bdc30's nhl picks

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  • bdc30
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-03-13
    • 162

    #1
    bdc30's nhl picks
    Late to the game but just found this forum and enjoy reading everyone's thoughts on the games each day. Lets try and make some money boys. I'll post a pick on each game, then some general thoughts or most favored bets of the day and tally it up with a 1u bet on all. Any thoughts or input are always appreciated.


    Sharks -0.5 in reg +137
    Bruins -0.5 in reg +117
    Capitals +130
    Hawks -1.5g +107
    Canucks -154

    Really like the Bruins today. Both teams won on the road last night and will travel to Toronto. The Leafs gave up over 50 shots on goal for the second straight game, got in to penalty trouble and blew a 3-1 lead in the 3rd before pulling it out in a shootout. Boston always plays a punishing physical game and the Leafs are decimated with injuries right now, especially up the middle. This is a terrible matchup for Toronto.
  • bdc30
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-03-13
    • 162

    #2
    Originally posted by bdc30
    Sharks -0.5 in reg +137 l -1
    Bruins -0.5 in reg +117 w +1.17
    Capitals +130 w +1.3
    Hawks -1.5g +107 w +1.07
    Canucks -154 w +1
    4-1-0 +3.54u

    Nice start to the thread.
    Comment
    • bdc30
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-03-13
      • 162

      #3
      Pens -0.5 in reg -125
      Flyers +126
      Ducks -0.5 in reg -133
      Canucks -0.5 in reg +108

      Lots of chalk tonight, should be a few 'sure things' but always leery when they seem too easy like this. Nothing that stands out as a best bet at these prices. Gl everyone.
      Comment
      • Ser Pucks
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-13-13
        • 857

        #4
        Nice start yesterday. GL tonight Sir.
        Comment
        • bdc30
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-03-13
          • 162

          #5
          ha -- didn't even realize when I bet it (or posted it obv) but my Flyers bet was Regulation ML, so the shootout loss = a push. Nice surprise, although I would have been pissed if they'd won in the s/o...lol
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #6
            Originally posted by bdc30
            ha -- didn't even realize when I bet it (or posted it obv) but my Flyers bet was Regulation ML, so the shootout loss = a push. Nice surprise, although I would have been pissed if they'd won in the s/o...lol
            How is that Philly loss a push. Makes no sense, u get your money back since they didn't win in regution????
            Comment
            • bdc30
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-03-13
              • 162

              #7
              regulation money line (no spread) so yeah any tie at end of regulation is a push (even if philly wins in ot/shootout). As I say, I didn't mean to bet it. Will take it as a loss for record-keeping purposes though as that's how I posted it, I was just glad to see the stake end up back in my account lol
              Comment
              • bdc30
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-03-13
                • 162

                #8
                Originally posted by bdc30
                Pens -0.5 in reg -125 w +1
                Flyers +126 l -1
                Ducks -0.5 in reg -133 w +1
                Canucks -0.5 in reg +108 w +1.08
                3-1 tonight, +2.08u

                (7-2-0 +5.62u overall)
                Comment
                • bdc30
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-03-13
                  • 162

                  #9
                  Ton of games tonight, good luck everyone!

                  LA/MTL - under 5 -124
                  Devils +111
                  Senators -135
                  Sens/Sabres under 5.5 -130
                  Capitals -140
                  Redwings -108
                  NSH/NYR under 5.0 -104
                  WPG/STL over 5.5 +114
                  Avalanche -132
                  Bruins -147
                  Oilers -123
                  SJ -1.5goals +104

                  Top pick for today is Ottawa to beat Buffalo.
                  Comment
                  • bdc30
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 12-03-13
                    • 162

                    #10
                    Originally posted by bdc30
                    Ton of games tonight, good luck everyone!

                    LA/MTL - under 5 -124 L -1.24
                    Devils +111 L -1
                    Senators -135 L -1.35
                    Sens/Sabres under 5.5 -130 W +1
                    Capitals -140 W +1
                    Redwings -108 L -1.08
                    NSH/NYR under 5.0 -104 PUSH
                    WPG/STL over 5.5 +114 L -1
                    Avalanche -132 L -1.32
                    Bruins -147 W +1
                    Oilers -123 W +1
                    SJ -1.5goals +104 L -1

                    Top pick for today is Ottawa to beat Buffalo.
                    4-7-1 -3.99u

                    (11-9-1 +1.63 overall)
                    Comment
                    • bdc30
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-03-13
                      • 162

                      #11
                      Time to get some back after a tough day today.

