DG's NHL Plays

RbN · 02-16-11, 12:06 PM

Try flat betting, because you simply can't know if a big or a small play will hit. If you knew you would only play big plays ofcourse.

Good luck my friend

ChrisJ · 02-16-11, 12:22 PM

Rough night DG, but I am sure you will bounce back quick. Any early predictions? What about you Rbn, what do you like tonight?

leafsfan19 · 02-16-11, 12:52 PM

good luck today, bounce back

Tk Fo Sho · 02-16-11, 12:57 PM

Hawks are a lock tonight. Winning this one for coach Q who is hospitalized right now...

fletch49 · 02-16-11, 01:46 PM

Originally posted by RbN

Try flat betting, because you simply can't know if a big or a small play will hit. If you knew you would only play big plays ofcourse.

Good luck my friend

Interesting point. I have often wondered the same thing as I have tracked numerous touts in different sports who put values on their picks.
Does this not add just one more chance to be wrong? It is tough enough to pick consistent winners. But when you then put 1 star, 2 star, 3 star, etc values your picks aren't you adding another chance to be wrong?
Not only must you pick a winner but you then must also get the value correct.

I do not understand how this is good. I am open to someone helping me understand this.
BTW does anyone have records of DG's 3X or 2X games?

Yungmef · 02-16-11, 01:46 PM

philly to win in regulation @ florida (-130)

steelcity · 02-16-11, 02:59 PM

I like Philly, Ana, Chi, and Col/Pit ov tonight.

DennisGreen · 02-16-11, 04:05 PM

Originally posted by fletch49

Interesting point. I have often wondered the same thing as I have tracked numerous touts in different sports who put values on their picks. Does this not add just one more chance to be wrong? It is tough enough to pick consistent winners. But when you then put 1 star, 2 star, 3 star, etc values your picks aren't you adding another chance to be wrong? Not only must you pick a winner but you then must also get the value correct. I do not understand how this is good. I am open to someone helping me understand this. BTW does anyone have records of DG's 3X or 2X games?

Maybe I will add them up one day but no you're right I seem to do better a lot of the time with just 1 unit plays on all. But I mean it makes sense to bet more on "strong plays" still I think. They make or break your night though which makes it tough to turn a profit on a day you miss those plays.

pomist001 · 02-16-11, 05:12 PM

hi dg,

how much is your one unit ?

stevex · 02-16-11, 05:14 PM

DJ, Devils still have some value?

DennisGreen · 02-16-11, 05:18 PM

Originally posted by pomist001

hi dg,

how much is your one unit ?

$100 for dogs and to win $100 on favorites.

RbN · 02-16-11, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by DennisGreen

Maybe I will add them up one day but no you're right I seem to do better a lot of the time with just 1 unit plays on all. But I mean it makes sense to bet more on "strong plays" still I think. They make or break your night though which makes it tough to turn a profit on a day you miss those plays.

"strong plays" don't mean anything, they can also not hit. Its completely no garantuee that a strong play will hit more of the times then a weaker play. Otherhwise you would only play stronger plays instead of weaker plays.
Just for example yesterda, Dallas fukked up, Boston fukked up etc., they would be "stronger plays"

Btw, just trying to help you mate, you know im not a hater

DennisGreen · 02-16-11, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by RbN

"strong plays" don't mean anything, they can also not hit. Its completely no garantuee that a strong play will hit more of the times then a weaker play. Otherhwise you would only play stronger plays instead of weaker plays.
Just for example yesterda, Dallas fukked up, Boston fukked up etc., they would be "stronger plays"

Btw, just trying to help you mate, you
know im not a hater

Yup i know man. I can deal with criticism as long as it is constructive

I will still continue to bet plays I really like for 2+ units as the year progresses but will prob slow down a bit for the next week or so.

ChrisJ · 02-16-11, 05:23 PM

Really need some winners tonight DG!

RbN · 02-16-11, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by ChrisJ

Really need some winners tonight DG!

Burned my ass today, I did put couple of 100's of Euro on a new bookie today, but once I was done with that it said I cant play sportsbook in my country. Wanted to put it on over 2,5 total goals scored in Barca - Arsenal cuz they had a higher odd then my current bookie, jezus crhist.

Let me scroll trough the nhl

boondoggle · 02-16-11, 05:31 PM

Thanks for OTT O5.5 last night! Soccer has been killing me!

RbN · 02-16-11, 05:34 PM

Originally posted by boondoggle

Thanks for OTT O5.5 last night! Soccer has been killing me!

It's called football, Sawker wtf

ChrisJ · 02-16-11, 05:35 PM

Ive been burned like sick last few days. Today I put some decent amount on some danish hockey (I'm danish). Classmate plays on one of the teams and said that the other team would win, and probably big. - not only are they a much better team, but they were playing for something. I bet them regulation, they won in OT.

