Mac's early leans...

**groovybrandone** · 09-14-12, 05:39 PM

you adding any more games mac?

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-14-12, 11:33 PM

Are you ready for some football???

Here are my plays for Saturday. Let's cash this bitch

Early games...
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 117 Wake Forest +28 -120* vs Florida State
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 123 Virginia Tech -10 -110* vs Pittsburgh U
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 130 Ohio State -14 -140* vs California (buy it down to 14)
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 145 TCU -21 -110* vs Kansas
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 145 TCU/Kansas Under 59½ -110*

Afternoon games...
9/15/12 3:30pm College Football 107 Navy/Penn State Under 47 -117*
9/15/12 3:30pm College Football 112 Northwestern -3 -110* vs Boston College
9/15/12 3:30pm College Football 138 Louisville -3 -115* vs North Carolina

Evening tilt...
9/15/12 7:00pm College Football 134 Missouri -3 -120* vs Arizona State
9/15/12 7:00 PM College Football 134 Missouri* -2 -110 vs Arizona State for 1st Half
9/15/12 8:00pm College Football 163 Utah State +14 -110* vs Wisconsin
9/15/12 8:00pm College Football 163 Utah State/Wisconsin Under 51 -110*
9/15/12 10:00pm College Football 135 BYU -3 -135* vs Utah
9/15/12 10:30pm College Football 176 UCLA -17 -110* vs Houston U
9/15/12 10:30pm College Football 176 UCLA 1st Half -10 -110* vs Houston U

I've also highlighted the plays I really like for tomorrow...

**CapperGuy** · 09-14-12, 11:53 PM

UCLA have no defense I don't know if that one should be highlighted. If Houston play half as well as they did offensively against LA Tech then that game should be a lot closer than most people would expect. BOL on your plays!

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-15-12, 12:00 AM

Here are some dogs that may bite... Maybe worth a few dollars on some of these.

UAB +8000 vs South Carolina
Wake Forest +2250 vs FSU
Utah State +425 vs Wisconsin
Colorado State +335 vs San Jose State
Arkansas State +1075 vs Nebraska
South Alabama +4000 vs NC State

Umass +40000 vs Michigan <<<< just kidding here. Umass has zero chance of an upset here.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-15-12, 12:14 AM

Yep, I looked at that game real closely. I like the first half as UCLA is going to be pretty jacked up out of the gate and they are not as bad against the pass as we think. I see them putting a lot of pressure on the QB which may lead to a turnover or 2. Houston is fairly one dimensional on offense and I think UCLA will take them out of their game early. UH is horrific on defense and they will not be able to get many stops.

This line is off by my calculation. UCLA should be favored closer to 26 points. I think many people are judging both teams from the past few years and still are undervaluing UCLA. They have better talent, top to bottom over UH. Now they have decent coaching. Neuheisel was a fukking mess. Couldn't coach up what he had...

I was close to highlighting the game line -17 as a strong play as well but sometimes teams get out to a big lead early then step off the gas to get the hell out of there and can allow a BS backdoor cover.

Originally posted by CapperGuy

UCLA have no defense I don't know if that one should be highlighted. If Houston play half as well as they did offensively against LA Tech then that game should be a lot closer than most people would expect. BOL on your plays!

**gshock1** · 09-15-12, 03:59 AM

What do you make of Notre Dame getting 5.5?

Michigan St. is one dimensional on O, and can see this coming down to a FG either way.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-15-12, 09:47 AM

Tight line. I'm laying off this game but I'd lean Michigan State. Seems like either a tight game or MSU beat down.

Originally posted by gshock1

What do you make of Notre Dame getting 5.5?

Michigan St. is one dimensional on O, and can see this coming down to a FG either way.

**Blannewk** · 09-15-12, 01:58 PM

Rough start

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-15-12, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by Blannewk

Rough start

Very rough...

Wake just fukked off this game. They weren't even playing hard in the 1st quarter. Never thought I'd see them conceding a game before it started.

TCU players are on the take. I'm sure of it. 6 trips inside the 10 yard line and only came up with 10 points. Turnovers, fumbles, penalties, horseshit effort by the QB. This shit should have been covered at the half.

OSU just too one dimensional without Hyde in the backfield. Zero creativity in the play calling.

