merikson's Slapshot Picks

kblemoir · 12-13-11, 03:34 PM

Any picks for today?

merikson · 12-13-11, 05:49 PM

12/13

(A) PHI @ WAS - PHI +115 2 units
(A) CAR @ TOR - CAR +150 2 units
(C) OTT @ BUF - OTT +135 1 unit (8.62 if you're chasing)
(A) DET @ PIT - PIT +110 3 units
(A) VAN @ CBJ - VAN -200 2 units
(A) LA @ BOS - BOS -145 3 units
(A) DAL @ NYR - NYR +145 1 unit
(A) NJ @ FLA - NJ +140 1 unit
(A) CAL @ NAS - NAS -150 1 unit
(A) SJ @ COL - SJ -150 2 units

kblemoir · 12-13-11, 05:56 PM

Love your picks. You do so well

When you play 3 units, are you more confident on that game, or what is the strategy behind that?

merikson · 12-13-11, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by kblemoir

Love your picks. You do so well

When you play 3 units, are you more confident on that game, or what is the strategy behind that?

A 3 unit play clears more of my filters than a 2 unit play and so on. So, yes, I would say I'm more confident in them.

RabidGoat · 12-13-11, 06:05 PM

Noticed on you DAL @ NYR game you have NYR picked but at DAL's odds... Or my book has terrible odds

merikson · 12-13-11, 06:31 PM

Lol, no, it should be -165. That's what I got in at. Good catch.

kblemoir · 12-13-11, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by merikson

A 3 unit play clears more of my filters than a 2 unit play and so on. So, yes, I would say I'm more confident in them.

Thanks. I suppose the filters are top secret? I'm pretty new to betting and trying to learn as much as I can. I find some of the systems used in the forums pretty neat.

merikson · 12-13-11, 06:47 PM

Originally posted by kblemoir

Thanks. I suppose the filters are top secret? I'm pretty new to betting and trying to learn as much as I can. I find some of the systems used in the forums pretty neat.

I have power rankings that I have puttogether that include numerous statistics. I also use a handful of other factors as well.

DoubleRedDragon · 12-13-11, 07:03 PM

how many units up on the season merik?

merikson · 12-13-11, 07:43 PM

Originally posted by DoubleRedDragon

how many units up on the season merik?

Check post #168. I will probably do another update later tonight.

merikson · 12-13-11, 11:43 PM

Originally posted by merikson

12/12

NJ @ TB - NJ +115 1 unit

Not much going on tonight.

1-0, +1 unit

merikson · 12-14-11, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by merikson

12/13

(A) PHI @ WAS - PHI +115 2 units
(A) CAR @ TOR - CAR +150 2 units
(C) OTT @ BUF - OTT +135 1 unit (8.62 if you're chasing)
(A) DET @ PIT - PIT +110 3 units
(A) VAN @ CBJ - VAN -200 2 units
(A) LA @ BOS - BOS -145 3 units
(A) DAL @ NYR - NYR +145 1 unit
(A) NJ @ FLA - NJ +140 1 unit
(A) CAL @ NAS - NAS -150 1 unit
(A) SJ @ COL - SJ -150 2 units

5-5, -4.71 units, +2.91 units with chase

merikson · 12-14-11, 12:17 AM

Straight Up Overall: 142-102 (58.2%), +61.00 units

1 Unit: 25-22 (53.2%), +5.00 units
2 Units: 28-29 (49.1%), -17.80 units
3 Units: 56-31 (64.4%), +42.00 units
4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG line: -155

Completed Chase Overall: 22-0, +76.45 units
(A) 22-16
(B) 1-6
(C) 4-0

Still open:

(B) TOR -2.20 units
(C) LA -10.35 units
(B) EDM -3.20 units
(C) NYI -3.75 units
(B) BUF -1.67 units
(B) COL -1.67 units
(B) ANA -1.29 units
(B) CAR -1.33 units
(B) PIT -2.73 units
(B) NYR -1.65 units
(B) SJ -3.00 units

exshot · 12-14-11, 01:29 AM

I just started tailing you,

..do u have twitter?

merikson · 12-14-11, 09:25 AM

Originally posted by exshot

I just started tailing you,

..do u have twitter?

