Tommy Gold NHL 2009/2010 - Picks Tracking

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  • TommyGold
    SBR MVP
    • 09-07-09
    • 1494

    #106
    Colorado Avalanche @ Tampa Bay Lightning

    For this match up, we can easily say that a team with a letdown spot after a great start of the season, will face another team that makes their home games, their winning games, creating difficulties for those who want to leave their arena with the points.

    Colorado is struggling and facing a letdown spot. In their last 10 games, they are 2-8 and none of their wins was easy to achieve. It's a big contrast with their record at the beginning of the season, 11-5. Perhaps the key for those games was Andersen, their goaltender. But his best performances were not so regular as before and looking for his last game, with a 0.944% on saves, it appears to be unlikely for him to maintain his form.

    In his last games, after a game where he saved 0.9% or more, he usually struggles with his worst performances. On the offense, the Avalanche are scoring 2.60 goals per game on the road, however they are having peaks in their last games which creates cheating deviations on the stats. They are having several games with only 2 goals scored, 3 at most.

    Tampa Bay is a home based team. Their season depends on it as they are much stronger at home than on road. At home they can beat anyone, on the road they struggle to win, even against the worst team. The Lightning had 2 straight losses at home and their loss against Toronto in their last but one home game, was the first home loss in regular time. After that, they gave a blow out win to Rangers and showed that they can be recommended as a team to follow when playing at home, because their home advantage his huge, and scoring only 3 goals at home can be considered a bad day.

    Due to their great offensive players with a innate talent to score, this team has great ease to score at home. At home, this punch of great and talented offensive players can transcend everyone expectations and unfortunately this only happens at home, proving the theory of "home-based team". In their last 3 home games, 2 losses to the Lightning's record can only add wins in the next games.

    Colorado shouldn't be a team to fear and they won't be hard on Tampa Bay, whose offense will create enough plays to score easily. Take Tampa Bay on regular time.


    Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning 3Way (1X2) +120 (2.20) Bookmaker, Goalwin
    Comment
    • TommyGold
      SBR MVP
      • 09-07-09
      • 1494

      #107
      2009.11.30 results:

      Washington Capitals @ Carolina Hurricanes: Washington Capitals PL -1.5 +195 (2.95) Bookmaker (2-3: LOSS)
      Florida Panthers @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (4-3: WIN)
      Buffalo Sabres @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Toronto Maple Leafs ML -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (0-3: LOSS)
      Pittsburgh Penguins @ New York Rangers: Pittsburgh Penguins 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker (2-5: WIN)
      Colorado Avalanche @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning 3Way (1X2) +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (0-3: LOSS)
      Washington Capitals @ Carolina Hurricanes: Under 6 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (2-3: WIN)
      Pittsburgh Penguins @ New York Rangers: Over 5.5 -120 (1.83) Bookmaker (2-5: WIN)

      NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
      NHL 2009-2010 season record: 54-76-1 (-8.21 units lost/130 units risked)



      NHL 2009.12.01, 4 picks:

      Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montreal Canadiens: Under 6 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

      Columbus Blue Jackets @ Chicago Blackhawks: Chicago Blackhawks PL -1.5 +125 (2.25) Bookmaker

      Ottawa Senators @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +160 (2.60) Bookmaker & Over 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker



      Columbus Blue Jackets @ Chicago Blackhawks


      For this match up, Chicago is a big favourite. This should be an easy win due to the fact that Columbus went down in their performances and Chicago pulled up their game.

      Columbus after a great start of the season with a 5-1 record, are now 1-5 in L6. The team had a win in their last game, but it seems that isn't enough to get their confidence higher. After 2 home games, they will play this solo road game against one of the hottest teams in this moment. Being a back-to-back game, Columbus isn't fresh as they should be to fight for this game. Yesterday they fought hard to get their win against St. Louis and it wasn't an easy game despite the 5-2 end result.

      Without time to rest they shouldn't be able to play their best game and they'll probably just try to leave Chicago without a blow out loss. In their last games, their weakest point has been their defense, allowing 3.80 goals per game.

      Chicago started on their last home games a win streak. 8-0 was the result, when they were about to return home. But after 4 wins on the road, they went down in the last 2. Now, they're with 2 straight losses and it hasn't happened this season (yet) a 3 straight losses for this team. They play a great hockey, showing strong ability to score and have great talented players on their roster.

      Their confidence despite the 2 losses is good because they know that they can do anything, play great and win over any team. Their defense has been quite good in their last games, allowing 1.60 goals per game. Their offense as done their part as well, scoring 3.23 goals per game at home.

      So, the B2B effect will probably be felt by the Columbus players, they're in a letdown spot, and it will not be a win against a normal team to pull them up. Today, they will play against one of the most cohesive teams, who are playing a great game. It's hard to think that Chicago will let this win pass, as they also need it.


      Pick: Chicago Blackhawks PL -1.5 +125 (2.25) Bookmaker
      Comment
      • TommyGold
        SBR MVP
        • 09-07-09
        • 1494

        #108
        Ottawa Senators @ San Jose Sharks

        The odds for this match up give us a great advantage for taking the Sharks. San Jose has all the edges on this game, in offense, defense, PK, PP and so on.

        Therefore, this is not a sure game because in NHL anything can happen, however the odds aren't so low as I expect them to be.

        Ottawa is a nice team that has a few talent players. Their main problem is that they are old and aren't reliable for many straight games. Right now, they're 5-2 with the 2 losses on road. So it seems that they're in a good moment and that's true, however that good moment won't last much longer.

        In the start of the season that was visible. After a 5-2 winning record, they went to a losing 2-4 record. And so far, the 5-2 has been their best streak. At the beginning of the season, i believed that the achievement of that record was easy and now, the 5-2 streak is hard to get and even harder to improve.

        San Jose, at least for me, is one of the biggest contenders to the Stanley Cup. Their game is solid and cohesive, they're great in both sides of the field, allowing 2.20 goals per game and scoring 3.30 goals per game. They had a loss on their last home game, but after that, they had 2 road games, and both of them were a winning game. Hence, it's not a question of when will they win their games, but when will they be with the right mode. Because stopping this team is something hard to do if San Jose wants to.

        I expect some facilities for the Sharks, they are a good and solid team that needs to win this game. The Senators can't play at the same pace of the Sharks and at some point, Ottawa will not be able to maintain the scoreboard even.


