merikson's Slapshot Picks

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  • RabidGoat
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-29-11
    • 232
    #141
    Originally posted by merikson
    Rabid, Nice call on the NFL over....I'm glad I tailed you. That was just too easy. Rivers is having a game.
    I'm a little more on point with NFL handicapping right now. You're more than welcome to tail my NFL long as your Hockey keeps tearing it up

    I needed Ryan Matthews to have just 1 touchdown and I would've won my fantasy football match up. Oh well Made about +30 units last night so I shouldn't complain

    Very big hockey card tonight, I've got pretty much the whole week off from work to recoup from surgery. My afternoon will be invested in looking over these games nothing better than following up a fantastic Monday with a great tuesday.
      Comment
      • merikson
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-13-11
        • 426
        #142
        I am definitely interested in tailing your NFL plays. I am up about 8 units in the NFL, but most of that came from the pre-season .
          Comment
          • merikson
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-13-11
            • 426
            #143
            12/6

            TB @ NYI - NYI -105 2 units
            NJ @ TOR - TOR -110 2 units
            DET @ STL - DET -110 3 units (7.6 units for chase from NYR loss on 12/5)
            CBJ @ MON - CBJ +130 2 units
            PHX @ NAS - PHX +125 3 units
            BOS @ WIN - BOS -150 3 units
            CAR @ CAL - CAL -135 3 units
            COL @ VAN - VAN -210 3 units
            LA @ ANA - LA -130 3 units

            *The CHI loss on 12/5 will wait to be chased. There aren't any qualifying 4 units plays to chase it with.

            I am reducing my unit size back to normal (removing the 20% increase from a couple weeks ago). I have enough confidence in these picks to begin a chase with this lower unit size. I will post what I'm chasing along with the straight up bet unit sizes for those not interested in chasing.
              Comment
              • RabidGoat
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-29-11
                • 232
                #144
                I like your plays today... When you say chasing is this a betting method in which you bet smaller units and then for each loss you look for an opportunity in another game to make back what you lost by laying a large bet?

                I think my strongest play tonight that you didn't list is COL/VAN over 5.5 3 units.

                I was bummed to see you were going with CBJ I was about to play big on MON ml and pl but now I'm rethinking.

                Also going to be trying my hand at some College bball tonight.. Pacific -2 and Washington +7.5 are drawing my interest but, I'm watching the STL/DET game for sure. Looks like it's gonna be a doozy.
                  Comment
                  • merikson
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 04-13-11
                    • 426
                    #145
                    Yes, I will chase a loss with a bet to get my loss back, plus the units we were originally trying to win. I brought the units back down since some of the bets may get larger.

                    I'll tail you on one of those bball plays. Which one do you like best?
                      Comment
                      • merikson
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-13-11
                        • 426
                        #146
                        Originally posted by RabidGoat
                        I like your plays today... When you say chasing is this a betting method in which you bet smaller units and then for each loss you look for an opportunity in another game to make back what you lost by laying a large bet?

                        I think my strongest play tonight that you didn't list is COL/VAN over 5.5 3 units.

                        I was bummed to see you were going with CBJ I was about to play big on MON ml and pl but now I'm rethinking.

                        Also going to be trying my hand at some College bball tonight.. Pacific -2 and Washington +7.5 are drawing my interest but, I'm watching the STL/DET game for sure. Looks like it's gonna be a doozy.
                        Great call on the NHL over and the college bball picks.

                        I tailed you on the over and the Pacific game. I should have jumped on the Udub game too.
                          Comment
                          • merikson
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 04-13-11
                            • 426
                            #147
                            Originally posted by merikson
                            12/5

                            TOR @ NYR - NYR -155 3 units
                            BOS @ PIT - BOS -110 2 units
                            WAS @ FLA - FLA -115 4 units
                            PHX @ CHI - CHI -150 4 units

                            We definitely need a turn around night. I'm sick of all this losing. We haven't had to deal with it much this season.
                            2-2, -4.65 units
                              Comment
                              • merikson
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-13-11
                                • 426
                                #148
                                Originally posted by merikson
                                12/6

