Yeah, it's just as much a price play as anything else. Can't lay -150 on a team that's been pretty mediocre against a team that's won 5 in a row. I appreciate the feedback guys. Good luck tonight
bdc30's nhl picks
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bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#36Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#37
(50-37-1, +10.6u overall)Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#38Try to get back in the win column today...A lot of close games. Could use another 8-4 type day for sure...
Coyotes -106
Kings -0.5 in reg +100
Redwings +108
Flyers +105
Capitals -0.5 in reg +115
Canadiens -106
Bruins -1.5 goals +115
Lightning -0.5 in reg +112
Ducks -148
Blues -159
Sharks -0.5 in reg -122
No line up on the Pens/Flames yet but will be leaning Pit -0.5 in reg for that one. Trying VERY hard to stop myself from putting a significant amount on STL over Edmonton. Blues got their scoring touch back in a big way against Montreal the other night, and Edmonton is, well, Edmonton. Anyway, may post some more thoughts during the day but that's all I have for 3 in the morning...lol
Best of luck everyone.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#39
(56-42-1, +11.61u overall)Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#40Just two games on the slate tonight, taking
NYR -110
VAN -0.5 in reg -120
Mainly interested in the Rangers game tonight. They finally sit Henrik in favor of Talbot, I'm banking on the team responding to that move, as ever since he signed the contract, Lundqvist has sucked. Talbot had a great record when called in to service earlier in the year. Best of luck everyone.Comment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#42Well done bdc! You are rockin' lately! Think I'll tail a play or 2 of yours today.
I have done well with +1 Parlays of late...thinking of a couple combos:
The reason I do this is that teams like Detroit are often in close games - and I think Detroit will win, but at home, they have a lot of 1-goal losses when favored to win. I don't see Wings losing by more than 1 vs. Isles.
My biggest profits so far in hockey are from these 2-way parlays - it's safer, and cuts down on some juicy lines.
Pitt (+1) / Chicago (+1/2 - 1st 60 min.) 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Detroit (+1) / Sharks (ML) 1 unit to win 1 unit
If Detroit wins...Avs (+1.5) .75 units to win .5 units
I can see Sharks winning by 1 goal tonight.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#43hey thanks! wasn't sure how i'd be able to make out especially trying to pick the whole board every night. Pretty happy with the results through my first 100 picks. Tonight might be a tough one to 'cap though, as there are a lot of close games and being this close to christmas, some guys may already be thinking ahead to their travel plans or turkey dinners etc. I haven't looked at the board yet other than the Wpg/Edm game but will have some picks up this afternoon.Comment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#44hey thanks! wasn't sure how i'd be able to make out especially trying to pick the whole board every night. Pretty happy with the results through my first 100 picks. Tonight might be a tough one to 'cap though, as there are a lot of close games and being this close to christmas, some guys may already be thinking ahead to their travel plans or turkey dinners etc. I haven't looked at the board yet other than the Wpg/Edm game but will have some picks up this afternoon.
I like Detroit right now as a pretty sure bet over Isles, but going with Detroit +1 with Blackhawks ML to be safe. Hawks can't lose another won in a row.
I like the Under in the TB-Fla (U6) game too, and will parlay that with another one. Leaning Kings, but they Dallas plays decent on the road I believe. Or maybe I'll go with the Sharks (1st 60 min.), since they've only lost 1 at home all season.Comment -
BarsSBR Rookie
- 12-12-13
- 11
#45Where can I find Detroit +1?Comment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#46The book I use is 5Dimes.com
It's a steep line (-330), so I parlayed it with a play that is also on the safe side, Blackhawks ML. I don't know if I'd recommend either play by itself with the heavy juice.
If I were confident in the Pens today, you can get +1.5 for about -350 odds, and for a favorite, that's not that bad.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#47Today's board:
Jets +111
Ducks -111
Sabres +130
Hurricanes -125
Penguins -114
Redwings -0.5 in reg +100
Flyers -128
Lightning +101
Bruins -135
Blackhawks -1.5 goals +142
Blues -0.5 in reg -104
Sharks -0.5 in reg -120
Kings -0.5 in reg -123
Rangers -128
I think the Blues are a great bet today. The Flames have been so inconsistent and StL have won their last 2 games by a combined score of 11-1. I'm surprised they're almost at even money for a regulation win.
