bdc30's nhl picks

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  • bdc30
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-03-13
    • 162

    #36
    Yeah, it's just as much a price play as anything else. Can't lay -150 on a team that's been pretty mediocre against a team that's won 5 in a row. I appreciate the feedback guys. Good luck tonight
    Comment
    • bdc30
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-03-13
      • 162

      #37
      Originally posted by bdc30
      Ducks -117 w +1
      Caps +106 w +1.06
      Panthers +139 L -1
      Rangers -0.5 in reg +105 L -1
      Hawks -0.5 in reg -107 L -1.07
      2-3, -1.01u. Dumb night. Hawks can't hold a 2-0 lead in their home rink...Lundqvist gives up 4 on 19 shots to the Isles...Glad to get out of it with a small loss really.

      (50-37-1, +10.6u overall)
      Comment
      • bdc30
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-03-13
        • 162

        #38
        Try to get back in the win column today...A lot of close games. Could use another 8-4 type day for sure...

        Coyotes -106
        Kings -0.5 in reg +100
        Redwings +108
        Flyers +105
        Capitals -0.5 in reg +115
        Canadiens -106
        Bruins -1.5 goals +115
        Lightning -0.5 in reg +112
        Ducks -148
        Blues -159
        Sharks -0.5 in reg -122

        No line up on the Pens/Flames yet but will be leaning Pit -0.5 in reg for that one. Trying VERY hard to stop myself from putting a significant amount on STL over Edmonton. Blues got their scoring touch back in a big way against Montreal the other night, and Edmonton is, well, Edmonton. Anyway, may post some more thoughts during the day but that's all I have for 3 in the morning...lol

        Best of luck everyone.
        Comment
        • bdc30
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-03-13
          • 162

          #39
          Originally posted by bdc30
          Coyotes -106 w +1
          Kings -0.5 in reg +100 L -1
          Redwings +108 w +1.08
          Flyers +105 L -1
          Capitals -0.5 in reg +115 L -1
          Canadiens -106 w +1
          Bruins -1.5 goals +115 w +1.15
          Lightning -0.5 in reg +112 L -1
          Ducks -148 w +1
          Blues -159 w +1
          Sharks -0.5 in reg -122 L -1.22
          6-5, +1.01u. Didn't get up in time to get a line on Pens/Flames but would have hit that as well. Stupid 'in reg' games killed me today...On the bright side though, nobody talked me out of crushing it on StL today, so I had them on the ML, in reg, and puckline...sweet win there.

          (56-42-1, +11.61u overall)
          Comment
          • bdc30
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-03-13
            • 162

            #40
            Just two games on the slate tonight, taking
            NYR -110
            VAN -0.5 in reg -120

            Mainly interested in the Rangers game tonight. They finally sit Henrik in favor of Talbot, I'm banking on the team responding to that move, as ever since he signed the contract, Lundqvist has sucked. Talbot had a great record when called in to service earlier in the year. Best of luck everyone.
            Comment
            • bdc30
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-03-13
              • 162

              #41
              Originally posted by bdc30
              Just two games on the slate tonight, taking
              NYR -110 w +1
              VAN -0.5 in reg -120 w +1
              2-0, +2u
              (58-42-1, +13.61u overall)
              Comment
              • RollinDo
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 09-04-13
                • 13322

                #42
                Originally posted by bdc30
                2-0, +2u
                (58-42-1, +13.61u overall)
                Well done bdc! You are rockin' lately! Think I'll tail a play or 2 of yours today.
                I have done well with +1 Parlays of late...thinking of a couple combos:

                The reason I do this is that teams like Detroit are often in close games - and I think Detroit will win, but at home, they have a lot of 1-goal losses when favored to win. I don't see Wings losing by more than 1 vs. Isles.

                My biggest profits so far in hockey are from these 2-way parlays - it's safer, and cuts down on some juicy lines.

                Pitt (+1) / Chicago (+1/2 - 1st 60 min.) 1.1 units to win 1 unit
                Detroit (+1) / Sharks (ML) 1 unit to win 1 unit
                If Detroit wins...Avs (+1.5) .75 units to win .5 units

                I can see Sharks winning by 1 goal tonight.
                Comment
                • bdc30
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-03-13
                  • 162

                  #43
                  hey thanks! wasn't sure how i'd be able to make out especially trying to pick the whole board every night. Pretty happy with the results through my first 100 picks. Tonight might be a tough one to 'cap though, as there are a lot of close games and being this close to christmas, some guys may already be thinking ahead to their travel plans or turkey dinners etc. I haven't looked at the board yet other than the Wpg/Edm game but will have some picks up this afternoon.
                  Comment
                  • RollinDo
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-04-13
                    • 13322

                    #44
                    Originally posted by bdc30
                    hey thanks! wasn't sure how i'd be able to make out especially trying to pick the whole board every night. Pretty happy with the results through my first 100 picks. Tonight might be a tough one to 'cap though, as there are a lot of close games and being this close to christmas, some guys may already be thinking ahead to their travel plans or turkey dinners etc. I haven't looked at the board yet other than the Wpg/Edm game but will have some picks up this afternoon.
                    Great! Yeah, at first glance it looks easy to pick, but then I see some close games and some teams (Pitt / StL) that may have a tougher time vs. weaker opponents.
                    I like Detroit right now as a pretty sure bet over Isles, but going with Detroit +1 with Blackhawks ML to be safe. Hawks can't lose another won in a row.