VaTech??? Fukking Beamer ball.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-15-12, 11:57 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Early games...
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 117 Wake Forest +28 -120* vs Florida State
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 123 Virginia Tech -10 -110* vs Pittsburgh U
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 130 Ohio State -14 -140* vs California (buy it down to 14)
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 145 TCU -21 -110* vs Kansas
9/15/12 12:00pm College Football 145 TCU/Kansas Under 59½ -110*

Afternoon games...
9/15/12 3:30pm College Football 107 Navy/Penn State Under 47 -117*
9/15/12 3:30pm College Football 112 Northwestern -3 -110* vs Boston College
9/15/12 3:30pm College Football 138 Louisville -3 -115* vs North Carolina

Evening tilt...
9/15/12 7:00pm College Football 134 Missouri -3 -120* vs Arizona State
9/15/12 7:00 PM College Football 134 Missouri* -2 -110 vs Arizona State for 1st Half
9/15/12 8:00pm College Football 163 Utah State +14 -110* vs Wisconsin
9/15/12 8:00pm College Football 163 Utah State/Wisconsin Under 51 -110*
9/15/12 10:00pm College Football 135 BYU -3 -135* vs Utah
9/15/12 10:30pm College Football 176 UCLA -17 -110* vs Houston U
9/15/12 10:30pm College Football 176 UCLA 1st Half -10 -110* vs Houston U
I've also highlighted the plays I really like for tomorrow...

Well after a horrendous start of losing the first 4 plays. I was able to reel off 9 straight winners with 2 games remaining.

9-4 so far on the day.

UCLA hopefully keeps the cover. BYU is self destructing. About to score then fumble picked up by the Utes taken to the house changed the entire game.

**gojetsgomoxies** · 09-16-12, 12:02 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Well after a horrendous start of losing the first 4 plays. I was able to reel off 9 straight winners with 2 games remaining.

9-4 so far on the day.

UCLA hopefully keeps the cover. BYU is self destructing. About to score then fumble picked up by the Utes taken to the house changed the entire game.

same as me. got very hot late in day.... ucla under lookingvgreat too

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-12, 12:40 AM

BYU making a late rally. Be nice for them to win this after a series of miscues.

Houston finally scores.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-12, 01:03 AM

3 NFL plays...

9/16/12 1:00pm NFL Football 203 New Orleans Saints -132* vs Carolina Panthers
9/17/12 8:25pm NFL Football 225 Denver Broncos +145* vs Atlanta Falcons
9/16/12 1:00pm NFL Football 207 Baltimore Ravens +1 +110* vs Philadelphia Eagles

**Maagnim** · 09-16-12, 01:07 AM

This actually worked out well for me because I was too late on your 12:00 pm plays but locked in everything after that! Thanks!

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-12, 01:12 AM

9/15/12 10:00pm College Football 135 BYU -3 -135* vs Utah
9/15/12 10:30pm College Football 176 UCLA -17 -110* vs Houston U

10-5 on a wacky day... I still can't believe that Wake laid down today and that TCU looked like they were point shaving.

Updated...
College : 38-17
NFL : 6-3

**TheCalculator** · 09-16-12, 01:12 AM

I made the mistake of only picking a couple and got blasted. LOL.

POUND THEM ALL!

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-12, 01:14 AM

Holy shit... Awesome timing Maagnim

Hopefully no one loaded up on my early dog shit picks... Fukking Wake Forest

Originally posted by Maagnim

This actually worked out well for me because I was too late on your 12:00 pm plays but locked in everything after that! Thanks!

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-12, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by TheCalculator

I made the mistake of only picking a couple and got blasted. LOL.

POUND THEM ALL!

Sorry bro... We got to keep grinding

**ShogunRua** · 09-16-12, 01:17 AM

good sh it man.

Can't believe that TCU game either. I didn't get to watch it, but just reading through the play by play made me kinda sick. How many fumbles did they have inside the red zone?

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-12, 01:26 AM

6 trips inside the 10 yard line. 4 turnovers and only 10 points. One fumble the QB was going into the endzone and fumbled the ball out of it for a touchback and another the RB was about to go in as well and fumbled on the 3. They should have covered this line at halftime but kept fukking up. It really looked like they were point shaving...

Originally posted by ShogunRua

good sh it man.

Can't believe that TCU game either. I didn't get to watch it, but just reading through the play by play made me kinda sick. How many fumbles did they have inside the red zone?

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-16-12, 11:16 PM

Saints and Drew Brees look like horseshit. Bounty gate has ripped this team apart. They need coaching bad... Auto Fade.

9/16/12 1:00pm NFL Football 203 New Orleans Saints -132* vs Carolina Panthers
9/16/12 1:00pm NFL Football 207 Baltimore Ravens +1 +110* vs Philadelphia Eagles PUSH

Updated...
College : 38-17
NFL : 6-4

**curtrambus** · 09-20-12, 07:10 PM

Any chance you can post your picks for the weekend by Friday? My buddy who puts in my bets is duckhunting all weekend so Friday night is when I need to get them in. Take a guess who I'm tailing

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-20-12, 08:53 PM

I've been working on several plays all week. I should have a few games done late tonight.

Originally posted by curtrambus

Any chance you can post your picks for the weekend by Friday? My buddy who puts in my bets is duckhunting all weekend so Friday night is when I need to get them in. Take a guess who I'm tailing

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-20-12, 08:55 PM

Rough week in the NFL...

