1. #281
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    Done.... what was the "wow" about? Had me wondering
    I had same play. Was surprised seeing you post same and it being your only that at first

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  2. #282
    hotcross
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Sunday Sept.6 - Game 1

    +3.51 Win >> DALLAS +135 first period moneyline // 2.60 units to win 3.51
    *push if tied end 1p

    Results: Sept.6 = +3.51 units (1-0 W/L)
    PLAYOFFS: -14.12 units (24-37-1 W/L/D = 0.393 pct)

    still open / pending:

    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    SERIES EXACT SERIES OUTCOME: DALLAS 4-2 games +650 // 1.50 units to win 9.75
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  3. #283
    asiagambler
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    Anything for tonight ?

  4. #284
    hotcross
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    EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Monday Sept.7 - Game 1

    TEAM TOTAL UNDER 2.5 -145 NY ISLANDERS // 4.35 units to win 3.00

    TAMPA BAY -1 +105 puckline (*buy 0.5 goal) // 1.00 unit to win 1.05

    SERIES TAMPA BAY -180 // 9.00 units to win 5.00



    It looks to me Dallas will face Tampa Bay for the Cup, so grabbed the series price now on Tampa even though the juice is expensive

    These game 1 bets seem a bit strange but its possible Islanders could win a low scoring game tonight... not what I think is going to happen, but possible.

    A side note, originally I was going to play Islanders first period moneyline in this game 1, just as the Dallas pick yesterday. But it seems too obvious and Lightning can be very good in first periods, or both teams might begin very tight and not allow much space anywhere.
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  5. #285
    hotcross
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    the referees are calling everything against both sides
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  6. #286
    hotcross
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Monday Sept.7 - Game 1

    +3.00 Win >> TEAM TOTAL UNDER 2.5 -145 NY ISLANDERS // 4.35 units to win 3.00

    +1.05 Win >> TAMPA BAY -1 +105 puckline (*buy 0.5 goal) // 1.00 unit to win 1.05

    Results: Sept.7 = +4.05 units (2-0 W/L)
    PLAYOFFS: -10.07 units (26-37-1 W/L/D = 0.412 pct)

    still open / pending:

    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post

    SERIES EXACT SERIES OUTCOME: DALLAS 4-2 games +650 // 1.50 units to win 9.75

    SERIES TAMPA BAY -180 // 9.00 units to win 5.00

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  7. #287
    pimike
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    Stay hot bud!!

    Iím tailing again

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  8. #288
    hotcross
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    I'm trying harder to eliminate any more mistakes. Not many games remaining!
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  9. #289
    keely85
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    Tampa series is straight forwards. This Dallas Vegas one is confusing af

  10. #290
    pimike
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    Quote Originally Posted by keely85 View Post
    Tampa series is straight forwards. This Dallas Vegas one is confusing af
    Agree

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  11. #291
    hotcross
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    One of the aspects of my handicapping is I create a list of intangible reasons for each team advancing in the playoffs, and then apply weighted ranks. I'm not always correct, obviously. Without sharing all of my list, let me put it this way, the Vegas franchise has never lost a Western Conference Final series and while they are built to win as soon as possible, they are only 3 years in existence and there is something about experiencing the agony of defeat before the core management and long-term players truly understand the entire scope of what it takes to win the Stanley Cup.

    Dallas has veteran core players who have lost to the St.Louis Blues in the second round in both the 2015-16 and 2018-19 seasons. But go farther back.... the franchise won the Stanley Cup in the 1998-99 season, and went on to return to the Cup Finals the following year but lost in the 1999-00 season.... and have not been back to the Cup Finals since that season, 20 years ago.

    In the 2007 NHL Entry Draft, the Stars drafted the relatively unknown Jamie Benn 129th overall. Benn did not make the NHL team roster until the 2009-10 season, but in the recent years he has taken the role of Team Captain. The season he was drafted, 2007-08 the team lost in the Conference Finals to Detroit.


