merikson's Slapshot Picks

[RabidGoat]

Rabid, Nice call on the NFL over....I'm glad I tailed you. That was just too easy. Rivers is having a game.

I'm a little more on point with NFL handicapping right now. You're more than welcome to tail my NFL long as your Hockey keeps tearing it up

I needed Ryan Matthews to have just 1 touchdown and I would've won my fantasy football match up. Oh well Made about +30 units last night so I shouldn't complain

Very big hockey card tonight, I've got pretty much the whole week off from work to recoup from surgery. My afternoon will be invested in looking over these games nothing better than following up a fantastic Monday with a great tuesday.

[merikson]

I am definitely interested in tailing your NFL plays. I am up about 8 units in the NFL, but most of that came from the pre-season .

[merikson]

12/6

TB @ NYI - NYI -105 2 units
NJ @ TOR - TOR -110 2 units
DET @ STL - DET -110 3 units (7.6 units for chase from NYR loss on 12/5)
CBJ @ MON - CBJ +130 2 units
PHX @ NAS - PHX +125 3 units
BOS @ WIN - BOS -150 3 units
CAR @ CAL - CAL -135 3 units
COL @ VAN - VAN -210 3 units
LA @ ANA - LA -130 3 units

*The CHI loss on 12/5 will wait to be chased. There aren't any qualifying 4 units plays to chase it with.

I am reducing my unit size back to normal (removing the 20% increase from a couple weeks ago). I have enough confidence in these picks to begin a chase with this lower unit size. I will post what I'm chasing along with the straight up bet unit sizes for those not interested in chasing.

[RabidGoat]

I like your plays today... When you say chasing is this a betting method in which you bet smaller units and then for each loss you look for an opportunity in another game to make back what you lost by laying a large bet?

I think my strongest play tonight that you didn't list is COL/VAN over 5.5 3 units.

I was bummed to see you were going with CBJ I was about to play big on MON ml and pl but now I'm rethinking.

Also going to be trying my hand at some College bball tonight.. Pacific -2 and Washington +7.5 are drawing my interest but, I'm watching the STL/DET game for sure. Looks like it's gonna be a doozy.

[merikson]

Yes, I will chase a loss with a bet to get my loss back, plus the units we were originally trying to win. I brought the units back down since some of the bets may get larger.

I'll tail you on one of those bball plays. Which one do you like best?

[merikson]

I like your plays today... When you say chasing is this a betting method in which you bet smaller units and then for each loss you look for an opportunity in another game to make back what you lost by laying a large bet?

I think my strongest play tonight that you didn't list is COL/VAN over 5.5 3 units.

I was bummed to see you were going with CBJ I was about to play big on MON ml and pl but now I'm rethinking.

Also going to be trying my hand at some College bball tonight.. Pacific -2 and Washington +7.5 are drawing my interest but, I'm watching the STL/DET game for sure. Looks like it's gonna be a doozy.

Great call on the NHL over and the college bball picks.

I tailed you on the over and the Pacific game. I should have jumped on the Udub game too.

[merikson]

12/5

TOR @ NYR - NYR -155 3 units
BOS @ PIT - BOS -110 2 units
WAS @ FLA - FLA -115 4 units
PHX @ CHI - CHI -150 4 units

We definitely need a turn around night. I'm sick of all this losing. We haven't had to deal with it much this season.

2-2, -4.65 units

[merikson]

12/6

TB @ NYI - NYI -105 2 units
NJ @ TOR - TOR -110 2 units
DET @ STL - DET -110 3 units (7.6 units for chase from NYR loss on 12/5)
CBJ @ MON - CBJ +130 2 units
PHX @ NAS - PHX +125 3 units
BOS @ WIN - BOS -150 3 units
CAR @ CAL - CAL -135 3 units
COL @ VAN - VAN -210 3 units
LA @ ANA - LA -130 3 units

*The CHI loss on 12/5 will wait to be chased. There aren't any qualifying 4 units plays to chase it with.

I am reducing my unit size back to normal (removing the 20% increase from a couple weeks ago). I have enough confidence in these picks to begin a chase with this lower unit size. I will post what I'm chasing along with the straight up bet unit sizes for those not interested in chasing.

5-4, -.90 units (-5.96 units w/ chase)

[merikson]

Straight Up Overall: 122-86 (58.7%), +62.25 units

1 Unit: 20-20 (50.0%), +1.52 units
2 Units: 24-19 (55.8%), -3.10 units
3 Units: 48-29 (62.3%), +28.23 units
4 Units: 30-14 (68.2%), +40.60 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG line: -155

Chase Overall: 0-0, +57.19

Teams remaining in 3 plays chase:

CHI (B) -6.00 units
NYR (B) -4.65 units
TOR (B) -2.20 units
DET (C) -13.01 units (no profit, only getting losses back)
BOS (B) -4.50 units
LA (B) -3.90 units

[merikson]

12/7

WAS @ OTT - OTT -105 4 units
PHI @ BUF - PHI -120 3 units
CAR @ EDM - EDM -160 2 units

We don't have any teams to chase today. They are all straight up plays. I'm sure we will have at least a couple teams to chase. We need to make up some units tonight because tomorrow there will be some heavy plays.

