NBA probability of exact score margin

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  • curry30
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-12-19
    • 2

    #1
    NBA probability of exact score margin
    I assume some point differential and would like to know what's the probability of an exact point spread. What's the best way to calculate it?
    E. g. P(GSW beats Orlando by 5|GSW-6.7)
  • curry30
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-12-19
    • 2

    #2
    Originally posted by Saturn834
    27 to 1 I know a dude who has a sports database going back to 70's and he showed me and told me it's around 27 to 1 except certain numbers in basketball hit higher and halftime numbers hit higher

    the dude has a youtube channel: Vegas Hustler Sports Betting and is hitting 70% in service plays


    Censorship Sucks Peace
    I wasn't asking about point differential of a random game, but for a given point spread
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