baseball model showed cws and blue jays should be a pick em wtf!

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  • the shadow
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-02-09
    • 120

    #1
    baseball model showed cws and blue jays should be a pick em wtf!
    cws, hitting is even, starting pitcher even, rel. pitch even. I give 20 cents for tor. why was the line +210? looking for answers.
  • Waterstpub87
    SBR MVP
    • 09-09-09
    • 4102

    #2
    This is like saying my model showed that 3 x 6 is 20. What is the explanation for this?

    Be more specific. Why do you think that Pelfrey and Stroman are even in pitching?
    Comment
    • OMGSTARWARS
      SBR Rookie
      • 10-16-10
      • 9

      #3
      I'd like answers on this too.
      Comment
      • Kindred
        SBR MVP
        • 09-09-08
        • 2901

        #4
        If your model is any good isn't the answer obvious, take the +210
        Comment
        • the shadow
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-02-09
          • 120

          #5
          The model is excellent. 3.1 % over 2100 games. ALL UNDERDOGS!!!!. last 3 years. My problem is why people bet big time fav's all the time. For instance, cws vs. minn on 06-21-17. CWS. give me one reason why minn should be -170 or whatever. By the way I am barred from treasure island for kickin their ass in cbb. No brag just fact.
          Comment
          • Waterstpub87
            SBR MVP
            • 09-09-09
            • 4102

            #6
            This is pointless.
            Comment
            • RisingDough
              SBR Hustler
              • 03-09-17
              • 70

              #7
              Shoot me a PM shadow
              Comment
              • clockwise1965
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-01-13
                • 6753

                #8
                Models simply dont work long term
                Last edited by clockwise1965; 07-05-17, 05:52 AM.
                Comment
                • Kindred
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-09-08
                  • 2901

                  #9
                  Originally posted by the shadow
                  The model is excellent. 3.1 % over 2100 games. ALL UNDERDOGS!!!!. last 3 years. My problem is why people bet big time fav's all the time. For instance, cws vs. minn on 06-21-17. CWS. give me one reason why minn should be -170 or whatever. By the way I am barred from treasure island for kickin their ass in cbb. No brag just fact.
                  So your problem is that other people are making bad bets which allowing your model to profit from their mistakes..okay makes sense. Can't wait until people stop making bad bets and the markets are perfectly priced so nobody can turn a profit except the books
                  Comment
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