totals question

roasthawg · 10-17-09, 04:20 PM

About 5%.

man3645 · 10-17-09, 10:56 PM

if you see 80 in a game your interested in, def take the under, thats all ive been studying for the last few weeks is NCAAF totals

IrishTim · 10-17-09, 11:01 PM

Not sure if it's blindly profitable to just take the under of any game with a total of 80 until I see the numbers. Cap the games individually.

LT Profits · 10-18-09, 06:09 AM

Originally posted by hillardoh

in college football what percentage of games would you say go over the number 80 when betting total points?

Are you asking what percentage of ALL games exceed 80 points, or what is the O/U record on games with a posted total of 80 or more?

hillardoh · 10-19-09, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Are you asking what percentage of ALL games exceed 80 points, or what is the O/U record on games with a posted total of 80 or more?

I want know how many u/o goes over the number 80. The reason is I would like to see if I could win like over 80% or more on totals. I do know last years game texas vs oklahoma the game went like over 80 points.

hillardoh · 10-19-09, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by roasthawg

About 5%.

where did you get that stat?

GAMBLERMAS · 10-19-09, 01:35 PM

i think you will find 4 games over 79 and 1 under in the last 3 years 80% over.

gamblermas

hillardoh · 10-19-09, 01:53 PM

Originally posted by GAMBLERMAS

i think you will find 4 games over 79 and 1 under in the last 3 years 80% over.

gamblermas

great this means you could tease a lot of games to 80 or more and win say like 90% of the time or more. I would use it to advantage to play during bad weather games. I would go under 80 with teams that are unevenly matched.You dont want teams like last years oklahoma vs texas last year that went over 80 points

roasthawg · 10-19-09, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by hillardoh

where did you get that stat?

From my db... that was the number of games that go over 80, regardless of what the total was.

hillardoh · 10-19-09, 02:20 PM

Originally posted by roasthawg

From my db... that was the number of games that go over 80, regardless of what the total was.

so what do you think about that stat r u using it?

roasthawg · 10-19-09, 03:04 PM

Originally posted by hillardoh

so what do you thimk about that stat r u using it?

I think 80 is a big number and if the ou is approaching 80 then it's far more likely I'll be on the under than on the over.

LT Profits · 10-19-09, 04:33 PM

If you look at ALL games, the percentage that land on 80 or higher is 5.6%.

BUT, if you look at games with posted totals of 70 or higher, the percentage that land on 80 or higher is 33.9% (37 out of 109).

IrishTim · 10-19-09, 09:29 PM

good info, LT

polson22 · 10-20-09, 05:44 PM

LT, thanks.......

what has been the profitability of O/U 70 and 75 games? i'd want the 70 and 75 to relate to the line NOT the outcome

i'd like to do this stuff myself...... can i do it with micro brothers or statfox products?

FWIW, i've been finding O/U alot easier than spreads. seems like u may not have to know that much compared to ATS.

thanks again!!!

LT Profits · 10-20-09, 06:20 PM

Yes, it's easy with WinPicks from micro brothers, you just do a data dump to Excel and you can then play with it as you wish.