places around SBR. Lets not start telling people, we might get infected with some of those other guys.
                                                            Lol,I understand 100%
                                                            Comment
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