        Pick: Ottawa Senators @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +160 (2.60) Bookmaker & Over 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker
        Comment
        • TommyGold
          SBR MVP
          • 09-07-09
          • 1494

          #109
          NHL 2009.12.01 results:

          Toronto Maple Leafs @ Montreal Canadiens: Under 6 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (0-3: WIN)
          Columbus Blue Jackets @ Chicago Blackhawks: Chicago Blackhawks PL -1.5 +125 (2.25) Bookmaker (4-3 SO: LOSS)
          Ottawa Senators @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +160 (2.60) Bookmaker (5-2: WIN)
          Ottawa Senators @ San Jose Sharks: Over 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (5-2: WIN)

          NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
          NHL 2009-2010 season record: 57-77-1 (-5.75 units lost/134 units risked)
          Comment
          • TommyGold
            SBR MVP
            • 09-07-09
            • 1494

            #110
            NHL 2009.12.02, final 3 picks:

            Tampa Bay Lightning @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) Bookmaker

            Vancouver Canucks @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils 3Way (1X2) +145 (2.45) Bookmaker

            Nashville Predators @ Minnesota Wild: Nashville Predators ML +105 (2.05) The Greek





            Tampa Bay Lightning @ Boston Bruins

            For this game, we can expect the public to be with us. After all, Boston Bruins is one of the biggest public teams on NHL. But that's not the only reason to see a Boston Bruins' odds drop.

            Tampa Bay is a home-based team. It's hard for this team to win games on the road, with a 4-5 record. This record will be much more negative as we move on in the league. They usually start with poor performances on the road and I can't see them to improve it on this mini road trip. They are passing by bad moment in this season, as they are struggling in their game, making only a few great games.

            Even when their stars do their job, usually the defenders don't go along with them. Their defenders have been very poor so far, allowing more than 3 goals per game on the road.

            Boston is again on the right road. After they struggled in a period of this season, they are back as we expected. Their defense as been quite solid, the only solid part of their game this season so far. They are just allowing 1.60 goals per game at home, and they don't fear any offensive team. Their offense has improved a lot in their last games, after Savard returned to the team. He has done the difference after his return and has now made an agreement for a 7 year extend contract. His confidence should be great now and will probably show it today, that he deserves the new contract.

            So, we have one of the strongest teams returning to their best performances. They are very strong on defense, specially at home, and they'll probably knock out the strongest part of the Tampa Bay game. If the Boston defenders stop Tampa Bay offensive players, it will be a blow out loss to Tampa for sure, as they aren't able to stop anyone. Savard will probably exploit that fact and I expect the Bruins to get one of their biggest wins so far.


            Pick: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) Bookmaker
            Comment
            • al_g
              SBR Rookie
              • 11-30-09
              • 11

              #111
              I like these picks, tommy. Im with u.
              Comment
              • TommyGold
                SBR MVP
                • 09-07-09
                • 1494

                #112
                Nashville Predators @ Minnesota Wild

                This match up offer us a great odds value! As we can see, Nashville is the dog here. But it's home advantage so strong?

                Nashville is a hot team right now. After the 3-7 that opened this season, they are 12-4. Between this streak, they achieved 7 straight wins!

                So, they are in the right mood. But in their last game, they lost at home with a blowout loss, 0-5. Can they manage this? Line makers don't believe so. But I believe that they can skip that loss and keep the good work they are developing.

                Be aware that after they struggled in the start of the season, they had wins as dogs after games where they were out shooted. It happened twice and in both times, they achieved a victory as dogs in the next games. And both games were on the road!

                Minnesota has been disappointing so far. With a negative record of 10-12, this team is still chasing a 3 straight wins streak. This team seems to be lost, struggling on every game. Few of their wins were good, has they appear to achieve more wins due to opponents' demerit. It's true that this team is another home-based team in this league, but only one of those wins were against hot teams.

                For this game, Minnesota might have Havlat returning, but he still has to improve in order to be the player that we all expect. Even with his return, the team has several players out, and there is a rumour that A flu has stroked another player besides Mietinnen. Mietinnen is expected to play today, however he needs more time to return to his good form.

                For this game, I can see Wild as favourites. They are a home base team, but they are struggling so hard for they third straight win, that they will be probably too nervous. The fact that they have several players questionable for today, removes some strength and depth to their roster. Nashville on the other hand, can handle a loss in this game if that happens, it will not interrupt their good moment, and knowing that Minnesota will probably be nervous and will commit some errors, the Predators can take advantage of it and win this game.


                Pick: Nashville Predators ML +105 (2.05) The Greek
                Comment
                • TommyGold
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-07-09
                  • 1494

                  #113
                  Originally posted by al_g
                  I like these picks, tommy. Im with u.

                  Thanks!
                  Comment
                  • TommyGold
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-07-09
                    • 1494

                    #114
                    NHL 2009.12.02 results:

                    Tampa Bay Lightning @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) Bookmaker (4-1: WIN)
                    Vancouver Canucks @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils 3Way (1X2) +145 (2.45) Bookmaker (2-5: LOSS)
                    Nashville Predators @ Minnesota Wild: Nashville Predators ML +105 (2.05) The Greek (5-4 OT: LOSS)

                    NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
                    NHL 2009-2010 season record: 58-79-1 (-6.1 units lost/137 units risked)



                    NHL 2009.12.03, final 5 picks:

                    Vancouver Canucks @ Philadelphia Flyers: Over 5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

                    Montreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres: Montreal Canadiens ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker

                    New York Islanders @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +100 (2.00) Bookmaker

                    Anaheim Ducks @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin

                    St. Louis Blues @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) Bookmaker





                    Vancouver Canucks @ Philadelphia Flyers

                    This match up will be used by the Flyers to try to rehab their game. Is a fact that Philadelphia have facilities to score, and today they will face a team that plays likes them, always forward. So we can expect a great match up between these two teams.

                    Vancouver still have the reliability or consistency problem. This team can play a great game, scoring lots of goals, and lose the next game to a poor team. However at this moment, they seem to go through a good moment, scoring 3.60 goals per game. They are in back-to-back game, but have played yesterday in New Jersey and won that contest by easy numbers, 5-2.

                    Hence, their confidence should be also great for this game too and is not the fact of this being a B2B game that will frighten them. This is their 6th B2B game in this season.

                    Philadelphia is passing their worst period on this season. The 1-5 record in L6 makes it clear. However this team has a huge sacrifice spirit and a lot of heart and even with some injuries, they have abilities to win any game. This team is one of the best scoring teams and has the particularity of having no one on the top scorers list, as in this team every men in any position takes the shot when it's possible. This team at home is also scoring a 3.60 goals per game average.

                    So, in this contest we can expect lots of goals. The Flyers will try to win this game with everything they've got, but the Canucks are in a great "momentum" and will try to equalize the scoreboard as many times as they have to. So, this appears to be an easy over, take this one.


                    Pick: Over 5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker
                    Comment
                    • TommyGold
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-07-09
                      • 1494

                      #115
                      Montreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres

                      This can be a long shot, but it's impossible to let it pass, the odds are higher than it should be. Montreal, for the second time this season, pays ahead of 3.00. Last week in Pittsburgh, they were with 3.30 odds.

                      Today, they are around 3.00 also. This team, with a 2.80 went to Washington and won that game. So, it's not so impossible to them.

                      And after all, U.S. sports unpredictability are well known because everything can happen. But both these teams have one thing in common. Buffalo went to Toronto last game to win 3-0. Montreal hosted Toronto in their last game, losing 3-0. But this is nothing on NHL.

