Faith in numbers

[million2one]

Remember Me????

I was away for a while and lost track of my other thread (which was actually up money). So I am going to continue on with my system with a slight tweak. I will be playing the moneyline and puck line in the same game.

Puck line will be played straight and the money line I will follow a limited step martingale. Let's see If I can make it the rest of the season and win some money.

I am a hockey novice, and just follow my own formula for picking games.
I am only playing about $10 per game, just for fun.
Any help or information is appreciated.

[million2one]

Puck line:

San Jose Sharks (-1.5) (+135) risking $10


Money line:

San Jose Sharks (- 220) [A] to win $5

[Busterflywheel]

Puck line:

San Jose Sharks (-1.5) (+135) risking $10


Money line:

San Jose Sharks (- 220) [A] to win $5

I happen to favor the Sharks tonight as well..BOL

[million2one]

No plays tonight but a solid start for me.


Puck line: 1 - 0; +13.50


Money line: 1 - 0; +5

[million2one]

Puck line: 1 - 0; +$13.50

Minnesota Wild (-1.5) (+180) risking $10


Money line: 1 - 0; +5

Minnesota Wild (- 155) [A] to win $5

[Busterflywheel]

Come on WIld..

[fjordo]

Solid! Nice job. Keep it up.

[million2one]

Let's keep it rolling, a few more wins and I will have supreme confidence going forward.
Of course not every play will win but I'll just keep following my formula and hope the value and money ends up in my favor.
Small card today but I will be making plays on Colorado tonight.


Puck line: 2 - 0; +$31.50

Colorado Avalanche (-1.5) (+200) risking $10


Money line: 2 - 0; +$10

Colorado Avalanche (-145) [A] to win $5

[Busterflywheel]

Let's keep it rolling, a few more wins and I will have supreme confidence going forward.
Of course not every play will win but I'll just keep following my formula and hope the value and money ends up in my favor.
Small card today but I will be making plays on Colorado tonight.


Puck line: 2 - 0; +$31.50

Colorado Avalanche (-1.5) (+180) risking $10


Money line: 2 - 0; +$10

Colorado Avalanche (-145) [A] to win $5

LOve this Avalanche M.L call..

[riverja]

Let's keep it rolling, a few more wins and I will have supreme confidence going forward.
Of course not every play will win but I'll just keep following my formula and hope the value and money ends up in my favor.
Small card today but I will be making plays on Colorado tonight.


Puck line: 2 - 0; +$31.50

Colorado Avalanche (-1.5) (+200) risking $10


Money line: 2 - 0; +$10

Colorado Avalanche (-145) [A] to win $5

Good call on Avalanche...made some nice $$

[million2one]

No plays tonight, no need to get greedy I'll stick to my guns and wait for my plays to pop up.
This is my first time capping hockey, btw, so maybe beginners luck, but I am loving this puck line.


Puck line: 3 - 0; +$51.50


Money line: 3 - 0; +$15

[million2one]

It's been a few days but patience is key in playing this.
We have a play today and hopefully we can keep this streak alive.


Puck line: 3 - 0; +$51.50

Washington Capitals (-1.5) (+130) risking $10


Money line: 3 - 0; +$15

Washington Capitals (-230) [A] to win $5

[million2one]

Easy money last night on the Caps. I'll press my luck tonight with another solid play.


Puck line: 4 - 0; +$64.50

Colorado Avalanche (-1.5) (+200) risking $10


Money line: 4 - 0; +$20

Colorado Avalanche (-150) [A] to win $5

[million2one]

Took my first L last night, and have my first B bet today on the Money Line chase.
Hopefully I won't screw this up by chasing down the Money Line.
I will not be chasing the puck line


Puck line:
4 - 1; +$54.50

Washington Capitals (-1.5) (+120) risking $10


Money line:
4 - 1 overall; +$12.50

4 - 0 (pending) chase

Washington Capitals (-240) [B] risk $30 to win $12.50

[Busterflywheel]

Nice run Million...Keep it up grrr:

[million2one]

Play for later tonight

Puck line:
5- 1; +$66.50

San Jose Sharks (-1.5) (+140) risking $10


Money line:
5- 1 overall

5- 0 as chase; +$25

San Jose Sharks (-220) [A] to win $5

[million2one]

How many times can the Capitals cash the puck line?

Puck line:
6 - 1; +$80.50

Washington Capitals (-1.5) (+105) risking $10


Money line:
6 - 1 overall

6 - 0 as chase; +$30

Washington Capitals (-260) [A] to win $5

[whatsgood5]

I like the Caps as well, GL!