                    I like the Under in the TB-Fla (U6) game too, and will parlay that with another one. Leaning Kings, but they Dallas plays decent on the road I believe. Or maybe I'll go with the Sharks (1st 60 min.), since they've only lost 1 at home all season.
                    Comment
                    • Bars
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 12-12-13
                      • 11

                      #45
                      Where can I find Detroit +1?
                      Comment
                      • RollinDo
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-04-13
                        • 13322

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Bars
                        Where can I find Detroit +1?
                        The book I use is 5Dimes.com

                        It's a steep line (-330), so I parlayed it with a play that is also on the safe side, Blackhawks ML. I don't know if I'd recommend either play by itself with the heavy juice.
                        If I were confident in the Pens today, you can get +1.5 for about -350 odds, and for a favorite, that's not that bad.
                        Comment
                        • bdc30
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-03-13
                          • 162

                          #47
                          Today's board:

                          Jets +111
                          Ducks -111
                          Sabres +130
                          Hurricanes -125
                          Penguins -114
                          Redwings -0.5 in reg +100
                          Flyers -128
                          Lightning +101
                          Bruins -135
                          Blackhawks -1.5 goals +142
                          Blues -0.5 in reg -104
                          Sharks -0.5 in reg -120
                          Kings -0.5 in reg -123
                          Rangers -128

                          I think the Blues are a great bet today. The Flames have been so inconsistent and StL have won their last 2 games by a combined score of 11-1. I'm surprised they're almost at even money for a regulation win.

                          I also like the Jets over the Oilers at plus money. Think the books are really off on their line here. Edm shouldn't be favored over any team in the league right now.

                          The Rangers are going with Cam Talbot in net again tonight after a good win against Min last night. That's enough for me to ride the streak against a Leafs team that's been in turmoil of late.

                          This is it until after xmas, so best of luck with your picks everyone and I hope you all have a safe and happy holiday.
                          Comment
                          • RollinDo
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-04-13
                            • 13322

                            #48
                            Originally posted by bdc30
                            Today's board:

                            Jets +111
                            Ducks -111
                            Sabres +130
                            Hurricanes -125
                            Penguins -114
                            Redwings -0.5 in reg +100
                            Flyers -128
                            Lightning +101
                            Bruins -135
                            Blackhawks -1.5 goals +142
                            Blues -0.5 in reg -104
                            Sharks -0.5 in reg -120
                            Kings -0.5 in reg -123
                            Rangers -128

                            I think the Blues are a great bet today. The Flames have been so inconsistent and StL have won their last 2 games by a combined score of 11-1. I'm surprised they're almost at even money for a regulation win.

                            I also like the Jets over the Oilers at plus money. Think the books are really off on their line here. Edm shouldn't be favored over any team in the league right now.

                            The Rangers are going with Cam Talbot in net again tonight after a good win against Min last night. That's enough for me to ride the streak against a Leafs team that's been in turmoil of late.

                            This is it until after xmas, so best of luck with your picks everyone and I hope you all have a safe and happy holiday.
                            Lookin' good.

                            What's the scoop with the Penguins at such a low ML price? They have a 7-game Win streak and have played well lately vs. Ottawa. The Sens have not been good all season. Malkin appears to be back, and Pens are a good road team. Do you see them losing by more than 2 in Ottawa?
                            I was all over StL today, but I saw a stat that favored Calgary.
                            So I'll tail you though over that stat.
                            How do you like these?

                            Detroit (+1) / Hawks (1st 60 min.) 1 unit to win 1 unit
                            Pitt (+1) / San Jose (ML) 1 unit to win 1.3 units
                            TB-FLA (U6) / StL (+1) 1 unit to win 1 unit
                            Comment
                            • bdc30
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-03-13
                              • 162

                              #49
                              Yeah I noticed the low pens line as well, not really sure why that would be but it was good enough for me to throw in to my parlay for the day (i usually do 1 4-team round robin on these days with a ton of games). I'm not a fan of laying such big prices to take teams with +1. I find usually if a good team is going to lay an egg and lose, it usually turns in to one of those 4-1 or 5-2 type games (like Boston against Buffalo last week) where there's no good explanation for them losing other than they just came out and shit the bed. All that being said, looks like you're on the same sides as me so I don't dislike anything of the teams you took. I don't usually do a whole lot on totals so can't comment on TB/FLA much.