No, I don't use twitter. All of my picks will be posted here though. Welcome aboard.

singgooner · 12-14-11, 11:20 AM

It seems like - we should smash into the bookmakers on the C bet - 4 and 0 - I LIKE !

merikson · 12-14-11, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by singgooner

It seems like - we should smash into the bookmakers on the C bet - 4 and 0 - I LIKE !

We have been fairly lucky on the C bets. I know we are bound to lose one sooner our later. I think the A bets will slightly improve and I know the B bets will improve.

merikson · 12-14-11, 05:38 PM

12/14

BOS @ OTT - BOS -180 2 units
CHI @ MIN - MIN +125 1 unit
PHX @ ANA - ANA even 1 unit (2.29 units if you're chasing)

RabidGoat · 12-14-11, 05:47 PM

Looking good!

The chase picks have been solid I think you've only missed one of those. I lost about $150 last night but I'm feeling good about the overs in the Boston game. The real money maker tonight though.. NCAAB Denver University -3.5.. I've not had a play this strong in a long time. I'm going big or going broke on it

BOL tonight

merikson · 12-14-11, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

Looking good!

The chase picks have been solid I think you've only missed one of those. I lost about $150 last night but I'm feeling good about the overs in the Boston game. The real money maker tonight though.. NCAAB Denver University -3.5.. I've not had a play this strong in a long time. I'm going big or going broke on it

BOL tonight

I'll tail you on Denver. They won me a little a couple weeks ago. In also College of Charleston and FIU.

merikson · 12-15-11, 06:09 PM

12/15

(A) DAL @ NYI - DAL -125 1 unit
(A) VAN @ CAR - VAN -200 2 units
(A) PHI @ MON - PHI -115 2 units
(A) DET @ NAS - DET -140 2 units
(A) WAS @ WIN - WIN -110 3 units
(B) COL @ SJ - SJ -210 2 units (5 units if you're chasing)
(A) CAL @ TB - CAL -105 2 units

kblemoir · 12-15-11, 07:25 PM

Originally posted by merikson

12/15

(A) DAL @ NYI - DAL -125 1 unit
(A) VAN @ CAR - VAN -200 2 units
(A) PHI @ MON - PHI -115 2 units
(A) DET @ NAS - DET -140 2 units
(A) WAS @ WIN - WIN -110 3 units
(B) COL @ SJ - SJ -210 2 units (5 units if you're chasing)
(A) CAL @ TB - CAL -105 2 units

Like the picks. Matched mine except for the SJ game. I wasn't going to play it, but took a chance on the Avs given the odds

RabidGoat · 12-15-11, 07:31 PM

Aww late night at the office I missed the early games tonight. Nice call on ANA last night I actually went against you and I learned my lesson

4-1 butt kicking.

Denver cashed out for us last night though by 2.5 points but a cover is a cover is a cover.

Jags +14 tonight

merikson · 12-15-11, 07:42 PM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

Aww late night at the office I missed the early games tonight. Nice call on ANA last night I actually went against you and I learned my lesson

4-1 butt kicking.

Denver cashed out for us last night though by 2.5 points but a cover is a cover is a cover.

Jags +14 tonight

3-0 night in bball. I think I'll tail your NFL pick too.

merikson · 12-15-11, 07:43 PM

I'm also on Wisconsin -25 and over 111.

RabidGoat · 12-15-11, 08:31 PM

It seems when you tail me the bets win lets hope that's a good sign for the jags!

