How much is this line worth to you?

[blix177]

Two NBA team (random team) one team is fav by 2 points.

The fav is winning by 2 points, the dog has the ball with 5 min remaining. The current score is 155points, the over 200 points.

How much is the 200 point over worth at this given time? I am guessing it would be around +800.

The line is pretty much what is the odds that this game will go OT?

[Busterflywheel]

to much thinking

[whatsgood5]

I'd say more like +300...gotta factor in a high scoring close 4 minutes and then a fukload of fowling at the end

[JohnAnthony]

+635

[Justin7]

I'd need some serious databases for this.

[blix177]

Thanks for the help everyone, I normally ask for around +800 for this type, just wanted to know was I +EV or -EV.

[Tx]

Sorry..

[DOMINATER]

rhe true number is 755 you have to subtract your first line from your second then you have to use a formula xover2 minus800 then take 45 plus2 divide it and you get 754.7869 rounded off its 755

[dkp]

I think it still depends upon the style of the teams involved. Are these teams built around one player where they are going to hold the ball down to the 24 second level and let that guy go one on one? Or are they teams that run regardless of the score

[reno cool]

looks like it can still go under in overtime. I would tend to like the -800. Chances of overtime seem fairly low with 5 min to go regardless if it's a 2 pnt game.