[Busterflywheel]

Nice run Million... Keep it up

[million2one]

No Plays for today

Puck line:
6 - 2; +$70.50


Money line:
7 - 1 overall

7 - 0 as chase; +$35

[million2one]

Juicy play for today with a ton of value if I can cash it

Puck line:
6 - 2; +$70.50

Dallas Stars (-1.5) (+200) risking $10


Money line:
7 - 1 overall

7 - 0 as chase; +$35

Dallas Stars (-135) [A] to win $5

[Busterflywheel]

Juicy play for today with a ton of value if I can cash it

Puck line:
6 - 2; +$70.50

Dallas Stars (-1.5) (+200) risking $10


Money line:
7 - 1 overall

7 - 0 as chase; +$35

Dallas Stars (-135) [A] to win $5

Nice record Milliontwo1... Keep it up the good work

[jhause13]

What exactly is your formula for making your picks? You can message me it if you'd like to share.

[buzzer]

nice hit on the Dallas, look forward to more pl plays

[whatsgood5]

Nice hit on the Stars tonight man, keep up the good work!

[million2one]

Another good line for my play tonight.

I will be stopping the chase system soon and resume after the Olympic break,
I will continue to play puck lines up until the Olympic break as I just play them straight.

Puck line:
7- 2; +$90.50

Buffalo Sabers (-1.5) (+210) risking $10


Money line:
8- 1 overall

8- 0 as chase; +$40

Buffalo Sabers (-140) [A] to win $5

[million2one]

What exactly is your formula for making your picks? You can message me it if you'd like to share.

I would not feel comfortable giving it out until it proves to be successful over the course of a season.

Remember this is my first time capping hockey and I am on a great run right now, but I'm sure it is a lot of luck as well, right now I only have a small sample size to go by, and would like to see how it does going forward before I can claim any validity to it.

But no sweat I'll be right here running my experiment. I'll also run a similar experiment during MLB season.

This system is a season long system, it will go on hot and cold streaks I am sure of it, so it would not be best to jump on and jump off of the picks, day to day they may lose but over a season I am confident it will turn up money.

My methods are based on playing the money line and a three game chase, I just added the puck line to see how it would do, so far so good.

I am a math teacher and my method is rooted in probability theory, strictly going by numbers, hence the title Faith in numbers


Best of luck all any input on how to best play the money management would be much appreciated.

[million2one]

Update is that my Buffalo bet lost so I went to a B bet and of course SBR seemed to be down all day yesterday and I was not able to post my play on Minnesota who ended up winning 4 - 2, so I cashed my ticket and my chase and added some coin to the puck line, but apologies for anyone who is trying to follow along.

New play for today.


Puck line:
8- 3; +$94.50

Buffalo Sabers (-1.5) (+155) risking $10


Money line:
9 - 2 overall

9 - 0 as chase; +$45

Buffalo Sabers (-200) [A] to win $5

[fjordo]

Love the thread. Keep up the solid picks!

[Glitch]

nice. youre ballin man- i like this pick a lot tonight so it will probably lose. goodluck

[million2one]

Lost last night with Buffalo, looking to rebound tonight with the Avalanche.

Puck line:
8- 4; +$84.50

Colorado Avalanche (-1.5) (+125) risking $10


Money line:
9 - 3 overall

9 - 0 as chase (pending); +$45

Colorado Avalanche (-250) [b] risking $37.50 to win $15

[million2one]

Found a play for tonight but I will just take them on the puck line,
The only reason is that I do not want to get caught up chasing during an Olympic break.
I'll continue the chase after the Olympics and see if we can finish the season strong.


Puck line:
9- 4; +$97.00

Phoenix Coyotes (-1.5) (+120) risking $10


Money line:
10- 3 overall

10- 0 as chase; +$50

[mrginandtonic]

Your picks have been strong. I especially like the phoenix -1.5 pick yesterday. Great job. Just wondering are you still chasing the buffalo bet?

[million2one]

Your picks have been strong. I especially like the phoenix -1.5 pick yesterday. Great job. Just wondering are you still chasing the buffalo bet?

No, I don't chase with the same team.
I lost Buffalo as the A bet then I took Colorado as my B bet which won.

[million2one]

Another play for tonight in which I will only be taking the puck line.

Puck line:
10- 4; +$109.00

Chicago Blackhawks (-1.5) (+130) risking $10


Money line:
10- 3 overall

10- 0 as chase; +$50