I also like the Jets over the Oilers at plus money. Think the books are really off on their line here. Edm shouldn't be favored over any team in the league right now.
The Rangers are going with Cam Talbot in net again tonight after a good win against Min last night. That's enough for me to ride the streak against a Leafs team that's been in turmoil of late.
This is it until after xmas, so best of luck with your picks everyone and I hope you all have a safe and happy holiday.Comment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#48Today's board:
Jets +111
Ducks -111
Sabres +130
Hurricanes -125
Penguins -114
Redwings -0.5 in reg +100
Flyers -128
Lightning +101
Bruins -135
Blackhawks -1.5 goals +142
Blues -0.5 in reg -104
Sharks -0.5 in reg -120
Kings -0.5 in reg -123
Rangers -128
I think the Blues are a great bet today. The Flames have been so inconsistent and StL have won their last 2 games by a combined score of 11-1. I'm surprised they're almost at even money for a regulation win.
I also like the Jets over the Oilers at plus money. Think the books are really off on their line here. Edm shouldn't be favored over any team in the league right now.
The Rangers are going with Cam Talbot in net again tonight after a good win against Min last night. That's enough for me to ride the streak against a Leafs team that's been in turmoil of late.
This is it until after xmas, so best of luck with your picks everyone and I hope you all have a safe and happy holiday.
What's the scoop with the Penguins at such a low ML price? They have a 7-game Win streak and have played well lately vs. Ottawa. The Sens have not been good all season. Malkin appears to be back, and Pens are a good road team. Do you see them losing by more than 2 in Ottawa?
I was all over StL today, but I saw a stat that favored Calgary.
So I'll tail you though over that stat.
How do you like these?
Detroit (+1) / Hawks (1st 60 min.) 1 unit to win 1 unit
Pitt (+1) / San Jose (ML) 1 unit to win 1.3 units
TB-FLA (U6) / StL (+1) 1 unit to win 1 unitComment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#49Yeah I noticed the low pens line as well, not really sure why that would be but it was good enough for me to throw in to my parlay for the day (i usually do 1 4-team round robin on these days with a ton of games). I'm not a fan of laying such big prices to take teams with +1. I find usually if a good team is going to lay an egg and lose, it usually turns in to one of those 4-1 or 5-2 type games (like Boston against Buffalo last week) where there's no good explanation for them losing other than they just came out and shit the bed. All that being said, looks like you're on the same sides as me so I don't dislike anything of the teams you took. I don't usually do a whole lot on totals so can't comment on TB/FLA much.
Best of luck!Comment -
NoleafcloverSBR MVP
- 06-06-13
- 1349
#50Would you be willing to narrow down to a few top plays? I know you are a straight bettor but insight would be appreciated, gigantic cards scare me.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#51I put three of my most preferred at the bottom with comments. I do that most every day.Comment -
NoleafcloverSBR MVP
- 06-06-13
- 1349
#52Ah gotcha. New here.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#53I'm not a fan of laying such big prices to take teams with +1. I find usually if a good team is going to lay an egg and lose, it usually turns in to one of those 4-1 or 5-2 type games (like Boston against Buffalo last week) where there's no good explanation for them losing other than they just came out and shit the bed.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#54Today's board:
Jets +111 L -1
Ducks -111 w +1.11
Sabres +130 w +1.3
Hurricanes -125 L -1.25
Penguins -114 L -1.14
Redwings -0.5 in reg +100 L -1
Flyers -128 w +1
Lightning +101 w +1.01
Bruins -135 w +1
Blackhawks -1.5 goals +142 w +1.42
Blues -0.5 in reg -104 L -1.04
Sharks -0.5 in reg -120 L -1.2
Kings -0.5 in reg -123 L -1.23
Rangers -128 w +1
(65-49-1, +13.59u overall)
Couple tough losses on this card, StL takes a dumb penalty late and lets Calgary score with 5s left to tie it, Sharks lead late too but let Colorado score twice in 12s with 2min to go...anyway, not disappointed to break even here. Lets get after it Friday.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#55Laying off tonight's card, out at a family Xmas and haven't studied it. Best of luck everyone.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#56On a lot of the road teams tonight...