                                TB @ NYI - NYI -105 2 units
                                NJ @ TOR - TOR -110 2 units
                                DET @ STL - DET -110 3 units (7.6 units for chase from NYR loss on 12/5)
                                CBJ @ MON - CBJ +130 2 units
                                PHX @ NAS - PHX +125 3 units
                                BOS @ WIN - BOS -150 3 units
                                CAR @ CAL - CAL -135 3 units
                                COL @ VAN - VAN -210 3 units
                                LA @ ANA - LA -130 3 units

                                *The CHI loss on 12/5 will wait to be chased. There aren't any qualifying 4 units plays to chase it with.

                                I am reducing my unit size back to normal (removing the 20% increase from a couple weeks ago). I have enough confidence in these picks to begin a chase with this lower unit size. I will post what I'm chasing along with the straight up bet unit sizes for those not interested in chasing.
                                5-4, -.90 units (-5.96 units w/ chase)
                                  Comment
                                  • merikson
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 04-13-11
                                    • 426
                                    #149
                                    Straight Up Overall: 122-86 (58.7%), +62.25 units

                                    1 Unit: 20-20 (50.0%), +1.52 units
                                    2 Units: 24-19 (55.8%), -3.10 units
                                    3 Units: 48-29 (62.3%), +28.23 units
                                    4 Units: 30-14 (68.2%), +40.60 units
                                    Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

                                    AVG line: -155

                                    Chase Overall: 0-0, +57.19

                                    Teams remaining in 3 plays chase:

                                    CHI (B) -6.00 units
                                    NYR (B) -4.65 units
                                    TOR (B) -2.20 units
                                    DET (C) -13.01 units (no profit, only getting losses back)
                                    BOS (B) -4.50 units
                                    LA (B) -3.90 units
                                      Comment
                                      • merikson
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 04-13-11
                                        • 426
                                        #150
                                        12/7

                                        WAS @ OTT - OTT -105 4 units
                                        PHI @ BUF - PHI -120 3 units
                                        CAR @ EDM - EDM -160 2 units

                                        We don't have any teams to chase today. They are all straight up plays. I'm sure we will have at least a couple teams to chase. We need to make up some units tonight because tomorrow there will be some heavy plays.
                                          Comment
                                          • merikson
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 04-13-11
                                            • 426
                                            #151
                                            Originally posted by merikson
                                            12/7

                                            WAS @ OTT - OTT -105 4 units
                                            PHI @ BUF - PHI -120 3 units
                                            CAR @ EDM - EDM -160 2 units

                                            We don't have any teams to chase today. They are all straight up plays. I'm sure we will have at least a couple teams to chase. We need to make up some units tonight because tomorrow there will be some heavy plays.
                                            1-2, -4.4 units

                                            We have officially hit an ice cold streak.
                                              Comment
                                              • merikson
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 04-13-11
                                                • 426
                                                #152
                                                Straight Up Overall: 123-88 (58.3%), +57.85 units

                                                1 Unit: 20-20 (50.0%), +1.52 units
                                                2 Units: 24-20 (54.5%), -6.30 units
                                                3 Units: 49-29 (62.8%), +28.23 units
                                                4 Units: 30-15 (66.7%), +36.40 units
                                                Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

                                                AVG line: -155

                                                Chase Overall: 0-0, +52.79 units

                                                CHI (B) -6.00 units
                                                NYR (B) -4.65 units
                                                TOR (B) -2.20 units
                                                DET (C) -13.01 units (no profit, only getting losses back)
                                                BOS (B) -4.50 units
                                                LA (B) -3.90 units
                                                OTT (B) -4.00 units
                                                EDM (B) -3.20 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • merikson
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 04-13-11
                                                    • 426
                                                    #153
                                                    12/8

