Been following since the season started keep up the good work
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30076
#43
lost .84 on Maple Leafs (1)
lost .65 on Devils (1)
2 Game Limit record: 10-2
Net: +299 = was +446 - (.82) - (.65)
Devils chase (2)
to win 1.00 +.65 = bet 1.44 to win 1.65
Go Ravens.
Comment
Vinnie Paz
SBR Posting Legend
03-27-12
12177
#44
Why aren't devils a play today?
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30076
#45
Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
Why aren't devils a play today?
sorry, that was a mistake on my part. I somehow missed today's game.
It's already started. Therefore, if they win today, their chase ends and
I will have to mark it as a win. If they lose, the chase ends with a loss.
The line was +115.
Also, the Leafs are indeed playing tomorrow.
I have to wait until at least 9am from now on.
Some websites don't have correct info first thing.
I am also distracted by Superbowl.
Post entry above has been modified to be correct.
My apologies.
Comment
Vinnie Paz
SBR Posting Legend
03-27-12
12177
#46
This a 3 game chase correct?
Comment
Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30076
#47
Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
This a 3 game chase correct?
No, any chase or fade is limited to 2 games and the first
cannot be higher than -150.
If we chase a team to a 3rd game, it's the beginning of a new one.
guys I don't like the way it's working out
on a martingale here. the doubling-down affect
turned what would have been a winning record
spot-up into a losing one - it seems that a 2-Game Limit
will not work, that a 3rd or 4th game is sometimes necessary
if the martingale is to be employed.
I added up my individual games as 16 wins and 13 losses, which
is a winning record, but limiting the lost chases to 2 games made
me lock in losses.
Therefore I will discontinue the 2-Game limit approach.
I still believe a chase/fade system can work in NHL if one is willing
to keep doubling down into 3rd,4th, and so on.. no team is going
to lose or win every game for the rest of the season, but anyone
can do this without me posting on it.
I will probably continue the unlimited chase in MLB but will have to
set stricter parameters than -150... maybe as low as -130.