Canadiens +110
Bruins -125
Blackhawks +132
Ducks -158
Kings -153
Flyers -114
Wings -113
Devils +107
Away Goals -110
Some of these lines have moved a bit since I bet last night but nothing too significant. I like the Hawks at plus money against a Steen-less Blues team. Not often you see the + sign next to Chi in hockey lines. Best of luck everyone.Comment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#57On a lot of the road teams tonight...
Canadiens +110
Bruins -125
Blackhawks +132
Ducks -158
Kings -153
Flyers -114
Wings -113
Devils +107
Away Goals -110
Some of these lines have moved a bit since I bet last night but nothing too significant. I like the Hawks at plus money against a Steen-less Blues team. Not often you see the + sign next to Chi in hockey lines. Best of luck everyone.
I like the Ducks tonight, but 3 times I've taken them at home this year and each time they've lost in shootouts.
Also, I don't see how anyone can go vs. the Lightning at home until they lose.
They are a very hot team right now. I think I'm going with TB tonight (ML), but don't want to sway you. You are a better capper than me. I have only watched 1 nhl game this year.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#58Hey don't sell yourself short man that game could swing either way, as could more than a few on the board tonight. Best of luck with your picks!Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#59
(70-52-2, +14.98u overall)
Really annoyed at losing the Hawks game, they had two goal leads twice in that one...Holding that would have won the Away goals bet also.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#60Slept too long and missed the 5pm start games (really what's with a 5pm start anyway?), but here's the rest of my board tonight.
Lightning -113
Leafs -120
Canucks -144
Avs -154
Wild -0.5 in reg -129
Sharks -0.5 in reg +102
On a lot of chalk tonight, really aren't any games that stand out to me as best bets though. Good luck with your picks guys.Comment -
jontebondSBR MVP
- 11-19-12
- 2714
#61Slept too long and missed the 5pm start games (really what's with a 5pm start anyway?), but here's the rest of my board tonight.
Lightning -113
Leafs -120
Canucks -144
Avs -154
Wild -0.5 in reg -129
Sharks -0.5 in reg +102
On a lot of chalk tonight, really aren't any games that stand out to me as best bets though. Good luck with your picks guys.
5 pm games means 2+ hour of extra sleep for Swedish people before they go to work =)
BOL with your picks!Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#62Games like Min/Nyi drive me to drink. How does a team blow a 3-0 lead in their home rink....Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#63
3-3, -0.94u
(73-55-2, +14.04u overall)Comment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#64Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#65Tonight's board:
Capitals +111
Redwings +101
Blackhawks -140
Canucks -135
Wings get Jimmy Howard back tonight, and Zetterberg plans to play as well, think this is a good spot for them. Best of luck everyone.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#66
(74-58-2, +11.69u overall)
Annoying way to end the night with the Canuckles choking late at home. Guess the Wings getting Howard back should have been a reason to bet AGAINST them since he got shelled for 5...Wings made a game of it though. Oh well, on to tomorrow...11 games on the board, lets get back in the win column.Comment -
VegasInsiderSBR Posting Legend
- 12-12-10
- 14593
#67Canucks game was brutal. I was on them ML and totally sickening to see them give up the equalizer with an empty net after totally outplaying Philly for about 55 minutes of the game. Kesler's shootout attempt was pathetic. Very tough loss.Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#68Posting up for the earlier start time games now, will put up full board later on:
Penguins -133
Rangers -107
Blues -118Comment -
bdc30SBR High Roller
- 12-03-13
- 162
#69Bruins -0.5 in reg -148
Jets -0.5 in reg -108
Canadiens -109
Sharks +110
Kings +101
Flyers -104
Oilers/Coyotes over 5.5 -113
Jackets/Avalanche under 5.5 -130
Think those last two games could go either way so just going to play o/u which I don't usually do. I get the home and home angle of the Ducks/Sharks game but can't pass up the price after SJ owned them 3-1 two days ago. Can't figure out the Flames price either, as they've been shut out in their last two at home and the Flyers have been playing well lately and come off an emotional win last night in Vancouver. Maybe a good play on the under there as well? Best of luck everyone.Comment -
RollinDoSBR Posting Legend
- 09-04-13
- 13322
#70Ducks by 1 goal tonight...I have predicted the spread in 2 of 3 times this year.
Ducks 4 Sharks 3Comment
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