9/17/12 8:25pm NFL Football 225 Denver Broncos +145* vs Atlanta Falcons

Updated...
College : 38-17
NFL : 6-5

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-20-12, 10:32 PM

Here are a few leans I have for Saturday. Nothing locked in yet but getting close. I really like the games that are bolded.

Baylor -7 at UL Monroe
Clemson +14.5 at Florida State
Bowling Green at Virginia Tech Under 48
Bowling Green +14.5 at Virginia Tech
Central Michigan at Iowa -14.5
East Carolina +17 at North Carolina
UTEP at Wisconsin Under 50.5
Utah State at Colorado State Under 53
Arizona U +21.5 at Oregon
Oregon State at UCLA Under 52
Miami Florida +14 at Georgia Tech
Kansas State +14.5 at Oklahoma
New Mexico at New Mexico State Over 56
South Carolina State +51 at Texas A&M

**TheCalculator** · 09-20-12, 10:41 PM

Should we bet these now or wait?

**Urbanwildlife** · 09-20-12, 10:54 PM

I hate to go against you as you are on such a great roll, but my play of the week is on Georgia Tech, as I see no way in hell that Miami will be able to stop the triple option. Miami ranks 102nd against the rush this week. Bethune-Cookman ran for 233 yards on them a week ago, so what kind of rushing yards will Georgia Tech put up?. I also fully expect Al Groh to have his defense well prepared.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-20-12, 11:01 PM

I'm also leaning these games as well. Will probably only lock in on a handful for the day though.

Missouri +10 and Under 49 at South Carolina
West Virginia -26 vs Maryland
Notre Dame -5 vs Michigan
Florida -24 vs Kentucky
Virginia +18 at TCU

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-20-12, 11:02 PM

Originally posted by TheCalculator

Should we bet these now or wait?

Wait...

**Urbanwildlife** · 09-20-12, 11:11 PM

I like West Virgina as well. In addition to Georgia Tech, my other personal favorite play is Louisville -14.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-20-12, 11:34 PM

Yeah, my initial thoughts was that GT rolls up about 600 yards on this horrendous Miami defense. Boston College and KSU both had over 500 total yards and Bethune had 350. But, the real problem with Miami is their passing defense. Their passing defense is so poor that it opens up the run. I think they will focus on the run more here which will help them defend it as long as they play assignment football and tackle well. Now GT's passing is much improved and if they establish it early then it could get ugly.

This game felt like a GT blowout everytime I looked at it but every time I crunch the actual numbers it comes out extremely close. Miami should be able to put up some points which will make a cover that much more difficult. By my calculations, this line is off by 9 points which made it a bolded play. My heart said GT but my numbers say Miami with tremendous value on the ML too.

Originally posted by Urbanwildlife

I hate to go against you as you are on such a great roll, but my play of the week is on Georgia Tech, as I see no way in hell that Miami will be able to stop the triple option. Miami ranks 102nd against the rush this week. Bethune-Cookman ran for 233 yards on them a week ago, so what kind of rushing yards will Georgia Tech put up?. I also fully expect Al Groh to have his defense well prepared.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-20-12, 11:43 PM

I loved Louisville when they were beating down UNC in the first half and FIU was down to UCF. Then Louisville shit the bed again in the 2nd half and FIU turned a corner in that 2nd half and it's now a no play for me. UL has 17 kids from Florida so you never know if they're going to be out partying or overwhelmed with request from friends.

UL should absolutely destroy FIU. UL is better then FIU at every position and TB should be able to torch that shitty secondary but I expected the line to be higher and UL's 2nd half layoffs are troubling. I'll probably take UL 1st half but nothing big.
I'll probably take

Originally posted by Urbanwildlife

I like West Virgina as well. In addition to Georgia Tech, my other personal favorite play is Louisville -14.

**PorkChop** · 09-21-12, 04:07 PM

Mac - Was looking at the board, and tonight's Baylor TT o 20.5(-115) 1st half actually jumped out at me. Thoughts...

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-21-12, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by PorkChop

Mac - Was looking at the board, and tonight's Baylor TT o 20.5(-115) 1st half actually jumped out at me. Thoughts...

What's up PC?
I love that over 1st half IF IT WASN'T A FUKKING FRIDAY NIGHT GAME

It should go over almost in the first quarter but too much strange shit to put a lot of money on it. I'm going to put a little on it and Baylor -5 first half too but you know it's going to turn into a shit storm before the night is over.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 09-21-12, 04:47 PM

1st 2 plays locked and loaded...
9/22/2012 3:30 PM College Football 367 Missouri* +6½ -110 vs South Carolina for 1st Half
9/22/2012 3:30 PM College Football 367 Missouri/South Carolina* Under 24 -110 for 1st Half