Do you ever fukking lose lately LT. God damn it, need Boston series. Don't fukk me with a maple leafs play in game 6 or 7.
However, you can make up tonight by playing STL somehow tomorrow as I have blues series as well. If you pick the Jets though LT, I will personally start viewing you as the enemy.
Comment
maritsa1819
SBR Wise Guy
06-14-18
853
#51
great thread
Comment
leetreaper
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-23-10
34841
#52
Profit
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#53
Originally posted by eaglesfan371
Do you ever fukking lose lately LT. God damn it, need Boston series. Don't fukk me with a maple leafs play in game 6 or 7.
However, you can make up tonight by playing STL somehow tomorrow as I have blues series as well. If you pick the Jets though LT, I will personally start viewing you as the enemy.
I do like Leafs to win series. But the good news for you is I like Blues too, although whether or not I bet them in Game 6 tonight as decided favorite is debatable (most likely passing).
Do you place wagers same time regardless just curious or do you anticipate line movements and try and get the best of it +125 missed that one by quite a bit
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#63
Originally posted by pilebuck13
Do you place wagers same time regardless just curious or do you anticipate line movements and try and get the best of it +125 missed that one by quite a bit
No, I make plays when they become playable so could be any time. I thought the +125 was good, did not anticipate it rising further, Shit happens sometimes.
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pilebuck13
SBR Posting Legend
05-15-15
17920
#64
Originally posted by LT Profits
No, I make plays when they become playable so could be any time. I thought the +125 was good, did not anticipate it rising further, Shit happens sometimes.
No I totally agree near impossible to predict just wondered when a play became playable and how you determined that thanks...
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eaglesfan371
SBR MVP
01-08-19
4079
#65
Originally posted by pilebuck13
No I totally agree near impossible to predict just wondered when a play became playable and how you determined that thanks...
He believes his models are what the true odds should be. Thus, if this is the case, more often than not he will lose value if he waits, with lines he deems off, since they will move towards the price his models have determined. I am curious LT, how often do your bets beat the closing line? 55-60%?
LT is betting large amounts but not 5 figures (I think). If he was betting huge amounts then he might wait until an hour before game if possible to secure +EV position at 10k instead of overnight limit of say 2k. But he will likely get a worse line an hour before game than the overnight.