Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#2
Not even close? UCF outgained them and lost because of turnovers an a punt return. But to answer your question, yes you will win long term if you keep beating efficient closers. I am assuming you got +3 at -110ish.
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Duff85
SBR MVP
06-15-10
2920
#3
This closer stuff is bs. Just seek out Brahmabull, dude is like 27-2 on posted plays, sharpest fukkkk on sbr... seek him out and parlay his picks, print moneyz! easy game.
Fukkk math.
I beat the closer on six soccer games tonight (obviously a valid sample)... i'm 0-6... trust me Brahma will steer you right.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#4
Originally posted by Duff85
This closer stuff is bs. Just seek out Brahmabull, dude is like 27-2 on posted plays, sharpest fukkkk on sbr... seek him out and parlay his picks, print moneyz! easy game.
Fukkk math.
I beat the closer on six soccer games tonight (obviously a valid sample)... i'm 0-6... trust me Brahma will steer you right.
[/sarcasm]
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Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#5
Originally posted by eyeball
I had Central Florida +3, the line closed at +2 Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?
If you think you can beat the lines more often than not, make your plays as soon as possible. Don't wait until gameday. Watch out though, you can be had, like I did today. I took Kentucky +18 thinking it would go to 17 but its up to 19.5.
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eyeball
SBR Wise Guy
08-14-07
988
#6
Originally posted by LT Profits
Not even close? UCF outgained them and lost because of turnovers an a punt return. But to answer your question, yes you will win long term if you keep beating efficient closers. I am assuming you got +3 at -110ish.
Yes I had -110, I agree with you..LONG TERM is the key
LONG TERM does not equal one game
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#7
Originally posted by eyeball
Yes I had -110, I agree with you..LONG TERM is the key
LONG TERM does not equal one game
Right, so why ask the question?
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d2bets
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-10-05
39847
#8
It's one game, dude. If you have to ask this question, you haven't a clue. Even if you had a good edge, you realize you still had a 45-48% chance to lose.
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Peregrine Stoop
SBR Wise Guy
10-23-09
869
#9
Originally posted by eyeball
I had Central Florida +3, the line closed at +2 Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?
do you believe tens of thousands wagering millions are smarter than one dude?
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eyeball
SBR Wise Guy
08-14-07
988
#10
Originally posted by Peregrine Stoop
do you believe tens of thousands wagering millions are smarter than one dude?
ok I got it the first time... that will be my last post here on SBR
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TryingMyBest
SBR Wise Guy
03-07-10
611
#11
6 cents to buy at the 2, 13 to buy on the 3. Looks like you paid -110 for a ticket with a true value of -119.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#12
Originally posted by TryingMyBest
6 cents to buy at the 2, 13 to buy on the 3. Looks like you paid -110 for a ticket with a true value of -119.
More like true value of -132. From +2 to +2.5 is only 4 cents, but 2.5 to 3 is 18 cents.
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Duff85
SBR MVP
06-15-10
2920
#13
Originally posted by eyeball
ok I got it the first time... that will be my last post here on SBR
This is why I wouldn't have given this clown the help. The fact he is not intelligent enough to test things for himself and wants things given to him on a platter... some sharp posters have chipped in to help in this thread and that's how he reacts. What a turd.
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goblue12
SBR MVP
02-08-09
1316
#14
Try betting more than just 6 soccer matches.
You should be able to find at least 25 plays on any given Saturday.
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TryingMyBest
SBR Wise Guy
03-07-10
611
#15
Originally posted by LT Profits
More like true value of -132. From +2 to +2.5 is only 4 cents, but 2.5 to 3 is 18 cents.
For the 3 price I was referencing Justin's book. Also, a -110 ticket has a true value of +100. So using your numbers, -122
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#16
Originally posted by TryingMyBest
For the 3 price I was referencing Justin's book. Also, a -110 ticket has a true value of +100. So using your numbers, -122
My bad, I forgot to convert to no-vig, which at -132/+112 is actually -120.6.