                                                    TB @ NYR - NYR -170 2 units (6.65 units for chase)
                                                    FLA @ BOS - BOS -190 4 units (8.50 units for chase)
                                                    CHI @ NYI - NYI +130 2 units
                                                    PIT @ PHI - PHI -125 2 units
                                                    OTT @ NJ - OTT +125 2 units (6.00 units for chase)
                                                    VAN @ MON - VAN -135 3 units
                                                    PHX @ DET - DET -160 4 units (8.36 units for chase)
                                                    ANA @ STL - STL -190 4 units
                                                    COL @ CAL - CAL -145 2 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • merikson
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 04-13-11
                                                        • 426
                                                        #154
                                                        12/9

                                                        TOR @ WAS - WAS -160 3 units
                                                        FLA @ BUF - FLA +120 2 units
                                                        CAR @ WIN - WIN -150 3 units
                                                        COL @ EDM - COL +120 2 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RabidGoat
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 11-29-11
                                                            • 232
                                                            #155
                                                            I'm with you on the COL play for sure! They are in a nice spot.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • merikson
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 04-13-11
                                                                • 426
                                                                #156
                                                                Originally posted by merikson
                                                                12/8

                                                                TB @ NYR - NYR -170 2 units (6.65 units for chase)
                                                                FLA @ BOS - BOS -190 4 units (8.50 units for chase)
                                                                CHI @ NYI - NYI +130 2 units
                                                                PIT @ PHI - PHI -125 2 units
                                                                OTT @ NJ - OTT +125 2 units (6.00 units for chase)
                                                                VAN @ MON - VAN -135 3 units
                                                                PHX @ DET - DET -160 4 units (8.36 units for chase)
                                                                ANA @ STL - STL -190 4 units
                                                                COL @ CAL - CAL -145 2 units
                                                                5-4, +.86 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • merikson
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 04-13-11
                                                                    • 426
                                                                    #157
                                                                    Originally posted by merikson
                                                                    12/9

                                                                    TOR @ WAS - WAS -160 3 units
                                                                    FLA @ BUF - FLA +120 2 units
                                                                    CAR @ WIN - WIN -150 3 units
                                                                    COL @ EDM - COL +120 2 units
                                                                    2-2, +2.66 units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • merikson
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 04-13-11
                                                                        • 426
                                                                        #158
                                                                        Straight Up Overall: 130-94 (58.0%), +58.37 units

                                                                        1 Unit: 20-20 (50.0%), +1.52 units
                                                                        2 Units: 26-25 (51.0%), -12.18 units
                                                                        3 Units: 52-29 (64.2%), +37.23 units
                                                                        4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
                                                                        Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

                                                                        AVG line: -156

                                                                        Completed Chase Overall: 15-0, +39.00 units
                                                                        (A) 14-10
                                                                        (B) 0-4
                                                                        (C) 1-0

                                                                        Still open:

                                                                        (B) CHI -6.00 units
                                                                        (C) NYR -16.29 units
                                                                        (B) TOR -2.20 units
                                                                        (C) BOS -20.65 units
                                                                        (B) LA -3.90 units
                                                                        (C) OTT -8.62 units
                                                                        (B) EDM -3.20 units
                                                                        (B) NYI -1.54 units
                                                                        (B) FLA -1.67 units
                                                                        (B) COL -1.67 units
                                                                          Comment
                                                                          • merikson
                                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                                            • 04-13-11
                                                                            • 426
                                                                            #159
                                                                            12/10

                                                                            BOS @ CBJ - BOS -170 3 units (20.65 units for chase)
                                                                            PIT @ NYI - NYI +115 1 unit (2.54 units for chase)
                                                                            VAN @ OTT - VAN -160 2 units
                                                                            TB @ PHI - PHI -180 3 units
                                                                            ANA @ NAS - ANA +155 2 units
                                                                            SJ @ STL - STL -120 1 unit
                                                                            DAL @ LA - LA -150 3 units (6.90 units for chase)
                                                                              Comment
                                                                              • RabidGoat
                                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                                • 11-29-11
                                                                                • 232
                                                                                #160
                                                                                On the DAL/LA game are you betting 3 units and then because you like the value that's why you are putting the additional 3.9 units on it for the chase?

