Mebaran's Penalty Box

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  • mebaran
    SBR MVP
    • 09-16-09
    • 1540
    #141
    No plays tomorrow, stay tuned for Thursday's games.

    Today went alright, have a bad taste in my mouth though because I bet more than 10 units on the Wild tonight AND I decided not to post the Philly play I had. Oh well...we move onward.
      Comment
      • odog11
        SBR MVP
        • 02-14-11
        • 3874
        #142
        Originally posted by mebaran
        No plays tomorrow, stay tuned for Thursday's games. Today went alright, have a bad taste in my mouth though because I bet more than 10 units on the Wild tonight AND I decided not to post the Philly play I had. Oh well...we move onward.
        No play on the Hawks tomorrow? They are making a lot of sense to me at -110 or might play them to take it in regulation. They are catching the Wild on b/b, Emery should be in net and he has been pretty solid lately.
          Comment
          • mebaran
            SBR MVP
            • 09-16-09
            • 1540
            #143
            Originally posted by odog11
            No play on the Hawks tomorrow? They are making a lot of sense to me at -110 or might play them to take it in regulation. They are catching the Wild on b/b, Emery should be in net and he has been pretty solid lately.
            This is one of those tricky situations to me. However, I am sticking to my numbers, and they say no play. I actually have the Hawks as a slight underdog, so I'm sitting this one out.
              Comment
              • odog11
                SBR MVP
                • 02-14-11
                • 3874
                #144
                Originally posted by mebaran
                This is one of those tricky situations to me. However, I am sticking to my numbers, and they say no play. I actually have the Hawks as a slight underdog, so I'm sitting this one out.
                Thanks man, will keep in mind, but will probably have some type of play on the Hawks tomorrow and probably Bruins in regulation again, they just seem to own these Ontario clubs lately and Thomas will be rested.
                  Comment
                  • mebaran
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-16-09
                    • 1540
                    #145
                    Dec. 15th:

                    Stars +100

                    (Possibly one more pending the opening line on Calgary/Tampa)
                      Comment
                      • mebaran
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-16-09
                        • 1540
                        #146
                        Still value in Dallas at -105 and -110 if you can get it at those prices, anything less than that, pass.
                          Comment
                          • mebaran
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-16-09
                            • 1540
                            #147
                            Originally posted by mebaran
                            Dec. 15th:

                            Stars +100

                            (Possibly one more pending the opening line on Calgary/Tampa)
                            adding Calgary +115
                              Comment
                              • hydrosmak
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-13-11
                                • 1908
                                #148
                                What do you think of Poulin starting tonight for Islanders?
                                  Comment
                                  • mebaran
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-16-09
                                    • 1540
                                    #149
                                    Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                    What do you think of Poulin starting tonight for Islanders?
                                    It can't hurt our cause, right? In actuality, I don't think it matters who NYI puts between the posts, in any case, the Stars should be favorites. So getting them at +100 is +EV in any situation. Not to mention, Stars looked good on defense against the Rangers.
                                      Comment
                                      • hydrosmak
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-13-11
                                        • 1908
                                        #150
                                        Yeah that is what I was thinking. Too bad my book (BetIslands) has Dallas at -115. Poulin being in net isn't going to help that number so it will probably be a no play for me.

                                        I need to get back to 5 dimes... At least they had Dallas at EV this morning.
                                          Comment
                                          • mebaran
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-16-09
                                            • 1540
                                            #151
                                            Well, I mainly bet openers..so that's where my number came from. But yeah, 5Ds is pretty good, ESPECIALLY for openers.
                                              Comment
                                              • mebaran
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-16-09
                                                • 1540
                                                #152
                                                Today went 1-1, +0.00 units

                                                December: 12-9, +4.85 units
                                                Overall: 91-78-6, -0.10 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mebaran
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-16-09
                                                    • 1540
                                                    #153
                                                    Today: Calgary +145
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hydrosmak
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-13-11
                                                        • 1908
                                                        #154
                                                        Originally posted by mebaran
                                                        Today: Calgary +145
                                                        Kip is getting the day off. Bringing in a guy for his first NHL start. Should be interesting!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mebaran
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-16-09
                                                            • 1540
                                                            #155
                                                            Early plays for 12/17:

                                                            Bruins EV
                                                            Lightning EV
                                                            Islanders +150
                                                            Rangers EV
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mebaran
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-16-09
                                                                • 1540
                                                                #156
                                                                Today went 0-1, -1.00 units

                                                                December: 12-10, +3.85 units
                                                                Overall: 91-79-6, -1.10 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mebaran
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-16-09
                                                                    • 1540
                                                                    #157
                                                                    Originally posted by mebaran
                                                                    Early plays for 12/17:

                                                                    Bruins EV
                                                                    Lightning EV
                                                                    Islanders +150
                                                                    Rangers EV
                                                                    12/17 went 4-0, +4.5 units Finally, I get to bust out the

                                                                    December: 16-10, +8.35 units
                                                                    Overall: 95-79-6, +3.40 units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mebaran
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-16-09
                                                                        • 1540
                                                                        #158
                                                                        Do not believe there will be any plays tomorrow, pending the Wild/Canuck line being released.
                                                                          Comment
                                                                          • mebaran
                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                            • 09-16-09
                                                                            • 1540
                                                                            #159
                                                                            Dec. 20th:

                                                                            Predators +125
                                                                            Rangers +105 (Reallllllly like this one, everybody...if you must, you can drop more than one unit on it)
                                                                            Sabres +110

