Teasers Discussion. Week of Oct. 24

[dimon]

All right guys,

Let's talk about the best teaser opportunities each week here.

So far candidates are: 419, 427...do not like either of them, but I am sure we will have a few solid here.

Contribude your ideas and thoughts

[subs]

hi - ok cool

gonna wait till near game time because this is when then lines are sharpest. but will post here

you might find this useful it was posted by a pro in another forum:

Actually here i'll help a little bit, here are the correct Full Kelly percentages to risk on a round robin of 3 team +180s. To calculate how much to bet per teaser divide the risk percentage by the number of combinations and then multiply by the factor of kelly you want to bet, for noobs who know nothing about kelly, the norm is usually 50%



So if there are 6 teams you are going to tease and you estimate they have an average 73% chance of covering, you would bet 20 combinations at (12.81%/20)*50%= 0.32% of your bankroll per combination.

good luck

[dimon]

all right guys...we have a few in college, but totals are too high, so NFL seems to have 2-3 so far...let's have a great weekend

[rfr3sh]

what subset are you using to find plays
basic strategy or the subset Bill the Cop posted

[dimon]

both...best possible sb-sets, that we can generae money with

[rfr3sh]

same here I got a few at WagerChief (they offer -110 on a 2 teamer)
is it better to wait for these on sunday
or bet them as they come up

[dimon]

last hour is the way...I am not a pro, so I can make mistake, that I can avoid by wating till the end

[rfr3sh]

thanks for the help

[dimon]

all right guys, it looks like that we might have some plays...lines are shaping up nicely now.

[rfr3sh]

dimon I locked in a few before I posted the questions..hopefully they turn out ok
otherwise I'll learn from my mistakes and be patient till sunday next time

[dimon]

what you got so far man?

[rfr3sh]

wagerchief has 2 teamers at -110 so I got

BS
Rams +8.5
Vikes +8.5

Panthers +8
Vikes +8.5

Panthers +8
Rams +8.5

Non-BS
Cards +11.5
Broncos -3

Mix
Cards +11.5
Pats +8.5

[subs]

wow i like wager chief for teasers.

this is all i have now, at DSI. looks like i need more outs. any 1 recommend some. already trying to get 5Dimes.

[426] DENVER -2½-110 (B+6)
[427] MINNESOTA +8½-110 (B+6)
2.2X to win 2X

[421] ARIZONA +11½-110 (B+6)
[426] DENVER -2½-110 (B+6)
0.55X to win 0.5X

[421] ARIZONA +11½-110 (B+6)
[427] MINNESOTA +8½-110 (B+6)
0.55X to win 0.5X

[421] ARIZONA +11½-110 (B+6)
[426] DENVER -2½-110 (B+6)
[427] MINNESOTA +8½-110 (B+6)
1X to win 1.8X

BOL

[rfr3sh]

subs I like wagerchief never had a prob with them, I know bodog is -110 on 2 team teasers aswell

[dimon]

wagerchief has 2 teamers at -110 so I got

BS
Rams +8.5
Vikes +8.5

Panthers +8
Vikes +8.5

Panthers +8
Rams +8.5

Non-BS
Cards +11.5
Broncos -3

Mix
Cards +11.5
Pats +8.5

Man STL, MIN, and CAR even though has the spread that you can tease...I will pass based on the lines from Pinn. The lines are just not right I think.

[subs]

subs I like wagerchief never had a prob with them, I know bodog is -110 on 2 team teasers aswell

ok cool thanks

[subs]

dimon can you please explain what you mean please.

thanks

[Peregrine Stoop]

you should be searching for better outs than -110 2 teamers

[subs]

i don't know but don't books offering -105 shade their lines to 1/2, 3 or 7, 9. i have only checked out 5dimes.

was hoping to go for +180 at a book that does not shade lines too much, and get more numbers that cross the 3 and 7. note to self get more outs.

[Peregrine Stoop]

temple and smu look good at +180 3 teams or +300 4 teams

[subs]

temple looks good but to my very square mind SMU's total is really high. if you have a spare minute can you say what you like about this 1?

good luck every1

[dimon]

I like KC at -9 or better, DEN -7.5, call me crazy but NE might be the good one as well....it will go down to 2.5 most likely...that's all...there are a few +3 dogs that deserve attention as well I think

[Peeig]

temple and smu look good at +180 3 teams or +300 4 teams

or 2 teamers at +100, if you know where to find that sort of thing.

[subs]

the chart that i posted above is from Shipit - many thanks to him.

or 2 teamers at +100, if you know where to find that sort of thing.

well you seem to have done very well here. i can only find this @ scam books or clueless friends or maybe from the fairies? my chances of ever seeing my potential winnings no = -1500.

seems like valuable info - if it is not a scam book i'll pay you 40 points for the name. must be accessible from australia and rated by SBR.

hope you get paid buddy.

BOL

[dinaro7]

teasers r 4 suckers or exerts

[dimon]

teasers r 4 suckers or exerts

sure...good luck

[rfr3sh]

hey dimon do u use the pinny lines to make teasers or what your book offers
ie some games pinny holds at 3 but other books drop to 2.5
so if you were playing at pinny you wouldnt tease the 3..but if you played elsewhere tease the 2.5?

[LT Profits]

wow i like wager chief for teasers.

this is all i have now, at DSI. looks like i need more outs. any 1 recommend some. already trying to get 5Dimes.

[426] DENVER -2½-110 (B+6)
[427] MINNESOTA +8½-110 (B+6)
2.2X to win 2X

[421] ARIZONA +11½-110 (B+6)
[426] DENVER -2½-110 (B+6)
0.55X to win 0.5X

[421] ARIZONA +11½-110 (B+6)
[427] MINNESOTA +8½-110 (B+6)
0.55X to win 0.5X

[421] ARIZONA +11½-110 (B+6)
[426] DENVER -2½-110 (B+6)
[427] MINNESOTA +8½-110 (B+6)
1X to win 1.8X

BOL

DSI is great because on 2-Team 6-Pointers at -110, Win + Push = PUSH!

Better yet, on 4-Team 6-Pointers at +300, Push REDUCES.

I have seen books that have worse odds than that where pushes Lose regardless of # of teams.

[dimon]

well over all not too bad...let's get ready for next week