                      Buffalo is doing a remarkable season so far. But they are also starting to show signs that they are not a reliable team. The defeat they had at home against Florida was a sign. They started there a 4 losses streak. But the truth is, so far this team as been impressive, playing a good game in most of the matches, achieving a 15-7 record. They will start here a series of home games and they have all confidence to start it well.

                      Montreal is a struggling team. So far, their efforts to turn things around failed, but they can't quit. They have so many supporters, which makes them one of the most important teams on NHL. And if isn't enough to keep trying a positive record, they also have a talented roster. The results have been intermittent so far, and they are now with 3 straight losses, making this streak their second worst of the season. And sometimes they show that they keep trying to get better results, like when they went to Boston and won that game, or when they went to Washington and won it too, for example.

                      Hence, for this game we have to take this long shoot. It's true that the Sabres are much better so far, and they also play at home. But we can't underestimate the Canadiens roster. They've the talent to do here a nice surprise and with Price on the nets, it's a conscious and calculated risk. Carey Price, the Canadiens goaltender, is the man that can defend impossible shoots if he wants to. Sometimes he makes a incredible performance, and let's hope that today is one of those days, so he can make a difference on our side.


                      Pick: Montreal Canadiens ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker
                      Comment
                      • TommyGold
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-07-09
                        • 1494

                        #116
                        NHL 2009.12.03 results:

                        Vancouver Canucks @ Philadelphia Flyers: Over 5.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (0-3: LOSS)
                        Montreal Canadiens @ Buffalo Sabres: Montreal Canadiens ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (6-2: LOSS)
                        New York Islanders @ Atlanta Thrashers: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (1-4: LOSS)
                        Anaheim Ducks @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin (3-1: WIN)
                        St. Louis Blues @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) Bookmaker (2-3 OT: LOSS)

                        NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
                        NHL 2009-2010 season record: 59-83-1 (-9 units lost/140 units risked)



                        NHL 2009.12.04, final 3 picks:

                        Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek

                        Boston Bruins @ Montreal Canadiens: Over 5.5 +135 (2.35) The Greek

                        Anaheim Ducks @ Minnesota Wild: Minnesota Wild 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin





                        Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils

                        The fact that New Jersey is 9-1 against the Lightning straight up proves how easy is for the Devils to play against this Tampa Bay team.

                        Incredible is how much money they gave to those that risked on them against the puck line, as they are also 9-1 against the spread! For a team that wins so many games against another team just by one goal, it's something odd.

                        But right now, the Devils are 3-1 at home in the last 4 games, with those 3 wins covering the spread. I believe that it's time to turn off the profit that bettors are getting when they risk in Devils' handicaps.

                        As I'm always saying, Tampa Bay is a home team. They are 2-4 in L6 road games, with one win in OT. In those losses, two defeats were by 2 and 3 goals. Their negative record on the road is something that will likely get worst as we move on to the end of the season. 2.21 goals per game is what they score on the road so far, as this team can't find the button to make their best players getting good performances in their away games. And the truth is, they depend a lot on Lecavalier and St Louis, who are fundamental pieces of this team, and they only have 5 goals each this season. Stamkos and Malone are trying to carry the team, but are struggling at the moment.

                        New Jersey after recovering Elias is playing a great game. Their record is great, with 17-7 and standing up for a contenders call. They lost their last game by 2-5 at home against the Canucks, but the result doesn't reflect what happened on that game. This team is successfully avoiding two straight losses at home since their first two games, and will probably avoid today another straight loss. In their last 5 games, they are scoring 3 goals per game, and with Brodeur on the nets, who is allowing a 2.18 goals per game average, the team has a solid game, with good defense and offense.

                        Hence for this game, I can't see Tampa Bay surviving it. For Lightning this game will be like hell and they will probably spare themselves for tomorrow game at home. The Devils will make an effort to avoid another straight loss at home, and even without that effort they should easily win this match up.


                        Pick: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek
                        Comment
                        • TommyGold
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-07-09
                          • 1494

                          #117
                          Anaheim Ducks @ Minnesota Wild

                          Today, we will have a match up between a good home team and a bad road team.

                          Anaheim is returning to the road games after 7 games at home. This team has failed every opportunities to get a good streak. The Ducks are far to be reliable to risk and have started this road trip with a loss, allowing Dallas to have a comeback.

                          On the road Anaheim is conceding 3.22 goals per game and scoring only 2.44 goals per game. This shows how poor is their game away from home and with almost 2 months since the last road win, there is no way to improve when they play a B2B game on road.

                          Minnesota had a slow start of the season with a 3-9 record. Even with that record, they are almost positive and that's because they are not struggling so much at home as it seems. They are a home team and basically depend on those games to achieve some wins. It seems hard to believe, but they are 8-3 at home and are passing one of the best moments of the season, with 3 straight wins. One of their secrets is that Backstrom, their goaltender, is making great performances at home and we can't expect from him no less than that today, as he's one of the best goaltenders on the league.

                          It's hard to see Minnesota end this game without a win. Anaheim is going through a rough patch and probably the team doesn't even remember their last road win. Their confidence for this match up should be down and the fact of being a B2B game, doesn't give them time to digest the last loss, after they lead the game for about 40 minutes. Minnesota can't leave this moment escape, and they should give their best on this game today, as they are stronger at home.


                          Pick: Minnesota Wild 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin
                          Comment
                          • TommyGold
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-07-09
                            • 1494

                            #118
                            NHL 2009.12.04 results:

                            Tampa Bay Lightning @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek (3-2: LOSS)
                            Boston Bruins @ Montreal Canadiens: Over 5.5 +135 (2.35) The Greek (5-1: WIN)
                            Anaheim Ducks @ Minnesota Wild: Minnesota Wild 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin (5-4 SO: LOSS)

                            NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
                            NHL 2009-2010 season record: 60-85-1 (-9.65 units lost/145 units risked)



                            NHL 2009.12.05, final 6 picks:

                            Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) -115 (1.87) Bookmaker, -111 (1.90) Goalwin

                            Detroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker

                            Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +195 (2.95) Bookmaker

                            Washington Capitals @ Philadelphia Flyers: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +190 (2.90) Bookmaker, +235 (3.35) Centrebet

                            New York Islanders @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker

                            Chicago Blackhawks @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Under 6 -130 (1.77) 5Dimes, Under 5.5 +100 (2.00) Bookmaker, Goalwin

                            Comment
                            • TommyGold
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-07-09
                              • 1494

                              #119
                              NHL 2009.12.05 results:

                              Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars: Dallas Stars 3Way (1X2) -115 (1.87) Bookmaker, -111 (1.90) Goalwin (2-3 SO: LOSS)
                              Detroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker (4-3 SO: LOSS)
                              Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +195 (2.95) Bookmaker (7-2: WIN)
                              Washington Capitals @ Philadelphia Flyers: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +190 (2.90) Bookmaker (2-8: WIN)
                              New York Islanders @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker (4-0: WIN)
                              Chicago Blackhawks @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Under 6 -130 (1.77) 5Dimes (1-2: WIN)

                              NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                              NHL 2009-2010 season record: 64-87-1 (-3.68 units lost/151 units risked)



                              NHL 2009.12.06, 1 pick:

                              Ottawa Senators @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker, +115 (2.15) Expekt, Ladbrokes

                              Comment
                              • TommyGold
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-07-09
                                • 1494

                                #120
                                NHL 2009.12.06 results:

                                Ottawa Senators @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker (3-4 SO: LOSS)

                                NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                NHL 2009-2010 season record: 64-88-1 (-4.68 units lost/152 units risked)


                                L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 23-19-1 and +10.38 units won/42 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.

