Do you overpay for past results?

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  • Bluehorseshoe
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-13-06
    • 14998

    #1
    Do you overpay for past results?
    At this point in the basketball season for example, when an above .500 team is playing a below .500, aren't you going to pay more for the team with the better record then you should? Isn't the line value on the weaker team?

    Take the first game on the board today. You have Xavier with a 15-6 record vs St. Louis that's 8-13. Doesn't Xavier get bumped up a point more than it should based on each team's records or will the market always correct any bias?
  • Peregrine Stoop
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-23-09
    • 869

    #2
    wow... you'd be like the only person that thought of this. I'm sure the market hasn't corrected for any of this. Bettors are dumbz.
    Comment
    • Bluehorseshoe
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-13-06
      • 14998

      #3
      Originally posted by Peregrine Stoop
      wow... you'd be like the only person that thought of this. I'm sure the market hasn't corrected for any of this. Bettors are dumbz.
      You're right. So if you teased 20 dogs in that situation for 8pts yesterday and 19 hit, it was a fluke.
      Comment
      • Peregrine Stoop
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-23-09
        • 869

        #4
        cool sample size bro
        Comment
        • Socrates
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-24-10
          • 923

          #5
          I guess.
          Comment
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