[merikson]

12/7

WAS @ OTT - OTT -105 4 units
PHI @ BUF - PHI -120 3 units
CAR @ EDM - EDM -160 2 units

We don't have any teams to chase today. They are all straight up plays. I'm sure we will have at least a couple teams to chase. We need to make up some units tonight because tomorrow there will be some heavy plays.

1-2, -4.4 units

We have officially hit an ice cold streak.

[merikson]

Straight Up Overall: 123-88 (58.3%), +57.85 units

1 Unit: 20-20 (50.0%), +1.52 units
2 Units: 24-20 (54.5%), -6.30 units
3 Units: 49-29 (62.8%), +28.23 units
4 Units: 30-15 (66.7%), +36.40 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG line: -155

Chase Overall: 0-0, +52.79 units

CHI (B) -6.00 units
NYR (B) -4.65 units
TOR (B) -2.20 units
DET (C) -13.01 units (no profit, only getting losses back)
BOS (B) -4.50 units
LA (B) -3.90 units
OTT (B) -4.00 units
EDM (B) -3.20 units

[merikson]

12/8

TB @ NYR - NYR -170 2 units (6.65 units for chase)
FLA @ BOS - BOS -190 4 units (8.50 units for chase)
CHI @ NYI - NYI +130 2 units
PIT @ PHI - PHI -125 2 units
OTT @ NJ - OTT +125 2 units (6.00 units for chase)
VAN @ MON - VAN -135 3 units
PHX @ DET - DET -160 4 units (8.36 units for chase)
ANA @ STL - STL -190 4 units
COL @ CAL - CAL -145 2 units

[merikson]

12/9

TOR @ WAS - WAS -160 3 units
FLA @ BUF - FLA +120 2 units
CAR @ WIN - WIN -150 3 units
COL @ EDM - COL +120 2 units

[RabidGoat]

I'm with you on the COL play for sure! They are in a nice spot.

[merikson]

12/8

TB @ NYR - NYR -170 2 units (6.65 units for chase)
FLA @ BOS - BOS -190 4 units (8.50 units for chase)
CHI @ NYI - NYI +130 2 units
PIT @ PHI - PHI -125 2 units
OTT @ NJ - OTT +125 2 units (6.00 units for chase)
VAN @ MON - VAN -135 3 units
PHX @ DET - DET -160 4 units (8.36 units for chase)
ANA @ STL - STL -190 4 units
COL @ CAL - CAL -145 2 units

5-4, +.86 units

[merikson]

12/9

TOR @ WAS - WAS -160 3 units
FLA @ BUF - FLA +120 2 units
CAR @ WIN - WIN -150 3 units
COL @ EDM - COL +120 2 units

2-2, +2.66 units

[merikson]

Straight Up Overall: 130-94 (58.0%), +58.37 units

1 Unit: 20-20 (50.0%), +1.52 units
2 Units: 26-25 (51.0%), -12.18 units
3 Units: 52-29 (64.2%), +37.23 units
4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG line: -156

Completed Chase Overall: 15-0, +39.00 units
(A) 14-10
(B) 0-4
(C) 1-0

Still open:

(B) CHI -6.00 units
(C) NYR -16.29 units
(B) TOR -2.20 units
(C) BOS -20.65 units
(B) LA -3.90 units
(C) OTT -8.62 units
(B) EDM -3.20 units
(B) NYI -1.54 units
(B) FLA -1.67 units
(B) COL -1.67 units

[merikson]

12/10

BOS @ CBJ - BOS -170 3 units (20.65 units for chase)
PIT @ NYI - NYI +115 1 unit (2.54 units for chase)
VAN @ OTT - VAN -160 2 units
TB @ PHI - PHI -180 3 units
ANA @ NAS - ANA +155 2 units
SJ @ STL - STL -120 1 unit
DAL @ LA - LA -150 3 units (6.90 units for chase)

[RabidGoat]

On the DAL/LA game are you betting 3 units and then because you like the value that's why you are putting the additional 3.9 units on it for the chase?

Basically I like LA in this and if you like it enough to place those additional 3.9 units then that would indicate to me you think it's a strong play too.

[merikson]

I really do like the play, that was why it is a 3 unit play. I'm playng the chase, so I'm playing 6.9 units to make up the (A) loss.

