***** NHL Pro Capper Official Picks Thread ******

[Galego]

lol damn rookies, I think we are good, 10 min to go, no need for pushing rushes, all i am worried about is a late Philly goal and a empty netter, lets hope this score stays this way

Don't worry!!

It will stay as it is!!! I hope!!

[NHL Pro Capper]

Oh no we gotta sweat, hope no bad beat

[NHL Pro Capper]

I had a feeling Philly would score a late goal and my fears of an empty netter may come true.

[NHL Pro Capper]

lol oh my. Thanks Leafs.

[NHL Pro Capper]

14.6 seconds from 4.85:1, well if you put a small bet on the ml of the Leafs at 2.65 then at least that's good.

[TomJSports]

lol damn rookies, I think we are good, 10 min to go, no need for pushing rushes, all i am worried about is a late Philly goal and a empty netter, lets hope this score stays this way

Pegged that 100%. Poor way to lose the under.

[Galego]

Damn!!!! At least I cash the Leafs ML!!!

[Galego]

Well... it was a great call, just had a bad luck!!

Thnaks for the play man!!

[pagodo]

Cashed very nice on the Leafs @ +175, thanks, Pro!
Truly terrible luck on the under pick.

Will be tailing, the season can't start soon enough
Good luck, all!

[Quickbuck?]

Terrible luck. I wish i would have just bet the money line. Oh well. Thanks for the insight.

[NHL Pro Capper]

Thanks guys. Thanks for being positive. I changed my record keeping to be more accurate since i make all sorts of different bets. Each Unit = $100

CURRENT RECORD:
Correlated Parlays: Wins: 1 Losses: 1 // Units: +2.0 +$200
Puck line Record: Wins: 0 Losses: 1 // Units: -1.0 -$100
Money Line Record: Wins: 2 Loses: 0 // Units: +2.35 +$235
Over Under Record: Wins: 1 Losses: 1 // Units: -0.10 -$10
Total $ Earned: +$325

Ok, I looked at all the games tonight, lots of good matchups.

I really like:

VANCOUVER@EDMONTON: Edmonton at home fired up vs a Vancouver squad with not too many regulars. Edmonton also plays very well at home and will look to their new #1 draft pick RNH and re acquired Ryan Smyth to lead them to a close victory.

I would place 1 unit on Edmonton parlayed the under (2.65x1.80=3.6:1)

I also like:

DETROIT@PHILLY
2 teams with their coaches rotating D rookies, expect this to go over. Detroit gets the edge here.

I will bet Det @1.86 parlayed with the over @1.9 for a total payout of 3.56:1


Potential payouts:
1 unit@$100 for Edm+under = $360 winnings (3.6:1)
1 unit@$100 for Det+over = $356 winnings (3.56:1)

Goodluck!

[TomJSports]

I like the Detroit play. Also being in London, I would assume it would be a heavy Detroit crowd. No local boy Jeff Carter anymore, either. Good luck, friend.

[TomJSports]

Detroit is looking like:

Valtteri Filppula – Henrik Zetterberg – Johan Franzen
Justin Abdelkader – Darren Helm – Todd Bertuzzi
Gustav Nyquist – Joakim Andersson – Willie Coetzee
Tomas Jurco – Brent Raedeke – Francis Pare

Nicklas Lidstrom – Ian White
Jonathan Ericsson – Jakub Kindl
Brian Lashoff – Doug Janik

Ty Conklin
[Jordan Pearce]


solid lineup.

[face]

this thread looks like it could be awesome. GL.

[Kaizen]

this thread looks like it could be awesome. GL.

yeapp!I am looking forward to starting new season

[Galego]

Good luck tonight man!!!

I'm on it!!

I played the 2 parlays and also the 4 plays (2 ML and 2 Totals) and I'm risking for a really small amount the 4 selections parlay!!!

Let's cashhhh!!!

[TomJSports]

Bill Meltzer via hockeybuzz:

Flyers roster for tonight (they will have to scratch one goalie, one forward, and one defenseman but these are the available players who made the trip).

