UK Horse System - Week 21 Day 7 - Sun 3/10

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  • Kev the Brit
    SBR MVP
    • 10-25-09
    • 2027

    #1
    UK Horse System - Week 21 Day 7 - Sun 3/10
    B/F totals from Week 21 Day 6:
    Units bet: 430
    Profit/Loss: +15.4 units
    Av ROI per bet: +3.58%

    Due to the amount of time it takes me to list all the horses before racing starts (when I could/should be doing other things), together with the number of changes I have to make during the racing, I have decided not to post the horses on a single list at the outset. Instead, I will post the horses during the racing period. As far as I know, no-one (other than me) is actually betting on these horses, so I'm not expecting any complaints or adverse comments.

    I'm not a typist, so due to the amount of data and keystrokes, I will post today's picks as follows:

    Race Track: All races are in the UK. The location of the race will be identified by the 1st 3 letters of the name of the track.

    Race Identifier: The time of the race will be posted in the GMT zone am/pm mode (always pm). I will not post the race number, thus avoiding any confusion with the horse's number.

    Horse Identifier: The horse will be identified by its race number (not stalls/post draw No) plus the 1st 3 letters of its name.

    Pick Changes. Due to the betting market I reserve the right to change the pick at any time, but if this happens the new pick will be posted as soon as practicable. This might occur shortly before/after the race starts.

    Here's today's UK Horse Racing system picks (listed chronologically): see following posts....

    Important Note: The SBR Forum clock is 1 hour ahead of UK time. UK does not go onto DST until later this month..
  • Kev the Brit
    SBR MVP
    • 10-25-09
    • 2027

    #2
    War 2.00: 2 Cry (race already started, but early on)
    Comment
    • Kev the Brit
      SBR MVP
      • 10-25-09
      • 2027

      #3
      Late Change to War 2.00: 9 Che
      Comment
      • Kev the Brit
        SBR MVP
        • 10-25-09
        • 2027

        #4
        Mar 2.20: 4 Gee

        The system "rules" dictate that 4 Gee is the pick. However, 7 Spi is the overwhelming favourite and undoubted form horse to win. Common sense would suggest a no system bet and a bet on the favourite. I am considering an amendment to the system to reflect overwhelming favourites.
        Comment
        • Kev the Brit
          SBR MVP
          • 10-25-09
          • 2027

          #5
          What do I know. The system horse won easily @ Betfair odds 8.6
          Comment
          • Kev the Brit
            SBR MVP
            • 10-25-09
            • 2027

            #6
            War 2.30: 4 Jac
            Comment
            • Kev the Brit
              SBR MVP
              • 10-25-09
              • 2027

              #7
              Mar 2.50: 1 Sto
              Comment
              • Kev the Brit
                SBR MVP
                • 10-25-09
                • 2027

                #8
                War 3.00: 2 Tim
                Comment
                • Kev the Brit
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-25-09
                  • 2027

                  #9
                  Change War 3.00 : 3 Ugl
                  Comment
                  • Kev the Brit
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-25-09
                    • 2027

                    #10
                    War 3.00 delayed start at 3.09
                    Comment
                    • Kev the Brit
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-25-09
                      • 2027

                      #11
                      Mar 3.20: 2 Ice
                      Comment
                      • Kev the Brit
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-25-09
                        • 2027

                        #12
                        War meeting running late: 5 - 10 mins delay
                        Comment
                        • Kev the Brit
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-25-09
                          • 2027

                          #13
                          War 3.30: 5 Arg
                          Comment
                          • Kev the Brit
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-25-09
                            • 2027

                            #14
                            Mar 3.50: 1 Six
                            Comment
                            • Kev the Brit
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-25-09
                              • 2027

                              #15
                              War 4.00: 10 Bal
                              Comment
                              • Kev the Brit
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-25-09
                                • 2027

                                #16
                                Mar 4.20: 3 Mid
                                Comment
                                • Kev the Brit
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-25-09
                                  • 2027

                                  #17
                                  War 4.30: 6 Wor
                                  Comment
                                  • Kev the Brit
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-25-09
                                    • 2027

                                    #18
                                    Mar 4.50: 1 Top
                                    Comment
                                    • Kev the Brit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-25-09
                                      • 2027

                                      #19
                                      War 5.00: 1 Hor
                                      Comment
                                      • Kev the Brit
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-25-09
                                        • 2027

                                        #20
                                        Mar 5.20: 5 Aro
                                        Comment
                                        • Kev the Brit
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-25-09
                                          • 2027

                                          #21
                                          Review of the Day and Progress so far

                                          B/F totals from Week 21 Day 6:
                                          Units bet: 430
                                          Profit/Loss: +15.4 units
                                          Av ROI per bet: +3.58%

                                          Today (Week 21 Day 7):

                                          14 races @ 1 unit per race


                                          5 winners:
                                          Warwick 2.00 pm: No 9 Chestertern @ Betfair SP odds 8.8
                                          Market Rasen 2.20 pm: No 4 Gee Hi @ Betfair SP odds 8.6
                                          Market Rasen 3.50 pm: No 1 Sixty Something @ Betfair SP odds 8.5
                                          Warwick 4.00 pm: No 10 Ballysands @ Betfair SP odds 7.1

                                          Market Rasen 4.50 pm: No 1 Topaze Collonges @ Betfair SP odds 4.7

                                          Units returned: 37.7

                                          Units bet: 14
                                          Profit/Loss: +23.7 units
                                          Av ROI: 169.28% per bet

                                          Progress since Week 19 Day 1 (beginning of the public trial):
                                          C/F totals to Week 22 Day 1:

                                          Units bet: 444
                                          Profit/Loss: +39.1 units
                                          Av ROI per bet: 8.81+%

                                          Today's 14 races produced the best average return on investment (ROI) of 1.69 units per bet, since the beginning of this 21 day snapshot period. The 23.7 units profit has brought the overall profit up to 39 units in this period, which is just under 2 units per day.

                                          More tomorrow.....
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