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  • gordon gekko
    SBR MVP
    • 05-01-08
    • 2842

    #1
    -200
    What % chance does a -200 favorite have to win?
  • RickySteve
    Restricted User
    • 01-31-06
    • 3415

    #2
    You're going to make LT's head explode.
    Comment
    • AgainstAllOdds
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-24-08
      • 6053

      #3
      Gordy...if I recall, I believe there was already a thread on this. Try the search feature...but If I remember correctly, they are supposed to win 7-8/10
      Originally posted by SBR_John
      AAO = good dude. Buying you a drink in Vegas buddy.
      Comment
      • HedgeHog
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-11-07
        • 10128

        #4
        This needs to be in the Think Tank? Obviously you need 66.7% to break even, and your actual win % is probably a few percentage points less depending on the sport and juice.
        Comment
        • durito
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-03-06
          • 13173

          #5
          it's no wonder mccain is pulling ahead
          Comment
          • AgainstAllOdds
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-24-08
            • 6053

            #6
            Originally posted by durito
            it's no wonder mccain is pulling ahead
            Hey Durito...A guys asking a legit question and you have to come add your idiotic comments to it.

            Quality post dude
            Originally posted by SBR_John
            AAO = good dude. Buying you a drink in Vegas buddy.
            Comment
            • durito
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-03-06
              • 13173

              #7
              you seem like a smart guy aao, you should be able to figure out what 2 divided by 3 is
              Comment
              • gordon gekko
                SBR MVP
                • 05-01-08
                • 2842

                #8
                I know it's 67%, I asked the question to prove a point to somebody.
                Comment
                • donjuan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-29-07
                  • 3993

                  #9
                  What % chance does a -200 favorite have to win?
                  I know it's 67%, I asked the question to prove a point to somebody.
                  There is a difference between breakeven and post-vig.
                  Comment
                  • gordon gekko
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-01-08
                    • 2842

                    #10
                    Originally posted by donjuan
                    There is a difference between breakeven and post-vig.
                    break even at 67%.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by gordon gekko
                      break even at 67%.
                      Yes 67% would be BE, but -200 favorites are not expected to win 67% of the time unless it is a no vig line. To properly answer the original question, one would need to know the line set in order to determine the no-vig line.
                      Comment
                      • louisvillekid
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-14-07
                        • 9262

                        #12
                        Richkas will probably say 100% of the time, "Chalk is Lock baby!"
                        Comment
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