GOALTENDING
Michael Leighton - starter
Sergei Bobrovsky
Jason Bacashihua

FORWARDS
James van Riemsdyk, Harry Zolnierczyk, Zac Rinaldo, Eric Wellwood, Sean Couturier, Claude Giroux, Max Talbot, Ben Holmstrom, Wayne Simmonds, Danny Briere, Andreas Nodl, Scott Hartnell, Mike Testwuide, Tyler Brown

DEFENSE
Matt Carle, Marc-Andre Bourdon, Oliver Lauridsen, Blake Kessel, Andrej Meszaros, Kimmo Timonen, Andreas Lilja, Braydon Coburn .

[TomJSports]

That's a pretty strong lineup. Basically the NHL squad minus Jágr, Voráček, Schenn, and Pronger. Obviously if Brière and Timo get scratched, good news for the Wings, but I doubt they'd bring marquee guys on the trip without playing them. Still like the over, especially if the Flyers don't play D around Leighton.

Good luck, tonight, bud!

[NHL Pro Capper]

Yeah, well 2-1 in the 3rd, ml will probably hit but over may not. We will see. Good game so far. I cannot believe the line drop on the EDM/VAN game. Edm started at 2.10 and closed at 1.67. That's an insane movement.

[NHL Pro Capper]

So far so good, Detroit Wins 4-3. Empty net goal would be better then a tying, but I enjoyed the sweat.

So Detroit + Over paid out 3.56:1, will update totals/records after the VAN@EDM game. Congrats to those that tailed.

[Galego]

So far so good, Detroit Wins 4-3. Empty net goal would be better then a tying, but I enjoyed the sweat.

So Detroit + Over paid out 3.56:1, will update totals/records after the VAN@EDM game. Congrats to those that tailed.

Thanks man!!!

Lets hope for the EDM win this game, but for 2-1

[NHL Pro Capper]

Yeah that's the power of the correlated parlay. 2 bets directly linked to each other, very nice payout! I have been using this format for a long time and have always done very well.

[NHL Pro Capper]

Ok so Van beat Edm 2-1, so we lost the unit on the 2 game correlated parlay, but as i mentioned before you can just bet on the totals, or the fav ML or the Dog ML to avoid the variance. If your BR can handle the extra bets, be sure to bet the correlated parlays because there is lots of value.

As for Det, they won and it went over, so we won the correlated parlay, the over, and the ml. 4-3 final score so we have a nice payout of 3.56:1, 1.90:1, and 1:86:1.

As i mentioned earlier i use $100 in this tracking thread to represent 1 unit. I am just posting my predictions, its up to you to exercise proper bankroll management and bet what is reasonable. So to cap off tonights results with my overall record this 2011 NHL pre season we have:


CURRENT RECORD:
Correlated Parlays: Wins: 2 Losses: 2 // Units: +4.65 +$465
Puck line Record: Wins: 0 Losses: 1 // Units: -1.0 -$100
Money Line Record: Wins: 3 Loses: 1 // Units: +2.35 +$235
Over Under Record: Wins: 3 Losses: 1 // Units: +1.70 +$170
Total $ Earned: +$770

[a4u2fear]

Ok so Van beat Edm 2-1, so we lost the unit on the 2 game correlated parlay, but as i mentioned before you can just bet on the totals, or the fav ML or the Dog ML to avoid the variance. If your BR can handle the extra bets, be sure to bet the correlated parlays because there is lots of value. As for Det, they won and it went over, so we won the correlated parlay, the over, and the ml. 4-3 final score so we have a nice payout of 3.56:1, 1.90:1, and 1:86:1. As i mentioned earlier i use $100 in this tracking thread to represent 1 unit. I am just posting my predictions, its up to you to exercise proper bankroll management and bet what is reasonable. So to cap off tonights results with my overall record this 2011 NHL pre season we have: CURRENT RECORD: Correlated Parlays: Wins: 2 Losses: 2 // Units: +4.65 +$465 Puck line Record: Wins: 0 Losses: 1 // Units: -1.0 -$100 Money Line Record: Wins: 3 Loses: 1 // Units: +2.35 +$235 Over Under Record: Wins: 3 Losses: 1 // Units: +1.70 +$170 Total $ Earned: +$770

But you didn't bet on the under only in the Edm game, the bet you took lost, how do you still count it as a win? You stated you took Edm and the under, and never said you bet only just th under. Its a loss.