                              Best of luck!
                              Comment
                              • Noleafclover
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-06-13
                                • 1349

                                #50
                                Would you be willing to narrow down to a few top plays? I know you are a straight bettor but insight would be appreciated, gigantic cards scare me.
                                Comment
                                • bdc30
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-03-13
                                  • 162

                                  #51
                                  I put three of my most preferred at the bottom with comments. I do that most every day.
                                  Comment
                                  • Noleafclover
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-06-13
                                    • 1349

                                    #52
                                    Ah gotcha. New here.
                                    Comment
                                    • bdc30
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-03-13
                                      • 162

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by bdc30
                                      I'm not a fan of laying such big prices to take teams with +1. I find usually if a good team is going to lay an egg and lose, it usually turns in to one of those 4-1 or 5-2 type games (like Boston against Buffalo last week) where there's no good explanation for them losing other than they just came out and shit the bed.
                                      2 perfect examples of this tonight with Det/Pit. Just dumb.
                                      Comment
                                      • bdc30
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-03-13
                                        • 162

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by bdc30
                                        Today's board:

                                        Jets +111 L -1
                                        Ducks -111 w +1.11
                                        Sabres +130 w +1.3
                                        Hurricanes -125 L -1.25
                                        Penguins -114 L -1.14
                                        Redwings -0.5 in reg +100 L -1
                                        Flyers -128 w +1
                                        Lightning +101 w +1.01
                                        Bruins -135 w +1
                                        Blackhawks -1.5 goals +142 w +1.42
                                        Blues -0.5 in reg -104 L -1.04
                                        Sharks -0.5 in reg -120 L -1.2
                                        Kings -0.5 in reg -123 L -1.23
                                        Rangers -128 w +1
                                        7-7, -0.02u

                                        (65-49-1, +13.59u overall)

                                        Couple tough losses on this card, StL takes a dumb penalty late and lets Calgary score with 5s left to tie it, Sharks lead late too but let Colorado score twice in 12s with 2min to go...anyway, not disappointed to break even here. Lets get after it Friday.
                                        Comment
                                        • bdc30
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-03-13
                                          • 162

                                          #55
                                          Laying off tonight's card, out at a family Xmas and haven't studied it. Best of luck everyone.
                                          Comment
                                          • bdc30
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-03-13
                                            • 162

                                            #56
                                            On a lot of the road teams tonight...

                                            Canadiens +110
                                            Bruins -125
                                            Blackhawks +132
                                            Ducks -158
                                            Kings -153
                                            Flyers -114
                                            Wings -113
                                            Devils +107
                                            Away Goals -110

                                            Some of these lines have moved a bit since I bet last night but nothing too significant. I like the Hawks at plus money against a Steen-less Blues team. Not often you see the + sign next to Chi in hockey lines. Best of luck everyone.
                                            Comment
                                            • RollinDo
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-04-13
                                              • 13322

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by bdc30
                                              On a lot of the road teams tonight...

                                              Canadiens +110
                                              Bruins -125
                                              Blackhawks +132
                                              Ducks -158
                                              Kings -153
                                              Flyers -114
                                              Wings -113
                                              Devils +107
                                              Away Goals -110

                                              Some of these lines have moved a bit since I bet last night but nothing too significant. I like the Hawks at plus money against a Steen-less Blues team. Not often you see the + sign next to Chi in hockey lines. Best of luck everyone.

                                              I like the Ducks tonight, but 3 times I've taken them at home this year and each time they've lost in shootouts.
                                              Also, I don't see how anyone can go vs. the Lightning at home until they lose.
                                              They are a very hot team right now. I think I'm going with TB tonight (ML), but don't want to sway you. You are a better capper than me. I have only watched 1 nhl game this year.
                                              Comment
                                              • bdc30
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-03-13
                                                • 162

                                                #58
                                                Hey don't sell yourself short man that game could swing either way, as could more than a few on the board tonight. Best of luck with your picks!
                                                Comment
                                                • bdc30
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-03-13
                                                  • 162

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by bdc30
                                                  Canadiens +110 w +1.10
                                                  Bruins -125 L -1.25
                                                  Blackhawks +132 L -1
                                                  Ducks -158 w +1
                                                  Kings -153 L -1.53
                                                  Flyers -114 w +1
                                                  Wings -113 w +1
                                                  Devils +107 w +1.07
                                                  Away Goals -110 PUSH
                                                  5-3-1, +1.39u

                                                  (70-52-2, +14.98u overall)

                                                  Really annoyed at losing the Hawks game, they had two goal leads twice in that one...Holding that would have won the Away goals bet also.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bdc30
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 12-03-13
                                                    • 162

                                                    #60
                                                    Slept too long and missed the 5pm start games (really what's with a 5pm start anyway?), but here's the rest of my board tonight.