                      Kings -132
                      Ducks -138
                      Hawks -0.5 in reg -115

                      On all the chalk tonight. Really think this is a good spot for LA. Phaneuf's suspension adds to the Leafs injury woes, as he plays a ton of minutes every night against the other teams' top line.
                      Comment
                      • bdc30
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-03-13
                        • 162

                        #12
                        Originally posted by bdc30
                        Time to get some back after a tough day today.

                        Kings -132 w +1
                        Ducks -138 w +1
                        Hawks -0.5 in reg -115 w +1

                        On all the chalk tonight. Really think this is a good spot for LA. Phaneuf's suspension adds to the Leafs injury woes, as he plays a ton of minutes every night against the other teams' top line.
                        3-0 +3u. Nice easy night

                        (14-9-1. +4.63 overall)
                        Comment
                        • bdc30
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-03-13
                          • 162

                          #13
                          Busy night in the nhl...good luck everyone

                          Mtl -133
                          Clb +150
                          Tb -113
                          Stl -1.5goals +120
                          Col -103
                          Dal +111
                          Car -107
                          Phx -165
                          Bos -0.5 in reg +114
                          Min +179
                          Ott -0.5 in reg -117
                          Grand Salami under 60.5 -115

                          Couple good spots for upsets tonight I think. The Rangers are playing rough at the moment, and Columbus for some reason have gelled together since their #1 goalie went down. Minny played pretty decently last night in Anaheim and the Sharks couldn't put away the Islanders at home, which should get you banished from the league.
                          I like Carolina in Calgary tonight too, with a day of turmoil around the team after they fired their gm and assistant.

                          Strongest plays of the day imo are Montreal in Philly, and Boston in Edmonton. The Habs will be looking to get things straightened out after being embarrassed in their own barn by LA the other night and Briere will be pumped for his return to Philly. Boston has some players hurt or suspended but they're just too big and physical for the Oil imo.

                          Best of luck with your plays guys
                          Comment
                          • bdc30
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-03-13
                            • 162

                            #14
                            Originally posted by bdc30
                            Busy night in the nhl...good luck everyone

                            Mtl -133 L -1.33
                            Clb +150 W +1.5
                            Tb -113 W +1
                            Stl -1.5goals +120 W +1.2
                            Col -103 W +1
                            Dal +111 L -1
                            Car -107 L -1.07
                            Phx -165 W +1
                            Bos -0.5 in reg +114 W +1.14
                            Min +179 L -1
                            Ott -0.5 in reg -117 W +1
                            Grand Salami under 60.5 -115 W +1
                            8-4 +4.44u
                            (22-13-1, +9.07u overall)

                            as an aside, hit a nice round robin/parlay last night with Bos/Stl/Phx/Ott all -0.5 in reg
                            Comment
                            • RollinDo
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-04-13
                              • 13322

                              #15
                              Nice job last night bdc! I was leaning Grand Salami too, but a couple of games I thought could have gone well over...well, they did, but got a few really low scoring ones.
                              Comment
                              • bdc30
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-03-13
                                • 162

                                #16
                                Chalk city again tonight, I wish the schedule was a bit more balanced instead of 3 games one night and 10 the next.

                                Caps -128
                                Pens -0.5 in reg -115
                                Canucks -0.5 in reg -131

                                Really like all these games tonight, Vancouver has won 5 straight and Edmonton will be bagged after last night. They really did put in a good effort against Boston but the early 3-0 hole was too deep to climb out of. Washington have won 3 straight and Ovy is on fire. Might not even be a bad play to take them in regulation but -128 is decent also. Pittsburgh is 7-2-1 in their last 10 and the Devils are, well, the Devils...lol

                                Best of luck everyone
                                Comment
                                • bdc30
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-03-13
                                  • 162

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by bdc30
                                  Chalk city again tonight, I wish the schedule was a bit more balanced instead of 3 games one night and 10 the next.

                                  Caps -128 L -1.28
                                  Pens -0.5 in reg -115 w +1
                                  Canucks -0.5 in reg -131 w +1
                                  2-1 (stupid shootout loss too) +0.72u

                                  (24-14-1, +9.79 overall)
                                  Comment
                                  • bdc30
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-03-13
                                    • 162

                                    #18
                                    Saturday's picks...tons of games, some good matchups.

                                    Kings -125
                                    Flames -105
                                    Jets -114
                                    Lightning -101
                                    Hawks -160
                                    Pens -108
                                    Coyotes -153
                                    Sharks -156
                                    Avalanche -138
                                    Canucks -110
                                    Islanders +132

                                    As you can see I'm on pretty much every early favorite. Best bets of the day are Los Angeles, Chicago and Pittsburgh though. Good luck everyone
                                    Comment
                                    • bdc30
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-03-13
                                      • 162

                                      #19
                                      Adding Blues -0.5 in reg -106, line wasn't up last night. Think this is a great spot for them. Couple wins in the early games always a nice way to start the day.
                                      Comment
                                      • bdc30
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-03-13
                                        • 162

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by bdc30
                                        Saturday's picks...tons of games, some good matchups.