[a4u2fear]

I mean its just one loss, but you count it as a win and a loss. You can't post what you'd hope people woudl've taken. The thread is your bets, which by no means right now is a positive ML record since you never solely bet it or the total, just parlays.

[pagodo]

I think it goes like this, it's six bets in total:

1. Red Wings M/L WON
2. Red Wings OVER WON
3. Red Wings M/L+OVER WON
4. Oilers M/L LOST
5. Oilers UNDER WON
6. Oilers M/L+UNDER LOST

Great picks and nice profit, Pro, thanks, man

--
OK, just read through the guide again and it does indeed say that Pro would only bet P/L favs and parlays.
In case of a parlay pick, I will be betting all three separate - team, total, parlay; same as I did yesterday with Detroit and Edmonton - just need to think of a good bankroll management strategy for these picks.

[LuckyBeans]

Thanks for your insight and predictions. I'm looking forward to the regular season. You obviously know what you're doing, looking forward to a profitable winter.

[gambler CK]

lol a4u2fear i was thinking the same thing... you bet the parlays not the mls or totals so those definetly dont count in your total money earned lol, but hey if it makes you look better

[biggy]

I have my own system relied to this one
ML fav + over :2.5 % of my BR
ML fav : 2.5 % of my BR
over :2.5 % of my BR
under:2.5 % of my BR
puck line: 2.5 % of my BR
ML underdog + under :1.5% of my BR
ML underdog :1.5 % of my BR

Lee presented us 4 games
if you've played 3 bets for each game (parlay, ML, under/over) or 2 bets(puck line, ML) result 14 bets: 8wins/6 losses
i've checked the odds again and i started with 100 units the BR
using the system i presented the BR is now 115 units ( after 4 games only)

Great system Pro. keep going

[a4u2fear]

When the play is made, it's stated parlay only. Not ML, total, and parlay of both

[NHL Pro Capper]

But you didn't bet on the under only in the Edm game, the bet you took lost, how do you still count it as a win? You stated you took Edm and the under, and never said you bet only just th under. Its a loss.

I should have been more clear. As I said, what I personally bet is the puckline, the dog + under, and the fav + over. However, i did say for the purpose of this thread and tracking that if you want to bet moneyline because you don't want to take on the value/variance trade off then that is fine. As well if you just want to bet totals that's ok too.

The record I am showing in this thread represents the picks I make, not what I personally bet. The betting is up to you. You can bet everything or you can just bet the totals, or the correlated parlay, it's really up to you.

When I post my picks, I am obviously giving you the option of taking the team to win + the over/under, or just the team or totals.

So I apologize if I did not make this clear.

[a4u2fear]

I'm not hating just trying to see what's going on.

Ok

[NHL Pro Capper]

I think it goes like this, it's six bets in total:

1. Red Wings M/L WON
2. Red Wings OVER WON
3. Red Wings M/L+OVER WON
4. Oilers M/L LOST
5. Oilers UNDER WON
6. Oilers M/L+UNDER LOST

Great picks and nice profit, Pro, thanks, man

--
OK, just read through the guide again and it does indeed say that Pro would only bet P/L favs and parlays.
In case of a parlay pick, I will be betting all three separate - team, total, parlay; same as I did yesterday with Detroit and Edmonton - just need to think of a good bankroll management strategy for these picks.

Thank you, you got it man! I guess I was a little cryptic in my posts and should have explained a bit more in detail. Great job. My main concern is just giving good picks. I am here to help everyone take back from the greedy books. I have seen so many good people get wiped out and it's about time we won!

[NHL Pro Capper]

No problem Buffalo I know you are not hating, I respect constructive critisim and I did not think for one minute you were hating. Good luck tonight vs the Leafs, it should be a great game! I am trying to find tickets on craigslist lol but even pre season games in Toronto are $100 for crappy seats.

[TomJSports]

No problem Buffalo I know you are not hating, I respect constructive critisim and I did not think for one minute you were hating. Good luck tonight vs the Leafs, it should be a great game! I am trying to find tickets on craigslist lol but even pre season games in Toronto are $100 for crappy seats.

Reminds me of when I lived in Montréal. Good luck with that.