When I come into the game officially for the first time (doing it the right way) in august, i will implement a strict money management system flat betting approx. 2% of my bankroll per play until reaching certain preset bankroll totals. At which point the 2% will remain constant but will increase/decrease due to the change in total bankroll. I will start with 5k spreading out 1k into 5 books (wsex,bookmaker,matchbook,betjam,and 5dimes) risking 110 (average) to win 100. I have preset levels that when reached will re calcuate the 2% to help grow my roll with minimum risk, that I will post later.
Money line vs Spread. . .
In the past, If i liked a dog i would bet 2x on the spread and x on the ML, this way incase my team fell short straight up i still covered the line. But with my knew system doing this would be risking 3 units per bet when i only want to risk 1. . . I know the money line in the long run probaly is the better way to go for the dogs, but It is very tough when your dog plays great like you knew they would but comes up just short of winning the game but you still lose cuz you bet the ML. Lets look at a game where the dog is + 12 and + 650. Using my system only wanting to risk one unit, its too tempting not to take that ML play. On the flip side if a dog is +2 and + 130 , then it makes sense to take the ML because the 2 points prob wont come into play.
Thoughts? Advice?
Money line vs Spread. . .
In the past, If i liked a dog i would bet 2x on the spread and x on the ML, this way incase my team fell short straight up i still covered the line. But with my knew system doing this would be risking 3 units per bet when i only want to risk 1. . . I know the money line in the long run probaly is the better way to go for the dogs, but It is very tough when your dog plays great like you knew they would but comes up just short of winning the game but you still lose cuz you bet the ML. Lets look at a game where the dog is + 12 and + 650. Using my system only wanting to risk one unit, its too tempting not to take that ML play. On the flip side if a dog is +2 and + 130 , then it makes sense to take the ML because the 2 points prob wont come into play.
Thoughts? Advice?