If I don't win tonight I am probaly going to stay off for quite some time! What are u betting tonight m8? Im liking ducks ML, Flames -0,5, Philly ML.

nyplayer33 · 02-16-11, 05:37 PM

parllay buffalo/calgary

RbN · 02-16-11, 05:38 PM

Dunno bro, haven't really researched yet. But I kinda like Sabres - leafs over 5.5

u should kick the shit out of ur classmate that he didnt allow them to win in regulartime, he could have made a penalty shot and whatever

boondoggle · 02-16-11, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by RbN

It's called football, Sawker wtf

...its called soccer....you all can run around and kick the ball in that silly way...Honestly, watching soccer is like watching paint dry..but I digress...

RbN · 02-16-11, 05:41 PM

Originally posted by boondoggle

...its called soccer....you all can run around and kick the ball in that silly way...Honestly, watching soccer is like watching paint dry..but I digress...

Dont watch football then.....no ones demands you to.

ChrisJ · 02-16-11, 05:42 PM

Worst part about it is the other team is really really good and regulation was only 1,53. Yeah, Sabres - Leafs O5.5 should be good. Kinda liking the under 5 in Devils - Canes even though I really haven't been hot picking unders. I could def see flames PL if dallas is as pathetic as last night.

ivocell · 02-16-11, 05:44 PM

So why do way more people prefer watching paint dry than watching good ol' american football?

American football has one good thing, though. It still manages to be better than baseball.

shantystar · 02-16-11, 05:44 PM

ggl

RbN · 02-16-11, 05:48 PM

Originally posted by ChrisJ

Im liking ducks ML, Flames -0,5, Philly ML.

Like the first two aswell. Not too sure about Philly with Boucher in net, also they haven't been great against Florida.

Locke · 02-16-11, 05:57 PM

spent the summer in europe watching that tournament from a european perspective. absolutely loved every minute. the games, they hype, the controversy, the fans. i dont know how you can compare it to watching paint dry...if you have ever sat and watched paint dry you might not make such a poor analogy. it is about getting involved. every sport can look boring if you dont care about it. the nfl ratings will drop enormously next year if there are replacement players, fans will consider THAT boring.

Locke · 02-16-11, 05:57 PM

i had a rough night yesterday too DG. good luck with the picks today!

RbN · 02-16-11, 06:01 PM

I was thinking by myself, isn't it better for the long run to just take a team on handicap (-1.5) instead of taking them in regulation. How many times does it occur that they make a empty netter and how many times does it occur that a game finishes with 1 goal difference. Most of the handicap odds are around 2,8 to 3 or more.

. Maybe stupid sugestion but might be worth to research this.

pomist001 · 02-16-11, 06:03 PM

hi dg,

dont you have any play for today ? and what do you think about these bets ?

PHI - FLO --ML PHI
TOR- BUF --ML BUF
MIN- CHI -- UNDER 5.5

DennisGreen · 02-16-11, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by boondoggle

...its called soccer....you all can run around and kick the ball in that silly way...Honestly, watching soccer is like watching paint dry..but I digress...

"Soccer" or football as you Euros call it really does make more sense being called Football. As for "football" in North America it really isn't a fitting name as only two players on each team kick the ball

Doesn't really make sense if you think about it but to us North Americans it will always be known as soccer to most of us

DennisGreen · 02-16-11, 06:06 PM

Wednesday Plays

CBJ (+106)

FLA (+118)

CHI -0.5 (-108)

MIN/CHI Over 1.5 (1st) (+103)

PIT (+110)

DAL/CAL Over 1.5 (1st) (+103)

WAS (-101)

Decided to do some small ball tonight with a lot of good value plays. I think CBJ and FLA are both good home dogs worth a shot and I think at least one of them wins, hopefully both. GL tonight all

RbN · 02-16-11, 06:08 PM

Why didnt you decide to play the over in buffalo toronto? Just curious!

About the football thing, spot on.

boondoggle · 02-16-11, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by ivocell

So why do way more people prefer watching paint dry than watching good ol' american football?

American football has one good thing, though. It still manages to be better than baseball.

lot easier to play soccer than NFL...those pansy euro boys running around would be killed in NFL....although we have taken a few for kickers...

RbN · 02-16-11, 06:14 PM

Originally posted by boondoggle

lot easier to play soccer than NFL...those pansy euro boys running around would be killed in NFL....although we have taken a few for kickers...

They would be killed

, good for you! Feel manly now? And football (soccer) isn't that easy, you need lots of skills.

American football is all about who eats the most steriods...just kiddin