I went 9 for 9 last night on O/U NHL! Here's how it works -->

spankmythighs · 10-28-11, 03:42 PM

Originally posted by EasyPicks

First off, thx for the sharing spankmythights.

Just one question:
Has anyone done the calculations to determine what should be the rate of success (hit ratio) for this kind of juice?
At 37-4 (90%) I know it's good

...but what's the lower % number until we go into the red?

thx

Haven't really calculated it but I would figure < 75%. Here are the picks for tonight:

CHI VS. Car OVER 4.5
SJ VS. Det UNDER 6.5
EDM VS. Col UNDER 6.5
STL VS. Cal UNDER 6.5

I am gonna start looking more at GFH/GFA and GAH/GAA. Just to see if it makes a difference.

spankmythighs · 10-28-11, 03:43 PM

I am gonna start my TIE chase thread soon aswell. This will be betting games to go to extra time and shoot-outs.

spankmythighs · 10-28-11, 09:05 PM

So far tonight 1-1 with Carolina going under the total. Other 2 games looking gd so far. Juice wasn't so bad tonight so even with a 3-1 record tonight I will come out ahead.

EasyPicks · 10-29-11, 06:31 AM

3-1 tonight!
Can u post the price of the plays in the future?
thx

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 10:25 AM

Early game is Ottawa at NYR. I have checked OTT GFA/GAA and NYR GFH/GAH. NYR has only played one game at home so this may or may not work.
OTT GFA average - 3.00
GAA average - 3.75
NYR GFH - 2.00
GAH - 4.00

OTT VS. NYR OVER 4.5 -270

I will have the rest of the picks for today shortly.

Beavis169 · 10-29-11, 10:26 AM

Guaranteed picks for Saturday in my opinion...

OTT/NYR UNDER 6.5
BOS/MON UNDER 6.5
NJD/DAL UNDER 6.5
WSH/VAN UNDER 6.5

What you guys think??

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 10:51 AM

I haven't capped the other games yet but I will let you know.

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 11:13 AM

I am gonna take BOS vs. MTL OVER 4.5.

Beavis169 · 10-29-11, 11:37 AM

$50 on parlay OTT/NYR under 6.5 & WAS/VAN under 6.5

Canukc · 10-29-11, 02:07 PM

Originally posted by Beavis169

$50 on parlay OTT/NYR under 6.5 & WAS/VAN under 6.5

Be careful. Ottawa is the most scored on team in the league. Wash/Van avg is 5.60/gm but van has played the 5 lowest teams-Ed, Min, Nash, NYR, . Wash is #1/highest scoring team in the league.

Stick with BOSMTR + NJ DAL and/or LAPHX under 5 1/2or six.

Canukc · 10-29-11, 02:11 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

I am gonna take BOS vs. MTL OVER 4.5.

Check your averages. BOS MTR combined is 4.9 G/gm. Why would you pick them to be over anything?

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by Canukc

Check your averages. BOS MTR combined is 4.9 G/gm. Why would you pick them to be over anything?

I was just trying the Goals Against Home/Goals For Home average and the Goals Against Away/Goals For Away averages. It came out much higher. Just trying it to see if it works better than my normal way for the 1st 2-games today.

MatI · 10-29-11, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Just trying it to see if it works better than my normal way for the 1st 2-games today.

That sample size will give you plenty of certainty!

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 04:25 PM

First game OTT vs. NYR is a winner so 1-0 for the day so far. Rest of todays picks to follow.

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 05:02 PM

For the 7:00PM EST games, all based on their averages at home and away:

FLA VS. Buff OVER 4.5 -250 also OVER 5.5 +129

PITT VS. Tor OVER 4.5 -270 also OVER 5.5 +115

BOS VS. Mtl OVER 4.5 -227 also OVER 5.5 +136

SJ VS. NYI UNDER 6.5 -149 also UNDER 4.5 +270

CAR VS. Phili OVER 4.5 -370 also OVER 6.5 +129

WPG VS. TB OVER 4.5 -312 also OVER 6.5 +113

Cicima6709 · 10-29-11, 05:07 PM

The % you need to break even...

@-200 = 66.66%
@-220 = 68.75%
@-240 = 70.59%
@-260 = 72.22%
@-280 = 73.68%
@-300 = 75.00%

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 06:30 PM

Here are the rest of my picks for the night. These are using my regular system.

DET VS. Minny UNDER 6.5
ANA VS. Nash UNDER 6.5
NJ VS. Dal UNDER 6.5
CBS VS. Chi OVER 4.5
LA VS. Phx UNDER 6.5
WASH VS. Van OVER 4.5

EasyPicks · 10-29-11, 08:19 PM

Average juice is -265 so it would b something like 73% hit ratio! That's hard!!