                                                                            Lines just came out and are fresh pickings..
                                                                              Comment
                                                                              • odog11
                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                • 02-14-11
                                                                                • 3874
                                                                                #160
                                                                                Originally posted by mebaran
                                                                                Dec. 20th: Predators +125 Rangers +105 (Reallllllly like this one, everybody...if you must, you can drop more than one unit on it) Sabres +110 Lines just came out and are fresh pickings..
                                                                                What are your thoughts on the over under for the Rangers/Devils? Eminger out for the Rangers so their depth at D could be tested and looks like Brodeur in net for the Devils. He has been better lately, but has not been as sharp as he was last year and Devils offense seems to be clicking. Set at 5 -105 seems low to me.
                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                  • mebaran
                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                    • 09-16-09
                                                                                    • 1540
                                                                                    #161
                                                                                    I have fair line at 5 -103/+103, so I'm seeing no value in this one. Rangers win 3-2 (ish)
                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                      • odog11
                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                        • 02-14-11
                                                                                        • 3874
                                                                                        #162
                                                                                        Originally posted by mebaran
                                                                                        I have fair line at 5 -103/+103, so I'm seeing no value in this one. Rangers win 3-2 (ish)
                                                                                        Thanks, may still go with my instinct and play the over, just a unit though.
                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                          • mebaran
                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                            • 09-16-09
                                                                                            • 1540
                                                                                            #163
                                                                                            Originally posted by mebaran
                                                                                            Dec. 20th:

                                                                                            Predators +125
                                                                                            Rangers +105 (Reallllllly like this one, everybody...if you must, you can drop more than one unit on it)
                                                                                            Sabres +110

                                                                                            Lines just came out and are fresh pickings..
                                                                                            ADDING: Wild +120

                                                                                            That's it for today. everyone
                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                              • mebaran
                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                • 09-16-09
                                                                                                • 1540
                                                                                                #164
                                                                                                For tomorrow, the 21st:

                                                                                                Flyers +100 (For all their injuries to key players, this is still a really good team that is capable of scoring 3+ goals/game. +100, even without Giroux and Pronger, is a bargain.
                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                  • mebaran
                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                    • 09-16-09
                                                                                                    • 1540
                                                                                                    #165
                                                                                                    Went 1-3 today, -1.95 units

                                                                                                    December: 17-13, +6.40 units
                                                                                                    Overall: 96-82-6, +1.45 units
                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                      • hydrosmak
                                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                                        • 10-13-11
                                                                                                        • 1908
                                                                                                        #166
                                                                                                        Originally posted by mebaran
                                                                                                        Dec. 20th: Predators +125 Rangers +105 (Reallllllly like this one, everybody...if you must, you can drop more than one unit on it) Sabres +110 Lines just came out and are fresh pickings..
                                                                                                        What was it about NYR that you liked so much? I went with NJ
                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                          • mebaran
                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                            • 09-16-09
                                                                                                            • 1540
                                                                                                            #167
                                                                                                            Originally posted by hydrosmak

                                                                                                            What was it about NYR that you liked so much? I went with NJ
                                                                                                            They are a better than NJ, and I got them at an underdog price. Nuff said. The long answer is that my model said so
                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                              • mebaran
                                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                                • 09-16-09
                                                                                                                • 1540
                                                                                                                #168
                                                                                                                For Dec. 22nd:

                                                                                                                Sabres +120
                                                                                                                Wild +105
                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                  • mebaran
                                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                                    • 09-16-09
                                                                                                                    • 1540
                                                                                                                    #169
                                                                                                                    So glad I got Philly at +100...looks like it will close at around -140. Weeeeeeeee
                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                      • mebaran
                                                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                                                        • 09-16-09
                                                                                                                        • 1540
                                                                                                                        #170
                                                                                                                        Today went 1-0, +1.00 unit

                                                                                                                        December: 18-13, +7.40 units
                                                                                                                        Overall: 97-82-6, +2.45 units
                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                          • mebaran
                                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                                            • 09-16-09
                                                                                                                            • 1540
                                                                                                                            #171
                                                                                                                            Leaning Coyotes/Leafs for tomorrow, but no official plays.

                                                                                                                            today, everyone..will be back the Monday after Christmas with plays. I'll be on a ski trip 26-27th, so I'll have limited access to a computer, but will try to get my plays out to you all.

                                                                                                                            Merry Christmas, all.
                                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                                              • mebaran
                                                                                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                • 09-16-09
                                                                                                                                • 1540
                                                                                                                                #172
                                                                                                                                Looks like today will end up going 0-2, -2.00 units

                                                                                                                                December: 18-15, +5.40 units
                                                                                                                                Overall: 97-84-6, +0.45 units
                                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                                  • mebaran
                                                                                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                    • 09-16-09
                                                                                                                                    • 1540
                                                                                                                                    #173
                                                                                                                                    Dec. 26th:

                                                                                                                                    Coyotes +120
                                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                                      • mebaran
                                                                                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                        • 09-16-09
                                                                                                                                        • 1540
                                                                                                                                        #174
                                                                                                                                        Again, everyone, I may or may not be releasing plays this week because I'll be skiing and will have limited access to a computer. Will do my best.
                                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                                          • mebaran
                                                                                                                                            SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                            • 09-16-09
                                                                                                                                            • 1540
                                                                                                                                            #175
                                                                                                                                            Dec. 27th:

                                                                                                                                            Jets +105
                                                                                                                                              Comment
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