                                NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.11.29 finished with a 1-1 and -0.13 units lost/2 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.11.28 finished with a 5-1-1 and +4.48 units won/6 units risked.
                                NHL 2009.11.27 finished with a 3-2 and +1.42 units won/5 units risked.



                                NHL 2009.12.07, only 2 picks:

                                Atlanta Thrashers @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker, +145 (2.45) Goalwin

                                Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker, Goalwin





                                Atlanta Thrashers @ Toronto Maple Leafs

                                This match up has these odds due to some opinions that seem wrong to me. The edge is on Atlanta side and these odds makes them the underdog.

                                Atlanta is a middle table team, however they're in the race for the playoffs for sure. Is their goal and I believe that they'll accomplish it. This team counts with Kovalchuk, who's one of the best players on NHL and he alone can make the difference. Even so, this team can handle things with Kovaluchuk off the ice. But the interesting point is that the Trashers are a road team. At home, their record is 6-6, they're not quite strong at home and it seems that they will not get the most of their points at home.

                                It is on the road where they can take advantage of their offense power. Their record so far is 9-2 on the road and I believe that record will increase today. With 3.33 goals scored on the road, this team shows their full potential, making them the worst team you can host in the NHL.

                                Toronto was a few days ago the worst team on NHL. But as i said before, this team has a well handle structure in every level, which gives them the stability required to get some results. And it did work. This team is 5-3 L8 and I'll take my chances to say that putting Gustavsson on the starting role made the difference. This is the only goaltender on this team with a positive record of 6-5, winning 6 of the 8 wins of the team.

                                Underestimating his importance can be hard, and with him out of the game for a week or more, can be tough for the team. In their first game, the team handle it well, with a win against Columbus. However that win hardly established if Toronto had any merit at all. In their last road game, they lost 7-2 with Boston, a team that has struggled a lot on offense lately.

                                So, I can't expect this team to return home and win this game, as they aren't quite confident and I believe that they also know that Gustavsson is an important key player for their wins. Atlanta is strong on the road and against a team with a bad record, that is trying to get out of the hole they have dug, I can't see how the visitors will give them a hand, but only to kick them out to the bottom again.



                                Pick: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker, +145 (2.45) Goalwin
                                Comment
                                • TommyGold
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-07-09
                                  • 1494

                                  #121
                                  Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens

                                  We have to try to take advantage of mental issues. This is gonna be a match up which will meltdown the ice as we can't expect no less than a win for both teams. I will not use any trends or stats to sustain this play. Only recent issues and last games that these teams played.

                                  Starting with Montreal, this team are labeling their playoffs as questionable. The team was late to start their engines, and when they start up, the engine just can't work for long time and shutdown suddenly.

                                  However, they are a important team in NHL, traditionally contenders at least to the playoffs and have this year an interesting roster even with the poor production.

                                  So, this team isn't achieving better results only because of them, as they can and should be more comfortable about their results. It's important to know that this team can improve and a good result can make the difference to turn things around. And that result could be the last one, where they won against Boston (5-1), a nice result at home before hosting Flyers.

                                  Philadelphia is going through a tough moment. They fired their coach and gave to the new one the worst welcome possible, a 8-2 loss at home! A 1-6 run gave John Stevens the pink slip, but this team before that run was playing a great game, which for me, makes this decision a little bit wrong or at least too soon. This team had extreme particularities that makes it hard to the new coach to adjust this team to a new kind of game. And that was easily seen when they lost at home against the Capitals (2-8).

                                  They'll struggle only one game? Probably not, they'll need more time to understand the new vision of the game that they have to approach. And that will make this team lose time for the playoffs race, but that's not my decision. Despite this, another piece of bad news was disclosed to the public. Pronger, their best transfer for this year, and probably their best player so far this season, is having problems with Mike Richards, the supporters' hero and team's goalscorer. This can damage a lot this team, even when Richards came to public declaring that it was false news.

                                  So, we have lots of problems on this team for now. Despite how much I enjoy the Flyers game, this play is hard to skip. Montreal can take all the advantage here.


                                  Pick: Montreal Canadiens ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker, Goalwin
                                  Comment
                                  • TommyGold
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-07-09
                                    • 1494

                                    #122
                                    NHL 2009.12.08, only 2 picks:

                                    Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Under 5.5 -125 (1.80) Bookmaker, Goalwin

                                    Dallas Stars @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker




                                    NHL 2009.12.07 results:

                                    Atlanta Thrashers @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Atlanta Thrashers 3Way (1X2) +130 (2.30) Bookmaker (5-2: LOSS)
                                    Philadelphia Flyers @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +100 (2.00) Bookmaker (3-1: WIN)

                                    NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009-2010 season record: 65-89-1 (-4.68 units lost/154 units risked)


                                    L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 21-18-1 and +8.96 units won/37 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.

                                    NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.11.29 finished with a 1-1 and -0.13 units lost/2 units risked.
                                    NHL 2009.11.28 finished with a 5-1-1 and +4.48 units won/6 units risked.
                                    Comment
                                    • TommyGold
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-07-09
                                      • 1494

                                      #123
                                      NHL 2009.12.08 results:

                                      Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Under 5.5 -125 (1.80) Bookmaker (1-4: WIN)
                                      Dallas Stars @ Anaheim Ducks: Anaheim Ducks 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker (3-4 OT: LOSS)

                                      NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009-2010 season record: 66-90-1 (-4.88 units lost/156 units risked)

                                      L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 17-18 and +4.28 units won/35 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.

                                      NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
                                      NHL 2009.11.29 finished with a 1-1 and -0.13 units lost/2 units risked.


                                      No picks for today, 2009.12.09. I've caught a cold...
                                      Comment
                                      • TommyGold
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-07-09
                                        • 1494

                                        #124
                                        NHL 2009.12.10, 2 picks:

                                        Ottawa Senators @ Philadelphia Flyers
                                        Both teams have the some number of victories. A positive record so far for these teams, however, most of the wins were at home for both. Even with a little advantage because of home spot, this teams are passing bad moments on this season right now. Ottawa are 1-5 in L6. Their worst losing streak. Perhaps an eventual consequence due to an old roster? The truth is that this team have lost their last home at home against a rival. They suffered one stupid goal that set their lost, and it was a result of a poor confidence, and that mistake will only make them dig more. At road they are a poor team, allowing almost the double than they can score. Philadelphia were passing through a really bad moment, and as a result, the coach was fired. The new coach have a different kind of game, and the team struggled a lot in the first two game, to understand what the new coach wanted. However, in their last game (at home), the team finally managed the game as the coach planned. The players are trying to pass the bad phase giving all they can, and trying to prove that the news about problems between players were false. I can't expect no less than a win to Flyers today, They have to show that they can keep the pace they showed last game. First to make the fun return to the arena, and second to prove to the new coach that he can count on them. Hosting a team with a poor road record and passing their worst moment of the season, can be the perfect them to make the joy return to Philadelphia. Despite the bad recent results, Ottawa is a team with a positive record, and with more points than Flyers.


