NHL Playoff Plays - 2019

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  • Hman
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-04-17
    • 21429

    #36
    Originally posted by LT Profits
    Meanwhile while thread got sidetracked:

    3-0 , all at + odds



    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #37
      1 NHL Play Saturday

      SATURDAY, 4/13
      Avalanche +196 (Heritage)


      YTD: 126-125-7, +17.24

      Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
      Playoffs: 5-2, +3.65
      Comment
      • Rich Boy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-01-09
        • 9714

        #38
        Crushing it, Like Avs also at this price
        Comment
        • Rich Boy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-01-09
          • 9714

          #39
          Cash it, thanks for the winner
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #40
            1 NHL Play Sunday

            SUNDAY, 4/14
            Islanders +167 (5 Dimes)


            YTD: 127-125-7, +19.20

            Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
            Playoffs: 6-2, +5.61
            Comment
            • High3rEl3m3nt
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-28-10
              • 8022

              #41
              Good luck, LT.
              Comment
              • Rich Boy
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-01-09
                • 9714

                #42
                Killing it, keep em coming
                Comment
                • The General
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 13279

                  #43
                  Thumbz Up
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #44
                    1 NHL Play Monday

                    MONDAY, 4/15
                    Stars -115 (Heritage)


                    YTD: 128-125-7, +20.87

                    Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                    Playoffs: 7-2, +7.28
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #45
                      Passing in both NBA and NHL Playoffs Tuesday.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #46
                        1 NHL Play Thursday

                        THURSDAY, 4/18
                        Blues +110 (5 Dimes)


                        YTD: 128-126-7, +19.72

                        Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                        Playoffs: 7-3, +6.13
                        Comment
                        • odog11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-11
                          • 3874

                          #47
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          THURSDAY, 4/18
                          Blues +110 (5 Dimes)


                          YTD: 128-126-7, +19.72

                          Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                          Playoffs: 7-3, +6.13
                          Good work Lt. Not sure I can follow here as historically after 4 straight road wins teams in Jets spot 22 and 4.
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #48
                            1 NHL Play Friday

                            FRIDAY, 4/19
                            Maple Leafs +130 (5 Dimes)


                            YTD: 129-126-7, +20.82

                            Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                            Playoffs: 8-3, +7.23
                            Comment
                            • Machba
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-08-19
                              • 6768

                              #49
                              Loving Calgary tonight
                              Comment
                              • eaglesfan371
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-08-19
                                • 4079

                                #50
                                Do you ever fukking lose lately LT. God damn it, need Boston series. Don't fukk me with a maple leafs play in game 6 or 7.

                                However, you can make up tonight by playing STL somehow tomorrow as I have blues series as well. If you pick the Jets though LT, I will personally start viewing you as the enemy.

                                Comment
                                • maritsa1819
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 06-14-18
                                  • 853

                                  #51
                                  great thread
                                  Comment
                                  • leetreaper
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 10-23-10
                                    • 34841

                                    #52
                                    Profit
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by eaglesfan371
                                      Do you ever fukking lose lately LT. God damn it, need Boston series. Don't fukk me with a maple leafs play in game 6 or 7.

                                      However, you can make up tonight by playing STL somehow tomorrow as I have blues series as well. If you pick the Jets though LT, I will personally start viewing you as the enemy.

                                      I do like Leafs to win series. But the good news for you is I like Blues too, although whether or not I bet them in Game 6 tonight as decided favorite is debatable (most likely passing).
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #54
                                        Passing in NHL Playoffs Saturday
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #55
                                          Passing again in NHL Playoffs Sunday
                                          Comment
                                          • LT Profits
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-27-06
                                            • 90963

                                            #56
                                            1 NHL Play Thursday

                                            THURSDAY, 4/25
                                            Blue Jackets +131 (Heritage)


                                            YTD: 130-126-7, +22.12

                                            Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                                            Playoffs: 9-3, +8.53
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #57
                                              1 NHL Play Friday

                                              FRIDAY, 4/26
                                              Avalanche +112 (Heritage)


                                              YTD: 130-127-7, +21.12

                                              Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                                              Playoffs: 9-4, +7.53
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94379

                                                #58
                                                Couldn't beat the steam so why not chase it? Lol. Good luck sir.
                                                Comment
                                                • LT Profits
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-27-06
                                                  • 90963

                                                  #59
                                                  1 NHL Play Saturday

                                                  SATURDAY, 4/27
                                                  Blue Jackets +125 (5 Dimes)


                                                  YTD: 130-128-7, +20.12

                                                  Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                                                  Playoffs: 9-5, +6.53
                                                  Comment
                                                  • leetreaper
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 10-23-10
                                                    • 34841

                                                    #60
                                                    Yeah man, let's Jack it up a notch
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #61
                                                      1 NHL Play Sunday

                                                      SUNDAY, 4/28
                                                      Avalanche +125 (Bookmaker)


                                                      YTD: 131-128-7, +21.37

                                                      Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                                                      Playoffs: 10-5, +7.78
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pilebuck13
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 05-15-15
                                                        • 17918

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                        SUNDAY, 4/28
                                                        Avalanche +125 (Bookmaker)


                                                        YTD: 131-128-7, +21.37

                                                        Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                                                        Playoffs: 10-5, +7.78
                                                        Do you place wagers same time regardless just curious or do you anticipate line movements and try and get the best of it +125 missed that one by quite a bit
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                          Do you place wagers same time regardless just curious or do you anticipate line movements and try and get the best of it +125 missed that one by quite a bit
                                                          No, I make plays when they become playable so could be any time. I thought the +125 was good, did not anticipate it rising further, Shit happens sometimes.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pilebuck13
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-15-15
                                                            • 17918

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                            No, I make plays when they become playable so could be any time. I thought the +125 was good, did not anticipate it rising further, Shit happens sometimes.
                                                            No I totally agree near impossible to predict just wondered when a play became playable and how you determined that thanks...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • eaglesfan371
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-08-19
                                                              • 4079

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                                              No I totally agree near impossible to predict just wondered when a play became playable and how you determined that thanks...
                                                              He believes his models are what the true odds should be. Thus, if this is the case, more often than not he will lose value if he waits, with lines he deems off, since they will move towards the price his models have determined. I am curious LT, how often do your bets beat the closing line? 55-60%?

                                                              LT is betting large amounts but not 5 figures (I think). If he was betting huge amounts then he might wait until an hour before game if possible to secure +EV position at 10k instead of overnight limit of say 2k. But he will likely get a worse line an hour before game than the overnight.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LT Profits
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-27-06
                                                                • 90963

                                                                #66
                                                                1 NHL Play Thursday

                                                                THURSDAY, 5/2
                                                                Avalanche -123 (5 Dimes)


                                                                YTD: 132-128-7, +22.62

                                                                Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                                                                Playoffs: 11-5, +9.03
                                                                Comment
                                                                • eddycash
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-06-13
                                                                  • 4527

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Who do you like to win the series for Avs vs Sharks Sir LT?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LT Profits
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-27-06
                                                                    • 90963

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Liked Avs before series but that Game 3 loss at home hurts.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • eddycash
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-06-13
                                                                      • 4527

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Rollin with u LT
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • LT Profits
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                                        • 90963

                                                                        #70
                                                                        1 NHL Play Friday

                                                                        FRIDAY, 5/3
                                                                        Islanders +120 (5 Dimes)


                                                                        YTD: 133-128-7, +23.62

                                                                        Regular Season: 121-123-7, +13.59
                                                                        Playoffs: 12-5, +10.03
                                                                        Comment
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