                                        Kings -125 w +1
                                        Flames -105 w +1
                                        Jets -114 L -1.14
                                        Lightning -101 L -1.01
                                        Hawks -160 L -1.6
                                        Pens -108 w +1
                                        Coyotes -153 L -1.53
                                        Sharks -156 L -1.56
                                        Avalanche -138 L -1.38
                                        Canucks -110 W +1
                                        Islanders +132 L -1
                                        (added) Blues -0.5 in reg -106 L -1.06
                                        4-8-0 -6.25u

                                        (28-22-1, +3.54u overall)
                                        Comment
                                        • bdc30
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-03-13
                                          • 162

                                          #21
                                          Didn't get up in time to post picks before gametime tonight so won't record these, but I bet Wash/Fla/TB and then Anaheim (-0.5 in reg).

                                          Good luck everyone.
                                          Comment
                                          • bdc30
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-03-13
                                            • 162

                                            #22
                                            of course i go 4-0 today...lol As I say, won't count it towards totals but can show screenshot of action if anyone cares that much. Lets replicate that tomorrow now!

                                            edit -- I guess the Anaheim one was up before game time, so I'll take that one (odds were -137) lol

                                            (29-22-1, +4.54u overall)
                                            Comment
                                            • bdc30
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-03-13
                                              • 162

                                              #23
                                              Posting early for today...only 4 games.

                                              Jets +115
                                              Avalanche -136
                                              Leafs +175
                                              Blues -0.5 in reg +120

                                              Like the Blues today, hopefully they learned their lesson in CLB the other night having to come back after a slow start. Took the Leafs here because in 2 prior matches with Pit this year they won one 4-1 and lost the other 6-5 after blowing a big 3rd period lead on a questionable Malkin goal. Malkin may not play tonight either, to add the the Pens injury issues. Leafs coming off a big (shocking) win against Chicago where Lupul got 4 points. Maybe they're hitting their stride?
                                              Comment
                                              • bdc30
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-03-13
                                                • 162

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by bdc30
                                                Posting early for today...only 4 games.

                                                Jets +115 w +1.15
                                                Avalanche -136 w +1
                                                Leafs +175 L -1
                                                Blues -0.5 in reg +120 L -1
                                                2-2, +0.15u

                                                (31-24-1, +4.69u overall)
                                                Comment
                                                • bdc30
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-03-13
                                                  • 162

                                                  #25
                                                  Today's one of those days, I can feel it already. On a lot of road teams....

                                                  Jets -104
                                                  Lightning -101
                                                  Panthers +117
                                                  Caps +104
                                                  Canadiens -123
                                                  Ducks -115
                                                  Sharks -101
                                                  Canucks -105
                                                  Hawks -154
                                                  Avalanche -101
                                                  Bruins -0.5 in reg -137
                                                  Kings -0.5 in reg -121

                                                  Two most preferred are the bruins and kings games, but otherwise there are a lot of games today that could go either way. There are days that it's tough trying to pick the entire board and this is one of them. See how we make out. Good luck with your picks everyone.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bdc30
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 12-03-13
                                                    • 162

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by bdc30
                                                    Today's one of those days, I can feel it already. On a lot of road teams....

                                                    Jets -104 L -1.04
                                                    Lightning -101 W +1
                                                    Panthers +117 W +1.17
                                                    Caps +104 L -1
                                                    Canadiens -123 W +1
                                                    Ducks -115 W +1
                                                    Sharks -101 W +1
                                                    Canucks -105 L -1.05
                                                    Hawks -154 W +1
                                                    Avalanche -101 L -1.01
                                                    Bruins -0.5 in reg -137 W +1
                                                    Kings -0.5 in reg -121 W +1
                                                    8-4, +4.07u

                                                    (39-28-1, +8.74u overall)

                                                    Decent day really, hit another 4 game round robin for a lovely profit too
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RollinDo
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-04-13
                                                      • 13322

                                                      #27
                                                      You are clickin' on all cylinders lately bdc! Nicely done!

                                                      I chickened out on LA Kings because I was already having a decent night...didn't want to spoil it but this seemed to be the most obvious pick of the night.
                                                      I should look into playing Kings until they hit a bump.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bdc30
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-03-13
                                                        • 162

                                                        #28
                                                        I did hedge a few bucks on the Oilers +1.5 late when I had the other 3 parlay games locked up hoping to hit the middle (or at least secure a profit if Edmonton won somehow) but all in all was happy with the night. Also hit the salami under 66.5 but it wasn't up at the time I posted the game list.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bdc30
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-03-13
                                                          • 162

                                                          #29
                                                          4 bets tonight but only ½u on each as both games could really go either way. I'm betting that one of the two games gets to overtime, and could see both even as a possibility. Getting almost +300 if I hit one it's a profit.