                                        Pick: Philadelphia Flyers 3Way (1X2) -105 (1.95) Bookmaker, Goalwin



                                        Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins
                                        This will be a game between the two most improving teams this month. Toronto finally started to have regularly wins, and Bruins finally achieve more than one win in a row. Toronto had a 3-17 record since the start of the season, but since that record they are 7-3. They really turned things up, and that's something I expected, as this team is one of the most solid teams beyond the players. However, I consider also that Gustavsson were the key to turn things, as this rookie were the starter in the nets in the 3 first wins during that rough start of the season. Since that, we were the goaltender as well when the team turned things up. It's true that since his injure, the team still winning games, however they aren't so solid, and their wins are not as easy and unquestionable as before. On the road, they are 4-1 in L5, amazing results, but most of the teams they faced were soft on defense. They are not good on defense, but they are make up their efforts on offense, usually scoring more than the opponents. Boston his finally the team that we all expected! The best team on regular season in last year are finally showing their game, allowing few goals per game, and taking all the opportunities they got to score. The return of Savard has ended a losing streak for the team, who had struggled a lot in the beginning of the season. The injuries of some key players made Bruins a weird team, as they are a good defense in that spawn, but their offense didn't produce anything, having few games without any goal scored. But that problems are now treaty, and the team is showing a great game and trying to cover the lost time they had lost to playoffs. Few days ago, Boston hosted Toronto. Easy win by 7-2. It was an opportunity to Boston study the weak points of Toronto. Since that game, Boston didn't play any game, but Toronto hosted Trashers and Islanders yesterday. So, it will be a B2B game for Toronto, and will return to Boston where they had a hell day 5 days ago. It's hard to see other outcome than the some kind of result. Boston defending well, and taking advantage on Toronto weak defense.


                                        Pick: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek
                                        Comment
                                        • TommyGold
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-07-09
                                          • 1494

                                          #125
                                          NHL 2009.12.11, 3 picks:

                                          Florida Panthers @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker

                                          Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche: Under 5.5 -130 (1.77) Bookmaker

                                          Dallas Stars @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) The Greek



                                          This will be a game where the public will push the odds down for our side. So, I advise you all to bet as soon as you can if you wish to bet on this one.

                                          Dallas are in the run for playoffs, but they can't aspire to much more. This team have some talents that once in a while make the difference, but the fact that they only make the difference once in a while show that this team is not reliable. They play their games hoping that someone got some inspiration to make that difference. Their defense is soft particularly on the road. Their game is based in scoring more than the opponents, and sometimes their opponents have a strong offensive line to smash this kind of game.

                                          San Jose are one of the favourites to Stanley Cup. However, they are having a bad run right now, with 3 straight losses at home and 2 of them in OT. Strange run for this team, that is now 8-2 at home. In L5 at home, this team is in 1-4, and this is a warning sign. If they want to be contenders to Stanley Cup, they can't have these kind of streak at home. They have a great roster, there is no key players with injuries, and the ability to turn things as soon as possible.

                                          Despite the bad moment, I belive that Sharks will take advantage on this game as soon as possible. They will keep a high pace on the game to control better the game and hoping that a big win could give them more confidence. The fact that Stars are a non reliable team that struggles against offensive power teams make this a good spot for us.
                                          Comment
                                          • TommyGold
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-07-09
                                            • 1494

                                            #126
                                            NHL 2009.12.10 results:

                                            Ottawa Senators @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers 3Way (1X2) -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (0-2: LOSS)
                                            Toronto Maple Leafs @ Boston Bruins: Boston Bruins PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek (5-2: WIN)

                                            NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009-2010 season record: 67-91-1 (-4.08 units lost/158 units risked)

                                            L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 17-18 and +5.21 units won/35 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.

                                            NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.12.01 finished with a 3-1 and +2.46 units won/4 units risked.
                                            NHL 2009.11.30 finished with a 4-3 and +1.08 units won/7 units risked.
                                            Comment
                                            • TommyGold
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-07-09
                                              • 1494

                                              #127
                                              NHL 2009.12.12, final 4 picks:

                                              Carolina Hurricanes @ Ottawa Senators: Carolina Hurricanes ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker

                                              Boston Bruins @ New York Islanders: Boston Bruins 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker

                                              Philadelphia Flyers @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker

                                              Dallas Stars @ Los Angeles Kings: Los Angeles Kings 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, Goalwin



                                              NHL 2009.12.11 results:

                                              Florida Panthers @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) Bookmaker (2-4: LOSS)
                                              Tampa Bay Lightning @ Colorado Avalanche: Under 5.5 -130 (1.77) Bookmaker (2-1 SO: WIN)
                                              Dallas Stars @ San Jose Sharks: San Jose Sharks PL -1.5 +165 (2.65) The Greek (2-3: SO LOSS)

                                              NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009-2010 season record: 68-93-1 (-5.31 units lost/161 units risked)

                                              L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 11-16 and +0.44 units won/27 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.

                                              NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
                                              NHL 2009.12.02 finished with a 1-2 and -0.35 units lost/3 units risked.
                                              Comment
                                              • TommyGold
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-07-09
                                                • 1494

                                                #128
                                                NHL 2009.12.13, only 1 pick:

                                                Tampa Bay Lightning @ Chicago Blackhawks: Over 5.5 +120 (2.20) The Greek



                                                NHL 2009.12.12 results:

                                                Carolina Hurricanes @ Ottawa Senators: Carolina Hurricanes ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (4-2: LOSS)
                                                Boston Bruins @ New York Islanders: Boston Bruins 3Way (1X2) +125 (2.25) Bookmaker (3-2 OT: LOSS)
                                                Philadelphia Flyers @ New Jersey Devils: New Jersey Devils PL -1.5 +245 (3.45) Bookmaker (4-1: WIN)
                                                Dallas Stars @ Los Angeles Kings: Los Angeles Kings 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker (3-2 SO: LOSS)

                                                NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009-2010 season record: 69-96-1 (-5.86 units lost/165 units risked)

                                                L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 11-17 and +0.24 units won/28 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.

