Snowball's 2-game limit chase/fade

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  • altieriflyers
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-23-12
    • 777

    #36
    Outstanding as always.
    Comment
    • Snowball
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 11-15-09
      • 30076

      #37
      Blackhawks lost in SO, so the Wild fade continues
      to their next game.

      Net adjusted to +236

      Avalanche chase (1) +140
      Comment
      • CyberBoss
        SBR Rookie
        • 12-28-10
        • 21

        #38
        Great call on this one...

        I'm still trying to figure out what happen on the last 3 minutes of the game where suddently 3 goal got scored within not even 3 minutes
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30076

          #39
          Avalanche chase completed (1)
          2 Game Limit record: 9-2
          Net: +336

          Wild fade (2) take Ducks -125
          Comment
          • Snowball
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 11-15-09
            • 30076

            #40
            Wild fade completed (2)
            2 Game Limit record: 10-2
            Net: +446

            Maple Leafs chase (1) +120
            Devils chase (1) +155
            Comment
            • vigster
              SBR MVP
              • 09-18-12
              • 1032

              #41
              Nice start! Keep up the good work!
              Comment
              • Feenbeanmachine
                SBR Hustler
                • 11-28-12
                • 69

                #42
                Been following since the season started keep up the good work
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30076

                  #43
                  lost .84 on Maple Leafs (1)
                  lost .65 on Devils (1)

                  2 Game Limit record: 10-2
                  Net: +299 = was +446 - (.82) - (.65)

                  Devils chase (2)
                  to win 1.00 +.65 = bet 1.44 to win 1.65

                  Go Ravens.
                  Comment
                  • Vinnie Paz
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-27-12
                    • 12177

                    #44
                    Why aren't devils a play today?
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30076

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                      Why aren't devils a play today?
                      sorry, that was a mistake on my part. I somehow missed today's game.
                      It's already started. Therefore, if they win today, their chase ends and
                      I will have to mark it as a win. If they lose, the chase ends with a loss.
                      The line was +115.
                      Also, the Leafs are indeed playing tomorrow.
                      I have to wait until at least 9am from now on.
                      Some websites don't have correct info first thing.
                      I am also distracted by Superbowl.
                      Post entry above has been modified to be correct.
                      My apologies.
                      Comment
                      • Vinnie Paz
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-27-12
                        • 12177

                        #46
                        This a 3 game chase correct?
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30076

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                          This a 3 game chase correct?
                          No, any chase or fade is limited to 2 games and the first
                          cannot be higher than -150.
                          If we chase a team to a 3rd game, it's the beginning of a new one.

                          Devils chase completed (2)
                          2 Game Limit record: 11-2
                          Net: +464

                          Maple Leafs (2) (to win 1.00 + the .82 lost) = to win 1.82
                          odds pending
                          Comment
                          • Snowball
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-15-09
                            • 30076

                            #48
                            Maple Leafs (2) @ -115
                            2.09 to win 1.82
                            Comment
                            • Snowball
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 11-15-09
                              • 30076

                              #49
                              Lost Maple Leafs chase (2)
                              2 Game Limit record: 11-3
                              Net: +255

                              Islanders fade (1) take Penguins -145
                              Blackhawks chase (1) +105
                              Comment
                              • Snowball
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 11-15-09
                                • 30076

                                #50
                                Islanders fade completed (1)
                                Blackhawks chase completed (1)

                                2 Game Limit record: 13-3
                                Net: +455

                                no plays tonight.
                                Comment
                                • Snowball
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 11-15-09
                                  • 30076

                                  #51
                                  Senators chase (1) -130
                                  Rangers fade (1) take Islanders +150
                                  Coyotes fade (1) take Blackhawks -115
                                  Comment
                                  • Snowball
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 11-15-09
                                    • 30076

                                    #52
                                    Coyotes fade completed (1)

                                    Rangers fade continues (lost .67)
                                    take Lightning on Sunday

                                    Senators chase continues (lost 1.15)
                                    vs Jets on Saturday

                                    2 Game Limit record: 14-3
                                    Net: +273

                                    no bets tonight
                                    Comment
                                    • Snowball
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 11-15-09
                                      • 30076

                                      #53
                                      Bets

                                      Senators chase (2) (-155) to win back 1.15 +1 = 3.33 to win 2.15

                                      Rangers chase (2) - tomorrow.

                                      Panthers chase (1) +105 = .95 to win 1.00
                                      @ Capitals (next game also vs. Capitals)
                                      Comment
                                      • Snowball
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 11-15-09
                                        • 30076

                                        #54
                                        Senators chase lost @ (2) cost 3.33
                                        may continue this one

                                        Rangers fade (2) take Lightning (120) to win 1.00 + the .67 lost
                                        bet: Lightning 1.39 to win 1.67

                                        Panthers chase (2) tuesday hosting Capitals (to win 1.95)

                                        Running Net -1.55
                                        Comment
                                        • Snowball
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 11-15-09
                                          • 30076

                                          #55
                                          guys I don't like the way it's working out
                                          on a martingale here. the doubling-down affect
                                          turned what would have been a winning record
                                          spot-up into a losing one - it seems that a 2-Game Limit
                                          will not work, that a 3rd or 4th game is sometimes necessary
                                          if the martingale is to be employed.
                                          I added up my individual games as 16 wins and 13 losses, which
                                          is a winning record, but limiting the lost chases to 2 games made
                                          me lock in losses.
                                          Therefore I will discontinue the 2-Game limit approach.
                                          I still believe a chase/fade system can work in NHL if one is willing
                                          to keep doubling down into 3rd,4th, and so on.. no team is going
                                          to lose or win every game for the rest of the season, but anyone
                                          can do this without me posting on it.
                                          I will probably continue the unlimited chase in MLB but will have to
                                          set stricter parameters than -150... maybe as low as -130.
                                          Comment
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