DG's 2011-2012 NHL Picks

DennisGreen · 04-20-12, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by memo99

Hey DG did you get a chance to finalize the prizes for your playoff contest yet?

Nope sorry been too busy. This weekend for sure. Hard to keep up with work, family and gambling these days

DennisGreen · 04-20-12, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by odog11

Can't believe they moved it from -125 which it was a little bit ago, making me a lil nervous.

Edit:
If you get this -120 you can probably find "no goal in 1st 10" for +130 or better and get yourself some of that free money. Sportsbook.com has it at +135, but I don't recommend putting an awful lot of money there.

Nice I may have to sign up then.

odog11 · 04-20-12, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by DennisGreen

Nice I may have to sign up then.

Did you get on there yet? Moved the other way big time, -150 now.

DennisGreen · 04-20-12, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by odog11

Did you get on there yet? Moved the other way big time, -150 now.

Yup fcuk I figured that would happen. Nevermind then. Everyone keep your mouth shut about this prop

We need to find a book who still has low odds

DennisGreen · 04-20-12, 02:08 PM

PHI/PIT 1st Goal Under 10 Minutes (-152)

-They've scored in the first 10 minutes of every game during the series so might as well save some chalk

Not going berserk just in case. I haven't bet these props in years

skyscrapers · 04-20-12, 02:39 PM

Hahaha...DG finally plays an under

.

GL...I'm on it as well!!

swordsandtequila · 04-20-12, 02:40 PM

Just got score in first 10 minutes +115 @ 5Dimes. Why the shift? Jumped on it soon as I made sure I wasn't reading it wrong. Crosby, Jagr, Malkin all + props. Check it out.

Soxsfan9 · 04-20-12, 02:41 PM

I got score within 10 mins for plus money (+115) on 5dimes.

darktray · 04-20-12, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

Just got score in first 10 minutes +115 @ 5Dimes. Why the shift? Jumped on it soon as I made sure I wasn't reading it wrong. Crosby, Jagr, Malkin all + props. Check it out.

Damn I just put the rest of my bank on 5dimes on the first period over at -200. Never even looked at the goal in first 10 minutes on there, only got it on Pinny for -152

Les_Nuts · 04-20-12, 02:55 PM

What do you think of over 2.5 goals at +150 (in the 1st), dg? I'm torn between that and pens 1st period ML at +130

swordsandtequila · 04-20-12, 02:56 PM

Jagr SOG Over 2.5 (+100) Averaging 2.75 per game in playoffs
Crosby Points + SOG Over 5.5 (+115) Averaging 4.0 per game in playoffs

Little bit of a reach on Crosby, this being a sudden death situation, think Pitt comes out firing. Small wager on these two, went bigger on the 10 min. prop; can't pass up the +money!

PuckIt · 04-20-12, 02:57 PM

5dimes has "goal in first 10min" for +110

swordsandtequila · 04-20-12, 03:03 PM

Originally posted by Les_Nuts

What do you think of over 2.5 goals at +150 (in the 1st), dg? I'm torn between that and pens 1st period ML at +130

The books are all over the place with this game. 5Ds has Pitt 1st period ML @ -155. Pitt -½ is +130 (1st per.)
I honestly think they don't know what to expect. Hope everyone banks!

odog11 · 04-20-12, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by PuckIt

5dimes has "goal in first 10min" for +110

Are you sure that is what they had? They show goal in 1st 10 at -150 and no goal +120 now.

swordsandtequila · 04-20-12, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by odog11

Are you sure that is what they had? They show goal in 1st 10 at -150 and no goal +120 now.

He's correct; I posted before him that it was @ +115 (post #7147). It dropped within a minute to +110. I'm usually on the other side, hopefully this series holds true to form.

PuckIt · 04-20-12, 03:30 PM

Wow youre right its at -150 right now. Someone at 5d put the "no" in the wrong place? Lol. I re-read it like 10 times before i submitted it i couldnt believe it.