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 09:26 PM

Only have 1 loss so far tonight from the TB game using my system.

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 10:17 PM

Only game left that can hurt is the PHX game so the worst I do is 10-2 otherwise we go 11-1 for the day! Another gd one!

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 10:43 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

For the 7:00PM EST games, all based on their averages at home and away:

FLA VS. Buff OVER 4.5 -250

also OVER 5.5 +129

PITT VS. Tor OVER 4.5 -270

also OVER 5.5 +115

BOS VS. Mtl OVER 4.5 -227

also OVER 5.5 +136

SJ VS. NYI UNDER 6.5 -149

also UNDER 4.5 +270

CAR VS. Phili OVER 4.5 -370

also OVER 6.5 +129

WPG VS. TB OVER 4.5 -312

also OVER 6.5 +113

Was 5-1 on all games at 7:00PM EST.

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 10:46 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Here are the rest of my picks for the night. These are using my regular system.

DET VS. Minny UNDER 6.5

ANA VS. Nash UNDER 6.5

NJ VS. Dal UNDER 6.5

CBS VS. Chi OVER 4.5

LA VS. Phx UNDER 6.5

WASH VS. Van OVER 4.5

Woo 6-0 on the later games. Record for the day 12-1 which includes the early game.

spankmythighs · 10-29-11, 10:52 PM

My overall record for the week is 52-6!! Betting to win $100 per game I am +35 units for the week!

. Maybe a lot of juice but damn I love the taste of Tropicana.

Tuesday · 10-30-11, 03:16 AM

It ain't juice when you win!

Originally posted by spankmythighs

My overall record for the week is 52-6!! Betting to win $100 per game I am +35 units for the week!

. Maybe a lot of juice but damn I love the taste of Tropicana.

Starting to like juice! That's good sh*t!

!

Inkwell77 · 10-30-11, 03:52 AM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

My overall record for the week is 52-6!! Betting to win $100 per game I am +35 units for the week!

. Maybe a lot of juice but damn I love the taste of Tropicana.

NHL_freak · 10-30-11, 05:48 AM

Haha, that is insane.. Have you been doing this the whole season? Would be cool to see if this works for more than just 1 week

spankmythighs · 10-30-11, 09:57 AM

Originally posted by NHL_freak

Haha, that is insane.. Have you been doing this the whole season? Would be cool to see if this works for more than just 1 week

I waited a couple weeks so I could get some averages and then start betting. I didn't want to go into it blind.

spankmythighs · 10-30-11, 10:05 AM

Here are my picks for today:

ANA VS. CBS UNDER 6.5
TOR VS. OTT OVER 4.5
LA VS. COL UNDER 6.5
STL VS. EDM UNDER 6.5

Here's to another great week.

psycho44 · 10-30-11, 10:47 AM

Toronto vs. Ottawa should go over 4.5. Gusto will let in more than 4.5 alone. Toronto's 2nd line is starting to heat up.

painter10 · 10-30-11, 10:50 AM

where did you get these lines from??? they are way off from my lines???

painter10 · 10-30-11, 10:52 AM

i cant buy withmy local if thats what your doing????

painter10 · 10-30-11, 10:57 AM

never mind i read the first post !!!! thanks anyway i dont use offshore books

Canukc · 10-30-11, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Was 5-1 on all games at 7:00PM EST.

FLA VS. Buff OVER 4.5 -250

also OVER 5.5 +129

PITT VS. Tor OVER 4.5 -270

also OVER 5.5 +115

BOS VS. Mtl OVER 4.5 -227

also OVER 5.5 +136

SJVS. NYI UNDER 6.5 -149

also UNDER 4.5 +270

CARVS. Phili OVER 4.5 -370

also OVER 6.5 +129

WPG VS. TB OVER 4.5 -312

also OVER 6.5 +113

Canukc · 10-30-11, 02:22 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Here are my picks for today:

ANA VS. CBS UNDER 6.5
TOR VS. OTT OVER 4.5
LA VS. COL UNDER 6.5
STL VS. EDM UNDER 6.5

Here's to another great week.

Much better. GL Sunday

boeing power · 10-30-11, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by spankmythighs

Here are my picks for today:

ANA VS. CBS UNDER 6.5
TOR VS. OTT OVER 4.5
LA VS. COL UNDER 6.5
STL VS. EDM UNDER 6.5

Here's to another great week.

what are your lines? pinny has tor/ott over 4.5 at -558 , seems like they have adjusted to your early success