NHL Betting 2013-2014: Reverse Line Movements

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  • Cranium
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-05-08
    • 363

    #36
    I played NJ +150 tonight.. it's a clear RLM play based on the rules PS typed on page 1.
    Comment
    • PStrangers
      SBR High Roller
      • 06-28-11
      • 239

      #37
      Looks like the Devils probably were a play, too bad they lost it in overtime for you.

      My apologizes for not posting plays today. I have a crazy amount of work that I need to get done in the next few days, so I had no time to wager today. I might have missed a few others today as well. I really only wager for entertainment anyways, if I can't watch the game it isn't as fun to me. Putting in 14 hour days like today is how I pay the bills....

      I'll be a happy man on Friday when all my deadlines past...
      Comment
      • jawnzer
        SBR Rookie
        • 10-01-13
        • 47

        #38
        Holding off till the weekend for some pics? Tonights going to be a big night!
        Comment
        • Cranium
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-05-08
          • 363

          #39
          I played under 5.5 in CAR/WAS for a winner. Thanks for sharing this system PS!
          Comment
          • PStrangers
            SBR High Roller
            • 06-28-11
            • 239

            #40
            Got my work done for the week! Looking forward for some action tonight.

            Sides:


            No Play today

            Totals:

            Pens at Panthers

            Percentages of Bets on the Under: 12% / 6% / 8% / 10%

            Opening line of the Under: 5.5 (+105) / 5.5 (+110) / 5.5 (+121) / 5.5 (+115)

            Current line of the Under: 5.5 (-105) / 5.5 (+100) / 5.5 (+104) / 5.5 (+100)


            Method A and B: Bet $100 at +100 on the Under 5.5


            Little surprised at this one. If the books are really getting drowned in over money (over 90%) then I'm surprised they moved the line at all.
            Comment
            • PStrangers
              SBR High Roller
              • 06-28-11
              • 239

              #41
              Originally posted by Cranium
              I played under 5.5 in CAR/WAS for a winner. Thanks for sharing this system PS!
              Nice! Glad to see it is producing some winners for you.

              It is interesting to look at the reverse line movements for different sports. I have yet to see it perform very accurately for other sports, but for the NHL it seems to perform nicely.

              BOL!
              Comment
              • PStrangers
                SBR High Roller
                • 06-28-11
                • 239

                #42
                YTD
                8-4 +$435

                Kind of a light card for how many games today, but I just don't see any consistent line movement for most things.

                Sides:
                Habs at Canucks
                Percentages of bets on the Habs: 14% / 14% / 30% / 26%
                Opening line of the Habs: +120 / +115 / +115 / +125
                Current line of the Habs: +110 / +110 / +105 / +110

                Method A and B: Bet $100 at +110 on the Canadians

                Totals:

                None


                Comment
                • sod77
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 02-22-11
                  • 27

                  #43
                  Thank you!
                  Comment
                  • Cranium
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-05-08
                    • 363

                    #44
                    I'm seeing a RLM play on Ottawa tonight @ 8pm EST.
                    Comment
                    • PStrangers
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 06-28-11
                      • 239

                      #45
                      Looks like nothing for today. The under in the morning game looks like it should have been a play, but it would have pushed so no big deal. Hopefully something will come up tomorrow.

                      BOL
                      Comment
                      • PStrangers
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-28-11
                        • 239

                        #46
                        YTD
                        9-4 +$545

                        There is clear reverse line movement on the Wild against the Leafs today. I will not be playing this I think the line was set assuming Bernier was going to get the start. When the news came out that it was going to be Reimer I think the books adjusted the lines. That said, it could be the Reimer gave up 4 goals on 21 shots his last outing, and sharps are betting against him even if that means backing the lowly Wild. Since I'm never upset at passing on play, I'd rather live to see another day. Its a bit early, so some lines might still move, I'll try to update if they do, but I do have one play for now.

                        Sides:
                        Blue Jackets at Red Wings
                        Percentages of bets on the Blue Jackets: 34% / 25% / 9% / 26%
                        Opening line of the Habs: +123 / +120 / +120 / +120
                        Current line of the Habs: +106 / -105 / +100 / -105

                        Method A and B: Bet $105 at -105 on the Blue Jackets


                        Totals:


                        None
                        Comment
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