DennisGreen · 04-20-12, 03:35 PM

LOL nice score to those who got +$ on goal in the first 10 mins

Someone fcuked up bad

DennisGreen · 04-20-12, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by Les_Nuts

What do you think of over 2.5 goals at +150 (in the 1st), dg? I'm torn between that and pens 1st period ML at +130

Like both. Where are you getting over 2.5 in 1st at? I am interested in that

PuckIt · 04-20-12, 03:44 PM

Also interested in that! 5d caught that quick lol, they must have noticed
the huge influx of cash.

EkaGa · 04-20-12, 03:44 PM

@DG
You can getting over 2,5 on tobet.com

PuckIt · 04-20-12, 03:47 PM

I can see it now...

"geez lots of pens flyers activity today..."
"...yeah, gonna be another tough one for us I think."
"yeah probably. Whoa, why are so many people betting huge on no goal in the first 10min?! NOOOOOOOOO JOSÉ YOU FCUKING MORON!"

NYR19 · 04-20-12, 03:49 PM

Hey DG for a player prop on my site they have who will record more points: Giroux more points +155 or Crosby more points -185. What do you think?

gushman · 04-20-12, 03:49 PM

They will void the wager if they offered a bad line

PuckIt · 04-20-12, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by gushman

They will void the wager if they offered a bad line

Ive never had them void em for me.

swordsandtequila · 04-20-12, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by gushman

They will void the wager if they offered a bad line

Yeah I thought about that. Hoping it was just line fluctuation due to all the action on this game. Puckit had it right, at one point the no goals in 1st 10 was +++, now it's +140. Goal in 1st ten is -170. There was no straight correction, it moved as the money came in. Sounds good anyway (fingers crossed)! It's moot if nobody scores!

swordsandtequila · 04-20-12, 04:05 PM

The Jagr and Crosby props are up to +110 / +125 respectively. I hope this is a 8-7 game!

DennisGreen · 04-20-12, 04:14 PM

Originally posted by NYR19

Hey DG for a player prop on my site they have who will record more points: Giroux more points +155 or Crosby more points -185. What do you think?

Meh. Tough to bet against Crosby on home ice. I wouldn't touch it.

remeedella · 04-20-12, 04:18 PM

I stuck to Jagr only for a small one just for fun, i dont trust any others, I would go giroux but even thats not safe

remeedella · 04-20-12, 04:21 PM

believe it or not my -145 line for before 10 minutes got cancelled because they said the date was marked wrong so they killed everyones tickets. What's weird is I spoke to someone there because I went to check the line and they boosted it to -155... I got them to change it haha, literally a minute after speaking to someone line went back down to -145 and right now as I right this boosted back to -160

SlimZ · 04-20-12, 04:28 PM

DG laying off the o1.5 today? just taking the prop bet? thought u would put a little action on the o1.5 even though its -200

snakie · 04-20-12, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by SlimZ

DG laying off the o1.5 today? just taking the prop bet? thought u would put a little action on the o1.5 even though its -200

Why not take "first goal under 10 minutes (-152) instead?

TheBeastMode · 04-20-12, 04:42 PM

DAYAM...my 1st pd over is already at -228

SlimZ · 04-20-12, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by snakie

Why not take "first goal under 10 minutes (-152) instead?

what if the goals come after the first 10 mins? its a good prop bet i dont see it not cashing....just sticking to the whole 1st period instead i have so much riding on the first 20 minutes already no need to for me to push it with a 10 min bet..lol

dugdogg · 04-20-12, 04:48 PM

why hasn't the line moved to o2 for 1st period?

DennisGreen · 04-20-12, 04:49 PM

Originally posted by SlimZ

what if the goals come after the first 10 mins? its a good prop bet i dont see it not cashing....just sticking to the whole 1st period instead i have so much riding on the first 20 minutes already no need to for me to push it with a 10 min bet..lol

Yup I hear ya

They are related to each other pretty closely though IMO. If they don't score a goal in the first 10 minutes it "could" go under for the 1st period total too. Just less money at risk this way although as you said less time to score.