line out of whack

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • reno cool
    SBR MVP
    • 07-02-08
    • 3567

    #1
    line out of whack
    Today, I made a very small bet on a prop for the Blackhawk game:
    team that scores first wins +180.
    I keep looking over the ticket and everything seems legit. Ultimately, the bet won, although the team scoring first was down at one point.
    Am I missing something?
    bird bird da bird's da word
  • Art Vandeleigh
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-06
    • 1494

    #2
    Hmmm, that's estimating that the team that scores first has around a 35% chance of winning the game.

    Greek has this prop for most NHL games and is in the 60%-75% range that the team that scores first wins.
    Comment
    • donjuan
      SBR MVP
      • 08-29-07
      • 3993

      #3
      Obvious bad line. You're lucky you didn't get freerolled.
      Comment
      • reno cool
        SBR MVP
        • 07-02-08
        • 3567

        #4
        This is why I made a very small bet. To see what would happen. But, I'd imagine if the bet was of significant size they might still cancel it. Hence, the experiment probably didn't tell me anything.
        I've been noticing -180 to -240 on these, and I think they may be good even at those #s.
        bird bird da bird's da word
        Comment
        SBR Contests
        Collapse
        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
        Collapse
        Working...