                                                NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                NHL 2009.12.03 finished with a 1-4 and -2.9 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                Comment
                                                • TommyGold
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-07-09
                                                  • 1494

                                                  #129
                                                  NHL 2009.12.14, final 4 picks:

                                                  Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders: New York Islanders 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, +115 (2.15) Bookmaker

                                                  Atlanta Thrashers @ New York Rangers: Atlanta Thrashers ML +120 (2.20) Bookmaker

                                                  Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Under 6 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

                                                  Buffalo Sabres @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +110 (2.10) Bookmaker


                                                  NHL 2009.12.13 results:

                                                  Tampa Bay Lightning @ Chicago Blackhawks: Over 5.5 +120 (2.20) The Greek (4-0: LOSS)

                                                  NHL 2009.12.13 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
                                                  NHL 2009-2010 season record: 69-97-1 (-6.86 units lost/166 units risked)


                                                  L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 10-14 and +2.14 units won/24 units risked.
                                                  NHL 2009.12.13 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
                                                  NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
                                                  NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                  NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.

                                                  NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                                  NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                                  NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                                  NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                                                  NHL 2009.12.04 finished with a 1-2 and -0.65 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TommyGold
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-07-09
                                                    • 1494

                                                    #130
                                                    Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders

                                                    For this match up, both teams have several injuries. However, none is a key player, so we can expect for this game the best that rosters got to offer.

                                                    Florida is one team that got their momentum 2 weeks ago. This team is one of the poorest on NHL, concerning to talent. They can play hard, with all they got, as they did in several games in November. However, that wasn´t the reality of the team, and it will be hard for them to get a spot on playoffs despite the 12-14 record they got right now.

                                                    Islanders were the worst team last season, and that give them the right to pick the firs player on the draft. So, this year, we have the young players from last season and the first draft pick, Tavares. Despite they struggled in the start of the season, this team have lot´s of talent, and when the wins finally appear, this team achieved regular wins.

                                                    This match up will be decided in details, and those details will be the home advantage and the young players talent. If Islanders finally learn to deal with the lack of experience, Panthers can overwhelm themselves to deal with lack of talent. So both teams will fight for this game, but I believe on the kids, as they have already show that they can be mature.


                                                    Pick: New York Islanders 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker, +115 (2.15) Goalwin



                                                    Atlanta Thrashers @ New York Rangers

                                                    I wonder if we should count with home advantage for this game. Atlanta has better record on the road than Rangers at home. With 9-5 on road, Atlanta is a road team that have no fear to face the games even against the public. 7-8 is a negative record, and Rangers are showing some problems and are with 3 losses in a row at home.

                                                    Atlanta is a solid team. They just play manage the game on their own, being solid on defense and offense. Even when the games are very balanced, Kovalchuk appears and solve the problem. A solid and cohesive team, allowing only 2.80 goals on the road and scoring 3.00 goals on the road as well, is a positive way to face the games.

                                                    Rangers are passing a letdown spot. Their game is just poor, that can´t play as a team, and desperate for Gaborik inspiration. However he can't solve anything alone. One of those signs is that the team is scoring only 1.60 goals per game in last five.

                                                    Rangers have to wait for a team that struggles on offense to turn things. However they will face one solid team with Kovalchuk, one of the best players of NHL. We can score one goal at any moment, and it´s hard to imagine Trashers leave New York without goals scored. Having problems in their defense as well as their offensive, opens a window to Atlanta win this game. With these high odds, we have the value that we need.


                                                    Pick: Atlanta Thrashers ML +120 (2.20) Bookmaker
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TommyGold
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-07-09
                                                      • 1494

                                                      #131
                                                      NHL 2009.12.15, final 4 picks:

                                                      Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Philadelphia Flyers ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker

                                                      Tampa Bay Lightning @ Nashville Predators: Nashville Predators PL -1.5 +190 (2.90) Bookmaker

                                                      Calgary Flames @ St. Louis Blues: St. Louis Blues ML -115 (1.87) Bookmaker, -105 (1.95) Goalwin

                                                      Washington Capitals @ Colorado Avalanche: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +115 (2.15) Bookmaker, +125 (2.25) Goalwin



                                                      NHL 2009.12.14 results:

                                                      Florida Panthers @ New York Islanders: New York Islanders 3Way (1X2) +110 (2.10) Bookmaker (1-7: LOSS)
                                                      Atlanta Thrashers @ New York Rangers: Atlanta Thrashers ML +120 (2.20) Bookmaker (2-3 SO: WIN)
                                                      Ottawa Senators @ Toronto Maple Leafs: Under 6 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (3-2: WIN)
                                                      Buffalo Sabres @ Montreal Canadiens: Montreal Canadiens ML +110 (2.10) Bookmaker (3-4: LOSS)

                                                      NHL 2009.12.14 finished with a 2-2 and +0.11 units won/4 unit risked.
                                                      NHL 2009-2010 season record: 71-99-1 (-6.75 units lost/170 units risked)


                                                      L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 11-14 and +2.79 units won/25 units risked.
                                                      NHL 2009.12.14 finished with a 2-2 and +0.11 units won/4 unit risked.
                                                      NHL 2009.12.13 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
                                                      NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
                                                      NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                      NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.

                                                      NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                                      NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                                      NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                                      NHL 2009.12.05 finished with a 4-2 and +5.97 units won/6 units risked.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TommyGold
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-07-09
                                                        • 1494

                                                        #132
                                                        Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Philadelphia Flyers ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker

                                                        Well folks, I can't miss this one. The odds are showing a great value for us, and it's simple to explain why to take this chance.

                                                        Flyers were among the teams with the best game. However, somehow, they lost it. They replaced the coach, but the results still hard to get. But this team are going through a rehab, and we should not forget they were a top3 offensive team. This is something of great value because their offensive were provided by every player, and not only centers.

                                                        Pittsburgh are the actual champions. Impossible to forget it. However, they are not acting like that so far. They are showing a soft game in many occasions, they are showing some dependence in Malkin and Crosby, but they are not passing through their best moment. In last 3 home games, they lost 2, and won 1 in OT. I have to highlight one of those losses. It were against Carolina, the worst team so far (the biggest odds have seen so far in ML this season).

                                                        So, why not to try another funny play? Flyers are in rehab, and they play a offensive hockey that reaches their best moments in big games, and that's the perfect game to Flyers turn things around. Penguins are going through a bad moment, and I can see here Flyers fighting with all they got for this game, but not Penguins.




                                                        Washington Capitals @ Colorado Avalanche: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +115 (2.15) Bookmaker, +125 (2.25) Goalwin

                                                        A team with Ovechkin have to be a contender to Stanley Cup. Washington is not only Ovechkin, and after failed last year, we can expect great things for this team. So far, they have struggled in few games where they had several key players with injuries. Since that, they are showing some improvements, and just fail some games once in a while. However, they are now 0-2 in last 2 road games. To keep that improvement, they got to deny a defeat today and keep this current streak as short as 2 games. They are a good road team, with 10-5 record, and are scoring 3.8 goals in last 5 games, make them a team to fear.

                                                        Colorado is no longer that Cinderella team from the start of the season. Despite the positive (and good) record of 19-10, this team are achieving more losses than wins in last games. With 9-3 record at home, it's important to quote that in last 5 home games, they hosted 3 of the worst road team, and lost 3 games in that period. They are trying to make some efforts on defense, and in last 5, they only allowed 1.20 goals per game. However, their offense are not producing enough to help their defense.

