Beating the Closing line last night?

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  • eyeball
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-14-07
    • 988

    #1
    Beating the Closing line last night?
    I had Central Florida +3, the line closed at +2


    Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Not even close? UCF outgained them and lost because of turnovers an a punt return. But to answer your question, yes you will win long term if you keep beating efficient closers. I am assuming you got +3 at -110ish.
    Comment
    • Duff85
      SBR MVP
      • 06-15-10
      • 2920

      #3
      This closer stuff is bs. Just seek out Brahmabull, dude is like 27-2 on posted plays, sharpest fukkkk on sbr... seek him out and parlay his picks, print moneyz! easy game.

      Fukkk math.

      I beat the closer on six soccer games tonight (obviously a valid sample)... i'm 0-6... trust me Brahma will steer you right.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by Duff85
        This closer stuff is bs. Just seek out Brahmabull, dude is like 27-2 on posted plays, sharpest fukkkk on sbr... seek him out and parlay his picks, print moneyz! easy game.

        Fukkk math.

        I beat the closer on six soccer games tonight (obviously a valid sample)... i'm 0-6... trust me Brahma will steer you right.
        [/sarcasm]
        Comment
        • Romanov
          SBR MVP
          • 10-08-10
          • 4137

          #5
          Originally posted by eyeball
          I had Central Florida +3, the line closed at +2 Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?
          If you think you can beat the lines more often than not, make your plays as soon as possible. Don't wait until gameday. Watch out though, you can be had, like I did today. I took Kentucky +18 thinking it would go to 17 but its up to 19.5.
          Comment
          • eyeball
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 08-14-07
            • 988

            #6
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            Not even close? UCF outgained them and lost because of turnovers an a punt return. But to answer your question, yes you will win long term if you keep beating efficient closers. I am assuming you got +3 at -110ish.

            Yes I had -110, I agree with you..LONG TERM is the key


            LONG TERM does not equal one game
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #7
              Originally posted by eyeball
              Yes I had -110, I agree with you..LONG TERM is the key


              LONG TERM does not equal one game
              Right, so why ask the question?
              Comment
              • d2bets
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 39847

                #8
                It's one game, dude. If you have to ask this question, you haven't a clue. Even if you had a good edge, you realize you still had a 45-48% chance to lose.
                Comment
                • Peregrine Stoop
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 869

                  #9
                  Originally posted by eyeball
                  I had Central Florida +3, the line closed at +2 Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?
                  do you believe tens of thousands wagering millions are smarter than one dude?
                  Comment
                  • eyeball
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 08-14-07
                    • 988

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Peregrine Stoop
                    do you believe tens of thousands wagering millions are smarter than one dude?

                    ok I got it the first time... that will be my last post here on SBR
                    Comment
                    • TryingMyBest
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 611

                      #11
                      6 cents to buy at the 2, 13 to buy on the 3. Looks like you paid -110 for a ticket with a true value of -119.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by TryingMyBest
                        6 cents to buy at the 2, 13 to buy on the 3. Looks like you paid -110 for a ticket with a true value of -119.
                        More like true value of -132. From +2 to +2.5 is only 4 cents, but 2.5 to 3 is 18 cents.
                        Comment
                        • Duff85
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-15-10
                          • 2920

                          #13
                          Originally posted by eyeball


                          ok I got it the first time... that will be my last post here on SBR
                          This is why I wouldn't have given this clown the help. The fact he is not intelligent enough to test things for himself and wants things given to him on a platter... some sharp posters have chipped in to help in this thread and that's how he reacts. What a turd.
                          Comment
                          • goblue12
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-08-09
                            • 1316

                            #14
                            Try betting more than just 6 soccer matches.

                            You should be able to find at least 25 plays on any given Saturday.
                            Comment
                            • TryingMyBest
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-07-10
                              • 611

                              #15
                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                              More like true value of -132. From +2 to +2.5 is only 4 cents, but 2.5 to 3 is 18 cents.
                              For the 3 price I was referencing Justin's book. Also, a -110 ticket has a true value of +100. So using your numbers, -122
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TryingMyBest
                                For the 3 price I was referencing Justin's book. Also, a -110 ticket has a true value of +100. So using your numbers, -122
                                My bad, I forgot to convert to no-vig, which at -132/+112 is actually -120.6.
                                Comment
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