                                                                                Basically I like LA in this and if you like it enough to place those additional 3.9 units then that would indicate to me you think it's a strong play too.
                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                  • merikson
                                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                                    • 04-13-11
                                                                                    • 426
                                                                                    #161
                                                                                    I really do like the play, that was why it is a 3 unit play. I'm playng the chase, so I'm playing 6.9 units to make up the (A) loss.

                                                                                    They are down 1 after 1, but they have been getting outscored all season in the 1st.
                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                      • merikson
                                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                                        • 04-13-11
                                                                                        • 426
                                                                                        #162
                                                                                        Originally posted by merikson
                                                                                        12/10

                                                                                        BOS @ CBJ - BOS -170 3 units (20.65 units for chase)
                                                                                        PIT @ NYI - NYI +115 1 unit (2.54 units for chase)
                                                                                        VAN @ OTT - VAN -160 2 units
                                                                                        TB @ PHI - PHI -180 3 units
                                                                                        ANA @ NAS - ANA +155 2 units
                                                                                        SJ @ STL - STL -120 1 unit
                                                                                        DAL @ LA - LA -150 3 units (6.90 units for chase)
                                                                                        4-3, +2.34 units
                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                          • merikson
                                                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                                                            • 04-13-11
                                                                                            • 426
                                                                                            #163
                                                                                            Straight Up Overall: 134-97 (58.0%), +60.71 units

                                                                                            1 Unit: 21-21 (50.0%), +1.65 units
                                                                                            2 Units: 27-26 (50.9%), -11.47 units
                                                                                            3 Units: 54-30 (64.3%), +38.73 units
                                                                                            4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
                                                                                            Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

                                                                                            AVG line: -157

                                                                                            Completed Chase Overall: 19-0, +65.65 units
                                                                                            (A) 17-11
                                                                                            (B) 0-6
                                                                                            (C) 2-0

                                                                                            Still open:

                                                                                            (B) CHI -6.00 units
                                                                                            (C) NYR -16.29 units
                                                                                            (B) TOR -2.20 units
                                                                                            (C) LA -10.35 units
                                                                                            (C) OTT -8.62 units
                                                                                            (B) EDM -3.20 units
                                                                                            (C) NYI -3.75 units
                                                                                            (B) BUF -1.67 units
                                                                                            (B) COL -1.67 units
                                                                                            (B) ANA -1.29 units
                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                              • merikson
                                                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                                                • 04-13-11
                                                                                                • 426
                                                                                                #164
                                                                                                12/11

                                                                                                (B) SJ @ CHI - CHI -140 3 units (9 units for chase)
                                                                                                (C) FLA @ NYR - NYR -125 1 unit (16.29 units for chase)

                                                                                                Let's go home teams tonight. We have a lot of units on the line, if you are chasing.
                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                  • RabidGoat
                                                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                                                    • 11-29-11
                                                                                                    • 232
                                                                                                    #165
                                                                                                    Looking like you got things back on track yesterday especially your Boston win. I'm with you on the CHI pick I'm also taking the over 5.5 on that game.

                                                                                                    The Panthers are one of if not the best road teams this season. So I'm a bit hesitant on that play but it looks like you like them quite a bit with a chase like that.

                                                                                                    BOL
                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                      • merikson
                                                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                                                        • 04-13-11
                                                                                                        • 426
                                                                                                        #166
                                                                                                        Originally posted by RabidGoat
                                                                                                        Looking like you got things back on track yesterday especially your Boston win. I'm with you on the CHI pick I'm also taking the over 5.5 on that game.

                                                                                                        The Panthers are one of if not the best road teams this season. So I'm a bit hesitant on that play but it looks like you like them quite a bit with a chase like that.

                                                                                                        BOL
                                                                                                        I also went with the over in the Blackhawks game. It looks like we took the wrong game for the over. They had a hell of a comeback though. The Rangers played out of their mind in the first two periods.

                                                                                                        We have been saved by our C bets, but our B bets have been horrible so far.