                                                        In this match up, Colorado defense will probably allow more than the goals they tried to avoid in last games. They will face a great offensive team, and the quality of the roster have different values. Colorado is passing a letdown moment, struggling on offense, and it will be hard to hold Washington.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TommyGold
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-07-09
                                                          • 1494

                                                          #133
                                                          NHL 2009.12.16, final 3 picks:

                                                          Dallas Stars @ Carolina Hurricanes: Over 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker, Goalwin

                                                          New York Islanders @ New York Rangers: New York Rangers 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker, +105 (2.05) Goalwin

                                                          Atlanta Thrashers @ Florida Panthers: Atlanta Thrashers ML -105 (1.95) The Greek



                                                          Atlanta Thrashers @ Florida Panthers

                                                          Again with Atlanta on the road as dogs. It's simple, the value it's all there. Just because in last 4 road games, Atlanta lost 3 in a row, make them a bad road team? I can't believe it! Despite that 3 losses, they are 10-5, and leave MSG in their last game with a win! And that's why I can't understand this odds. But this team keep us earning money when playing on the road.

                                                          Atlanta is a great road team. They are solid and cohesive, never give up, and have players to decide games. That's enough for us. This will be their last road game for the next games, and will probably like to end it well.

                                                          Florida is a non reliable team, due to some lack of talent, as they are one of the poorest teams on NHL. In last game, they went to New York to give a blow out loss to Islanders. That result was surprising and there were more demerit for Islanders than merit for Panthers. The truth is that this team has passed a good moment, but lost that moment. Since then, they are achieving regular losses and once a while a win, when they catch some team in that mood. Their home record is negative, and had already lost to Thrashers at home 10 days ago.

                                                          Pick: Atlanta Thrashers ML -105 (1.95) The Greek



                                                          NHL 2009.12.15 results:

                                                          Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins: Philadelphia Flyers ML +180 (2.80) Bookmaker (6-1: LOSS)
                                                          Tampa Bay Lightning @ Nashville Predators: Nashville Predators PL -1.5 +190 (2.90) Bookmaker (7-4: WIN)
                                                          Calgary Flames @ St. Louis Blues: St. Louis Blues ML -115 (1.87) Bookmaker (4-3: WIN)
                                                          Washington Capitals @ Colorado Avalanche: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +115 (2.15) Bookmaker (6-1: WIN)

                                                          NHL 2009.12.15 finished with a 3-1 and +2.92 units won/4 units risked.
                                                          NHL 2009-2010 season record: 74-100-1 (-3.83 units lost/174 units risked)


                                                          L10 Days NHL 2009-2010 Tracker: 10-13 and -0.15 units lost/23 units risked.
                                                          NHL 2009.12.15 finished with a 3-1 and +2.92 units won/4 units risked.
                                                          NHL 2009.12.14 finished with a 2-2 and +0.11 units won/4 unit risked.
                                                          NHL 2009.12.13 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
                                                          NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
                                                          NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.

                                                          NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
                                                          NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                                          NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                                          NHL 2009.12.06 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 units risked.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TommyGold
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-07-09
                                                            • 1494

                                                            #134
                                                            New York Islanders @ New York Rangers

                                                            This game will be played on the Madison Square Garden, a derby between two long time rivals. Both teams are in a bad moment, with the Islanders losing 6 of their last 10 games, while the Rangers have lost 7 in their last 10.

                                                            The spot for this game is on experience. This game will be played with a low pace, with both teams trying to avoid committing mistakes.

                                                            Islanders have great talent, but are a young team and immature. They started the season with several straight losses, but turn things up. However, they are now going down again, and are making some forbidden mistakes due to their youth.

                                                            Rangers... well, they had a great start of the season, they were on fire, but suddenly, they just stop playing as a team. They are showing a bad hockey game, but they are trying turn things around, and are just needing a little bit of luck to get a win. Their roster have great values, but we have to highlight Gaborik, who I suspect that will solve the game today (he have the talent for it).

                                                            Pick: New York Rangers 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker, +105 (2.05) Goalwin
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TommyGold
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-07-09
                                                              • 1494

                                                              #135
                                                              NHL 2009.12.17, first pick:

                                                              Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers ML -105 (1.95) The Greek

                                                              Recently I covered the previous match between these teams. That match ended 6-1 for the Penguins but this time the Flyers play on their home ice. The Penguins deserved their win, taking more shots and shooting with greater efficiency. In a hard game featuring plenty of fights the Flyers failed to take their chances.

                                                              Today, I expect Philadelphia to approach the game differently. Their new coach is focused more on scoring than fighting so they should spend far more time on the ice rather than looking on from the penalty box. Although the Penguins have great offensive players capable of scoring anytime, they haven't played as well lately. I expect the Flyers to win at home.



                                                              NHL 2009.12.16 results:

                                                              Dallas Stars @ Carolina Hurricanes: Over 5.5 -105 (1.95) Bookmaker (5-3: WIN)
                                                              New York Islanders @ New York Rangers: New York Rangers 3Way (1X2) +105 (2.05) Bookmaker (1-2: LOSS)
                                                              Atlanta Thrashers @ Florida Panthers: Atlanta Thrashers ML -105 (1.95) The Greek (4-3: LOSS)

                                                              NHL 2009.12.16 finished 1-2 and -1.05 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                              NHL 2009-2010 season record: 75-102-1 (-4.88 units lost/177 units risked)


                                                              NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 11-14 and -0.2 units lost/25 units risked.
                                                              NHL 2009.12.16 finished with a 1-2 and -1.05 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                              NHL 2009.12.15 finished with a 3-1 and +2.92 units won/4 units risked.
                                                              NHL 2009.12.14 finished with a 2-2 and +0.11 units won/4 unit risked.
                                                              NHL 2009.12.13 finished with a 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
                                                              NHL 2009.12.12 finished with a 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.

                                                              NHL 2009.12.11 finished with a 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                              NHL 2009.12.10 finished with a 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
                                                              NHL 2009.12.08 finished with a 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                                              NHL 2009.12.07 finished with a 1-1 and ZERO units won/2 units risked.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TommyGold
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-07-09
                                                                • 1494

                                                                #136
                                                                NHL 2009.12.17, final 2 picks:

                                                                New York Rangers @ New York Islanders: Under 5.5 -125 (1.80) Bookmaker

                                                                Tampa Bay Lightning @ Detroit Red Wings: Detroit Red Wings PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) The Greek
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TommyGold
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-07-09
                                                                  • 1494

                                                                  #137
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.18, final 2 picks:


                                                                  Washington Capitals @ Vancouver Canucks

                                                                  Vancouver will host today Washington. It's like one hot team facing one burning team.

                                                                  Since Ovechkin returned, Washington is giving blow out wins every other day. It's simple for them, as they play a great offensive game with several awesome players. They are 8-2 in last 10, and are a team with an average of 3.60 goals scored. It's also their 8 road game in 10 games, and will be the last but one before going home. They will have another game tomorrow, but they know that the hard game is today, and they will not be spared.

