You're betting too many PLs. Bet more regulation bets.
Yeah PL are not the best bets to make especially when your as cold as I am. I should make more regulation bets. Right now think I need to lay off totals for a while as well they have been killing me lately but I still keep playing. If I play anything this weekend it will be just ML's I believe, but really think I need to take a little break.
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keyboarding
SBR Hall of Famer
07-30-09
6817
#994
Originally posted by HOT WINGS
Yeah PL are not the best bets to make especially when your as cold as I am. I should make more regulation bets. Right now think I need to lay off totals for a while as well they have been killing me lately but I still keep playing. If I play anything this weekend it will be just ML's I believe, but really think I need to take a little break.
I've noticed a few nights you couple your bets with a side and an over. That's what's costing you because if your team loses they likely aren't scoring a lot either.
Start betting half units until you feel you're back into the swing of things, can't force it, hockey is too unpredictable. Plus, it looks like basketball is working for you.
Good luck.
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#995
Originally posted by keyboarding
I've noticed a few nights you couple your bets with a side and an over. That's what's costing you because if your team loses they likely aren't scoring a lot either.
Start betting half units until you feel you're back into the swing of things, can't force it, hockey is too unpredictable. Plus, it looks like basketball is working for you.
Good luck.
Yes you are exactly right. This is something I use to hate to do, then I won a few games big like that and I think I forgot how much doing this can fukk you. Sharks last night is perfect example of this. I was expecting Sharks win and figuredBuffalo would score a couple. If I was liking Buffalo to win I would of liked under as well. Good luck to you as well I like the Stars, Wings and Ducks tonight. Think I might play them all for a unit each.
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#996
Thrashers -1 +100 (1x)
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#997
Stars -120 (1x)
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#998
Originally posted by HOT WINGS
Thrashers -1 +100 (1x)
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#999
Anahiem -115(1x)
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#1000
Oilers +265 (1x)
Oilers -1.5 +750 (.2x)
Probably throwing away money here
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#1001
Originally posted by HOT WINGS
Anahiem -115(1x)
Making this 2x
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keyboarding
SBR Hall of Famer
07-30-09
6817
#1002
Yeah, you can't really lament about a losing streak when you're only betting for value.
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#1003
1-3 (-1.4x) Take EDM out and pretty much even for night. Thought there was value with EDM guess I was wrong as they got beat down by Vancouver. Hopefully Wings can get them tonight.
Will be busy most the night so is probably it. With Osgood in net I don't think I can take the Wings but I will be rooting for them
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#1005
3-3 +1.33X Split em but still +. Would of took Wings had I known Howard was starting. Had too much going on tonight to see it got switched. Nice victory for the Wings after they got embarrassed last time in Vancouver
214-225 but +26.35, unlike other sports I guess it pays to play the underdogs at hockey!
will pay more attention to this thread! nice work
P.S. Hot Wings, all plays 1 unit bet or to win one unit?
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#1007
Originally posted by joanapoker
214-225 but +26.35, unlike other sports I guess it pays to play the underdogs at hockey!
will pay more attention to this thread! nice work
P.S. Hot Wings, all plays 1 unit bet or to win one unit?
Pp
Lately I have been playing 1 unit plays because I have been kind of cold. 95% of my plays for the year have been .5-3 unit plays played a handfull of 4 and 5 unit plays but nothing more yet. I play alot of dogs and probably to many PL but I like the + money plays. Good luck to you as well
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#1008
Thrashers +110 (1x)
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#1009
Thrashers -1.5 +275 (.5x)
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keyboarding
SBR Hall of Famer
07-30-09
6817
#1010
I think DAL is the play tonight. Line is moving so get on it quick.
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HOT WINGS
SBR Hall of Famer
01-29-10
8055
#1011
Originally posted by keyboarding
I think DAL is the play tonight. Line is moving so get on it quick.
I like Dallas as well.
Stars -105 (1x)
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keyboarding
SBR Hall of Famer
07-30-09
6817
#1012
Originally posted by HOT WINGS
Thrashers +110 (1x)
Originally posted by HOT WINGS
Thrashers -1.5 +275 (.5x)
This is probably the biggest hole in your style. The first bet is okay, not great odds for a road team but with Ward out as good as it gets.
But then you go PL. I don't get the logic there. You could bet the over, or bet ATL in regulation, but I think you see a huge number in +275, make it a half unit, and think it's a value play when it really isn't.
What you've really done is put yourself in a position where you realistically either make .5 units on the ATL ML win, or if ATL loses you are -1.5. Hardly worth it. ATL ML and TT over or even game total over would have been a better combination. Betting both sides of the same team and not a regulation bet I guarantee you has cost you a lot of units this season.
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joanapoker
Restricted User
12-09-08
2275
#1013
keyboarding to u have a NHL thread?
nice write up/analysis on the ATL bet from Dennis!
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keyboarding
SBR Hall of Famer
07-30-09
6817
#1014
Originally posted by joanapoker
keyboarding to u have a NHL thread?
No.
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RbN
SBR MVP
03-02-10
1514
#1015
hes just here to give his remarks, without posting plays ever.