                                                          Sens/Devils goes to OT Yes, +288
                                                          Pens/Rangers goes to OT Yes +291
                                                          Devils -125
                                                          Pens +112
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bdc30
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-03-13
                                                            • 162

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by bdc30
                                                            4 bets tonight but only ½u on each as both games could really go either way. I'm betting that one of the two games gets to overtime, and could see both even as a possibility. Getting almost +300 if I hit one it's a profit.

                                                            Sens/Devils goes to OT Yes, +288 L -0.5
                                                            Pens/Rangers goes to OT Yes +291 w +1.45
                                                            Devils -125 w +0.5
                                                            Pens +112 w +0.56
                                                            solid 3-1 result, +2.01u -- shoulda had the balls to play full units lol

                                                            (42-29-1, +10.75u overall)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bdc30
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-03-13
                                                              • 162

                                                              #31
                                                              Lots of games on the slate again today, lets give this another go.

                                                              Pens -131
                                                              Coyotes -110
                                                              Bruins -0.5 in reg -111
                                                              Flyers -148
                                                              Lightning -129
                                                              Wings -143
                                                              Panthers +122
                                                              Canadiens +140
                                                              Canucks -115
                                                              Sharks +107
                                                              Avalanche -0.5 in reg -118

                                                              There's a few games I like tonight. The Avs should handle the Oilers with no problem at home (famous last words...), and if there's ever a spot that the Redwings should be able to find a home win this is it. The Leafs have been playing like garbage and lost yet another centerman to injury in their last game.

                                                              As far as the prices go, I think StL has been lackluster as of late against some teams that they should have been able to handle. Montreal woke up after a slow start against Phoenix the other night for a good win at home. Also, Florida has been hot as of late and beat the Leafs at home fairly easily. Ottawa has been up and down like a yo-yo and looked pretty disjointed last night in an ugly loss to the Devils.

                                                              Anyway, we'll see how things shake out. As always, good luck with your picks everyone.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bdc30
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-03-13
                                                                • 162

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by bdc30
                                                                Lots of games on the slate again today, lets give this another go.

                                                                Pens -131 w +1
                                                                Coyotes -110 L -1.1
                                                                Bruins -0.5 in reg -111 L -1.11
                                                                Flyers -148 w +1
                                                                Lightning -129 w +1
                                                                Wings -143 w +1
                                                                Panthers +122 w +1.22
                                                                Canadiens +140 L -1
                                                                Canucks -115 L -1.15
                                                                Sharks +107 L -1
                                                                Avalanche -0.5 in reg -118 w +1
                                                                6-5, +0.86u

                                                                (48-34-1, +11.61u overall)

                                                                Tough day yesterday, the Boston loss really perplexes me. Killed a nice parlay, though I did hit the other 3 games to break about even. Ah well, back at er today.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bdc30
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-03-13
                                                                  • 162

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Riding a few streaks today.

                                                                  Ducks -117
                                                                  Caps +106
                                                                  Panthers +139
                                                                  Rangers -0.5 in reg +105
                                                                  Hawks -0.5 in reg -107

                                                                  I really don't understand how FLA is +139 today...they've won 5 in a row and Winnipeg hasn't exactly been lighting it up. They only have 4 wins in their last 10 and are under .500 even in their home barn. Good enough for me to take a shot at this price.

                                                                  The Rangers showed some life (finally) with a gutsy comeback in the 3rd against Pit the other night before falling in a shootout. Their cross-town rivals should be a good way to jumpstart the club. Isles have 1 win in their last 10 games...

                                                                  Vancouver looked terrible last night in a loss to Dallas, with Luongo getting chased from the cage. Chicago should be able to push them around a bit tonight.

                                                                  Best of luck with your plays today everyone
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RollinDo
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-04-13
                                                                    • 13322

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Have enjoyed following your plays bdc30. You seem very knowledgable and I'm starting to think I should tail your plays.
                                                                    One that I like is the Hawks - not a big risk at -107.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jerimjob
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-05-13
                                                                      • 267

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'd watch out for the Florida-Winnipeg game.
                                                                      Florida is playing the second half of a back-to-back travelling to Winnipeg.
                                                                      Bogosian is back for the Jets, and Kane looks healthy.
                                                                      Winnipeg should look for revenge after getting embarrassed by the Panthers last time 5-2.

                                                                      Florida is playing well so it's a good price, but a little risky IMO

                                                                      bol
                                                                      Comment
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