    This history lesson may seem meaningless to anyone reading, but not to me. So now you have more insight as to my thinking. A team that adapts over the years with hungry players who know how difficult it is to win the ultimate prize to cement their legacy, with precious fewer and fewer seasons remaining in the twilight of their hockey playing career to accomplish it.
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  12. #292
    hotcross
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    WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Tuesday Sept.8 - Game 2

    UNDER 5.5 -110 DAL@VGS // 5.50 units to win 5.00

    OVERTIME +310 DAL@VGS // 1.70 units to win 5.27



    This is probably just an Under, but I put the Overtime prop bet on there as insurance if the game goes tied 3-3
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  13. #293
    hotcross
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Tuesday Sept.8 - Game 2


    +5.00 Win >> UNDER 5.5 -110 DAL@VGS // 5.50 units to win 5.00

    -1.70 Loss >> OVERTIME +310 DAL@VGS // 1.70 units to win 5.27

    Results: Sept.8 = +3.30 units (1-1 W/L)
    PLAYOFFS: -6.77 units (27-38-1 W/L/D = 0.415 pct)

    still open / pending shown in previous posts
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  14. #294
    hotcross
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    WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Thurs. Sept.10 - before Game 3

    SERIES DALLAS STARS +220 (games tied 1-1) // 2.00 units to win 4.40



    Honestly locked this in today, not sure how much I love it.... so if that follows previous performance for me, it will win!

    Might still make a play on tonight's game.
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  15. #295
    hotcross
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    WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Thurs. Sept.10 - Game 3

    DALLAS +125 first period moneyline // 1.60 units to win 2.00
    *push if tied end 1p
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  16. #296
    hotcross
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Thurs. Sept.10 - Game 3

    DALLAS +125 first period moneyline // 1.60 units to win 2.00
    *push if tied end 1p
    0-0 tie end of the first period tonight


    Results: Sept.10 = +0 units (0-0-1 W/L/D)
    PLAYOFFS: -6.77 units (27-38-2 W/L/D = 0.415 pct)

    still open / pending:


    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post

    Sunday Sept.6 - before Game 1
    SERIES EXACT SERIES OUTCOME: DALLAS 4-2 games +650 // 1.50 units to win 9.75


    Monday Sept.7 - before Game 1
    SERIES TAMPA BAY -180 // 9.00 units to win 5.00


    Thurs. Sept.10 - before Game 3
    SERIES DALLAS STARS +220 (games tied 1-1) // 2.00 units to win 4.40

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  17. #297
    hotcross
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    EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS

    Friday Sept.11 - Game 3

    TAMPA BAY -135 ML // 1.35 units to win 1.00


    This looks like some factors have aligned for Islanders to win tonight's game, so we are getting a lower price offered on Tampa Bay.

    Made a small 1-unit play. Thinking the Lightning are on a win streak and will get their 6th playoff win in a row.
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  18. #298
    hotcross
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    I mis-spoke there. Already have 6 game win streak, going for 7 tonight is Tampa Bay.
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  19. #299
    BigdaddyQH
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    Tampa is a loser tonite and probably Sunday nite also. Too bad because I have them at +450 to win the East.

  20. #300
    hotcross
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    Tampa with a suspended player, and another good one injured.... this was one for NY to win tonight

    I still liked the discounted price on TB for a small wager

    Someone else could total up all my picks if I were to always play them for a flat amount each time. I'd be interested to know what it adds up to.
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  21. #301
    hotcross
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    Friday Sept.11 - Game 3
    -1.35 Loss >> TAMPA BAY -135 ML // 1.35 units to win 1.00


    Sunday Sept.6 - before Game 1
    -1.50 Loss >> SERIES EXACT SERIES OUTCOME: DALLAS 4-2 games +650 // 1.50 units to win 9.75


    Monday Sept.7 - before Game 1
    +5.00 Win >> SERIES TAMPA BAY -180 // 9.00 units to win 5.00


    Thurs. Sept.10 - before Game 3
    +4.40 Win >> SERIES DALLAS STARS +220 (games tied 1-1) // 2.00 units to win 4.40

    Results: Sept.11 and Conference Finals = +6.55 units (2-2 W/L)
    PLAYOFFS: -0.22 units (29-40-2 W/L/D = 0.420 pct)


    got back to almost even for the entire playoffs, making up for a couple big bombs that lost

    the start of the Stanley Cup Finals is scheduled for less than 24 hours from now on Saturday evening
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  22. #302
    hotcross
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    Saturday Sept.19 - before Game 1:

    SERIES - STANLEY CUP CHAMPIONS: DALLAS STARS +165 // 1.00 unit to win 1.65
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