They are down 1 after 1, but they have been getting outscored all season in the 1st.

[merikson]

12/10

BOS @ CBJ - BOS -170 3 units (20.65 units for chase)
PIT @ NYI - NYI +115 1 unit (2.54 units for chase)
VAN @ OTT - VAN -160 2 units
TB @ PHI - PHI -180 3 units
ANA @ NAS - ANA +155 2 units
SJ @ STL - STL -120 1 unit
DAL @ LA - LA -150 3 units (6.90 units for chase)

4-3, +2.34 units

[merikson]

Straight Up Overall: 134-97 (58.0%), +60.71 units

1 Unit: 21-21 (50.0%), +1.65 units
2 Units: 27-26 (50.9%), -11.47 units
3 Units: 54-30 (64.3%), +38.73 units
4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG line: -157

Completed Chase Overall: 19-0, +65.65 units
(A) 17-11
(B) 0-6
(C) 2-0

Still open:

(B) CHI -6.00 units
(C) NYR -16.29 units
(B) TOR -2.20 units
(C) LA -10.35 units
(C) OTT -8.62 units
(B) EDM -3.20 units
(C) NYI -3.75 units
(B) BUF -1.67 units
(B) COL -1.67 units
(B) ANA -1.29 units

[merikson]

12/11

(B) SJ @ CHI - CHI -140 3 units (9 units for chase)
(C) FLA @ NYR - NYR -125 1 unit (16.29 units for chase)

Let's go home teams tonight. We have a lot of units on the line, if you are chasing.

[RabidGoat]

Looking like you got things back on track yesterday especially your Boston win. I'm with you on the CHI pick I'm also taking the over 5.5 on that game.

The Panthers are one of if not the best road teams this season. So I'm a bit hesitant on that play but it looks like you like them quite a bit with a chase like that.

BOL

[merikson]

Looking like you got things back on track yesterday especially your Boston win. I'm with you on the CHI pick I'm also taking the over 5.5 on that game.

The Panthers are one of if not the best road teams this season. So I'm a bit hesitant on that play but it looks like you like them quite a bit with a chase like that.

BOL

I also went with the over in the Blackhawks game. It looks like we took the wrong game for the over. They had a hell of a comeback though. The Rangers played out of their mind in the first two periods.

We have been saved by our C bets, but our B bets have been horrible so far.

[merikson]

12/11

(B) SJ @ CHI - CHI -140 3 units (9 units for chase)
(C) FLA @ NYR - NYR -125 1 unit (16.29 units for chase)

Let's go home teams tonight. We have a lot of units on the line, if you are chasing.

2-0, +4 units

Great night for the chase too!

[merikson]

Straight Up Overall: 136-97 (58.4%), +64.71 units

1 Unit: 22-21 (51.2%), +2.65 units
2 Units: 27-26 (50.9%), -11.47 units
3 Units: 55-30 (64.7%), +41.73 units
4 Units: 32-16 (66.7%), +36.80 units
Parlays: 0-5 (00.0%), -5.00 units

AVG line: -157

Completed Chase Overall: 21-0, +68.65 units
(A) 17-11
(B) 1-6
(C) 3-0

Still open:

(B) TOR -2.20
(C) LA -10.35
(C) OTT -8.62
(B) EDM -3.20
(C) NYI -3.75
(B) BUF -1.67
(B) COL -1.67
(B) ANA -1.29

[merikson]

12/12

NJ @ TB - NJ +115 1 unit

Not much going on tonight.

[RabidGoat]

Congrats on last night. Your home team plays really bailed me out on my total plays had the wrong game for the over and the under

I'm starting to get some accurate predictions from my college bball formula which I used last year and luckily it required minimal tweaking. Siena and Portland St are my plays for tonight. Think I'll keep on riding the Merikson coat-tails express and hop on that NJ bet!

BOL tonight

[merikson]

I'm going to tail you on the Portland St. play. I missed the Siena play....maybe it was for the best. They look horrible so far.

[merikson]

I like the over 150 too. I'm going to jump on that for shits and giggles too.

[RabidGoat]

I held off on Portland st. because I wanted to see how Siena looked if I won it I was going to stop there based on how my lucks been the past couple days. BUT looks like I'll be on Portland st tonight I also threw together a teaser getting Portland st. +17 and St. Louis Rams at +14.5. I really liked that bet it's a hedge for my straight bet on Seattle but, still leaves a pretty decent window for success.

NJ is looking real nice so far. I think I'm picking up a gasoline scent... I think you're about to heat up

[merikson]

I hope so....we had some shitty days last week that we need to make up. I want to get greedy and see that +100 units again.

[RabidGoat]

I hear you there, hate to tell the girlfriend she didn't get a Christmas gift because I'm slumping. Have a feeling it wouldn't go over smoothly.