                                                    Lightning -113
                                                    Leafs -120
                                                    Canucks -144
                                                    Avs -154
                                                    Wild -0.5 in reg -129
                                                    Sharks -0.5 in reg +102

                                                    On a lot of chalk tonight, really aren't any games that stand out to me as best bets though. Good luck with your picks guys.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jontebond
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-19-12
                                                      • 2714

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by bdc30
                                                      Slept too long and missed the 5pm start games (really what's with a 5pm start anyway?), but here's the rest of my board tonight.

                                                      Lightning -113
                                                      Leafs -120
                                                      Canucks -144
                                                      Avs -154
                                                      Wild -0.5 in reg -129
                                                      Sharks -0.5 in reg +102

                                                      On a lot of chalk tonight, really aren't any games that stand out to me as best bets though. Good luck with your picks guys.

                                                      5 pm games means 2+ hour of extra sleep for Swedish people before they go to work =)
                                                      BOL with your picks!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bdc30
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-03-13
                                                        • 162

                                                        #62
                                                        Games like Min/Nyi drive me to drink. How does a team blow a 3-0 lead in their home rink....
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bdc30
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-03-13
                                                          • 162

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by bdc30
                                                          Lightning -113 L -1.13
                                                          Leafs -120 w +1
                                                          Canucks -144 w +1
                                                          Avs -154 L -1.54
                                                          Wild -0.5 in reg -129 L -1.29
                                                          Sharks -0.5 in reg +102 w +1.02
                                                          Pretty pissed to lose the wild game last night, after being up 3-0. Lightning got 40 shots on Lundqvist just couldn't buy one late to tie it up. Lets get it back today...

                                                          3-3, -0.94u

                                                          (73-55-2, +14.04u overall)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RollinDo
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-04-13
                                                            • 13322

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by bdc30
                                                            Hey don't sell yourself short man that game could swing either way, as could more than a few on the board tonight. Best of luck with your picks!
                                                            Thanks bud. I was confident so I did make a small play on lightning. I still don't regret it - glad you got the win!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bdc30
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-03-13
                                                              • 162

                                                              #65
                                                              Tonight's board:

                                                              Capitals +111
                                                              Redwings +101
                                                              Blackhawks -140
                                                              Canucks -135

                                                              Wings get Jimmy Howard back tonight, and Zetterberg plans to play as well, think this is a good spot for them. Best of luck everyone.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bdc30
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-03-13
                                                                • 162

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by bdc30
                                                                Capitals +111 L -1
                                                                Redwings +101 L -1
                                                                Blackhawks -140 w +1
                                                                Canucks -135 L -1.35
                                                                1-3, -2.35u
                                                                (74-58-2, +11.69u overall)

                                                                Annoying way to end the night with the Canuckles choking late at home. Guess the Wings getting Howard back should have been a reason to bet AGAINST them since he got shelled for 5...Wings made a game of it though. Oh well, on to tomorrow...11 games on the board, lets get back in the win column.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • VegasInsider
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-12-10
                                                                  • 14593

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Canucks game was brutal. I was on them ML and totally sickening to see them give up the equalizer with an empty net after totally outplaying Philly for about 55 minutes of the game. Kesler's shootout attempt was pathetic. Very tough loss.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bdc30
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 12-03-13
                                                                    • 162

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Posting up for the earlier start time games now, will put up full board later on:

                                                                    Penguins -133
                                                                    Rangers -107
                                                                    Blues -118
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bdc30
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-03-13
                                                                      • 162

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Bruins -0.5 in reg -148
                                                                      Jets -0.5 in reg -108
                                                                      Canadiens -109
                                                                      Sharks +110
                                                                      Kings +101
                                                                      Flyers -104
                                                                      Oilers/Coyotes over 5.5 -113
                                                                      Jackets/Avalanche under 5.5 -130

                                                                      Think those last two games could go either way so just going to play o/u which I don't usually do. I get the home and home angle of the Ducks/Sharks game but can't pass up the price after SJ owned them 3-1 two days ago. Can't figure out the Flames price either, as they've been shut out in their last two at home and the Flyers have been playing well lately and come off an emotional win last night in Vancouver. Maybe a good play on the under there as well? Best of luck everyone.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • RollinDo
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 09-04-13
                                                                        • 13322

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Ducks by 1 goal tonight...I have predicted the spread in 2 of 3 times this year.
                                                                        Ducks 4 Sharks 3
                                                                        Comment
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