Having a brain fart here, but does anyone analyze game 1 lines when they want to bet a series?
i.e. Want to bet Pit,
right now to win series -105
but game one +115
essentially there is a 53.5% chance you will get a better line if they lose game 1 (let's call it +150 if they are down 1-0)
or a 46.5% chance you get a worse line if they win game 1 (likely be -140 or so)
how do we evaluate when to wait and when to bet it depending on game 1 line?
i.e. Want to bet Pit,
right now to win series -105
but game one +115
essentially there is a 53.5% chance you will get a better line if they lose game 1 (let's call it +150 if they are down 1-0)
or a 46.5% chance you get a worse line if they win game 1 (likely be -140 or so)
how do we evaluate when to wait and when to bet it depending on game 1 line?