I saw that Wiscy bet I was tempted to take them to cover the game, first half and unders but, I've had a terrible time with covering spreads >= -15 in ncaab this year I'm a measly 1-5. Of course this will be the one where Wiscy is up by 40 at half and 80 at game's end

merikson · 12-16-11, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by merikson

12/14

BOS @ OTT - BOS -180 2 units
CHI @ MIN - MIN +125 1 unit
PHX @ ANA - ANA even 1 unit (2.29 units if you're chasing)

2-1, +2.2 units straight up and +3.49 units with chase

merikson · 12-16-11, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by merikson

12/15

(A) DAL @ NYI - DAL -125 1 unit
(A) VAN @ CAR - VAN -200 2 units
(A) PHI @ MON - PHI -115 2 units
(A) DET @ NAS - DET -140 2 units
(A) WAS @ WIN - WIN -110 3 units
(B) COL @ SJ - SJ -210 2 units (5 units if you're chasing)
(A) CAL @ TB - CAL -105 2 units

3-4, -7.2 units straight up, -4.2 units with the chase

A nice comeback from the Sharks saved us from a really bad night.

merikson · 12-16-11, 05:19 PM

[COLOR=#000000 !important]Straight Up Overall: 147-107 (57.9%), +56.00 units

1 Unit: 27-23 (54.0%), +6.20 units
2 Units: 31-32 (49.2%), -20.70 units
3 Units: 56-32 (63.6%), +38.70 units
4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG line: -157[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]
Completed Chase Overall: 27-0, +84.45 units
(A) 25-21
(B) 3-6
(C) 4-0

Still open:

(B) TOR -2.20 units
(C) LA -10.35 units
(B) EDM -3.20 units
(C) NYI -3.75 units
(B) BUF -1.67 units
(B) COL -1.67 units
(B) CAR -1.33 units
(B) PIT -2.73 units
(B) NYR -1.65 units
(B) MIN -0.80 units
(B) VAN -4.00 units
(B) DET -2.80 units
(B) CAL -2.10 units
(B) WIN -3.30 units[/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important][/COLOR]
[COLOR=#000000 !important]We have a lot of chases we need to clear.

[/COLOR]

merikson · 12-16-11, 05:30 PM

12/16

(B) CAL @ FLA - CAL +145 1 unit (3.10 units if you're chasing)
(B) PIT @ OTT - PIT -140 2 units (4.73 units if you're chasing)
(B) TOR @ BUF - TOR +110 1 unit (3.20 units if you're chasing)
(A) DAL @ NJ - NJ -145 2 units
(A) ANA @ CHI - CHI -210 3 units

GL everyone and let's having a winning Friday night!

RabidGoat · 12-16-11, 06:50 PM

Jags hurt a lil bit last night they looked awful. Tonight I need a positive night over $100 I've not had one of those all week

I'm curious if you can say what made you go against FLA in tonight's game? I know you run them through your system but is there a particular something that made you take Calgary as that strong of a play? over 90% of the public is on Florida and my system is pointing the same way but, you've been doing well lately which makes me hesitant to pull the trigger.

merikson · 12-16-11, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

Jags hurt a lil bit last night they looked awful. Tonight I need a positive night over $100 I've not had one of those all week

I'm curious if you can say what made you go against FLA in tonight's game? I know you run them through your system but is there a particular something that made you take Calgary as that strong of a play? over 90% of the public is on Florida and my system is pointing the same way but, you've been doing well lately which makes me hesitant to pull the trigger.

Technically, it its only a 1 unit play coming out of my filters. The chase units are only that high because I'm trying to win back my loss from yesterday. I do like the Calgary value tonight though. I wouldn't bet my house on it, but I like it.

RabidGoat · 12-16-11, 07:31 PM

Ok so you're playing it more so because the value for Calgary which makes sense. I'm sticking to Florida but instead of playing it as a 3 unit bet I'm knocking it down to 2 units.

Pitt and Chi are both strong plays according to my system too so I'm with ya there. BOL... Bets are in time to drink!

merikson · 12-16-11, 08:19 PM

I'm on my way out to partake in some alcoholic beverages. Lets get those books tonight.

RabidGoat · 12-16-11, 08:39 PM

I'm guessing if you are at ASU you're going to be surrounded by much much better "sets of scenery" than I will be, stuck in cornhole Nebraska. Tough being transplanted from beautiful Miami to a place where it snows a shit load and theres not even a mountain to board down. Oh well guess that's why I'm so good at drinking now