                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                          • merikson
                                                                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                                                                            • 04-13-11
                                                                                                            • 426
                                                                                                            #167
                                                                                                            Originally posted by merikson
                                                                                                            12/11

                                                                                                            (B) SJ @ CHI - CHI -140 3 units (9 units for chase)
                                                                                                            (C) FLA @ NYR - NYR -125 1 unit (16.29 units for chase)

                                                                                                            Let's go home teams tonight. We have a lot of units on the line, if you are chasing.
                                                                                                            2-0, +4 units

                                                                                                            Great night for the chase too!
                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                              • merikson
                                                                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                                                                • 04-13-11
                                                                                                                • 426
                                                                                                                #168
                                                                                                                Straight Up Overall: 136-97 (58.4%), +64.71 units

                                                                                                                1 Unit: 22-21 (51.2%), +2.65 units
                                                                                                                2 Units: 27-26 (50.9%), -11.47 units
                                                                                                                3 Units: 55-30 (64.7%), +41.73 units
                                                                                                                4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
                                                                                                                Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

                                                                                                                AVG line: -157

                                                                                                                Completed Chase Overall: 21-0, +68.65 units
                                                                                                                (A) 17-11
                                                                                                                (B) 1-6
                                                                                                                (C) 3-0

                                                                                                                Still open:

                                                                                                                (B) TOR -2.20
                                                                                                                (C) LA -10.35
                                                                                                                (C) OTT -8.62
                                                                                                                (B) EDM -3.20
                                                                                                                (C) NYI -3.75
                                                                                                                (B) BUF -1.67
                                                                                                                (B) COL -1.67
                                                                                                                (B) ANA -1.29
                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                  • merikson
                                                                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                                                                    • 04-13-11
                                                                                                                    • 426
                                                                                                                    #169
                                                                                                                    12/12

                                                                                                                    NJ @ TB - NJ +115 1 unit

                                                                                                                    Not much going on tonight.
                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                      • RabidGoat
                                                                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                        • 11-29-11
                                                                                                                        • 232
                                                                                                                        #170
                                                                                                                        Congrats on last night. Your home team plays really bailed me out on my total plays had the wrong game for the over and the under

                                                                                                                        I'm starting to get some accurate predictions from my college bball formula which I used last year and luckily it required minimal tweaking. Siena and Portland St are my plays for tonight. Think I'll keep on riding the Merikson coat-tails express and hop on that NJ bet!

                                                                                                                        BOL tonight
                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                          • merikson
                                                                                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                                                                                            • 04-13-11
                                                                                                                            • 426
                                                                                                                            #171
                                                                                                                            I'm going to tail you on the Portland St. play. I missed the Siena play....maybe it was for the best. They look horrible so far.
                                                                                                                              Comment
                                                                                                                              • merikson
                                                                                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                                                                                • 04-13-11
                                                                                                                                • 426
                                                                                                                                #172
                                                                                                                                I like the over 150 too. I'm going to jump on that for shits and giggles too.
                                                                                                                                  Comment
                                                                                                                                  • RabidGoat
                                                                                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                                    • 11-29-11
                                                                                                                                    • 232
                                                                                                                                    #173
                                                                                                                                    I held off on Portland st. because I wanted to see how Siena looked if I won it I was going to stop there based on how my lucks been the past couple days. BUT looks like I'll be on Portland st tonight I also threw together a teaser getting Portland st. +17 and St. Louis Rams at +14.5. I really liked that bet it's a hedge for my straight bet on Seattle but, still leaves a pretty decent window for success.

                                                                                                                                    NJ is looking real nice so far. I think I'm picking up a gasoline scent... I think you're about to heat up
                                                                                                                                      Comment
                                                                                                                                      • merikson
                                                                                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                                                                                        • 04-13-11
                                                                                                                                        • 426
                                                                                                                                        #174
                                                                                                                                        I hope so....we had some shitty days last week that we need to make up. I want to get greedy and see that +100 units again.
                                                                                                                                          Comment
                                                                                                                                          • RabidGoat
                                                                                                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                                                                                                            • 11-29-11
                                                                                                                                            • 232
                                                                                                                                            #175
                                                                                                                                            I hear you there, hate to tell the girlfriend she didn't get a Christmas gift because I'm slumping. Have a feeling it wouldn't go over smoothly.
                                                                                                                                              Comment
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