                                                                  Vancouver is another offensive team, scoring 3.10 goals per game. They still chasing a good streak as they are in a good form but failing in some few games. The 7-4 record last 11 are not bad, but it's incredible to see that some of the losses were against weaker teams.

                                                                  For this game, Washington is on advantage. Their roster is much more, and are the masters in the kind of game that Vancouver play. Vancouver is a team that take the chance to control the game when some team give it. However, Washington is a team that like to enter the game controlling, scoring soon, and i expect that will be hard to Vancouver to recover and keep the scoreboard equalize.


                                                                  Pick: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker, +145 (2.45) Goalwin



                                                                  Boston Bruins @ Chicago Blackhawks

                                                                  This will be a nice matchup. I will take Boston that are with great value, and it's not so hard as it seems, even going against the strong Blackhawks.

                                                                  Boston is a team with a good roster, very balanced, that were disappointing in the first 2 months. One of the reasons why people believed in them is because they have maintained almost all their players from the last season. And if you remember, Bruins were the best regular season team by far last year.

                                                                  About Blackhawks is not much to say. They are playing very well, and they earn their record of 21-8. They are playing most of the games at home, were they are 14-3, and this shows how big they are at home. They are allowing only 0.80 goals per game in last five games, and that shows a great improvement on their defense, but their last 4 games were to easy. Their strong is on their offensive line, where they have great players.

                                                                  So, it seems a easy play to Blackhawks. After all, they are playing a great hockey, and have much more points in the league than Bruins. They are also one of the best home teams, with a impressive record of 14-3. However, it's not so simple. Bruins are growing and improving a lot since last month. They are trying to reach the same level they had last season. They got almost the same players (but all the key players), and come out of Chicago last season with a win. In the last 3 matchups in Chicago between both teams, Bruins only loss one in OT. With the value that oddsmakers offers, Bruins is the play here.


                                                                  Pick: Boston Bruins ML +160 (2.60) Bookmaker




                                                                  NHL 2009.12.17 results:

                                                                  Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers ML -105 (1.95) The Greek (2-3 SO: LOSS)
                                                                  New York Rangers @ New York Islanders: Under 5.5 -125 (1.80) Bookmaker (2-5: LOSS)
                                                                  Tampa Bay Lightning @ Detroit Red Wings: Detroit Red Wings PL -1.5 +155 (2.55) The Greek (3-0: WIN)

                                                                  NHL 2009.12.17 finished 1-2 and -0.45 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009-2010 season record: 76-104-1 (-5.33 units lost/180 units risked)


                                                                  NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 11-15 and -0.65 units lost/26 units risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.17 finished 1-2 and -0.45 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.16 finished 1-2 and -1.05 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.15 finished 3-1 and +2.92 units won/4 units risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.14 finished 2-2 and +0.11 units won/4 unit risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.13 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.

                                                                  NHL 2009.12.12 finished 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.11 finished 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.10 finished 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
                                                                  NHL 2009.12.08 finished 1-1 and -0.2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TommyGold
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-07-09
                                                                    • 1494

                                                                    #138
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.18 results:

                                                                    Washington Capitals @ Vancouver Canucks: Washington Capitals 3Way (1X2) +135 (2.35) Bookmaker (3-2: LOSS)
                                                                    Boston Bruins @ Chicago Blackhawks: Boston Bruins ML +160 (2.60) Bookmaker (5-4 SO: LOSS)

                                                                    NHL 2009.12.18 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009-2010 season record: 76-106-1 (-7.33 units lost/182 units risked)


                                                                    NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 10-16 and -2.45 units lost/26 units risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.18 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.17 finished 1-2 and -0.45 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.16 finished 1-2 and -1.05 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.15 finished 3-1 and +2.92 units won/4 units risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.14 finished 2-2 and +0.11 units won/4 unit risked.

                                                                    NHL 2009.12.13 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.12 finished 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.11 finished 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                    NHL 2009.12.10 finished 1-1 and +0.8 units won/2 units risked.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TommyGold
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-07-09
                                                                      • 1494

                                                                      #139
                                                                      NHL 2009.12.20, final 2 picks:

                                                                      Detroit Red Wings @ Chicago Blackhawks: Chicago Blackhawks PL -1.5 +145 (2.45) The Greek

                                                                      St. Louis Blues @ Vancouver Canucks: St. Louis Blues ML +165 (2.65) Bookmaker


                                                                      ATTENTION: Chicago Blackhawks 3Way (1X2) -125 (1.80) Goalwin or higher offers more odds value than CHI PL -1.5. The Blackhawks should win this on regulation time, so if you can get at least -125 (1.80) or better odds, for example -115 (1.87), go ahead and risk 1 NHL unit. Otherwise, you might just play one unit on CHI PL or if you're using Bookmaker, you can do this:

                                                                      Imagine that your NHL unit is $100. Risk $60 3Way (1X2) on CHI -135 (1.74) Bookmaker and risk $40 on the CHI PL +140. If the 3Way wins but the PL loses, both bets will even/cancel out each other and you end up with +$4.44. If both plays win, you get +$100.4. If you can get 1.87 odds on the CHI 3Way, you win +$87. Those were the odds I've got on Pinnacle.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TommyGold
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-07-09
                                                                        • 1494

                                                                        #140
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.21, final 3 plays:

                                                                        Florida Panthers @ Philadelphia Flyers: Philadelphia Flyers PL -1.5 +180 (2.80) The Greek

                                                                        New York Rangers @ Carolina Hurricanes: Carolina Hurricanes ML +105 (2.05) The Greek

                                                                        New Jersey Devils @ Pittsburgh Penguins: New Jersey Devils ML +135 (2.35) The Greek



                                                                        NHL 2009.12.20 results:

                                                                        Detroit Red Wings @ Chicago Blackhawks: Chicago Blackhawks PL -1.5 +145 (2.45) The Greek (3-0: WIN)
                                                                        St. Louis Blues @ Vancouver Canucks: St. Louis Blues ML +165 (2.65) Bookmaker (3-1: WIN)

                                                                        NHL 2009.12.20 finished 2-0 and +3.1 units won/2 units risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009-2010 season record: 78-106-1 (-4.23 units lost/184 units risked)


                                                                        NHL 2009-2010 L10 Days Tracker: 11-15 and -0.15 units lost/26 units risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.20 finished 2-0 and +3.1 units won/2 units risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.18 finished 0-2 and -2 units lost/2 units risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.17 finished 1-2 and -0.45 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.16 finished 1-2 and -1.05 units lost/3 units risked.

                                                                        NHL 2009.12.15 finished 3-1 and +2.92 units won/4 units risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.14 finished 2-2 and +0.11 units won/4 unit risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.13 finished 0-1 and -1 unit lost/1 unit risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.12 finished 1-3 and -0.55 units lost/4 units risked.
                                                                        NHL 2009.12.11 finished 1-2 and -1.23 units lost/3 units risked.
                                                                        Comment
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